|
|
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
2053 |
2054 |
2055 |
2056 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
428.8 |
264.8 |
15.3 |
119.2 |
403.1 |
759.4 |
1142.8 |
1537.4 |
1938.5 |
2343.5 |
2747.8 |
3146.9 |
3535.0 |
3905.5 |
4252.0 |
4568.1 |
4847.9 |
5086.4 |
5279.2 |
5423.4 |
5517.2 |
5560.1 |
5552.9 |
5497.9 |
5398.7 |
5260.0 |
5087.8 |
4888.8 |
4670.8 |
4441.8 |
4210.4 |
3985.3 |
3774.9 |
3587.3 |
3430.1 |
3309.9 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
-361.6 |
-549.5 |
-558.6 |
-458.3 |
-309.7 |
-138.7 |
38.1 |
208.3 |
362.1 |
492.1 |
592.2 |
658.6 |
688.9 |
682.2 |
639.1 |
561.5 |
452.2 |
315.0 |
154.7 |
-23.7 |
-214.4 |
-411.5 |
-609.1 |
-801.5 |
-983.2 |
-1149.0 |
-1294.4 |
-1415.7 |
-1509.7 |
-1574.4 |
-1608.4 |
-1611.2 |
-1583.5 |
-1526.6 |
-1442.8 |
-1335.0 |
Investment |
fI |
-2147.0 |
-3089.7 |
-2313.8 |
-1537.8 |
-955.7 |
-497.8 |
-113.0 |
216.0 |
493.4 |
717.4 |
885.0 |
994.4 |
1045.1 |
1038.4 |
976.7 |
863.6 |
703.9 |
503.3 |
268.2 |
5.6 |
-277.0 |
-571.8 |
-871.1 |
-1167.2 |
-1452.7 |
-1720.5 |
-1964.4 |
-2178.7 |
-2358.7 |
-2500.6 |
-2601.6 |
-2660.2 |
-2675.9 |
-2649.4 |
-2582.6 |
-2478.3 |
Export |
fE |
232.2 |
537.2 |
886.6 |
1292.8 |
1713.1 |
2129.4 |
2518.7 |
2862.7 |
3144.3 |
3350.5 |
3471.5 |
3501.8 |
3439.9 |
3288.3 |
3052.8 |
2742.7 |
2369.6 |
1947.5 |
1491.5 |
1018.0 |
543.7 |
84.9 |
-342.7 |
-724.6 |
-1048.2 |
-1302.6 |
-1479.5 |
-1572.8 |
-1579.5 |
-1498.9 |
-1333.1 |
-1086.8 |
-767.1 |
-383.3 |
53.6 |
531.0 |
Import |
fM |
-1120.2 |
-1680.5 |
-1276.2 |
-739.0 |
-239.5 |
221.1 |
659.3 |
1075.4 |
1464.5 |
1819.1 |
2130.4 |
2391.3 |
2595.8 |
2739.6 |
2820.2 |
2837.3 |
2792.2 |
2687.9 |
2529.1 |
2322.2 |
2074.6 |
1794.7 |
1491.8 |
1175.6 |
856.0 |
543.0 |
246.0 |
-26.0 |
-264.8 |
-463.3 |
-615.8 |
-717.5 |
-765.6 |
-758.5 |
-696.2 |
-580.3 |
GDP |
fY |
-782.9 |
-1252.9 |
-768.7 |
101.7 |
1057.2 |
2008.4 |
2912.1 |
3740.4 |
4471.9 |
5089.4 |
5578.7 |
5931.3 |
6143.1 |
6214.6 |
6150.3 |
5958.7 |
5651.6 |
5244.0 |
4752.9 |
4197.3 |
3597.3 |
2973.7 |
2347.4 |
1738.7 |
1166.8 |
649.4 |
202.2 |
-161.3 |
-430.4 |
-597.2 |
-656.9 |
-607.6 |
-450.8 |
-190.7 |
165.4 |
607.8 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
-2.033 |
-2.773 |
-2.401 |
-1.498 |
-0.413 |
0.713 |
1.798 |
2.782 |
3.624 |
4.295 |
4.779 |
5.067 |
5.161 |
5.068 |
4.804 |
4.386 |
3.837 |
3.184 |
2.453 |
1.671 |
0.867 |
0.066 |
-0.705 |
-1.424 |
-2.072 |
-2.632 |
-3.090 |
-3.437 |
-3.668 |
-3.780 |
-3.775 |
-3.657 |
-3.435 |
