|
|
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
2053 |
2054 |
2055 |
2056 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
306.5 |
-147.3 |
1434.2 |
2019.4 |
2364.9 |
2554.7 |
2619.2 |
2593.0 |
2498.1 |
2350.7 |
2163.8 |
1947.2 |
1709.4 |
1457.9 |
1199.4 |
939.8 |
684.0 |
436.6 |
201.3 |
-18.8 |
-221.1 |
-403.7 |
-564.9 |
-703.8 |
-819.8 |
-912.9 |
-983.1 |
-1031.0 |
-1057.6 |
-1064.0 |
-1051.6 |
-1021.8 |
-976.6 |
-917.6 |
-846.9 |
-766.3 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
41.2 |
75.3 |
31.6 |
4.8 |
-11.7 |
-21.4 |
-25.6 |
-25.7 |
-22.8 |
-17.7 |
-11.1 |
-3.7 |
4.3 |
12.3 |
20.1 |
27.4 |
34.1 |
40.0 |
44.9 |
48.9 |
52.0 |
54.0 |
55.1 |
55.3 |
54.5 |
53.1 |
50.9 |
48.1 |
44.7 |
41.0 |
36.9 |
32.6 |
28.2 |
23.7 |
19.2 |
14.9 |
Investment |
fI |
-87.1 |
-827.9 |
-1.0 |
211.4 |
263.8 |
290.2 |
282.4 |
232.5 |
152.6 |
50.1 |
-64.1 |
-182.6 |
-298.5 |
-406.4 |
-502.2 |
-583.3 |
-647.7 |
-694.6 |
-723.8 |
-735.8 |
-731.4 |
-712.0 |
-679.1 |
-634.2 |
-579.3 |
-516.2 |
-446.7 |
-372.6 |
-295.8 |
-217.7 |
-140.0 |
-64.0 |
9.1 |
78.1 |
142.2 |
200.6 |
Export |
fE |
-2355.0 |
-3006.8 |
-3590.9 |
-4107.6 |
-4540.5 |
-4858.7 |
-5088.3 |
-5226.3 |
-5284.0 |
-5265.1 |
-5176.9 |
-5024.8 |
-4815.2 |
-4554.3 |
-4248.9 |
-3905.6 |
-3531.4 |
-3133.3 |
-2718.2 |
-2292.8 |
-1863.8 |
-1437.3 |
-1019.3 |
-615.1 |
-229.6 |
132.8 |
468.4 |
774.1 |
1047.6 |
1286.8 |
1490.7 |
1658.7 |
1790.8 |
1887.5 |
1949.9 |
1979.5 |
Import |
fM |
152.6 |
-424.7 |
320.4 |
399.9 |
323.5 |
242.3 |
135.0 |
10.5 |
-124.6 |
-263.5 |
-400.2 |
-530.3 |
-649.9 |
-755.7 |
-845.4 |
-917.3 |
-970.6 |
-1004.9 |
-1020.4 |
-1017.8 |
-998.1 |
-962.5 |
-912.8 |
-850.5 |
-777.6 |
-695.8 |
-607.2 |
-513.7 |
-417.0 |
-319.0 |
-221.3 |
-125.5 |
-32.9 |
55.1 |
137.6 |
213.5 |
GDP |
fY |
-2166.6 |
-3355.4 |
-2295.6 |
-2124.8 |
-2129.1 |
-2168.0 |
-2243.7 |
-2338.9 |
-2440.1 |
-2535.1 |
-2613.9 |
-2670.0 |
-2698.4 |
-2695.8 |
-2660.7 |
-2592.8 |
-2493.1 |
-2363.4 |
-2206.4 |
-2025.5 |
-1824.3 |
-1606.8 |
-1377.4 |
-1140.1 |
-899.1 |
-658.4 |
-421.8 |
-192.8 |
25.6 |
230.6 |
419.9 |
591.4 |
743.7 |
875.6 |
986.4 |
1075.9 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
-3.054 |
-4.685 |
-4.438 |
-4.502 |
-4.584 |
-4.642 |
-4.693 |
-4.736 |
-4.762 |
-4.764 |
-4.735 |
-4.669 |
-4.563 |
-4.415 |
-4.227 |
-4.001 |
-3.740 |
-3.450 |
-3.135 |
-2.802 |
-2.456 |
-2.103 |
-1.750 |
-1.402 |
-1.064 |
-0.740 |
-0.435 |
-0.152 |
0.107 |
0.340 |
0.545 |
0.721 |
0.868 |
0.987 |
1.078 |
