|
|
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
2053 |
2054 |
2055 |
2056 |
2057 |
2058 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
408.5 |
-1438.5 |
-3105.4 |
-4326.8 |
-5167.3 |
-5662.1 |
-5890.0 |
-5928.6 |
-5849.3 |
-5707.5 |
-5544.0 |
-5386.5 |
-5252.2 |
-5150.1 |
-5084.0 |
-5053.9 |
-5057.4 |
-5091.3 |
-5151.9 |
-5235.4 |
-5338.6 |
-5458.7 |
-5593.3 |
-5740.6 |
-5899.2 |
-6067.8 |
-6245.6 |
-6431.6 |
-6625.3 |
-6826.0 |
-7033.1 |
-7245.9 |
-7464.1 |
-7686.8 |
-7913.6 |
-8144.0 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
3530.5 |
3662.9 |
3809.2 |
3944.6 |
4064.7 |
4168.4 |
4257.7 |
4335.6 |
4405.3 |
4469.9 |
4531.9 |
4593.3 |
4655.5 |
4719.4 |
4785.6 |
4854.6 |
4926.2 |
5000.6 |
5077.6 |
5157.1 |
5238.8 |
5322.6 |
5408.3 |
5495.7 |
5584.8 |
5675.4 |
5767.5 |
5861.0 |
5955.8 |
6052.0 |
6149.4 |
6248.0 |
6348.0 |
6449.2 |
6551.6 |
6655.4 |
Investment |
fI |
706.9 |
-477.2 |
-1863.2 |
-2607.5 |
-3058.2 |
-3290.7 |
-3353.6 |
-3290.6 |
-3138.4 |
-2932.7 |
-2702.7 |
-2472.1 |
-2257.9 |
-2071.2 |
-1918.3 |
-1801.7 |
-1721.0 |
-1673.6 |
-1655.9 |
-1663.8 |
-1692.8 |
-1738.6 |
-1797.5 |
-1866.0 |
-1941.1 |
-2020.4 |
-2101.9 |
-2184.0 |
-2265.5 |
-2345.4 |
-2423.0 |
-2497.9 |
-2569.8 |
-2638.4 |
-2703.7 |
-2765.7 |
Export |
fE |
-207.6 |
-427.7 |
-620.1 |
-789.5 |
-942.1 |
-1081.5 |
-1206.2 |
-1315.6 |
-1411.8 |
-1497.7 |
-1577.1 |
-1653.9 |
-1731.7 |
-1813.2 |
-1900.5 |
-1994.7 |
-2096.2 |
-2204.4 |
-2318.3 |
-2436.4 |
-2556.9 |
-2677.8 |
-2797.0 |
-2912.5 |
-3022.5 |
-3125.3 |
-3219.4 |
-3303.7 |
-3377.3 |
-3439.6 |
-3490.3 |
-3529.3 |
-3556.8 |
-3573.2 |
-3579.2 |
-3575.5 |
Import |
fM |
834.9 |
-265.8 |
-1323.2 |
-1895.7 |
-2211.5 |
-2359.4 |
-2383.6 |
-2324.3 |
-2215.2 |
-2082.5 |
-1945.5 |
-1817.9 |
-1708.1 |
-1621.0 |
-1558.6 |
-1520.9 |
-1506.4 |
-1512.9 |
-1537.7 |
-1578.1 |
-1631.5 |
-1695.2 |
-1767.0 |
-1845.0 |
-1927.4 |
-2012.8 |
-2099.9 |
-2187.7 |
-2275.4 |
-2362.1 |
-2447.4 |
-2530.8 |
-2611.9 |
-2690.4 |
-2766.3 |
-2839.4 |
GDP |
fY |
3294.0 |
1437.1 |
-450.6 |
-1798.3 |
-2772.5 |
-3378.0 |
-3690.3 |
-3780.6 |
-3716.1 |
-3557.6 |
-3354.2 |
-3143.6 |
-2952.1 |
-2796.5 |
-2686.2 |
-2624.4 |
-2610.2 |
-2640.1 |
-2708.6 |
-2809.5 |
-2936.6 |
-3083.8 |
-3245.2 |
-3416.0 |
-3591.7 |
-3768.8 |
-3944.1 |
-4115.4 |
-4280.7 |
-4438.6 |
-4588.3 |
-4729.1 |
-4860.6 |
-4983.0 |
-5096.4 |
-5201.2 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
6.644 |
5.302 |
3.644 |
2.195 |
1.028 |
0.194 |
-0.323 |
-0.567 |
-0.604 |
-0.496 |
-0.302 |
