|
|
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
2053 |
2054 |
2055 |
2056 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
149.3 |
-106.1 |
-462.0 |
-472.2 |
-319.7 |
-109.2 |
115.7 |
340.3 |
561.6 |
779.7 |
994.4 |
1205.7 |
1413.0 |
1615.5 |
1812.1 |
2001.6 |
2182.9 |
2354.9 |
2516.6 |
2666.8 |
2804.8 |
2929.7 |
3041.1 |
3138.5 |
3221.7 |
3290.6 |
3345.4 |
3386.6 |
3414.6 |
3430.2 |
3434.4 |
3428.2 |
3412.8 |
3389.7 |
3360.1 |
3325.7 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
-3.5 |
-27.5 |
-46.3 |
-73.2 |
-106.2 |
-141.7 |
-177.3 |
-211.9 |
-244.8 |
-275.9 |
-304.9 |
-332.0 |
-357.2 |
-380.3 |
-401.6 |
-421.0 |
-438.7 |
-454.8 |
-469.3 |
-482.5 |
-494.3 |
-505.0 |
-514.6 |
-523.2 |
-531.1 |
-538.3 |
-544.9 |
-551.1 |
-556.9 |
-562.5 |
-568.0 |
-573.4 |
-578.9 |
-584.6 |
-590.4 |
-596.6 |
Investment |
fI |
-2092.1 |
-2876.6 |
-2330.7 |
-1837.0 |
-1498.8 |
-1245.7 |
-1033.2 |
-847.2 |
-683.7 |
-543.3 |
-427.2 |
-336.3 |
-270.2 |
-228.2 |
-209.2 |
-211.5 |
-233.3 |
-272.7 |
-327.7 |
-396.4 |
-476.6 |
-566.5 |
-664.2 |
-767.9 |
-875.8 |
-986.4 |
-1098.0 |
-1209.3 |
-1319.0 |
-1425.9 |
-1528.9 |
-1627.0 |
-1719.5 |
-1805.7 |
-1885.0 |
-1957.0 |
Export |
fE |
232.5 |
532.3 |
855.6 |
1222.5 |
1600.3 |
1981.6 |
2353.9 |
2707.8 |
3033.6 |
3323.4 |
3570.6 |
3770.3 |
3919.6 |
4017.3 |
4063.5 |
4060.1 |
4009.8 |
3916.7 |
3785.4 |
3621.3 |
3430.2 |
3218.3 |
2991.6 |
2756.5 |
2518.7 |
2284.2 |
2058.2 |
1845.5 |
1650.5 |
1476.9 |
1327.8 |
1205.7 |
1112.4 |
1049.1 |
1016.3 |
1014.0 |
Import |
fM |
-1128.8 |
-1596.0 |
-1337.6 |
-990.6 |
-678.3 |
-401.1 |
-140.9 |
106.7 |
342.0 |
563.0 |
766.9 |
951.3 |
1114.1 |
1253.8 |
1369.4 |
1460.7 |
1527.6 |
1570.8 |
1591.2 |
1590.2 |
1569.3 |
1530.3 |
1475.3 |
1406.5 |
1326.0 |
1236.2 |
1139.4 |
1038.0 |
934.0 |
829.8 |
727.3 |
628.4 |
534.8 |
448.1 |
369.6 |
300.4 |
GDP |
fY |
-644.1 |
-974.1 |
-721.9 |
-231.5 |
305.3 |
842.6 |
1359.1 |
1843.2 |
2287.2 |
2685.0 |
3031.7 |
3324.4 |
3561.8 |
3744.1 |
3872.7 |
3950.0 |
3979.2 |
3964.3 |
3909.9 |
3820.7 |
3701.9 |
3558.6 |
3396.2 |
3219.8 |
3034.5 |
2844.9 |
2655.7 |
2471.0 |
2294.6 |
2129.9 |
1979.9 |
1847.0 |
1733.4 |
1640.6 |
1569.8 |
1521.7 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
-1.522 |
-2.028 |
-1.938 |
-1.545 |
-1.033 |
-0.475 |
0.087 |
0.622 |
1.111 |
1.539 |
1.896 |
2.180 |
2.389 |
2.524 |
2.589 |
2.590 |
2.532 |
2.422 |
2.268 |
2.078 |
1.859 |
1.618 |
1.364 |
1.102 |
0.838 |
0.578 |
0.328 |
0.091 |
-0.129 |
-0.329 |
-0.507 |
-0.662 |
-0.791 |
-0.896 |
-0.975 |
-1.029 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
