|
|
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
2053 |
2054 |
2055 |
2056 |
2057 |
2058 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
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|
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|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
408.5 |
983.5 |
1545.9 |
1991.2 |
2365.7 |
2693.0 |
2989.6 |
3259.1 |
3498.0 |
3704.2 |
3876.2 |
4013.6 |
4116.9 |
4187.2 |
4226.6 |
4237.4 |
4222.6 |
4185.3 |
4128.8 |
4056.5 |
3972.1 |
3879.0 |
3780.6 |
3680.1 |
3580.7 |
3485.0 |
3395.7 |
3315.0 |
3244.9 |
3186.8 |
3142.1 |
3111.7 |
3096.0 |
3095.3 |
3109.6 |
3138.5 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
3530.5 |
3580.5 |
3630.3 |
3683.9 |
3741.3 |
3801.8 |
3864.8 |
3930.0 |
3997.4 |
4067.0 |
4138.8 |
4212.5 |
4288.2 |
4365.7 |
4444.9 |
4525.4 |
4607.3 |
4690.2 |
4774.0 |
4858.6 |
4943.8 |
5029.5 |
5115.6 |
5202.0 |
5288.6 |
5375.3 |
5462.3 |
5549.4 |
5636.7 |
5724.3 |
5812.1 |
5900.3 |
5989.0 |
6078.1 |
6168.0 |
6258.6 |
Investment |
fI |
706.9 |
1094.1 |
1071.7 |
1080.9 |
1087.2 |
1083.7 |
1061.0 |
1012.5 |
940.0 |
844.4 |
729.8 |
599.2 |
456.7 |
305.9 |
150.5 |
-6.0 |
-160.4 |
-309.6 |
-451.1 |
-582.5 |
-702.1 |
-808.2 |
-899.9 |
-976.5 |
-1037.6 |
-1083.3 |
-1113.9 |
-1130.0 |
-1132.7 |
-1122.9 |
-1102.0 |
-1071.5 |
-1032.8 |
-987.5 |
-937.4 |
-883.9 |
Export |
fE |
-207.6 |
-468.7 |
-799.7 |
-1191.3 |
-1635.4 |
-2122.0 |
-2643.3 |
-3189.1 |
-3750.4 |
-4317.1 |
-4880.3 |
-5431.2 |
-5962.2 |
-6466.3 |
-6937.6 |
-7371.1 |
-7763.2 |
-8111.1 |
-8413.1 |
-8668.6 |
-8878.1 |
-9042.7 |
-9164.5 |
-9246.4 |
-9291.7 |
-9304.5 |
-9289.0 |
-9249.9 |
-9191.9 |
-9120.0 |
-9039.0 |
-8953.6 |
-8868.2 |
-8787.2 |
-8714.3 |
-8653.0 |
Import |
fM |
834.9 |
1189.3 |
1323.5 |
1387.3 |
1414.5 |
1424.5 |
1411.8 |
1376.1 |
1316.3 |
1234.2 |
1132.4 |
1013.8 |
881.7 |
739.7 |
591.0 |
439.1 |
287.2 |
138.3 |
-4.9 |
-139.9 |
-264.6 |
-377.3 |
-476.7 |
-561.7 |
-631.7 |
-686.4 |
-725.9 |
-750.5 |
-760.8 |
-757.7 |
-742.3 |
-715.8 |
-679.7 |
-635.3 |
-584.3 |
-528.3 |
GDP |
fY |
3294.0 |
3600.1 |
3652.2 |
3629.4 |
3510.8 |
3319.7 |
3070.4 |
2771.4 |
2431.5 |
2059.0 |
1663.0 |
1252.3 |
836.0 |
422.4 |
19.4 |
-365.8 |
-726.9 |
-1058.4 |
-1356.0 |
-1616.1 |
-1836.5 |
-2015.6 |
-2153.0 |
-2249.2 |
-2305.3 |
-2323.2 |
-2305.6 |
-2255.5 |
-2176.6 |
-2072.6 |
-1947.8 |
-1806.4 |
-1652.7 |
-1491.0 |
-1325.4 |
-1159.8 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
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|
|
|
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|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
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|
