|
|
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
2053 |
2054 |
2055 |
2056 |
2057 |
2058 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
166.8 |
-1078.7 |
-2354.1 |
-3375.6 |
-4137.7 |
-4646.9 |
-4952.1 |
-5104.3 |
-5151.6 |
-5132.7 |
-5077.1 |
-5005.4 |
-4931.3 |
-4862.9 |
-4804.7 |
-4758.5 |
-4724.6 |
-4702.4 |
-4691.0 |
-4689.4 |
-4697.0 |
-4713.1 |
-4737.7 |
-4770.5 |
-4811.9 |
-4862.0 |
-4921.1 |
-4989.6 |
-5067.6 |
-5155.3 |
-5252.7 |
-5359.7 |
-5476.0 |
-5601.3 |
-5735.1 |
-5876.8 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
-14.8 |
156.7 |
332.8 |
502.5 |
661.0 |
806.7 |
940.3 |
1063.9 |
1179.5 |
1289.2 |
1395.0 |
1498.2 |
1600.1 |
1701.4 |
1802.8 |
1904.7 |
2007.2 |
2110.6 |
2215.0 |
2320.3 |
2426.5 |
2533.6 |
2641.7 |
2750.7 |
2860.6 |
2971.5 |
3083.2 |
3195.9 |
3309.5 |
3424.1 |
3539.7 |
3656.2 |
3773.8 |
3892.4 |
4012.0 |
4132.6 |
Investment |
fI |
2872.4 |
1939.9 |
937.6 |
429.1 |
134.7 |
4.9 |
2.8 |
100.8 |
275.7 |
502.2 |
758.8 |
1027.2 |
1293.6 |
1548.0 |
1783.7 |
1996.9 |
2186.1 |
2351.3 |
2493.6 |
2614.8 |
2717.3 |
2803.2 |
2874.8 |
2934.4 |
2984.0 |
3025.5 |
3060.4 |
3090.4 |
3116.7 |
3140.6 |
3163.3 |
3185.6 |
3208.6 |
3233.1 |
3259.9 |
3289.6 |
Export |
fE |
-53.9 |
-119.0 |
-141.7 |
-130.1 |
-87.4 |
-20.9 |
67.6 |
174.3 |
294.5 |
422.6 |
552.3 |
677.9 |
793.8 |
895.4 |
978.7 |
1041.1 |
1080.8 |
1097.0 |
1089.7 |
1059.8 |
1008.8 |
938.5 |
851.4 |
750.0 |
637.0 |
515.4 |
388.0 |
257.5 |
126.6 |
-2.4 |
-127.1 |
-245.7 |
-356.4 |
-457.9 |
-549.0 |
-629.0 |
Import |
fM |
883.0 |
111.6 |
-661.0 |
-1100.7 |
-1347.5 |
-1459.9 |
-1471.2 |
-1409.0 |
-1297.7 |
-1156.5 |
-1000.9 |
-842.1 |
-688.0 |
-544.2 |
-413.8 |
-298.6 |
-199.3 |
-115.9 |
-47.7 |
6.1 |
46.5 |
74.6 |
91.3 |
97.8 |
95.1 |
84.2 |
66.0 |
41.5 |
11.7 |
-22.6 |
-60.3 |
-100.7 |
-142.8 |
-185.9 |
-229.1 |
-271.7 |
GDP |
fY |
1898.3 |
720.0 |
-504.7 |
-1335.5 |
-1893.9 |
-2178.2 |
-2237.2 |
-2119.5 |
-1871.3 |
-1538.0 |
-1157.5 |
-760.6 |
-370.1 |
-2.6 |
331.4 |
625.7 |
877.6 |
1086.8 |
1254.9 |
1384.5 |
1479.2 |
1542.5 |
1578.5 |
1590.8 |
1583.4 |
1559.7 |
1523.1 |
1476.9 |
1423.9 |
1367.0 |
1308.6 |
1251.1 |
1196.5 |
1146.7 |
1103.3 |
1067.6 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
|
Employment |
Q |
1.727 |
0.982 |
0.009 |
-0.835 |
-1.478 |
-1.880 |
-2.044 |
-2.001 |
-1.796 |
-1.476 |
-1.087 |
-0.667 |
-0.249 |
0.145 |
0.498 |
0.801 |
1.048 |
1.238 |
1.373 |
1.456 |
1.493 |
1.489 |
1.451 |
1.383 |
1.292 |
1.184 |
1.062 |
0.932 |
0.798 |
0.663 |