1.142 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
1.986 |
2.670 |
2.356 |
2.431 |
2.488 |
2.525 |
2.561 |
2.589 |
2.608 |
2.612 |
2.597 |
2.562 |
2.505 |
2.425 |
2.323 |
2.200 |
2.059 |
1.901 |
1.730 |
1.548 |
1.360 |
1.168 |
0.975 |
0.785 |
0.600 |
0.423 |
0.256 |
0.100 |
-0.042 |
-0.170 |
-0.284 |
-0.381 |
-0.463 |
-0.529 |
-0.580 |
-0.617 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
0.011 |
-0.034 |
-0.182 |
-0.159 |
-0.139 |
-0.128 |
-0.120 |
-0.115 |
-0.111 |
-0.110 |
-0.108 |
-0.108 |
-0.107 |
-0.106 |
-0.104 |
-0.102 |
-0.099 |
-0.095 |
-0.091 |
-0.087 |
-0.082 |
-0.076 |
-0.071 |
-0.066 |
-0.060 |
-0.055 |
-0.049 |
-0.044 |
-0.040 |
-0.035 |
-0.031 |
-0.028 |
-0.025 |
-0.022 |
-0.020 |
-0.019 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
-0.013 |
0.039 |
0.121 |
0.069 |
0.029 |
0.003 |
-0.015 |
-0.027 |
-0.034 |
-0.037 |
-0.038 |
-0.037 |
-0.034 |
-0.030 |
-0.026 |
-0.022 |
-0.018 |
-0.014 |
-0.011 |
-0.008 |
-0.005 |
-0.003 |
-0.001 |
0.001 |
0.002 |
0.003 |
0.004 |
0.004 |
0.004 |
0.004 |
0.004 |
0.004 |
0.003 |
0.003 |
0.002 |
0.001 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
0.002 |
0.008 |
-0.057 |
-0.085 |
-0.105 |
-0.121 |
-0.131 |
-0.139 |
-0.143 |
-0.144 |
-0.144 |
-0.142 |
-0.139 |
-0.135 |
-0.129 |
-0.123 |
-0.116 |
-0.109 |
-0.102 |
-0.095 |
-0.087 |
-0.080 |
-0.072 |
-0.065 |
-0.059 |
-0.052 |
-0.047 |
-0.041 |
-0.036 |
-0.032 |
-0.028 |
-0.025 |
-0.023 |
-0.021 |
-0.019 |
-0.018 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
-0.224 |
-0.177 |
-0.269 |
-0.351 |
-0.432 |
-0.518 |
-0.605 |
-0.690 |
-0.771 |
-0.847 |
-0.918 |
-0.983 |
-1.042 |
-1.095 |
-1.142 |
-1.183 |
-1.217 |
-1.246 |
-1.270 |
-1.288 |
-1.301 |
-1.310 |
-1.314 |
-1.314 |
-1.311 |
-1.304 |
-1.295 |
-1.284 |
-1.270 |
-1.255 |
-1.239 |
-1.222 |
-1.204 |
-1.186 |
-1.167 |
-1.150 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
-0.197 |
-0.143 |
0.006 |
0.141 |
0.258 |
0.363 |
0.460 |
0.549 |
0.635 |
0.716 |
0.794 |
0.869 |
0.941 |
1.009 |
1.074 |
1.134 |
1.189 |
1.239 |
1.283 |
1.322 |
1.354 |
1.380 |
1.399 |
1.413 |
1.421 |
1.423 |
1.420 |
1.413 |
1.401 |
1.385 |
1.366 |
1.345 |
1.321 |
1.295 |
1.268 |
1.241 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
0.128 |
0.177 |
0.142 |
0.142 |
0.148 |
0.154 |
0.161 |
0.167 |
0.171 |
0.173 |
0.173 |
0.170 |
0.165 |
0.157 |
0.147 |
0.135 |
0.122 |
0.107 |
0.092 |
0.076 |
0.060 |
0.044 |
0.029 |
0.014 |
0.000 |
-0.012 |
-0.023 |
-0.033 |
-0.042 |
-0.049 |
-0.054 |
-0.059 |
-0.062 |
-0.063 |
-0.064 |
