|
|
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
2053 |
2054 |
2055 |
2056 |
2057 |
2058 |
|
|
Million 2010-kr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
49.8 |
-1427.9 |
-2815.9 |
-3928.1 |
-4751.7 |
-5302.9 |
-5639.9 |
-5817.6 |
-5886.6 |
-5886.7 |
-5848.1 |
-5791.7 |
-5731.3 |
-5675.2 |
-5627.8 |
-5591.2 |
-5565.7 |
-5551.0 |
-5546.2 |
-5550.9 |
-5564.4 |
-5586.6 |
-5617.5 |
-5657.4 |
-5706.6 |
-5765.6 |
-5835.1 |
-5915.4 |
-6006.8 |
-6109.7 |
-6224.1 |
-6349.9 |
-6486.9 |
-6634.6 |
-6792.6 |
-6960.2 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
-8.4 |
389.3 |
717.1 |
1019.8 |
1294.3 |
1540.8 |
1762.1 |
1961.6 |
2142.7 |
2308.9 |
2463.0 |
2607.4 |
2744.1 |
2874.8 |
3000.6 |
3122.6 |
3241.6 |
3358.2 |
3472.9 |
3586.1 |
3698.2 |
3809.5 |
3920.3 |
4030.8 |
4141.3 |
4251.9 |
4362.8 |
4474.3 |
4586.4 |
4699.3 |
4813.2 |
4928.1 |
5044.1 |
5161.3 |
5279.8 |
5399.6 |
Investment |
fI |
2858.4 |
1418.9 |
302.9 |
-218.8 |
-534.0 |
-675.2 |
-682.6 |
-584.7 |
-405.9 |
-172.7 |
91.9 |
368.8 |
643.2 |
904.5 |
1145.7 |
1362.8 |
1553.9 |
1719.0 |
1859.2 |
1976.2 |
2072.2 |
2149.7 |
2210.9 |
2258.1 |
2293.3 |
2318.6 |
2335.8 |
2346.3 |
2351.9 |
2353.7 |
2353.2 |
2351.4 |
2349.5 |
2348.5 |
2349.2 |
2352.5 |
Export |
fE |
-88.2 |
-159.0 |
-168.4 |
-136.0 |
-63.2 |
39.3 |
169.5 |
321.9 |
490.9 |
669.1 |
849.5 |
1025.0 |
1189.1 |
1336.4 |
1462.2 |
1563.5 |
1638.0 |
1684.7 |
1703.8 |
1695.9 |
1662.7 |
1606.5 |
1529.9 |
1435.9 |
1327.7 |
1208.6 |
1082.0 |
951.1 |
819.0 |
688.7 |
562.9 |
443.9 |
333.9 |
234.6 |
147.4 |
73.4 |
Import |
fM |
1386.7 |
317.6 |
-499.9 |
-931.2 |
-1171.6 |
-1270.5 |
-1263.7 |
-1180.0 |
-1044.8 |
-878.3 |
-696.6 |
-511.4 |
-331.2 |
-161.5 |
-6.1 |
133.2 |
255.5 |
360.7 |
449.3 |
522.1 |
579.9 |
623.8 |
654.8 |
674.1 |
682.6 |
681.5 |
671.8 |
654.5 |
630.8 |
601.8 |
568.4 |
531.8 |
493.0 |
453.0 |
412.7 |
373.2 |
GDP |
fY |
1206.1 |
-153.5 |
-1386.6 |
-2176.5 |
-2676.4 |
-2890.1 |
-2874.0 |
-2680.4 |
-2357.8 |
-1953.4 |
-1506.8 |
-1049.6 |
-605.7 |
-191.8 |
181.2 |
506.9 |
782.7 |
1008.3 |
1185.7 |
1317.7 |
1408.0 |
1460.7 |
1480.2 |
1470.7 |
1436.4 |
1381.5 |
1309.8 |
1225.0 |
1130.7 |
1030.2 |
926.5 |
822.4 |
720.4 |
623.0 |
532.0 |
449.3 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
1.273 |
0.310 |
-0.740 |
-1.612 |
-2.245 |
-2.609 |
-2.714 |
-2.598 |
-2.310 |
-1.904 |
-1.428 |
-0.924 |
-0.426 |
0.041 |
0.460 |
0.821 |
1.117 |
1.348 |
1.515 |
1.623 |
1.677 |
1.684 |
1.649 |
1.579 |
1.482 |
1.362 |
1.225 |
1.078 |
0.924 |
0.768 |