0.990 |
1.138 |
1.032 |
0.805 |
0.533 |
0.240 |
-0.057 |
-0.340 |
-0.600 |
-0.830 |
-1.022 |
-1.176 |
-1.291 |
-1.366 |
-1.403 |
-1.406 |
-1.376 |
-1.319 |
-1.238 |
-1.136 |
-1.019 |
-0.890 |
-0.752 |
-0.610 |
-0.468 |
-0.327 |
-0.190 |
-0.061 |
0.059 |
0.169 |
0.267 |
0.352 |
0.423 |
0.481 |
0.526 |
0.557 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.008 |
-0.010 |
-0.007 |
0.001 |
0.012 |
0.025 |
0.038 |
0.051 |
0.063 |
0.074 |
0.082 |
0.090 |
0.095 |
0.099 |
0.101 |
0.102 |
0.102 |
0.101 |
0.099 |
0.096 |
0.092 |
0.088 |
0.084 |
0.080 |
0.076 |
0.072 |
0.068 |
0.064 |
0.061 |
0.058 |
0.055 |
0.053 |
0.051 |
0.050 |
0.049 |
0.049 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.052 |
0.072 |
0.066 |
0.055 |
0.043 |
0.031 |
0.019 |
0.008 |
-0.001 |
-0.008 |
-0.014 |
-0.018 |
-0.020 |
-0.022 |
-0.022 |
-0.022 |
-0.021 |
-0.020 |
-0.018 |
-0.016 |
-0.014 |
-0.012 |
-0.010 |
-0.008 |
-0.006 |
-0.004 |
-0.002 |
-0.001 |
0.001 |
0.002 |
0.003 |
0.004 |
0.004 |
0.005 |
0.006 |
0.006 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
0.043 |
0.061 |
0.058 |
0.055 |
0.054 |
0.055 |
0.056 |
0.059 |
0.062 |
0.065 |
0.068 |
0.072 |
0.075 |
0.077 |
0.079 |
0.081 |
0.081 |
0.082 |
0.081 |
0.081 |
0.079 |
0.078 |
0.076 |
0.074 |
0.071 |
0.069 |
0.067 |
0.065 |
0.063 |
0.061 |
0.059 |
0.058 |
0.057 |
0.056 |
0.056 |
0.056 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
0.097 |
0.194 |
0.259 |
0.307 |
0.344 |
0.378 |
0.408 |
0.437 |
0.464 |
0.491 |
0.519 |
0.548 |
0.578 |
0.609 |
0.642 |
0.675 |
0.709 |
0.744 |
0.780 |
0.815 |
0.850 |
0.884 |
0.918 |
0.950 |
0.982 |
1.012 |
1.041 |
1.069 |
1.096 |
1.122 |
1.146 |
1.170 |
1.193 |
1.215 |
1.237 |
1.259 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.038 |
0.066 |
0.079 |
0.078 |
0.066 |
0.040 |
0.003 |
-0.046 |
-0.104 |
-0.170 |
-0.243 |
-0.320 |
-0.400 |
-0.480 |
-0.560 |
-0.637 |
-0.712 |
-0.783 |
-0.849 |
-0.910 |
-0.966 |
-1.016 |
-1.061 |
-1.099 |
-1.133 |
-1.161 |
-1.184 |
-1.204 |
-1.219 |
-1.231 |
-1.239 |
-1.246 |
-1.250 |
-1.254 |
-1.256 |
-1.258 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.001 |
-0.027 |
-0.067 |
-0.104 |
-0.136 |
-0.163 |
-0.185 |
-0.201 |
-0.213 |
-0.221 |
-0.224 |
-0.224 |
-0.221 |
-0.215 |
-0.207 |
-0.197 |
-0.185 |
-0.172 |
-0.159 |
-0.145 |
-0.132 |
-0.119 |
-0.106 |
-0.094 |
-0.083 |
-0.072 |
-0.063 |
-0.056 |
-0.049 |
-0.044 |
-0.040 |
-0.038 |
-0.036 |
-0.036 |
-0.037 |
-0.038 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.026 |
-0.035 |
-0.049 |
-0.060 |
-0.068 |
-0.074 |
-0.077 |