-3.120 |
-2.723 |
-2.259 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
1.322 |
1.560 |
1.257 |
0.747 |
0.171 |
-0.422 |
-0.994 |
-1.515 |
-1.963 |
-2.322 |
-2.582 |
-2.738 |
-2.791 |
-2.743 |
-2.603 |
-2.381 |
-2.087 |
-1.736 |
-1.343 |
-0.922 |
-0.487 |
-0.054 |
0.363 |
0.754 |
1.106 |
1.411 |
1.662 |
1.853 |
1.981 |
2.044 |
2.045 |
1.984 |
1.866 |
1.698 |
1.485 |
1.235 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.025 |
-0.016 |
-0.014 |
-0.008 |
0.001 |
0.011 |
0.022 |
0.032 |
0.040 |
0.046 |
0.050 |
0.052 |
0.053 |
0.051 |
0.048 |
0.044 |
0.038 |
0.032 |
0.025 |
0.018 |
0.011 |
0.003 |
-0.003 |
-0.010 |
-0.015 |
-0.020 |
-0.024 |
-0.027 |
-0.029 |
-0.030 |
-0.030 |
-0.029 |
-0.027 |
-0.024 |
-0.021 |
-0.017 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.070 |
0.082 |
0.069 |
0.052 |
0.034 |
0.018 |
0.003 |
-0.010 |
-0.020 |
-0.028 |
-0.033 |
-0.037 |
-0.038 |
-0.039 |
-0.038 |
-0.037 |
-0.035 |
-0.032 |
-0.029 |
-0.025 |
-0.022 |
-0.018 |
-0.015 |
-0.011 |
-0.008 |
-0.005 |
-0.002 |
0.000 |
0.003 |
0.005 |
0.007 |
0.008 |
0.009 |
0.010 |
0.010 |
0.010 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
0.044 |
0.065 |
0.054 |
0.042 |
0.034 |
0.028 |
0.024 |
0.022 |
0.020 |
0.019 |
0.018 |
0.017 |
0.016 |
0.015 |
0.012 |
0.010 |
0.007 |
0.003 |
0.000 |
-0.004 |
-0.008 |
-0.012 |
-0.015 |
-0.018 |
-0.021 |
-0.023 |
-0.024 |
-0.025 |
-0.024 |
-0.024 |
-0.022 |
-0.020 |
-0.017 |
-0.014 |
-0.010 |
-0.007 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
0.117 |
0.229 |
0.283 |
0.301 |
0.298 |
0.283 |
0.259 |
0.228 |
0.193 |
0.156 |
0.119 |
0.083 |
0.050 |
0.020 |
-0.005 |
-0.027 |
-0.044 |
-0.057 |
-0.066 |
-0.071 |
-0.072 |
-0.071 |
-0.067 |
-0.062 |
-0.054 |
-0.045 |
-0.036 |
-0.025 |
-0.015 |
-0.004 |
0.007 |
0.017 |
0.028 |
0.038 |
0.047 |
0.056 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.055 |
0.094 |
0.109 |
0.110 |
0.098 |
0.075 |
0.042 |
-0.001 |
-0.050 |
-0.103 |
-0.159 |
-0.215 |
-0.268 |
-0.318 |
-0.362 |
-0.400 |
-0.430 |
-0.452 |
-0.466 |
-0.472 |
-0.469 |
-0.459 |
-0.443 |
-0.420 |
-0.392 |
-0.360 |
-0.325 |
-0.288 |
-0.250 |
-0.213 |
-0.176 |
-0.142 |
-0.111 |
-0.084 |
-0.061 |
-0.042 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
0.005 |
-0.018 |
-0.067 |
-0.117 |
-0.159 |
-0.193 |
-0.219 |
-0.235 |
-0.244 |
-0.245 |
-0.239 |
-0.226 |
-0.208 |
-0.185 |
-0.158 |
-0.129 |
-0.098 |
-0.067 |
-0.036 |
-0.006 |
0.021 |
0.046 |
0.066 |
0.083 |
0.096 |
0.104 |
0.108 |
0.107 |
0.102 |
0.093 |
0.081 |
0.066 |
0.048 |
