|
|
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
2053 |
2054 |
2055 |
2056 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
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|
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|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
-130.8 |
-1419.1 |
2934.0 |
6513.8 |
9936.5 |
13098.3 |
15965.4 |
18600.6 |
21016.3 |
23233.6 |
25264.3 |
27123.9 |
28821.4 |
30365.8 |
31763.3 |
33019.5 |
34138.4 |
35124.0 |
35980.0 |
36711.0 |
37321.8 |
37818.3 |
38207.4 |
38496.7 |
38695.2 |
38812.7 |
38860.1 |
38849.0 |
38791.5 |
38700.4 |
38588.6 |
38469.3 |
38355.4 |
38259.7 |
38194.5 |
38171.3 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
1.5 |
53.8 |
-112.3 |
-290.6 |
-458.9 |
-606.8 |
-730.6 |
-831.7 |
-911.6 |
-972.0 |
-1014.7 |
-1041.8 |
-1055.4 |
-1057.4 |
-1049.5 |
-1033.6 |
-1011.0 |
-983.2 |
-951.5 |
-916.8 |
-880.2 |
-842.6 |
-804.7 |
-767.2 |
-730.8 |
-695.9 |
-663.0 |
-632.7 |
-605.1 |
-580.8 |
-560.0 |
-542.9 |
-529.7 |
-520.6 |
-515.8 |
-515.3 |
Investment |
fI |
10110.0 |
17945.3 |
23662.9 |
26838.0 |
29126.6 |
30703.5 |
31713.3 |
32257.6 |
32438.0 |
32316.2 |
31958.8 |
31419.4 |
30745.8 |
29977.5 |
29148.7 |
28287.1 |
27415.6 |
26553.1 |
25714.6 |
24912.4 |
24156.2 |
23453.8 |
22811.2 |
22233.1 |
21723.3 |
21284.5 |
20918.8 |
20627.8 |
20412.5 |
20273.1 |
20209.8 |
20222.0 |
20308.7 |
20468.5 |
20699.5 |
20999.2 |
Export |
fE |
821.9 |
5128.9 |
8382.0 |
11147.7 |
13142.9 |
14616.6 |
15487.0 |
15816.0 |
15602.6 |
14899.0 |
13747.2 |
12209.0 |
10345.4 |
8223.0 |
5907.1 |
3462.2 |
949.2 |
-1574.9 |
-4058.7 |
-6456.3 |
-8727.9 |
-10840.2 |
-12766.0 |
-14484.3 |
-15980.2 |
-17244.1 |
-18271.9 |
-19064.2 |
-19625.9 |
-19966.1 |
-20096.8 |
-20033.5 |
-19793.6 |
-19396.8 |
-18864.1 |
-18217.7 |
Import |
fM |
3967.4 |
7807.0 |
11820.6 |
14386.7 |
16379.3 |
18087.7 |
19460.2 |
20565.2 |
21418.4 |
22044.9 |
22463.8 |
22699.7 |
22773.2 |
22706.1 |
22518.4 |
22229.7 |
21857.9 |
21420.2 |
20932.6 |
20410.2 |
19867.0 |
19316.1 |
18769.6 |
18238.6 |
17733.3 |
17262.8 |
16835.6 |
16458.8 |
16138.9 |
15881.1 |
15689.8 |
15568.5 |
15519.3 |
15543.8 |
15642.3 |
15814.3 |
GDP |
fY |
6974.2 |
14192.5 |
23399.2 |
30201.8 |
35801.5 |
40169.2 |
43421.7 |
45722.0 |
47170.4 |
47877.8 |
47945.5 |
47478.9 |
46573.3 |
45320.0 |
43802.0 |
42094.9 |
40265.7 |
38374.1 |
36471.9 |
34604.0 |
32808.6 |
31117.5 |
29557.4 |
28149.1 |
26909.2 |
25849.7 |
24979.1 |
24302.3 |
23821.0 |
23534.4 |
23438.9 |
23529.0 |
23797.1 |
24234.0 |
24829.1 |
25570.4 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
0.971 |
6.898 |
14.960 |
21.590 |
27.076 |
31.278 |
34.167 |
35.843 |
36.418 |
36.032 |
34.832 |
32.967 |
30.580 |
27.806 |
24.765 |
21.567 |
18.304 |