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|
|
|
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|
|
Employment |
Q |
6.644 |
6.916 |
6.909 |
6.717 |
6.386 |
5.944 |
5.417 |
4.825 |
4.187 |
3.519 |
2.839 |
2.160 |
1.497 |
0.862 |
0.265 |
-0.286 |
-0.783 |
-1.222 |
-1.598 |
-1.910 |
-2.158 |
-2.342 |
-2.465 |
-2.531 |
-2.543 |
-2.507 |
-2.428 |
-2.312 |
-2.165 |
-1.992 |
-1.801 |
-1.597 |
-1.385 |
-1.171 |
-0.959 |
-0.754 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
-3.753 |
-3.416 |
-3.429 |
-3.356 |
-3.205 |
-2.996 |
-2.740 |
-2.448 |
-2.130 |
-1.796 |
-1.454 |
-1.112 |
-0.776 |
-0.454 |
-0.151 |
0.129 |
0.382 |
0.606 |
0.798 |
0.959 |
1.086 |
1.182 |
1.246 |
1.281 |
1.289 |
1.273 |
1.234 |
1.177 |
1.103 |
1.017 |
0.921 |
0.818 |
0.711 |
0.602 |
0.495 |
0.391 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.066 |
-0.056 |
-0.058 |
-0.061 |
-0.066 |
-0.074 |
-0.083 |
-0.093 |
-0.105 |
-0.117 |
-0.130 |
-0.144 |
-0.157 |
-0.170 |
-0.184 |
-0.196 |
-0.208 |
-0.220 |
-0.230 |
-0.240 |
-0.249 |
-0.257 |
-0.265 |
-0.271 |
-0.277 |
-0.282 |
-0.286 |
-0.290 |
-0.293 |
-0.296 |
-0.298 |
-0.301 |
-0.302 |
-0.304 |
-0.306 |
-0.308 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.018 |
-0.006 |
-0.016 |
-0.023 |
-0.029 |
-0.033 |
-0.036 |
-0.039 |
-0.040 |
-0.041 |
-0.041 |
-0.040 |
-0.038 |
-0.037 |
-0.035 |
-0.032 |
-0.030 |
-0.027 |
-0.025 |
-0.022 |
-0.020 |
-0.018 |
-0.016 |
-0.014 |
-0.012 |
-0.011 |
-0.010 |
-0.009 |
-0.008 |
-0.008 |
-0.008 |
-0.008 |
-0.008 |
-0.008 |
-0.009 |
-0.009 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.049 |
-0.063 |
-0.074 |
-0.084 |
-0.095 |
-0.107 |
-0.119 |
-0.132 |
-0.145 |
-0.158 |
-0.171 |
-0.184 |
-0.196 |
-0.207 |
-0.218 |
-0.228 |
-0.238 |
-0.247 |
-0.255 |
-0.262 |
-0.269 |
-0.275 |
-0.280 |
-0.285 |
-0.289 |
-0.293 |
-0.296 |
-0.299 |
-0.302 |
-0.304 |
-0.306 |
-0.309 |
-0.311 |
-0.313 |
-0.315 |
-0.317 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
-0.117 |
-0.209 |
-0.304 |
-0.407 |
-0.512 |
-0.627 |
-0.748 |
-0.875 |
-1.008 |
-1.146 |
-1.289 |
-1.436 |
-1.587 |
-1.741 |
-1.898 |
-2.057 |
-2.216 |
-2.376 |
-2.536 |
-2.696 |
-2.854 |
-3.011 |
-3.165 |
-3.317 |
-3.467 |
-3.614 |
-3.757 |
-3.898 |
-4.035 |
-4.169 |
-4.300 |
-4.427 |
-4.552 |
-4.674 |
-4.794 |
-4.911 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
-0.003 |
0.034 |
0.072 |
0.113 |
0.158 |
0.208 |
0.266 |
0.332 |
0.407 |
0.492 |
0.586 |
0.690 |
0.803 |
0.925 |
1.055 |
1.192 |
1.336 |
1.485 |
1.638 |
1.794 |
1.953 |
2.113 |
2.274 |
2.434 |
2.593 |
2.749 |
2.904 |
3.055 |
3.203 |
3.347 |
3.487 |
3.623 |
3.755 |
3.883 |
4.006 |