-0.069 |
0.164 |
0.373 |
0.543 |
0.664 |
0.735 |
0.759 |
0.740 |
0.686 |
0.604 |
0.502 |
0.386 |
0.263 |
0.138 |
0.016 |
-0.099 |
-0.204 |
-0.298 |
-0.380 |
-0.447 |
-0.501 |
-0.541 |
-0.568 |
-0.582 |
-0.585 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
-3.753 |
-2.504 |
-1.704 |
-1.033 |
-0.487 |
-0.096 |
0.145 |
0.258 |
0.274 |
0.221 |
0.127 |
0.016 |
-0.097 |
-0.197 |
-0.279 |
-0.337 |
-0.371 |
-0.382 |
-0.372 |
-0.345 |
-0.304 |
-0.252 |
-0.194 |
-0.133 |
-0.070 |
-0.009 |
0.049 |
0.102 |
0.150 |
0.191 |
0.226 |
0.253 |
0.274 |
0.288 |
0.296 |
0.297 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.066 |
0.092 |
0.039 |
-0.001 |
-0.031 |
-0.050 |
-0.060 |
-0.063 |
-0.059 |
-0.052 |
-0.043 |
-0.034 |
-0.024 |
-0.016 |
-0.008 |
-0.002 |
0.003 |
0.006 |
0.009 |
0.010 |
0.011 |
0.011 |
0.011 |
0.011 |
0.011 |
0.010 |
0.010 |
0.009 |
0.009 |
0.009 |
0.010 |
0.010 |
0.011 |
0.012 |
0.013 |
0.014 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.018 |
-0.083 |
0.016 |
0.081 |
0.122 |
0.146 |
0.154 |
0.151 |
0.140 |
0.126 |
0.110 |
0.094 |
0.079 |
0.065 |
0.055 |
0.046 |
0.039 |
0.034 |
0.031 |
0.029 |
0.027 |
0.027 |
0.027 |
0.027 |
0.028 |
0.029 |
0.029 |
0.030 |
0.031 |
0.032 |
0.033 |
0.033 |
0.034 |
0.034 |
0.035 |
0.035 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.049 |
0.008 |
0.055 |
0.079 |
0.091 |
0.095 |
0.094 |
0.088 |
0.081 |
0.074 |
0.066 |
0.060 |
0.054 |
0.050 |
0.046 |
0.044 |
0.042 |
0.040 |
0.039 |
0.039 |
0.038 |
0.038 |
0.038 |
0.038 |
0.038 |
0.039 |
0.039 |
0.040 |
0.040 |
0.041 |
0.042 |
0.043 |
0.044 |
0.046 |
0.047 |
0.049 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
-0.117 |
-0.075 |
0.014 |
0.111 |
0.209 |
0.301 |
0.385 |
0.456 |
0.516 |
0.565 |
0.604 |
0.634 |
0.658 |
0.677 |
0.691 |
0.703 |
0.712 |
0.721 |
0.728 |
0.734 |
0.741 |
0.747 |
0.753 |
0.760 |
0.766 |
0.773 |
0.781 |
0.789 |
0.798 |
0.807 |
0.817 |
0.829 |
0.841 |
0.854 |
0.868 |
0.884 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
-0.003 |
-0.077 |
-0.098 |
-0.085 |
-0.046 |
0.008 |
0.066 |
0.123 |
0.174 |
0.215 |
0.245 |
0.265 |
0.275 |
0.277 |
0.272 |
0.261 |
0.247 |
0.230 |
0.212 |
0.194 |
0.176 |
0.158 |
0.142 |
0.127 |
0.113 |
0.100 |
0.088 |
0.077 |
0.067 |
0.058 |
0.049 |
0.039 |
0.030 |
0.020 |
0.010 |
-0.001 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.111 |
-0.047 |
0.003 |
0.026 |
0.031 |
0.021 |
0.002 |
-0.023 |
-0.049 |
-0.075 |
-0.098 |
-0.117 |
-0.133 |
-0.144 |
-0.152 |
-0.157 |
-0.158 |
-0.158 |
-0.156 |
-0.153 |
