|
|
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
2053 |
2054 |
2055 |
2056 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
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|
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|
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|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
1623.9 |
1917.5 |
1875.0 |
2396.3 |
3266.4 |
4327.9 |
5508.8 |
6779.1 |
8126.0 |
9535.6 |
10986.2 |
12456.0 |
13918.7 |
15346.1 |
16709.3 |
17979.9 |
19131.1 |
20139.1 |
20983.7 |
21648.9 |
22123.7 |
22402.7 |
22485.7 |
22378.3 |
22091.4 |
21641.3 |
21048.9 |
20339.1 |
19540.7 |
18684.8 |
17804.5 |
16933.9 |
16106.9 |
15356.6 |
14714.0 |
14207.6 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
3324.3 |
3047.3 |
3431.7 |
4155.1 |
5047.7 |
6012.6 |
6987.0 |
7922.9 |
8782.7 |
9537.1 |
10163.4 |
10646.3 |
10976.7 |
11151.4 |
11172.8 |
11048.1 |
10789.1 |
10411.3 |
9933.4 |
9376.5 |
8763.4 |
8117.8 |
7463.6 |
6824.5 |
6222.8 |
5679.5 |
5213.3 |
4840.4 |
4573.9 |
4423.9 |
4396.9 |
4496.2 |
4721.2 |
5068.1 |
5529.4 |
6094.9 |
Investment |
fI |
-3192.6 |
-4255.1 |
-1927.2 |
510.9 |
2612.2 |
4417.6 |
5990.0 |
7357.9 |
8524.9 |
9486.0 |
10231.8 |
10758.3 |
11065.4 |
11157.1 |
11041.6 |
10731.8 |
10244.3 |
9599.3 |
8819.9 |
7931.8 |
6962.7 |
5941.1 |
4896.4 |
3857.7 |
2853.2 |
1910.1 |
1053.2 |
305.3 |
-314.1 |
-788.8 |
-1106.3 |
-1258.1 |
-1240.0 |
-1052.3 |
-699.7 |
-191.0 |
Export |
fE |
3227.5 |
5691.0 |
8195.4 |
10806.4 |
13407.5 |
15927.9 |
18278.1 |
20379.9 |
22167.3 |
23588.5 |
24607.4 |
25204.5 |
25376.7 |
25136.6 |
24510.9 |
23539.5 |
22272.6 |
20769.2 |
19094.4 |
17317.0 |
15507.3 |
13734.6 |
12065.2 |
10560.6 |
9275.4 |
8256.6 |
7541.8 |
7158.6 |
7124.3 |
7445.5 |
8117.9 |
9127.2 |
10449.1 |
12050.5 |
13890.4 |
15921.1 |
Import |
fM |
-216.1 |
-67.5 |
1608.4 |
3640.4 |
5673.3 |
7664.3 |
9610.0 |
11486.6 |
13263.2 |
14905.7 |
16377.9 |
17651.0 |
18701.1 |
19510.4 |
20068.3 |
20371.4 |
20423.5 |
20235.4 |
19824.3 |
19213.3 |
18430.5 |
17508.4 |
16482.6 |
15391.0 |
14272.7 |
13167.0 |
12112.1 |
11144.6 |
10298.1 |
9602.7 |
9083.8 |
8762.2 |
8652.6 |
8764.1 |
9099.5 |
9655.4 |
GDP |
fY |
5039.3 |
6185.3 |
9721.2 |
14042.7 |
18569.9 |
22972.2 |
27132.4 |
30953.5 |
34358.1 |
37282.9 |
39675.3 |
41504.9 |
42757.3 |
43435.4 |
43557.8 |
43158.3 |
42284.2 |
40993.8 |
39355.2 |
37443.5 |
35338.6 |
33123.0 |
30879.5 |
28688.9 |
26628.6 |
24769.7 |
23176.6 |
21904.9 |
21000.4 |
20498.2 |
20422.1 |
20784.1 |
21584.3 |
22810.9 |
24440.9 |
26440.5 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
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|
|
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|
|
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|
|
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|
|
