|
|
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
2053 |
2054 |
2055 |
2056 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
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|
|
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|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
1322.4 |
1613.2 |
1459.5 |
1709.6 |
2150.6 |
2646.6 |
3140.7 |
3614.0 |
4067.3 |
4504.6 |
4929.4 |
5345.4 |
5755.0 |
6159.7 |
6560.1 |
6956.2 |
7347.6 |
7733.3 |
8112.0 |
8482.3 |
8842.8 |
9191.7 |
9527.7 |
9849.3 |
10155.3 |
10444.8 |
10717.0 |
10971.6 |
11208.2 |
11427.1 |
11628.8 |
11814.0 |
11983.5 |
12138.8 |
12281.2 |
12412.4 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
5774.3 |
5835.4 |
5915.0 |
5987.8 |
6054.0 |
6118.6 |
6184.5 |
6253.6 |
6326.5 |
6403.5 |
6484.8 |
6570.1 |
6659.5 |
6752.7 |
6849.5 |
6949.8 |
7053.4 |
7160.0 |
7269.6 |
7382.0 |
7497.0 |
7614.5 |
7734.5 |
7856.8 |
7981.4 |
8108.2 |
8237.1 |
8368.1 |
8501.1 |
8636.2 |
8773.1 |
8912.1 |
9052.9 |
9195.5 |
9340.0 |
9486.4 |
Investment |
fI |
-1887.5 |
-2567.6 |
-1267.9 |
-9.9 |
965.8 |
1720.7 |
2322.4 |
2810.6 |
3204.6 |
3517.4 |
3757.9 |
3935.3 |
4058.2 |
4134.7 |
4172.2 |
4177.5 |
4156.6 |
4114.8 |
4056.5 |
3985.7 |
3905.5 |
3818.7 |
3727.6 |
3634.2 |
3540.1 |
3446.7 |
3355.1 |
3266.5 |
3181.7 |
3101.4 |
3026.6 |
2957.7 |
2895.4 |
2840.2 |
2792.6 |
2753.0 |
Export |
fE |
2670.9 |
4514.5 |
6212.9 |
7868.4 |
9442.9 |
10932.6 |
12320.6 |
13591.7 |
14735.8 |
15745.0 |
16615.9 |
17348.3 |
17945.4 |
18412.9 |
18758.8 |
18993.1 |
19127.0 |
19172.4 |
19142.0 |
19048.7 |
18905.1 |
18723.7 |
18516.3 |
18294.2 |
18067.8 |
17846.4 |
17638.6 |
17451.8 |
17292.5 |
17166.1 |
17076.8 |
17028.1 |
17022.5 |
17061.3 |
17145.4 |
17274.7 |
Import |
fM |
126.9 |
244.4 |
1030.6 |
1925.0 |
2724.4 |
3423.1 |
4051.7 |
4622.9 |
5144.1 |
5618.8 |
6048.8 |
6436.0 |
6782.3 |
7089.7 |
7360.4 |
7596.5 |
7800.6 |
7975.1 |
8122.4 |
8245.2 |
8345.8 |
8426.9 |
8490.8 |
8540.1 |
8577.0 |
8604.0 |
8623.3 |
8637.0 |
8647.3 |
8656.0 |
8665.3 |
8676.6 |
8691.9 |
8712.4 |
8739.6 |
8774.7 |
GDP |
fY |
7590.7 |
8881.2 |
11030.5 |
13402.7 |
15725.8 |
17850.5 |
19778.4 |
21509.9 |
23051.2 |
24409.4 |
25593.2 |
26613.8 |
27483.9 |
28217.0 |
28827.1 |
29328.5 |
29735.3 |
30061.0 |
30318.8 |
30521.1 |
30679.3 |
30804.3 |
30906.0 |
30993.3 |
31074.3 |
31156.4 |
31245.9 |
31348.7 |
31469.5 |
31612.6 |
31781.6 |
31979.3 |
32208.1 |
32469.7 |
32765.5 |
33096.2 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
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|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
-9.348 |
-10.029 |
-8.983 |
-7.221 |
-5.221 |
-3.223 |
-1.343 |
0.351 |
1.826 |
3.064 |
4.065 |