15.058 |
11.896 |
8.873 |
6.032 |
3.408 |
1.024 |
-1.103 |
-2.965 |
-4.557 |
-5.882 |
-6.947 |
-7.762 |
-8.340 |
-8.697 |
-8.850 |
-8.818 |
-8.620 |
-8.278 |
-7.811 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
-0.631 |
-4.241 |
-8.634 |
-11.980 |
-14.815 |
-17.007 |
-18.529 |
-19.429 |
-19.753 |
-19.568 |
-18.948 |
-17.969 |
-16.706 |
-15.228 |
-13.600 |
-11.882 |
-10.122 |
-8.366 |
-6.651 |
-5.006 |
-3.456 |
-2.021 |
-0.714 |
0.456 |
1.483 |
2.365 |
3.101 |
3.697 |
4.156 |
4.485 |
4.693 |
4.790 |
4.785 |
4.688 |
4.512 |
4.266 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
0.066 |
-0.972 |
-0.788 |
-0.670 |
-0.585 |
-0.535 |
-0.523 |
-0.539 |
-0.581 |
-0.643 |
-0.721 |
-0.813 |
-0.914 |
-1.021 |
-1.131 |
-1.242 |
-1.353 |
-1.462 |
-1.567 |
-1.667 |
-1.763 |
-1.852 |
-1.936 |
-2.014 |
-2.085 |
-2.150 |
-2.209 |
-2.262 |
-2.310 |
-2.352 |
-2.390 |
-2.423 |
-2.451 |
-2.476 |
-2.498 |
-2.517 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
-2.019 |
-0.976 |
-1.285 |
-1.447 |
-1.549 |
-1.606 |
-1.617 |
-1.597 |
-1.553 |
-1.493 |
-1.423 |
-1.346 |
-1.267 |
-1.188 |
-1.111 |
-1.039 |
-0.970 |
-0.907 |
-0.850 |
-0.797 |
-0.750 |
-0.708 |
-0.670 |
-0.637 |
-0.607 |
-0.580 |
-0.557 |
-0.536 |
-0.517 |
-0.501 |
-0.486 |
-0.473 |
-0.461 |
-0.451 |
-0.441 |
-0.433 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-1.952 |
-1.947 |
-2.070 |
-2.114 |
-2.129 |
-2.135 |
-2.132 |
-2.127 |
-2.123 |
-2.123 |
-2.130 |
-2.143 |
-2.164 |
-2.190 |
-2.223 |
-2.261 |
-2.303 |
-2.348 |
-2.395 |
-2.443 |
-2.491 |
-2.538 |
-2.584 |
-2.629 |
-2.670 |
-2.710 |
-2.746 |
-2.778 |
-2.808 |
-2.835 |
-2.858 |
-2.878 |
-2.896 |
-2.911 |
-2.924 |
-2.935 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
-2.559 |
-4.187 |
-6.110 |
-8.054 |
-10.018 |
-11.989 |
-13.942 |
-15.866 |
-17.754 |
-19.602 |
-21.409 |
-23.178 |
-24.911 |
-26.612 |
-28.286 |
-29.935 |
-31.564 |
-33.175 |
-34.770 |
-36.352 |
-37.921 |
-39.478 |
-41.023 |
-42.555 |
-44.074 |
-45.579 |
-47.067 |
-48.539 |
-49.991 |
-51.423 |
-52.833 |
-54.219 |
-55.580 |
-56.915 |
-58.222 |
-59.502 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
2.258 |
2.631 |
2.819 |
2.969 |
3.079 |
3.184 |
3.305 |
3.465 |
3.678 |
3.960 |
4.320 |
4.765 |
5.298 |
5.922 |
6.634 |
7.432 |
8.312 |
9.267 |
10.293 |
11.381 |
12.526 |
13.719 |
14.953 |
16.220 |
17.514 |
18.828 |
20.154 |
21.488 |
22.823 |
24.153 |
25.475 |
26.783 |
28.074 |
29.344 |
30.590 |
31.810 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
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|
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|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.193 |
-0.361 |
-0.515 |
-0.530 |
-0.470 |
-0.349 |
-0.183 |
0.016 |
0.236 |
0.470 |