0.614 |
0.464 |
0.322 |
0.190 |
0.070 |
-0.038 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
-0.719 |
-0.081 |
0.434 |
0.847 |
1.148 |
1.316 |
1.361 |
1.298 |
1.152 |
0.949 |
0.712 |
0.462 |
0.214 |
-0.019 |
-0.229 |
-0.409 |
-0.559 |
-0.675 |
-0.761 |
-0.817 |
-0.845 |
-0.850 |
-0.834 |
-0.800 |
-0.752 |
-0.692 |
-0.624 |
-0.550 |
-0.473 |
-0.394 |
-0.316 |
-0.241 |
-0.169 |
-0.101 |
-0.040 |
0.015 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.062 |
0.048 |
0.006 |
-0.024 |
-0.047 |
-0.061 |
-0.068 |
-0.069 |
-0.065 |
-0.057 |
-0.048 |
-0.038 |
-0.028 |
-0.019 |
-0.010 |
-0.003 |
0.003 |
0.008 |
0.012 |
0.015 |
0.017 |
0.018 |
0.018 |
0.018 |
0.017 |
0.016 |
0.015 |
0.013 |
0.011 |
0.009 |
0.008 |
0.006 |
0.004 |
0.002 |
0.001 |
-0.001 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
-0.006 |
-0.065 |
0.013 |
0.062 |
0.097 |
0.117 |
0.126 |
0.126 |
0.121 |
0.111 |
0.100 |
0.088 |
0.076 |
0.066 |
0.057 |
0.049 |
0.043 |
0.037 |
0.033 |
0.030 |
0.028 |
0.026 |
0.025 |
0.025 |
0.024 |
0.024 |
0.024 |
0.024 |
0.025 |
0.025 |
0.025 |
0.026 |
0.026 |
0.027 |
0.027 |
0.028 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.068 |
-0.016 |
0.019 |
0.038 |
0.050 |
0.056 |
0.058 |
0.058 |
0.056 |
0.054 |
0.051 |
0.049 |
0.048 |
0.047 |
0.046 |
0.046 |
0.046 |
0.046 |
0.045 |
0.045 |
0.045 |
0.044 |
0.043 |
0.042 |
0.041 |
0.040 |
0.039 |
0.037 |
0.036 |
0.034 |
0.033 |
0.032 |
0.030 |
0.029 |
0.028 |
0.027 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
-0.074 |
-0.053 |
-0.002 |
0.058 |
0.121 |
0.185 |
0.244 |
0.299 |
0.347 |
0.389 |
0.425 |
0.458 |
0.486 |
0.512 |
0.535 |
0.557 |
0.576 |
0.595 |
0.612 |
0.628 |
0.642 |
0.655 |
0.667 |
0.677 |
0.685 |
0.692 |
0.698 |
0.702 |
0.704 |
0.705 |
0.705 |
0.704 |
0.702 |
0.699 |
0.695 |
0.691 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.023 |
-0.007 |
0.003 |
0.038 |
0.090 |
0.153 |
0.217 |
0.279 |
0.332 |
0.376 |
0.408 |
0.428 |
0.437 |
0.436 |
0.427 |
0.411 |
0.390 |
0.364 |
0.336 |
0.306 |
0.276 |
0.246 |
0.217 |
0.189 |
0.164 |
0.141 |
0.120 |
0.101 |
0.086 |
0.073 |
0.062 |
0.054 |
0.048 |
0.044 |
0.042 |
0.041 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.016 |
0.047 |
0.091 |
0.112 |
0.117 |
0.110 |
0.093 |
0.072 |
0.048 |
0.024 |
0.001 |
-0.018 |
-0.035 |
-0.047 |
-0.057 |
-0.062 |
-0.065 |
-0.065 |
-0.063 |
-0.059 |
-0.054 |
-0.048 |
-0.041 |
-0.033 |
-0.026 |
-0.018 |
-0.010 |
-0.003 |
0.004 |
0.010 |
0.016 |
0.021 |
0.025 |
0.029 |
0.033 |
0.035 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.010 |