-0.150 |
-0.146 |
-0.142 |
-0.138 |
-0.135 |
-0.132 |
-0.129 |
-0.128 |
-0.126 |
-0.126 |
-0.126 |
-0.126 |
-0.127 |
-0.128 |
-0.129 |
-0.131 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
0.090 |
0.114 |
0.129 |
0.134 |
0.133 |
0.128 |
0.123 |
0.117 |
0.113 |
0.109 |
0.107 |
0.106 |
0.106 |
0.106 |
0.106 |
0.107 |
0.107 |
0.108 |
0.108 |
0.108 |
0.108 |
0.108 |
0.108 |
0.107 |
0.107 |
0.106 |
0.105 |
0.104 |
0.104 |
0.103 |
0.102 |
0.101 |
0.101 |
0.100 |
0.099 |
0.099 |
User cost |
uim |
0.031 |
0.054 |
0.074 |
0.089 |
0.100 |
0.106 |
0.110 |
0.111 |
0.111 |
0.111 |
0.111 |
0.111 |
0.112 |
0.114 |
0.116 |
0.119 |
0.122 |
0.125 |
0.128 |
0.131 |
0.134 |
0.137 |
0.139 |
0.140 |
0.141 |
0.142 |
0.142 |
0.141 |
0.140 |
0.139 |
0.137 |
0.136 |
0.133 |
0.131 |
0.128 |
0.126 |
Wage |
lna |
0.068 |
0.135 |
0.176 |
0.202 |
0.215 |
0.219 |
0.216 |
0.209 |
0.202 |
0.196 |
0.191 |
0.189 |
0.189 |
0.192 |
0.196 |
0.202 |
0.208 |
0.215 |
0.222 |
0.229 |
0.234 |
0.239 |
0.242 |
0.244 |
0.245 |
0.244 |
0.242 |
0.239 |
0.235 |
0.230 |
0.225 |
0.219 |
0.212 |
0.205 |
0.198 |
0.190 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
0.023 |
0.043 |
0.058 |
0.069 |
0.076 |
0.080 |
0.081 |
0.080 |
0.078 |
0.076 |
0.074 |
0.073 |
0.073 |
0.073 |
0.075 |
0.077 |
0.080 |
0.083 |
0.086 |
0.089 |
0.092 |
0.095 |
0.098 |
0.100 |
0.102 |
0.103 |
0.104 |
0.104 |
0.104 |
0.103 |
0.102 |
0.101 |
0.099 |
0.097 |
0.095 |
0.093 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
0.014 |
0.025 |
0.034 |
0.039 |
0.043 |
0.044 |
0.045 |
0.044 |
0.044 |
0.043 |
0.042 |
0.042 |
0.042 |
0.043 |
0.044 |
0.045 |
0.047 |
0.048 |
0.050 |
0.051 |
0.052 |
0.054 |
0.055 |
0.055 |
0.056 |
0.056 |
0.056 |
0.056 |
0.055 |
0.054 |
0.053 |
0.052 |
0.051 |
0.049 |
0.048 |
0.046 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
-0.052 |
0.114 |
0.028 |
-0.040 |
-0.087 |
-0.115 |
-0.128 |
-0.129 |
-0.123 |
-0.112 |
-0.100 |
-0.088 |
-0.077 |
-0.068 |
-0.060 |
-0.053 |
-0.048 |
-0.045 |
-0.042 |
-0.041 |
-0.039 |
-0.039 |
-0.038 |
-0.038 |
-0.038 |
-0.038 |
-0.038 |
-0.038 |
-0.039 |
-0.039 |
-0.039 |
-0.039 |
-0.040 |
-0.040 |
-0.040 |
-0.041 |
Wage share |
byw |
0.058 |
0.090 |
0.109 |
0.114 |
0.113 |
0.107 |
0.100 |
0.093 |
0.087 |
0.083 |
0.081 |
0.081 |
0.082 |
0.083 |
0.086 |
0.088 |
0.090 |
0.093 |
0.094 |
0.096 |
0.097 |
0.097 |
0.097 |
0.097 |
0.096 |
0.095 |
0.093 |
0.091 |
0.090 |
0.087 |
0.085 |
0.083 |
0.081 |
0.079 |
0.077 |
0.075 |
|
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