4.838 |
5.396 |
5.760 |
5.949 |
5.986 |
5.892 |
5.690 |
5.398 |
5.037 |
4.623 |
4.173 |
3.699 |
3.214 |
2.729 |
2.253 |
1.794 |
1.358 |
0.949 |
0.572 |
0.229 |
-0.077 |
-0.346 |
-0.577 |
-0.772 |
-0.930 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
6.078 |
5.466 |
4.747 |
3.791 |
2.743 |
1.704 |
0.721 |
-0.173 |
-0.956 |
-1.621 |
-2.162 |
-2.584 |
-2.894 |
-3.099 |
-3.210 |
-3.239 |
-3.197 |
-3.095 |
-2.943 |
-2.753 |
-2.533 |
-2.292 |
-2.038 |
-1.776 |
-1.514 |
-1.255 |
-1.005 |
-0.767 |
-0.544 |
-0.337 |
-0.149 |
0.020 |
0.169 |
0.297 |
0.405 |
0.493 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.181 |
-0.168 |
-0.111 |
-0.065 |
-0.020 |
0.023 |
0.062 |
0.095 |
0.124 |
0.146 |
0.164 |
0.177 |
0.185 |
0.189 |
0.191 |
0.189 |
0.185 |
0.180 |
0.173 |
0.165 |
0.156 |
0.147 |
0.138 |
0.129 |
0.120 |
0.111 |
0.103 |
0.096 |
0.089 |
0.083 |
0.077 |
0.072 |
0.068 |
0.064 |
0.061 |
0.059 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.147 |
0.147 |
0.085 |
0.038 |
-0.001 |
-0.033 |
-0.059 |
-0.078 |
-0.091 |
-0.098 |
-0.101 |
-0.100 |
-0.096 |
-0.090 |
-0.083 |
-0.075 |
-0.066 |
-0.057 |
-0.049 |
-0.041 |
-0.034 |
-0.027 |
-0.022 |
-0.016 |
-0.012 |
-0.008 |
-0.005 |
-0.002 |
0.001 |
0.003 |
0.004 |
0.006 |
0.007 |
0.008 |
0.008 |
0.009 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.038 |
-0.025 |
-0.030 |
-0.031 |
-0.025 |
-0.015 |
-0.002 |
0.013 |
0.029 |
0.045 |
0.060 |
0.074 |
0.086 |
0.097 |
0.106 |
0.113 |
0.118 |
0.122 |
0.123 |
0.124 |
0.123 |
0.120 |
0.117 |
0.114 |
0.109 |
0.105 |
0.100 |
0.096 |
0.091 |
0.087 |
0.083 |
0.079 |
0.076 |
0.073 |
0.071 |
0.070 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
0.197 |
0.256 |
0.262 |
0.249 |
0.230 |
0.215 |
0.206 |
0.204 |
0.210 |
0.224 |
0.246 |
0.277 |
0.315 |
0.360 |
0.411 |
0.466 |
0.524 |
0.585 |
0.648 |
0.710 |
0.772 |
0.833 |
0.892 |
0.949 |
1.004 |
1.056 |
1.105 |
1.151 |
1.194 |
1.235 |
1.273 |
1.309 |
1.343 |
1.376 |
1.407 |
1.437 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.270 |
0.456 |
0.560 |
0.609 |
0.611 |
0.573 |
0.499 |
0.396 |
0.269 |
0.125 |
-0.031 |
-0.194 |
-0.359 |
-0.523 |
-0.683 |
-0.836 |
-0.980 |
-1.114 |
-1.237 |
-1.349 |
-1.448 |
-1.536 |
-1.612 |
-1.677 |
-1.732 |
-1.776 |
-1.812 |
-1.839 |
-1.858 |
-1.871 |
-1.879 |
-1.881 |
-1.879 |
-1.874 |
-1.867 |
-1.857 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.371 |
-0.481 |
-0.603 |
-0.709 |
-0.792 |
-0.855 |
-0.900 |
-0.931 |
-0.948 |
-0.955 |
-0.953 |
-0.943 |
-0.927 |
-0.906 |
-0.882 |
-0.855 |
-0.826 |
-0.797 |
-0.767 |
-0.737 |
-0.709 |
-0.681 |
-0.655 |
-0.630 |
-0.607 |
-0.586 |
-0.568 |
-0.551 |
-0.536 |
-0.524 |
-0.514 |
-0.505 |
-0.499 |
-0.494 |
-0.491 |