0.006 |
0.013 |
0.013 |
0.008 |
0.002 |
-0.005 |
-0.011 |
-0.016 |
-0.020 |
-0.022 |
-0.024 |
-0.025 |
-0.025 |
-0.024 |
-0.024 |
-0.023 |
-0.022 |
-0.021 |
-0.021 |
-0.020 |
-0.020 |
-0.020 |
-0.019 |
-0.020 |
-0.020 |
-0.020 |
-0.020 |
-0.021 |
-0.021 |
-0.022 |
-0.022 |
-0.023 |
-0.023 |
-0.024 |
-0.024 |
User cost |
uim |
0.266 |
0.319 |
0.384 |
0.438 |
0.483 |
0.520 |
0.550 |
0.576 |
0.597 |
0.616 |
0.632 |
0.648 |
0.663 |
0.678 |
0.692 |
0.707 |
0.721 |
0.735 |
0.749 |
0.763 |
0.776 |
0.788 |
0.800 |
0.812 |
0.822 |
0.832 |
0.841 |
0.849 |
0.857 |
0.863 |
0.869 |
0.873 |
0.877 |
0.881 |
0.883 |
0.885 |
Wage |
lna |
0.015 |
0.021 |
0.013 |
-0.005 |
-0.030 |
-0.060 |
-0.092 |
-0.123 |
-0.151 |
-0.176 |
-0.195 |
-0.208 |
-0.217 |
-0.219 |
-0.218 |
-0.212 |
-0.203 |
-0.190 |
-0.176 |
-0.161 |
-0.145 |
-0.128 |
-0.112 |
-0.096 |
-0.081 |
-0.067 |
-0.055 |
-0.044 |
-0.035 |
-0.027 |
-0.021 |
-0.017 |
-0.013 |
-0.012 |
-0.011 |
-0.012 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
0.007 |
0.011 |
0.011 |
0.008 |
0.002 |
-0.007 |
-0.017 |
-0.029 |
-0.040 |
-0.051 |
-0.061 |
-0.069 |
-0.075 |
-0.080 |
-0.083 |
-0.084 |
-0.083 |
-0.081 |
-0.078 |
-0.074 |
-0.070 |
-0.064 |
-0.059 |
-0.053 |
-0.047 |
-0.041 |
-0.036 |
-0.030 |
-0.025 |
-0.021 |
-0.017 |
-0.014 |
-0.011 |
-0.008 |
-0.007 |
-0.005 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
0.006 |
0.008 |
0.007 |
0.005 |
0.001 |
-0.005 |
-0.010 |
-0.017 |
-0.022 |
-0.028 |
-0.032 |
-0.036 |
-0.038 |
-0.040 |
-0.040 |
-0.040 |
-0.039 |
-0.037 |
-0.035 |
-0.032 |
-0.029 |
-0.026 |
-0.022 |
-0.019 |
-0.016 |
-0.013 |
-0.010 |
-0.007 |
-0.005 |
-0.003 |
-0.001 |
0.001 |
0.002 |
0.002 |
0.003 |
0.003 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
-0.041 |
0.077 |
0.014 |
-0.039 |
-0.079 |
-0.104 |
-0.118 |
-0.123 |
-0.122 |
-0.118 |
-0.112 |
-0.106 |
-0.100 |
-0.094 |
-0.090 |
-0.086 |
-0.083 |
-0.081 |
-0.079 |
-0.078 |
-0.077 |
-0.076 |
-0.076 |
-0.075 |
-0.074 |
-0.074 |
-0.073 |
-0.072 |
-0.072 |
-0.071 |
-0.070 |
-0.070 |
-0.069 |
-0.069 |
-0.068 |
-0.068 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.004 |
0.005 |
0.005 |
-0.003 |
-0.015 |
-0.028 |
-0.041 |
-0.052 |
-0.061 |
-0.068 |
-0.072 |
-0.073 |
-0.073 |
-0.071 |
-0.067 |
-0.063 |
-0.058 |
-0.053 |
-0.048 |
-0.043 |
-0.039 |
-0.035 |
-0.031 |
-0.027 |
-0.025 |
-0.022 |
-0.021 |
-0.019 |
-0.019 |
-0.018 |
-0.018 |
-0.019 |
-0.020 |
-0.021 |
-0.022 |
-0.023 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|