-0.063 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
0.019 |
0.019 |
-0.007 |
-0.013 |
-0.014 |
-0.015 |
-0.014 |
-0.014 |
-0.014 |
-0.013 |
-0.013 |
-0.013 |
-0.014 |
-0.014 |
-0.014 |
-0.014 |
-0.014 |
-0.014 |
-0.014 |
-0.014 |
-0.013 |
-0.013 |
-0.012 |
-0.012 |
-0.011 |
-0.010 |
-0.009 |
-0.008 |
-0.007 |
-0.006 |
-0.006 |
-0.005 |
-0.004 |
-0.003 |
-0.003 |
-0.002 |
User cost |
uim |
0.311 |
0.309 |
0.301 |
0.299 |
0.294 |
0.285 |
0.274 |
0.260 |
0.244 |
0.227 |
0.208 |
0.188 |
0.167 |
0.145 |
0.124 |
0.102 |
0.081 |
0.061 |
0.042 |
0.024 |
0.007 |
-0.009 |
-0.023 |
-0.035 |
-0.046 |
-0.054 |
-0.062 |
-0.067 |
-0.072 |
-0.074 |
-0.075 |
-0.075 |
-0.074 |
-0.072 |
-0.069 |
-0.065 |
Wage |
lna |
1.103 |
1.026 |
0.943 |
0.894 |
0.841 |
0.784 |
0.726 |
0.665 |
0.604 |
0.541 |
0.477 |
0.414 |
0.351 |
0.289 |
0.230 |
0.172 |
0.118 |
0.067 |
0.021 |
-0.022 |
-0.060 |
-0.094 |
-0.122 |
-0.146 |
-0.166 |
-0.180 |
-0.190 |
-0.197 |
-0.199 |
-0.198 |
-0.193 |
-0.186 |
-0.176 |
-0.165 |
-0.152 |
-0.137 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
0.308 |
0.327 |
0.325 |
0.328 |
0.328 |
0.324 |
0.317 |
0.307 |
0.295 |
0.280 |
0.263 |
0.245 |
0.224 |
0.203 |
0.181 |
0.158 |
0.135 |
0.113 |
0.091 |
0.069 |
0.049 |
0.030 |
0.013 |
-0.003 |
-0.018 |
-0.030 |
-0.041 |
-0.050 |
-0.057 |
-0.062 |
-0.066 |
-0.068 |
-0.069 |
-0.069 |
-0.067 |
-0.065 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
0.221 |
0.226 |
0.224 |
0.225 |
0.223 |
0.217 |
0.209 |
0.199 |
0.188 |
0.174 |
0.160 |
0.144 |
0.128 |
0.112 |
0.095 |
0.078 |
0.062 |
0.047 |
0.032 |
0.018 |
0.005 |
-0.007 |
-0.018 |
-0.027 |
-0.035 |
-0.042 |
-0.048 |
-0.052 |
-0.055 |
-0.057 |
-0.057 |
-0.057 |
-0.056 |
-0.054 |
-0.052 |
-0.049 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
0.002 |
-0.012 |
-0.087 |
-0.039 |
0.002 |
0.030 |
0.049 |
0.064 |
0.073 |
0.079 |
0.082 |
0.082 |
0.081 |
0.078 |
0.074 |
0.069 |
0.064 |
0.058 |
0.052 |
0.045 |
0.039 |
0.033 |
0.027 |
0.021 |
0.016 |
0.011 |
0.006 |
0.002 |
-0.001 |
-0.004 |
-0.007 |
-0.009 |
-0.011 |
-0.012 |
-0.013 |
-0.013 |
Wage share |
byw |
0.317 |
0.276 |
0.219 |
0.188 |
0.163 |
0.140 |
0.119 |
0.099 |
0.080 |
0.062 |
0.045 |
0.029 |
0.013 |
-0.001 |
-0.014 |
-0.025 |
-0.035 |
-0.044 |
-0.051 |
-0.056 |
-0.061 |
-0.064 |
-0.065 |
-0.066 |
-0.065 |
-0.063 |
-0.061 |
-0.057 |
-0.053 |
-0.049 |
-0.044 |
-0.039 |
-0.034 |
-0.029 |
-0.024 |
-0.018 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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