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|
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|
|
Employment |
Q |
-14.124 |
-15.105 |
-12.306 |
-7.950 |
-2.999 |
2.022 |
6.796 |
11.104 |
14.791 |
17.754 |
19.928 |
21.288 |
21.842 |
21.623 |
20.690 |
19.118 |
16.998 |
14.433 |
11.530 |
8.400 |
5.155 |
1.900 |
-1.264 |
-4.245 |
-6.964 |
-9.351 |
-11.352 |
-12.926 |
-14.045 |
-14.697 |
-14.883 |
-14.616 |
-13.924 |
-12.842 |
-11.417 |
-9.703 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
9.184 |
8.229 |
6.395 |
4.026 |
1.410 |
-1.229 |
-3.747 |
-6.030 |
-7.995 |
-9.582 |
-10.754 |
-11.495 |
-11.805 |
-11.700 |
-11.211 |
-10.376 |
-9.244 |
-7.869 |
-6.309 |
-4.623 |
-2.871 |
-1.112 |
0.602 |
2.220 |
3.698 |
4.999 |
6.093 |
6.956 |
7.574 |
7.940 |
8.053 |
7.921 |
7.557 |
6.982 |
6.219 |
5.298 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.154 |
-0.118 |
-0.068 |
-0.021 |
0.025 |
0.070 |
0.110 |
0.145 |
0.173 |
0.193 |
0.205 |
0.211 |
0.209 |
0.200 |
0.186 |
0.168 |
0.145 |
0.119 |
0.091 |
0.062 |
0.032 |
0.003 |
-0.025 |
-0.050 |
-0.074 |
-0.094 |
-0.110 |
-0.123 |
-0.132 |
-0.136 |
-0.137 |
-0.134 |
-0.128 |
-0.118 |
-0.106 |
-0.091 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.178 |
0.170 |
0.094 |
0.028 |
-0.029 |
-0.077 |
-0.115 |
-0.144 |
-0.164 |
-0.177 |
-0.183 |
-0.184 |
-0.180 |
-0.173 |
-0.164 |
-0.152 |
-0.139 |
-0.126 |
-0.112 |
-0.098 |
-0.084 |
-0.070 |
-0.057 |
-0.044 |
-0.032 |
-0.021 |
-0.011 |
-0.001 |
0.007 |
0.014 |
0.021 |
0.026 |
0.030 |
0.032 |
0.034 |
0.034 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
0.020 |
0.046 |
0.021 |
0.002 |
-0.008 |
-0.010 |
-0.007 |
0.001 |
0.010 |
0.019 |
0.027 |
0.033 |
0.037 |
0.037 |
0.034 |
0.028 |
0.019 |
0.007 |
-0.006 |
-0.021 |
-0.037 |
-0.052 |
-0.067 |
-0.081 |
-0.093 |
-0.103 |
-0.110 |
-0.115 |
-0.116 |
-0.115 |
-0.111 |
-0.104 |
-0.094 |
-0.083 |
-0.070 |
-0.055 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
0.360 |
0.525 |
0.540 |
0.479 |
0.374 |
0.243 |
0.096 |
-0.060 |
-0.216 |
-0.368 |
-0.510 |
-0.637 |
-0.749 |
-0.841 |
-0.915 |
-0.971 |
-1.007 |
-1.027 |
-1.031 |
-1.021 |
-0.999 |
-0.966 |
-0.925 |
-0.877 |
-0.823 |
-0.766 |
-0.706 |
-0.644 |
-0.582 |
-0.520 |
-0.459 |
-0.398 |
-0.340 |
-0.283 |
-0.229 |
-0.176 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.316 |
0.477 |
0.528 |
0.512 |
0.441 |
0.324 |
0.168 |
-0.020 |
-0.230 |
-0.454 |
-0.681 |
-0.905 |
-1.118 |
-1.312 |
-1.484 |
-1.629 |
-1.744 |
-1.827 |
-1.878 |
-1.895 |
-1.881 |
-1.837 |
-1.765 |
-1.669 |
-1.552 |
-1.417 |
-1.270 |
-1.115 |
-0.955 |
-0.795 |
-0.639 |
-0.491 |
-0.354 |
-0.231 |
-0.124 |
-0.035 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.288 |
-0.422 |
-0.623 |
-0.812 |
-0.972 |
-1.100 |
-1.193 |
-1.255 |
-1.284 |
-1.285 |
-1.257 |
-1.205 |
-1.130 |
-1.038 |
-0.931 |
-0.813 |
-0.689 |
-0.561 |