0.029 |
0.008 |
-0.013 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.036 |
-0.048 |
-0.062 |
-0.072 |
-0.078 |
-0.080 |
-0.080 |
-0.080 |
-0.078 |
-0.076 |
-0.074 |
-0.073 |
-0.072 |
-0.071 |
-0.070 |
-0.071 |
-0.071 |
-0.072 |
-0.074 |
-0.076 |
-0.078 |
-0.080 |
-0.082 |
-0.085 |
-0.087 |
-0.089 |
-0.091 |
-0.093 |
-0.094 |
-0.095 |
-0.096 |
-0.096 |
-0.096 |
-0.096 |
-0.095 |
-0.094 |
User cost |
uim |
-0.038 |
-0.066 |
-0.085 |
-0.099 |
-0.108 |
-0.112 |
-0.110 |
-0.103 |
-0.090 |
-0.074 |
-0.054 |
-0.031 |
-0.006 |
0.019 |
0.045 |
0.070 |
0.093 |
0.113 |
0.131 |
0.145 |
0.156 |
0.163 |
0.166 |
0.165 |
0.160 |
0.152 |
0.141 |
0.127 |
0.111 |
0.093 |
0.075 |
0.056 |
0.038 |
0.020 |
0.004 |
-0.011 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.031 |
-0.073 |
-0.113 |
-0.141 |
-0.155 |
-0.154 |
-0.139 |
-0.109 |
-0.067 |
-0.015 |
0.045 |
0.111 |
0.180 |
0.250 |
0.317 |
0.381 |
0.438 |
0.487 |
0.528 |
0.558 |
0.578 |
0.586 |
0.584 |
0.572 |
0.550 |
0.520 |
0.483 |
0.440 |
0.392 |
0.342 |
0.291 |
0.240 |
0.191 |
0.146 |
0.105 |
0.070 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.028 |
-0.052 |
-0.074 |
-0.092 |
-0.106 |
-0.114 |
-0.116 |
-0.114 |
-0.106 |
-0.093 |
-0.076 |
-0.055 |
-0.032 |
-0.008 |
0.018 |
0.044 |
0.068 |
0.091 |
0.112 |
0.130 |
0.144 |
0.155 |
0.162 |
0.166 |
0.165 |
0.160 |
0.152 |
0.141 |
0.128 |
0.112 |
0.095 |
0.076 |
0.057 |
0.038 |
0.020 |
0.003 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.030 |
-0.050 |
-0.068 |
-0.083 |
-0.093 |
-0.099 |
-0.101 |
-0.099 |
-0.093 |
-0.084 |
-0.072 |
-0.057 |
-0.041 |
-0.023 |
-0.006 |
0.012 |
0.028 |
0.043 |
0.056 |
0.067 |
0.076 |
0.082 |
0.085 |
0.085 |
0.082 |
0.077 |
0.070 |
0.060 |
0.049 |
0.037 |
0.024 |
0.011 |
-0.003 |
-0.016 |
-0.028 |
-0.039 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
0.029 |
0.048 |
0.025 |
0.014 |
0.014 |
0.018 |
0.025 |
0.031 |
0.037 |
0.042 |
0.047 |
0.052 |
0.057 |
0.062 |
0.068 |
0.073 |
0.079 |
0.085 |
0.091 |
0.097 |
0.102 |
0.108 |
0.112 |
0.116 |
0.119 |
0.122 |
0.123 |
0.123 |
0.123 |
0.122 |
0.119 |
0.116 |
0.113 |
0.108 |
0.104 |
0.099 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.010 |
-0.018 |
-0.027 |
-0.032 |
-0.032 |
-0.026 |
-0.016 |
-0.002 |
0.014 |
0.032 |
0.051 |
0.069 |
0.087 |
0.103 |
0.118 |
0.130 |
0.140 |
0.146 |
0.150 |
0.151 |
0.148 |
0.144 |
0.136 |
0.127 |
0.116 |
0.103 |
0.090 |
0.076 |
0.063 |
0.049 |
0.037 |
0.025 |
0.015 |
0.007 |
0.001 |
-0.004 |
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