|
|
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
2053 |
2054 |
2055 |
2056 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
-14990.4 |
-23466.9 |
-26798.4 |
-29554.4 |
-31406.8 |
-32652.9 |
-33461.6 |
-33848.6 |
-33857.5 |
-33520.3 |
-32876.1 |
-31966.0 |
-30838.6 |
-29547.5 |
-28150.3 |
-26707.6 |
-25280.8 |
-23930.3 |
-22713.6 |
-21683.8 |
-20887.6 |
-20364.6 |
-20145.5 |
-20251.9 |
-20695.5 |
-21478.0 |
-22590.9 |
-24016.2 |
-25726.7 |
-27687.0 |
-29854.2 |
-32179.3 |
-34608.2 |
-37083.7 |
-39546.4 |
-41936.7 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
-2000.6 |
-1746.9 |
-933.4 |
-59.0 |
985.7 |
2167.6 |
3435.3 |
4746.1 |
6050.7 |
7303.1 |
8460.1 |
9483.7 |
10341.4 |
11007.5 |
11463.5 |
11698.3 |
11708.6 |
11498.4 |
11078.7 |
10467.2 |
9687.1 |
8766.2 |
7736.2 |
6631.3 |
5487.4 |
4340.7 |
3226.8 |
2180.0 |
1232.0 |
411.5 |
-256.7 |
-752.2 |
-1059.4 |
-1167.9 |
-1072.8 |
-774.7 |
Investment |
fI |
-67.8 |
3212.4 |
5521.8 |
6492.1 |
7564.6 |
8756.9 |
10070.8 |
11490.0 |
12988.8 |
14503.1 |
15977.2 |
17352.3 |
18577.8 |
19608.5 |
20409.0 |
20953.3 |
21225.5 |
21219.9 |
20940.7 |
20401.3 |
19623.1 |
18634.9 |
17471.5 |
16172.0 |
14779.4 |
13338.5 |
11895.0 |
10494.6 |
9181.5 |
7997.7 |
6982.0 |
6169.0 |
5588.4 |
5264.2 |
5214.2 |
5449.0 |
Export |
fE |
690.7 |
5711.4 |
10454.1 |
15312.8 |
19966.4 |
24566.3 |
28953.6 |
33080.4 |
36827.2 |
40114.4 |
42856.3 |
44993.2 |
46478.6 |
47289.7 |
47423.2 |
46897.8 |
45752.4 |
44044.6 |
41848.5 |
39252.1 |
36354.2 |
33260.5 |
30081.2 |
26926.4 |
23903.8 |
21114.9 |
18652.7 |
16599.1 |
15022.9 |
13978.4 |
13503.8 |
13621.0 |
14334.8 |
15633.1 |
17487.4 |
19853.9 |
Import |
fM |
-6218.9 |
-6121.8 |
-5056.8 |
-4298.1 |
-3096.2 |
-1573.1 |
170.8 |
2121.5 |
4207.5 |
6358.1 |
8496.4 |
10550.5 |
12451.1 |
14136.1 |
15551.6 |
16653.7 |
17409.4 |
17797.7 |
17809.3 |
17447.2 |
16725.5 |
15669.2 |
14313.0 |
12699.9 |
10879.9 |
8908.8 |
6845.9 |
4753.1 |
2692.5 |
725.6 |
-1089.2 |
-2697.4 |
-4050.1 |
-5105.5 |
-5829.5 |
-6197.2 |
GDP |
fY |
-10351.1 |
-10297.1 |
-6789.6 |
-3567.3 |
263.0 |
4521.1 |
8980.9 |
13538.7 |
18030.7 |
22306.0 |
26218.5 |
29642.2 |
32468.7 |
34612.4 |
36012.6 |
36634.1 |
36467.7 |
35529.7 |
33860.7 |
31523.1 |
28598.4 |
25184.2 |
21390.5 |
17336.0 |
13144.8 |
8942.1 |
4851.7 |
991.9 |
-2526.6 |
-5603.6 |
-8151.4 |
-10097.2 |
-11384.0 |
-11972.5 |
-11841.7 |
-10989.2 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
-14.994 |
-16.410 |
-13.383 |
-9.654 |
-4.905 |
0.521 |
6.246 |
12.012 |
17.549 |
22.631 |
27.061 |
30.684 |
33.388 |
35.098 |
35.782 |
35.444 |
34.124 |
31.895 |
28.854 |
25.122 |
20.835 |
16.141 |
11.194 |
6.146 |
1.147 |
-3.663 |
-8.154 |
-12.212 |
-15.741 |