0.530 |
0.403 |
0.282 |
0.171 |
0.071 |
-0.018 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
-0.976 |
-0.427 |
0.058 |
0.458 |
0.763 |
0.950 |
1.023 |
0.996 |
0.892 |
0.732 |
0.538 |
0.330 |
0.122 |
-0.074 |
-0.250 |
-0.402 |
-0.526 |
-0.622 |
-0.690 |
-0.733 |
-0.753 |
-0.753 |
-0.734 |
-0.701 |
-0.656 |
-0.602 |
-0.542 |
-0.476 |
-0.409 |
-0.341 |
-0.274 |
-0.209 |
-0.148 |
-0.091 |
-0.040 |
0.005 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.056 |
0.055 |
0.019 |
-0.009 |
-0.030 |
-0.043 |
-0.050 |
-0.051 |
-0.048 |
-0.042 |
-0.033 |
-0.024 |
-0.015 |
-0.007 |
0.001 |
0.007 |
0.013 |
0.017 |
0.021 |
0.023 |
0.024 |
0.025 |
0.025 |
0.025 |
0.024 |
0.023 |
0.022 |
0.020 |
0.019 |
0.017 |
0.015 |
0.014 |
0.012 |
0.011 |
0.009 |
0.008 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.006 |
-0.067 |
0.004 |
0.051 |
0.084 |
0.104 |
0.114 |
0.114 |
0.109 |
0.101 |
0.090 |
0.079 |
0.068 |
0.058 |
0.049 |
0.042 |
0.036 |
0.032 |
0.028 |
0.025 |
0.023 |
0.022 |
0.021 |
0.020 |
0.020 |
0.020 |
0.020 |
0.020 |
0.020 |
0.020 |
0.021 |
0.021 |
0.022 |
0.022 |
0.023 |
0.023 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.050 |
-0.012 |
0.022 |
0.042 |
0.055 |
0.061 |
0.063 |
0.063 |
0.061 |
0.059 |
0.057 |
0.054 |
0.053 |
0.051 |
0.050 |
0.050 |
0.049 |
0.049 |
0.048 |
0.048 |
0.048 |
0.047 |
0.046 |
0.045 |
0.044 |
0.043 |
0.042 |
0.040 |
0.039 |
0.038 |
0.036 |
0.035 |
0.034 |
0.033 |
0.032 |
0.031 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
-0.070 |
-0.049 |
0.007 |
0.071 |
0.140 |
0.209 |
0.275 |
0.334 |
0.388 |
0.435 |
0.477 |
0.514 |
0.547 |
0.576 |
0.603 |
0.628 |
0.651 |
0.672 |
0.692 |
0.710 |
0.727 |
0.742 |
0.756 |
0.768 |
0.779 |
0.788 |
0.796 |
0.802 |
0.807 |
0.810 |
0.813 |
0.814 |
0.815 |
0.814 |
0.813 |
0.811 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.014 |
-0.026 |
-0.029 |
-0.009 |
0.028 |
0.075 |
0.125 |
0.172 |
0.213 |
0.245 |
0.267 |
0.279 |
0.281 |
0.275 |
0.261 |
0.242 |
0.218 |
0.190 |
0.161 |
0.130 |
0.099 |
0.069 |
0.040 |
0.013 |
-0.013 |
-0.036 |
-0.057 |
-0.075 |
-0.091 |
-0.104 |
-0.115 |
-0.124 |
-0.131 |
-0.137 |
-0.140 |
-0.142 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.047 |
0.020 |
0.074 |
0.108 |
0.126 |
0.133 |
0.130 |
0.123 |
0.113 |
0.102 |
0.092 |
0.085 |
0.080 |
0.078 |
0.079 |
0.083 |
0.089 |
0.097 |
0.106 |
0.117 |
0.129 |
0.141 |
0.154 |
0.166 |
0.179 |
0.191 |
0.203 |
0.214 |
0.225 |
0.235 |
0.244 |
0.252 |
0.260 |
0.267 |
0.273 |
0.278 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.023 |