0.710 |
0.950 |
1.185 |
1.412 |
1.627 |
1.828 |
2.013 |
2.180 |
2.330 |
2.461 |
2.575 |
2.671 |
2.749 |
2.811 |
2.857 |
2.889 |
2.908 |
2.914 |
2.910 |
2.895 |
2.873 |
2.843 |
2.807 |
2.767 |
2.723 |
2.676 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.287 |
-0.460 |
-0.593 |
-0.661 |
-0.698 |
-0.716 |
-0.722 |
-0.723 |
-0.721 |
-0.717 |
-0.714 |
-0.712 |
-0.711 |
-0.711 |
-0.713 |
-0.715 |
-0.719 |
-0.723 |
-0.728 |
-0.733 |
-0.739 |
-0.745 |
-0.751 |
-0.757 |
-0.763 |
-0.768 |
-0.773 |
-0.778 |
-0.782 |
-0.786 |
-0.789 |
-0.792 |
-0.794 |
-0.796 |
-0.797 |
-0.798 |
User cost |
uim |
-5.887 |
-6.143 |
-6.310 |
-6.417 |
-6.473 |
-6.486 |
-6.461 |
-6.407 |
-6.329 |
-6.234 |
-6.126 |
-6.011 |
-5.893 |
-5.776 |
-5.662 |
-5.554 |
-5.455 |
-5.365 |
-5.287 |
-5.219 |
-5.164 |
-5.121 |
-5.089 |
-5.068 |
-5.057 |
-5.057 |
-5.064 |
-5.080 |
-5.102 |
-5.130 |
-5.162 |
-5.197 |
-5.235 |
-5.275 |
-5.315 |
-5.354 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.069 |
-0.148 |
-0.100 |
0.063 |
0.318 |
0.647 |
1.036 |
1.466 |
1.923 |
2.391 |
2.859 |
3.314 |
3.749 |
4.155 |
4.526 |
4.858 |
5.149 |
5.397 |
5.602 |
5.763 |
5.884 |
5.965 |
6.011 |
6.023 |
6.006 |
5.963 |
5.897 |
5.813 |
5.714 |
5.604 |
5.486 |
5.364 |
5.239 |
5.115 |
4.994 |
4.878 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.118 |
-0.595 |
-0.987 |
-1.281 |
-1.494 |
-1.637 |
-1.722 |
-1.758 |
-1.755 |
-1.720 |
-1.662 |
-1.588 |
-1.501 |
-1.409 |
-1.314 |
-1.221 |
-1.133 |
-1.051 |
-0.978 |
-0.914 |
-0.862 |
-0.821 |
-0.791 |
-0.773 |
-0.766 |
-0.769 |
-0.782 |
-0.803 |
-0.832 |
-0.867 |
-0.908 |
-0.954 |
-1.002 |
-1.053 |
-1.105 |
-1.158 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.121 |
-0.286 |
-0.400 |
-0.468 |
-0.497 |
-0.493 |
-0.460 |
-0.403 |
-0.329 |
-0.242 |
-0.145 |
-0.044 |
0.060 |
0.162 |
0.261 |
0.354 |
0.440 |
0.517 |
0.585 |
0.644 |
0.692 |
0.730 |
0.759 |
0.778 |
0.789 |
0.791 |
0.786 |
0.775 |
0.758 |
0.737 |
0.712 |
0.684 |
0.654 |
0.622 |
0.590 |
0.558 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
1.128 |
-0.022 |
0.058 |
0.118 |
0.167 |
0.203 |
0.216 |
0.215 |
0.202 |
0.183 |
0.158 |
0.132 |
0.105 |
0.080 |
0.056 |
0.034 |
0.016 |
-0.001 |
-0.015 |
-0.027 |
-0.037 |
-0.046 |
-0.055 |
-0.063 |
-0.071 |
-0.079 |
-0.088 |
-0.098 |
-0.108 |
-0.119 |
-0.131 |
-0.144 |
-0.158 |
-0.172 |
-0.187 |
-0.203 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.106 |
0.037 |
0.206 |
0.401 |
0.601 |
0.801 |
0.996 |
1.182 |
1.355 |
1.514 |
1.657 |
1.784 |
1.893 |
1.986 |
2.062 |
2.123 |
2.169 |
2.201 |
2.221 |
2.229 |
2.228 |
2.219 |
2.202 |
2.180 |
2.154 |
2.124 |
2.092 |
2.058 |
2.025 |
1.991 |
1.959 |
1.928 |
1.900 |
1.873 |
1.850 |
1.830 |
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