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|
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
2053 |
2054 |
2055 |
2056 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
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|
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|
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|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
-124.3 |
-1357.1 |
3144.5 |
6994.1 |
10806.0 |
14462.1 |
17905.5 |
21176.9 |
24267.6 |
27179.3 |
29904.2 |
32441.8 |
34785.6 |
36931.0 |
38872.1 |
40603.5 |
42120.3 |
43419.4 |
44498.9 |
45359.7 |
46004.8 |
46440.0 |
46673.9 |
46717.6 |
46585.1 |
46292.8 |
45859.5 |
45306.3 |
44655.8 |
43932.3 |
43161.0 |
42367.9 |
41579.2 |
40820.8 |
40118.3 |
39495.9 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
0.8 |
47.6 |
-130.6 |
-328.5 |
-523.1 |
-702.0 |
-859.7 |
-996.0 |
-1110.2 |
-1202.7 |
-1274.2 |
-1325.8 |
-1358.8 |
-1374.6 |
-1375.0 |
-1361.4 |
-1335.6 |
-1299.2 |
-1253.9 |
-1201.1 |
-1142.5 |
-1079.5 |
-1013.5 |
-945.8 |
-877.8 |
-810.5 |
-745.1 |
-682.7 |
-624.2 |
-570.6 |
-522.6 |
-480.9 |
-446.3 |
-419.2 |
-400.1 |
-389.3 |
Investment |
fI |
10182.1 |
18238.6 |
24374.1 |
28106.5 |
31032.1 |
33257.3 |
34890.6 |
36001.9 |
36670.8 |
36942.3 |
36871.0 |
36504.5 |
35889.3 |
35067.5 |
34079.1 |
32960.5 |
31745.6 |
30465.1 |
29147.3 |
27818.0 |
26500.3 |
25215.3 |
23981.9 |
22817.0 |
21735.6 |
20751.0 |
19875.0 |
19117.8 |
18488.0 |
17992.6 |
17637.2 |
17425.6 |
17360.2 |
17441.5 |
17668.4 |
18038.1 |
Export |
fE |
1330.3 |
6569.6 |
11191.6 |
15528.8 |
19170.4 |
22265.2 |
24632.4 |
26260.8 |
27089.0 |
27127.2 |
26390.4 |
24929.4 |
22807.7 |
20107.0 |
16917.9 |
13339.0 |
9471.3 |
5416.6 |
1273.7 |
-2862.9 |
-6905.7 |
-10774.8 |
-14399.8 |
-17719.5 |
-20683.1 |
-23250.1 |
-25390.3 |
-27083.3 |
-28318.8 |
-29095.3 |
-29420.4 |
-29309.2 |
-28784.6 |
-27875.7 |
-26617.5 |
-25049.9 |
Import |
fM |
4438.1 |
9043.2 |
14185.5 |
18022.4 |
21353.8 |
24410.3 |
27080.3 |
29389.6 |
31318.0 |
32863.8 |
34025.0 |
34814.5 |
35247.0 |
35344.3 |
35132.2 |
34640.1 |
33899.5 |
32944.5 |
31809.9 |
30531.2 |
29144.0 |
27683.3 |
26183.2 |
24676.3 |
23193.9 |
21765.0 |
20416.9 |
19174.3 |
18059.3 |
17091.4 |
16287.1 |
15660.0 |
15220.4 |
14975.8 |
14930.1 |
15084.4 |
GDP |
fY |
7098.6 |
14767.6 |
24786.6 |
32713.9 |
39635.0 |
45399.3 |
50027.1 |
53599.5 |
56152.0 |
57746.5 |
58448.9 |
58345.3 |
57524.0 |
56080.8 |
54112.5 |
51716.2 |
48986.6 |
46015.1 |
42888.3 |
39687.3 |
36486.7 |
33354.4 |
30351.4 |
27531.3 |
24940.5 |
22618.6 |
20598.2 |
18905.2 |
17559.0 |
16573.0 |
15954.3 |
15704.4 |
15819.6 |
16290.8 |
17104.2 |
18241.5 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
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|
Employment |
Q |
1.038 |
7.311 |
16.064 |
23.730 |
30.480 |
36.057 |
40.314 |
43.253 |
44.903 |
45.344 |
44.680 |
43.042 |
40.566 |
37.400 |
33.686 |