-18.661 |
-20.914 |
-22.461 |
-23.285 |
-23.386 |
-22.788 |
-21.528 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
9.750 |
8.971 |
6.953 |
4.991 |
2.446 |
-0.450 |
-3.503 |
-6.588 |
-9.557 |
-12.289 |
-14.677 |
-16.637 |
-18.105 |
-19.040 |
-19.422 |
-19.255 |
-18.556 |
-17.365 |
-15.734 |
-13.727 |
-11.416 |
-8.883 |
-6.208 |
-3.475 |
-0.764 |
1.847 |
4.290 |
6.501 |
8.427 |
10.026 |
11.265 |
12.123 |
12.589 |
12.663 |
12.357 |
11.691 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
1.423 |
0.168 |
0.118 |
0.080 |
0.049 |
0.029 |
0.016 |
0.010 |
0.009 |
0.010 |
0.011 |
0.010 |
0.006 |
-0.003 |
-0.017 |
-0.037 |
-0.063 |
-0.094 |
-0.130 |
-0.171 |
-0.215 |
-0.263 |
-0.312 |
-0.361 |
-0.410 |
-0.458 |
-0.503 |
-0.545 |
-0.583 |
-0.615 |
-0.643 |
-0.664 |
-0.680 |
-0.689 |
-0.693 |
-0.691 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
-2.807 |
-1.366 |
-1.261 |
-1.138 |
-1.032 |
-0.948 |
-0.874 |
-0.813 |
-0.761 |
-0.719 |
-0.683 |
-0.653 |
-0.627 |
-0.605 |
-0.585 |
-0.567 |
-0.550 |
-0.534 |
-0.518 |
-0.502 |
-0.486 |
-0.470 |
-0.453 |
-0.435 |
-0.417 |
-0.397 |
-0.378 |
-0.358 |
-0.337 |
-0.317 |
-0.296 |
-0.276 |
-0.257 |
-0.239 |
-0.223 |
-0.208 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-1.392 |
-1.210 |
-1.158 |
-1.076 |
-1.002 |
-0.939 |
-0.878 |
-0.822 |
-0.771 |
-0.726 |
-0.687 |
-0.656 |
-0.632 |
-0.616 |
-0.608 |
-0.608 |
-0.614 |
-0.628 |
-0.647 |
-0.670 |
-0.698 |
-0.728 |
-0.760 |
-0.792 |
-0.823 |
-0.853 |
-0.880 |
-0.903 |
-0.922 |
-0.936 |
-0.945 |
-0.948 |
-0.947 |
-0.940 |
-0.929 |
-0.913 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
-2.024 |
-2.587 |
-3.343 |
-4.100 |
-4.911 |
-5.735 |
-6.575 |
-7.425 |
-8.279 |
-9.128 |
-9.967 |
-10.790 |
-11.594 |
-12.375 |
-13.132 |
-13.863 |
-14.569 |
-15.249 |
-15.907 |
-16.542 |
-17.157 |
-17.755 |
-18.336 |
-18.904 |
-19.460 |
-20.005 |
-20.540 |
-21.067 |
-21.586 |
-22.096 |
-22.597 |
-23.089 |
-23.570 |
-24.041 |
-24.499 |
-24.944 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
1.617 |
1.227 |
0.877 |
0.618 |
0.415 |
0.251 |
0.115 |
-0.004 |
-0.114 |
-0.216 |
-0.313 |
-0.401 |
-0.478 |
-0.540 |
-0.580 |
-0.595 |
-0.580 |
-0.529 |
-0.440 |
-0.309 |
-0.134 |
0.085 |
0.349 |
0.657 |
1.006 |
1.394 |
1.817 |
2.270 |
2.747 |
3.243 |
3.752 |
4.266 |
4.779 |
5.285 |
5.778 |
6.250 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
0.383 |
0.309 |
0.125 |
-0.028 |
-0.185 |
-0.341 |
-0.486 |
-0.616 |
-0.723 |
-0.802 |
-0.851 |
-0.867 |
-0.850 |
-0.799 |
-0.717 |
-0.607 |
-0.473 |
-0.319 |
-0.151 |
0.027 |
0.209 |
0.390 |
0.563 |
0.725 |
0.872 |
0.998 |
1.102 |
1.182 |
1.235 |
1.261 |
1.260 |
1.234 |
1.183 |
1.110 |
1.018 |
0.910 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.142 |