4.126 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.111 |
-0.104 |
-0.086 |
-0.064 |
-0.039 |
-0.012 |
0.015 |
0.042 |
0.069 |
0.095 |
0.119 |
0.142 |
0.162 |
0.179 |
0.194 |
0.206 |
0.216 |
0.223 |
0.227 |
0.229 |
0.228 |
0.225 |
0.221 |
0.215 |
0.208 |
0.200 |
0.191 |
0.181 |
0.171 |
0.162 |
0.152 |
0.143 |
0.134 |
0.125 |
0.118 |
0.111 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
0.090 |
0.092 |
0.096 |
0.099 |
0.101 |
0.103 |
0.103 |
0.103 |
0.103 |
0.102 |
0.101 |
0.099 |
0.097 |
0.095 |
0.093 |
0.091 |
0.088 |
0.086 |
0.084 |
0.081 |
0.079 |
0.077 |
0.076 |
0.074 |
0.073 |
0.071 |
0.070 |
0.069 |
0.069 |
0.068 |
0.068 |
0.067 |
0.067 |
0.067 |
0.067 |
0.067 |
User cost |
uim |
0.031 |
0.058 |
0.086 |
0.115 |
0.144 |
0.172 |
0.199 |
0.224 |
0.248 |
0.268 |
0.287 |
0.302 |
0.315 |
0.325 |
0.333 |
0.338 |
0.341 |
0.341 |
0.340 |
0.336 |
0.332 |
0.326 |
0.318 |
0.311 |
0.302 |
0.293 |
0.284 |
0.276 |
0.267 |
0.259 |
0.251 |
0.244 |
0.237 |
0.231 |
0.226 |
0.221 |
Wage |
lna |
0.068 |
0.150 |
0.229 |
0.307 |
0.382 |
0.453 |
0.518 |
0.578 |
0.630 |
0.675 |
0.712 |
0.741 |
0.763 |
0.778 |
0.785 |
0.787 |
0.782 |
0.772 |
0.758 |
0.740 |
0.719 |
0.696 |
0.671 |
0.646 |
0.620 |
0.594 |
0.568 |
0.544 |
0.521 |
0.500 |
0.480 |
0.463 |
0.448 |
0.435 |
0.424 |
0.416 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
0.023 |
0.046 |
0.070 |
0.095 |
0.121 |
0.147 |
0.173 |
0.198 |
0.221 |
0.243 |
0.263 |
0.280 |
0.295 |
0.308 |
0.318 |
0.325 |
0.331 |
0.334 |
0.334 |
0.333 |
0.330 |
0.326 |
0.320 |
0.314 |
0.306 |
0.298 |
0.289 |
0.281 |
0.272 |
0.263 |
0.255 |
0.247 |
0.239 |
0.232 |
0.226 |
0.220 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
0.014 |
0.028 |
0.043 |
0.058 |
0.073 |
0.088 |
0.103 |
0.116 |
0.128 |
0.140 |
0.149 |
0.158 |
0.164 |
0.170 |
0.173 |
0.176 |
0.177 |
0.177 |
0.175 |
0.173 |
0.170 |
0.166 |
0.162 |
0.157 |
0.152 |
0.147 |
0.141 |
0.136 |
0.131 |
0.126 |
0.121 |
0.117 |
0.113 |
0.110 |
0.107 |
0.104 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
-0.052 |
-0.034 |
-0.014 |
-0.002 |
0.007 |
0.014 |
0.020 |
0.026 |
0.031 |
0.036 |
0.041 |
0.045 |
0.049 |
0.053 |
0.056 |
0.058 |
0.060 |
0.062 |
0.063 |
0.064 |
0.064 |
0.064 |
0.064 |
0.063 |
0.063 |
0.062 |
0.061 |
0.059 |
0.058 |
0.057 |
0.056 |
0.054 |
0.053 |
0.052 |
0.051 |
0.050 |
Wage share |
byw |
0.058 |
0.080 |
0.100 |
0.120 |
0.137 |
0.152 |
0.164 |
0.173 |
0.180 |
0.185 |
0.187 |
0.188 |
0.186 |
0.183 |
0.179 |
0.173 |
0.166 |
0.158 |
0.150 |
0.142 |
0.134 |
0.125 |
0.117 |
0.110 |
0.102 |
0.096 |
0.090 |
0.084 |
0.080 |
0.076 |
0.073 |
0.070 |
0.069 |
0.067 |
0.067 |
0.067 |
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