29.565 |
25.170 |
20.625 |
16.042 |
11.522 |
7.151 |
3.004 |
-0.855 |
-4.379 |
-7.527 |
-10.273 |
-12.598 |
-14.496 |
-15.965 |
-17.013 |
-17.654 |
-17.907 |
-17.798 |
-17.355 |
-16.610 |
-15.598 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
-0.675 |
-4.495 |
-9.280 |
-13.197 |
-16.716 |
-19.648 |
-21.902 |
-23.477 |
-24.375 |
-24.633 |
-24.300 |
-23.443 |
-22.132 |
-20.444 |
-18.455 |
-16.241 |
-13.872 |
-11.416 |
-8.933 |
-6.478 |
-4.100 |
-1.839 |
0.271 |
2.200 |
3.929 |
5.441 |
6.726 |
7.779 |
8.599 |
9.191 |
9.560 |
9.717 |
9.676 |
9.452 |
9.062 |
8.525 |
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|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
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|
|
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|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
0.068 |
-0.963 |
-0.764 |
-0.624 |
-0.512 |
-0.432 |
-0.390 |
-0.378 |
-0.396 |
-0.438 |
-0.504 |
-0.588 |
-0.688 |
-0.800 |
-0.922 |
-1.050 |
-1.182 |
-1.315 |
-1.447 |
-1.577 |
-1.702 |
-1.822 |
-1.935 |
-2.041 |
-2.138 |
-2.227 |
-2.307 |
-2.377 |
-2.439 |
-2.492 |
-2.536 |
-2.573 |
-2.601 |
-2.622 |
-2.637 |
-2.646 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
-2.020 |
-0.978 |
-1.292 |
-1.464 |
-1.577 |
-1.647 |
-1.671 |
-1.661 |
-1.627 |
-1.574 |
-1.507 |
-1.432 |
-1.352 |
-1.269 |
-1.187 |
-1.107 |
-1.031 |
-0.959 |
-0.892 |
-0.830 |
-0.773 |
-0.722 |
-0.675 |
-0.634 |
-0.597 |
-0.564 |
-0.535 |
-0.509 |
-0.487 |
-0.468 |
-0.451 |
-0.437 |
-0.425 |
-0.415 |
-0.407 |
-0.400 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-1.951 |
-1.940 |
-2.053 |
-2.083 |
-2.082 |
-2.070 |
-2.049 |
-2.026 |
-2.006 |
-1.994 |
-1.990 |
-1.997 |
-2.014 |
-2.042 |
-2.080 |
-2.127 |
-2.181 |
-2.241 |
-2.306 |
-2.373 |
-2.442 |
-2.511 |
-2.578 |
-2.643 |
-2.704 |
-2.761 |
-2.813 |
-2.859 |
-2.900 |
-2.935 |
-2.964 |
-2.988 |
-3.005 |
-3.018 |
-3.026 |
-3.030 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
-2.564 |
-4.202 |
-6.142 |
-8.102 |
-10.076 |
-12.048 |
-13.988 |
-15.884 |
-17.728 |
-19.517 |
-21.251 |
-22.936 |
-24.576 |
-26.180 |
-27.754 |
-29.305 |
-30.839 |
-32.364 |
-33.882 |
-35.399 |
-36.917 |
-38.437 |
-39.960 |
-41.486 |
-43.013 |
-44.540 |
-46.063 |
-47.580 |
-49.088 |
-50.581 |
-52.058 |
-53.513 |
-54.944 |
-56.346 |
-57.716 |
-59.053 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
2.254 |
2.609 |
2.758 |
2.844 |
2.863 |
2.849 |
2.828 |
2.822 |
2.855 |
2.946 |
3.110 |
3.360 |
3.707 |
4.157 |
4.714 |
5.379 |
6.151 |
7.028 |
8.005 |
9.075 |
10.232 |
11.468 |
12.773 |
14.138 |
15.553 |
17.009 |
18.495 |
20.001 |
21.518 |
23.037 |
24.549 |
26.045 |
27.518 |
28.961 |
30.369 |
31.734 |
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Percent |
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|
|
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Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.208 |