-0.436 |
-0.314 |
-0.201 |
-0.098 |
-0.008 |
0.066 |
0.124 |
0.165 |
0.188 |
0.193 |
0.182 |
0.154 |
0.112 |
0.058 |
-0.007 |
-0.080 |
-0.159 |
-0.241 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.733 |
-0.844 |
-0.925 |
-0.975 |
-1.003 |
-1.017 |
-1.021 |
-1.019 |
-1.014 |
-1.007 |
-1.001 |
-0.995 |
-0.990 |
-0.987 |
-0.986 |
-0.987 |
-0.990 |
-0.994 |
-1.000 |
-1.007 |
-1.016 |
-1.025 |
-1.034 |
-1.044 |
-1.053 |
-1.062 |
-1.070 |
-1.078 |
-1.084 |
-1.089 |
-1.092 |
-1.094 |
-1.095 |
-1.095 |
-1.093 |
-1.090 |
User cost |
uim |
-0.420 |
-0.533 |
-0.619 |
-0.687 |
-0.733 |
-0.756 |
-0.756 |
-0.733 |
-0.689 |
-0.626 |
-0.548 |
-0.458 |
-0.359 |
-0.255 |
-0.150 |
-0.047 |
0.050 |
0.139 |
0.217 |
0.282 |
0.333 |
0.368 |
0.387 |
0.390 |
0.378 |
0.352 |
0.313 |
0.263 |
0.204 |
0.137 |
0.066 |
-0.007 |
-0.080 |
-0.152 |
-0.219 |
-0.280 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.292 |
-0.528 |
-0.721 |
-0.862 |
-0.939 |
-0.951 |
-0.899 |
-0.786 |
-0.620 |
-0.408 |
-0.160 |
0.114 |
0.403 |
0.698 |
0.987 |
1.263 |
1.515 |
1.738 |
1.925 |
2.071 |
2.175 |
2.234 |
2.248 |
2.220 |
2.151 |
2.047 |
1.911 |
1.749 |
1.567 |
1.372 |
1.170 |
0.968 |
0.771 |
0.586 |
0.416 |
0.268 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.389 |
-0.521 |
-0.624 |
-0.709 |
-0.774 |
-0.817 |
-0.835 |
-0.831 |
-0.805 |
-0.758 |
-0.693 |
-0.614 |
-0.523 |
-0.423 |
-0.319 |
-0.214 |
-0.111 |
-0.014 |
0.076 |
0.154 |
0.220 |
0.272 |
0.309 |
0.329 |
0.335 |
0.325 |
0.301 |
0.263 |
0.215 |
0.157 |
0.092 |
0.022 |
-0.052 |
-0.125 |
-0.197 |
-0.265 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.289 |
-0.375 |
-0.448 |
-0.508 |
-0.552 |
-0.578 |
-0.588 |
-0.580 |
-0.556 |
-0.518 |
-0.468 |
-0.408 |
-0.340 |
-0.268 |
-0.194 |
-0.120 |
-0.049 |
0.017 |
0.076 |
0.127 |
0.167 |
0.197 |
0.216 |
0.223 |
0.219 |
0.204 |
0.180 |
0.147 |
0.107 |
0.062 |
0.012 |
-0.040 |
-0.093 |
-0.145 |
-0.194 |
-0.240 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
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|
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|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
0.000 |
0.029 |
0.011 |
-0.006 |
-0.012 |
-0.011 |
-0.009 |
-0.007 |
-0.006 |
-0.004 |
-0.001 |
0.003 |
0.010 |
0.020 |
0.032 |
0.047 |
0.065 |
0.084 |
0.104 |
0.125 |
0.146 |
0.167 |
0.185 |
0.202 |
0.216 |
0.227 |
0.235 |
0.239 |
0.240 |
0.237 |
0.230 |
0.221 |
0.208 |
0.193 |
0.176 |
0.158 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.174 |
-0.262 |
-0.322 |
-0.351 |
-0.354 |
-0.334 |
-0.294 |
-0.240 |
-0.174 |
-0.101 |
-0.024 |
0.054 |
0.129 |
0.200 |
0.263 |
0.317 |
0.361 |
0.393 |
0.414 |
0.422 |
0.418 |
0.403 |
0.378 |
0.344 |
0.303 |
0.255 |
0.204 |
0.149 |
0.095 |
0.041 |
-0.010 |
-0.058 |
-0.100 |
-0.136 |
-0.165 |
-0.186 |
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