-0.489 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.671 |
-0.769 |
-0.839 |
-0.886 |
-0.917 |
-0.936 |
-0.948 |
-0.954 |
-0.958 |
-0.959 |
-0.959 |
-0.958 |
-0.957 |
-0.956 |
-0.955 |
-0.954 |
-0.953 |
-0.952 |
-0.952 |
-0.951 |
-0.951 |
-0.952 |
-0.952 |
-0.953 |
-0.954 |
-0.954 |
-0.955 |
-0.956 |
-0.957 |
-0.958 |
-0.960 |
-0.961 |
-0.961 |
-0.962 |
-0.963 |
-0.964 |
User cost |
uim |
-0.356 |
-0.415 |
-0.476 |
-0.532 |
-0.580 |
-0.619 |
-0.648 |
-0.669 |
-0.681 |
-0.685 |
-0.682 |
-0.673 |
-0.660 |
-0.642 |
-0.620 |
-0.597 |
-0.571 |
-0.545 |
-0.519 |
-0.492 |
-0.467 |
-0.442 |
-0.419 |
-0.398 |
-0.378 |
-0.361 |
-0.345 |
-0.332 |
-0.321 |
-0.312 |
-0.304 |
-0.299 |
-0.296 |
-0.294 |
-0.293 |
-0.294 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.249 |
-0.412 |
-0.551 |
-0.670 |
-0.763 |
-0.830 |
-0.870 |
-0.887 |
-0.882 |
-0.858 |
-0.819 |
-0.766 |
-0.704 |
-0.634 |
-0.560 |
-0.483 |
-0.405 |
-0.328 |
-0.254 |
-0.183 |
-0.117 |
-0.056 |
-0.001 |
0.048 |
0.091 |
0.127 |
0.157 |
0.181 |
0.200 |
0.212 |
0.220 |
0.223 |
0.223 |
0.218 |
0.211 |
0.200 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.374 |
-0.483 |
-0.568 |
-0.645 |
-0.712 |
-0.768 |
-0.814 |
-0.849 |
-0.875 |
-0.891 |
-0.900 |
-0.901 |
-0.896 |
-0.885 |
-0.871 |
-0.852 |
-0.831 |
-0.808 |
-0.784 |
-0.760 |
-0.735 |
-0.711 |
-0.688 |
-0.666 |
-0.645 |
-0.627 |
-0.610 |
-0.595 |
-0.582 |
-0.571 |
-0.562 |
-0.555 |
-0.550 |
-0.546 |
-0.545 |
-0.544 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.278 |
-0.348 |
-0.409 |
-0.462 |
-0.508 |
-0.546 |
-0.575 |
-0.596 |
-0.611 |
-0.618 |
-0.620 |
-0.617 |
-0.609 |
-0.598 |
-0.584 |
-0.568 |
-0.551 |
-0.532 |
-0.513 |
-0.494 |
-0.476 |
-0.458 |
-0.441 |
-0.426 |
-0.412 |
-0.399 |
-0.388 |
-0.378 |
-0.370 |
-0.364 |
-0.359 |
-0.355 |
-0.353 |
-0.352 |
-0.352 |
-0.353 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
|
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|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
-0.006 |
0.018 |
0.013 |
0.007 |
0.011 |
0.019 |
0.028 |
0.035 |
0.040 |
0.042 |
0.042 |
0.041 |
0.038 |
0.036 |
0.033 |
0.030 |
0.028 |
0.026 |
0.025 |
0.025 |
0.025 |
0.026 |
0.027 |
0.029 |
0.032 |
0.035 |
0.038 |
0.041 |
0.044 |
0.047 |
0.050 |
0.053 |
0.055 |
0.057 |
0.059 |
0.061 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.136 |
-0.200 |
-0.244 |
-0.271 |
-0.284 |
-0.286 |
-0.279 |
-0.265 |
-0.247 |
-0.225 |
-0.200 |
-0.175 |
-0.150 |
-0.125 |
-0.100 |
-0.078 |
-0.057 |
-0.037 |
-0.020 |
-0.006 |
0.007 |
0.018 |
0.026 |
0.032 |
0.037 |
0.040 |
0.041 |
0.041 |
0.039 |
0.037 |
0.033 |
0.029 |
0.025 |
0.020 |
0.014 |
0.009 |
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