-0.006 |
0.005 |
0.008 |
0.007 |
0.003 |
-0.002 |
-0.007 |
-0.011 |
-0.015 |
-0.017 |
-0.019 |
-0.019 |
-0.020 |
-0.020 |
-0.019 |
-0.019 |
-0.019 |
-0.018 |
-0.018 |
-0.018 |
-0.018 |
-0.019 |
-0.019 |
-0.019 |
-0.020 |
-0.021 |
-0.021 |
-0.022 |
-0.023 |
-0.024 |
-0.025 |
-0.025 |
-0.026 |
-0.027 |
-0.028 |
User cost |
uim |
0.004 |
0.009 |
0.012 |
0.012 |
0.009 |
0.004 |
-0.003 |
-0.010 |
-0.017 |
-0.024 |
-0.029 |
-0.033 |
-0.036 |
-0.037 |
-0.037 |
-0.035 |
-0.032 |
-0.029 |
-0.024 |
-0.019 |
-0.014 |
-0.008 |
-0.002 |
0.004 |
0.009 |
0.014 |
0.019 |
0.024 |
0.028 |
0.032 |
0.035 |
0.038 |
0.040 |
0.041 |
0.043 |
0.043 |
Wage |
lna |
0.017 |
0.031 |
0.032 |
0.022 |
0.006 |
-0.016 |
-0.040 |
-0.064 |
-0.086 |
-0.105 |
-0.119 |
-0.130 |
-0.135 |
-0.137 |
-0.134 |
-0.128 |
-0.119 |
-0.107 |
-0.095 |
-0.081 |
-0.066 |
-0.051 |
-0.037 |
-0.023 |
-0.010 |
0.002 |
0.013 |
0.022 |
0.030 |
0.037 |
0.042 |
0.046 |
0.048 |
0.050 |
0.050 |
0.049 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
0.005 |
0.011 |
0.013 |
0.012 |
0.009 |
0.003 |
-0.005 |
-0.013 |
-0.022 |
-0.031 |
-0.038 |
-0.044 |
-0.049 |
-0.052 |
-0.054 |
-0.054 |
-0.053 |
-0.051 |
-0.048 |
-0.044 |
-0.039 |
-0.035 |
-0.029 |
-0.024 |
-0.019 |
-0.013 |
-0.008 |
-0.004 |
0.001 |
0.004 |
0.008 |
0.011 |
0.014 |
0.016 |
0.017 |
0.019 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
0.003 |
0.006 |
0.007 |
0.006 |
0.003 |
-0.001 |
-0.005 |
-0.010 |
-0.014 |
-0.018 |
-0.022 |
-0.024 |
-0.026 |
-0.027 |
-0.027 |
-0.027 |
-0.026 |
-0.024 |
-0.022 |
-0.019 |
-0.016 |
-0.013 |
-0.010 |
-0.007 |
-0.004 |
-0.002 |
0.001 |
0.003 |
0.005 |
0.007 |
0.009 |
0.010 |
0.011 |
0.011 |
0.012 |
0.012 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
-0.038 |
0.084 |
0.026 |
-0.024 |
-0.061 |
-0.086 |
-0.100 |
-0.105 |
-0.104 |
-0.100 |
-0.094 |
-0.088 |
-0.082 |
-0.076 |
-0.072 |
-0.068 |
-0.065 |
-0.063 |
-0.061 |
-0.060 |
-0.059 |
-0.058 |
-0.057 |
-0.056 |
-0.056 |
-0.055 |
-0.055 |
-0.054 |
-0.053 |
-0.053 |
-0.052 |
-0.052 |
-0.051 |
-0.051 |
-0.051 |
-0.050 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.007 |
0.006 |
0.011 |
0.009 |
0.001 |
-0.009 |
-0.019 |
-0.028 |
-0.035 |
-0.041 |
-0.044 |
-0.045 |
-0.045 |
-0.043 |
-0.040 |
-0.037 |
-0.033 |
-0.029 |
-0.025 |
-0.021 |
-0.017 |
-0.014 |
-0.011 |
-0.009 |
-0.007 |
-0.005 |
-0.004 |
-0.003 |
-0.003 |
-0.003 |
-0.004 |
-0.005 |
-0.006 |
-0.007 |
-0.008 |
-0.010 |
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