-0.291 |
-0.408 |
-0.479 |
-0.528 |
-0.559 |
-0.576 |
-0.585 |
-0.586 |
-0.584 |
-0.578 |
-0.570 |
-0.562 |
-0.554 |
-0.548 |
-0.543 |
-0.540 |
-0.539 |
-0.540 |
-0.544 |
-0.550 |
-0.558 |
-0.568 |
-0.579 |
-0.592 |
-0.605 |
-0.618 |
-0.632 |
-0.644 |
-0.656 |
-0.667 |
-0.676 |
-0.684 |
-0.690 |
-0.694 |
-0.696 |
User cost |
uim |
-5.862 |
-6.138 |
-6.380 |
-6.576 |
-6.735 |
-6.855 |
-6.936 |
-6.980 |
-6.987 |
-6.961 |
-6.903 |
-6.818 |
-6.709 |
-6.582 |
-6.441 |
-6.290 |
-6.136 |
-5.983 |
-5.835 |
-5.697 |
-5.574 |
-5.467 |
-5.380 |
-5.315 |
-5.274 |
-5.255 |
-5.259 |
-5.286 |
-5.333 |
-5.398 |
-5.479 |
-5.572 |
-5.675 |
-5.783 |
-5.894 |
-6.004 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.215 |
-0.595 |
-0.910 |
-1.155 |
-1.332 |
-1.432 |
-1.451 |
-1.385 |
-1.238 |
-1.014 |
-0.720 |
-0.365 |
0.039 |
0.481 |
0.946 |
1.421 |
1.892 |
2.345 |
2.768 |
3.149 |
3.479 |
3.749 |
3.954 |
4.090 |
4.156 |
4.152 |
4.082 |
3.951 |
3.765 |
3.531 |
3.260 |
2.961 |
2.643 |
2.318 |
1.995 |
1.684 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.199 |
-0.771 |
-1.283 |
-1.722 |
-2.101 |
-2.421 |
-2.684 |
-2.894 |
-3.052 |
-3.161 |
-3.224 |
-3.246 |
-3.230 |
-3.182 |
-3.106 |
-3.009 |
-2.897 |
-2.774 |
-2.648 |
-2.522 |
-2.403 |
-2.294 |
-2.200 |
-2.124 |
-2.069 |
-2.035 |
-2.024 |
-2.036 |
-2.070 |
-2.124 |
-2.197 |
-2.287 |
-2.389 |
-2.501 |
-2.619 |
-2.740 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.156 |
-0.388 |
-0.588 |
-0.754 |
-0.891 |
-0.999 |
-1.076 |
-1.124 |
-1.143 |
-1.135 |
-1.103 |
-1.048 |
-0.973 |
-0.883 |
-0.779 |
-0.668 |
-0.551 |
-0.433 |
-0.318 |
-0.210 |
-0.110 |
-0.023 |
0.050 |
0.108 |
0.148 |
0.171 |
0.175 |
0.163 |
0.135 |
0.092 |
0.036 |
-0.030 |
-0.105 |
-0.185 |
-0.268 |
-0.352 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
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|
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|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
1.856 |
0.502 |
0.226 |
0.014 |
-0.166 |
-0.321 |
-0.460 |
-0.585 |
-0.696 |
-0.793 |
-0.876 |
-0.945 |
-1.000 |
-1.042 |
-1.071 |
-1.088 |
-1.095 |
-1.091 |
-1.080 |
-1.063 |
-1.040 |
-1.015 |
-0.988 |
-0.962 |
-0.937 |
-0.915 |
-0.898 |
-0.885 |
-0.878 |
-0.878 |
-0.883 |
-0.896 |
-0.914 |
-0.938 |
-0.968 |
-1.002 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.039 |
0.042 |
0.116 |
0.197 |
0.280 |
0.373 |
0.478 |
0.597 |
0.728 |
0.870 |
1.018 |
1.171 |
1.325 |
1.476 |
1.621 |
1.757 |
1.880 |
1.988 |
2.080 |
2.153 |
2.206 |
2.240 |
2.254 |
2.249 |
2.226 |
2.187 |
2.134 |
2.070 |
1.996 |
1.916 |
1.833 |
1.748 |
1.666 |
1.587 |
1.515 |
1.452 |
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