-0.080 |
-0.082 |
-0.083 |
-0.083 |
-0.083 |
-0.083 |
-0.082 |
-0.082 |
-0.081 |
-0.080 |
-0.080 |
-0.079 |
-0.078 |
-0.078 |
-0.077 |
-0.077 |
-0.076 |
-0.076 |
-0.076 |
-0.075 |
-0.075 |
-0.075 |
-0.075 |
-0.075 |
-0.075 |
-0.075 |
-0.076 |
-0.076 |
-0.076 |
User cost |
uim |
-0.022 |
-0.030 |
-0.047 |
-0.062 |
-0.075 |
-0.086 |
-0.093 |
-0.098 |
-0.099 |
-0.098 |
-0.095 |
-0.089 |
-0.082 |
-0.073 |
-0.062 |
-0.051 |
-0.040 |
-0.028 |
-0.016 |
-0.004 |
0.007 |
0.018 |
0.027 |
0.036 |
0.044 |
0.050 |
0.055 |
0.060 |
0.062 |
0.064 |
0.065 |
0.065 |
0.063 |
0.061 |
0.058 |
0.055 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.026 |
-0.059 |
-0.090 |
-0.117 |
-0.137 |
-0.149 |
-0.154 |
-0.151 |
-0.142 |
-0.126 |
-0.104 |
-0.078 |
-0.048 |
-0.016 |
0.019 |
0.054 |
0.088 |
0.122 |
0.155 |
0.185 |
0.213 |
0.238 |
0.259 |
0.278 |
0.292 |
0.303 |
0.311 |
0.315 |
0.316 |
0.314 |
0.310 |
0.303 |
0.294 |
0.283 |
0.271 |
0.258 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.027 |
-0.048 |
-0.068 |
-0.085 |
-0.100 |
-0.112 |
-0.121 |
-0.127 |
-0.130 |
-0.130 |
-0.127 |
-0.122 |
-0.115 |
-0.106 |
-0.095 |
-0.083 |
-0.071 |
-0.058 |
-0.045 |
-0.032 |
-0.019 |
-0.007 |
0.004 |
0.014 |
0.023 |
0.031 |
0.037 |
0.043 |
0.046 |
0.049 |
0.051 |
0.051 |
0.050 |
0.048 |
0.045 |
0.042 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.029 |
-0.047 |
-0.063 |
-0.077 |
-0.088 |
-0.098 |
-0.104 |
-0.109 |
-0.110 |
-0.110 |
-0.108 |
-0.104 |
-0.098 |
-0.091 |
-0.083 |
-0.075 |
-0.066 |
-0.057 |
-0.048 |
-0.039 |
-0.031 |
-0.023 |
-0.016 |
-0.010 |
-0.004 |
0.000 |
0.004 |
0.007 |
0.008 |
0.009 |
0.009 |
0.009 |
0.007 |
0.005 |
0.003 |
0.000 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
0.038 |
0.051 |
0.025 |
0.013 |
0.012 |
0.016 |
0.022 |
0.027 |
0.032 |
0.037 |
0.040 |
0.043 |
0.046 |
0.048 |
0.051 |
0.053 |
0.054 |
0.056 |
0.058 |
0.060 |
0.062 |
0.064 |
0.066 |
0.068 |
0.070 |
0.072 |
0.074 |
0.075 |
0.077 |
0.078 |
0.080 |
0.081 |
0.081 |
0.082 |
0.082 |
0.083 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.004 |
-0.008 |
-0.015 |
-0.021 |
-0.023 |
-0.023 |
-0.020 |
-0.015 |
-0.008 |
0.000 |
0.009 |
0.018 |
0.028 |
0.038 |
0.047 |
0.056 |
0.064 |
0.072 |
0.078 |
0.084 |
0.089 |
0.092 |
0.095 |
0.096 |
0.097 |
0.097 |
0.096 |
0.094 |
0.092 |
0.089 |
0.086 |
0.082 |
0.078 |
0.074 |
0.070 |
0.067 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
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|
|
|
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|
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|