-0.407 |
-0.605 |
-0.670 |
-0.658 |
-0.580 |
-0.446 |
-0.268 |
-0.055 |
0.186 |
0.446 |
0.719 |
0.998 |
1.278 |
1.554 |
1.820 |
2.073 |
2.310 |
2.527 |
2.724 |
2.898 |
3.048 |
3.174 |
3.275 |
3.353 |
3.407 |
3.438 |
3.448 |
3.439 |
3.411 |
3.368 |
3.310 |
3.240 |
3.160 |
3.072 |
2.979 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.301 |
-0.496 |
-0.657 |
-0.751 |
-0.812 |
-0.850 |
-0.871 |
-0.881 |
-0.884 |
-0.882 |
-0.877 |
-0.869 |
-0.860 |
-0.851 |
-0.841 |
-0.832 |
-0.824 |
-0.817 |
-0.811 |
-0.807 |
-0.803 |
-0.801 |
-0.799 |
-0.799 |
-0.800 |
-0.801 |
-0.803 |
-0.806 |
-0.809 |
-0.813 |
-0.817 |
-0.821 |
-0.825 |
-0.829 |
-0.833 |
-0.837 |
User cost |
uim |
-5.889 |
-6.147 |
-6.316 |
-6.424 |
-6.478 |
-6.483 |
-6.446 |
-6.372 |
-6.270 |
-6.144 |
-6.000 |
-5.846 |
-5.684 |
-5.522 |
-5.363 |
-5.211 |
-5.069 |
-4.940 |
-4.826 |
-4.728 |
-4.649 |
-4.587 |
-4.544 |
-4.519 |
-4.512 |
-4.520 |
-4.544 |
-4.581 |
-4.629 |
-4.688 |
-4.755 |
-4.828 |
-4.906 |
-4.986 |
-5.067 |
-5.148 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.068 |
-0.143 |
-0.084 |
0.104 |
0.398 |
0.786 |
1.252 |
1.778 |
2.348 |
2.944 |
3.551 |
4.152 |
4.736 |
5.289 |
5.801 |
6.265 |
6.673 |
7.021 |
7.306 |
7.527 |
7.684 |
7.779 |
7.815 |
7.795 |
7.726 |
7.611 |
7.457 |
7.271 |
7.058 |
6.824 |
6.577 |
6.321 |
6.063 |
5.807 |
5.559 |
5.323 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.118 |
-0.593 |
-0.981 |
-1.268 |
-1.469 |
-1.593 |
-1.652 |
-1.655 |
-1.613 |
-1.533 |
-1.424 |
-1.294 |
-1.150 |
-0.997 |
-0.843 |
-0.692 |
-0.548 |
-0.415 |
-0.296 |
-0.194 |
-0.110 |
-0.046 |
-0.001 |
0.023 |
0.028 |
0.015 |
-0.016 |
-0.064 |
-0.125 |
-0.198 |
-0.282 |
-0.375 |
-0.473 |
-0.575 |
-0.679 |
-0.784 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.120 |
-0.284 |
-0.396 |
-0.458 |
-0.478 |
-0.460 |
-0.409 |
-0.330 |
-0.229 |
-0.110 |
0.022 |
0.161 |
0.303 |
0.446 |
0.584 |
0.715 |
0.836 |
0.945 |
1.041 |
1.122 |
1.188 |
1.238 |
1.272 |
1.291 |
1.296 |
1.287 |
1.266 |
1.233 |
1.191 |
1.141 |
1.085 |
1.023 |
0.958 |
0.891 |
0.824 |
0.758 |
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Percentage-point |
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Consumption ratio |
bcp |
1.126 |
-0.032 |
0.037 |
0.087 |
0.128 |
0.159 |
0.170 |
0.168 |
0.158 |
0.143 |
0.124 |
0.105 |
0.086 |
0.069 |
0.055 |
0.044 |
0.036 |
0.031 |
0.029 |
0.028 |
0.028 |
0.029 |
0.030 |
0.030 |
0.030 |
0.027 |
0.023 |
0.017 |
0.008 |
-0.004 |
-0.017 |
-0.034 |
-0.052 |
-0.072 |
-0.095 |
-0.118 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.108 |
0.030 |
0.192 |
0.384 |
0.586 |
0.794 |
1.003 |
1.209 |
1.407 |
1.595 |
1.770 |
1.929 |
2.071 |
2.194 |
2.297 |
2.381 |
2.445 |
2.491 |
2.518 |
2.529 |
2.525 |
2.508 |
2.478 |
2.439 |
2.391 |
2.337 |
2.278 |
2.216 |
2.152 |
2.089 |
2.027 |
1.967 |
1.911 |
1.859 |
1.813 |
1.772 |
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