|
|
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
2053 |
2054 |
2055 |
2056 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
149.8 |
-101.5 |
-449.8 |
-452.7 |
-297.3 |
-91.1 |
121.7 |
326.8 |
521.9 |
707.9 |
885.6 |
1056.0 |
1219.6 |
1376.3 |
1526.2 |
1669.1 |
1804.8 |
1932.9 |
2053.2 |
2165.6 |
2269.8 |
2365.6 |
2453.0 |
2531.9 |
2602.3 |
2664.4 |
2718.4 |
2764.7 |
2803.4 |
2835.2 |
2860.5 |
2880.0 |
2894.3 |
2904.1 |
2910.1 |
2913.0 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
-3.6 |
-28.0 |
-47.3 |
-74.6 |
-107.6 |
-142.5 |
-177.1 |
-210.2 |
-241.3 |
-270.2 |
-297.0 |
-321.7 |
-344.4 |
-365.3 |
-384.5 |
-402.1 |
-418.2 |
-433.0 |
-446.6 |
-459.1 |
-470.7 |
-481.5 |
-491.6 |
-501.0 |
-510.0 |
-518.5 |
-526.7 |
-534.6 |
-542.3 |
-549.9 |
-557.4 |
-564.9 |
-572.5 |
-580.1 |
-587.8 |
-595.7 |
Investment |
fI |
-2086.1 |
-2856.7 |
-2296.9 |
-1802.1 |
-1478.2 |
-1251.3 |
-1073.2 |
-926.8 |
-805.6 |
-708.2 |
-633.8 |
-581.7 |
-550.2 |
-537.7 |
-542.0 |
-561.1 |
-592.9 |
-635.4 |
-686.7 |
-745.2 |
-809.4 |
-878.0 |
-949.6 |
-1023.4 |
-1098.3 |
-1173.5 |
-1248.4 |
-1322.4 |
-1394.9 |
-1465.6 |
-1534.0 |
-1599.8 |
-1662.9 |
-1723.0 |
-1780.0 |
-1833.8 |
Export |
fE |
275.2 |
620.7 |
953.2 |
1292.8 |
1613.4 |
1913.8 |
2187.8 |
2432.5 |
2644.2 |
2820.5 |
2959.8 |
3062.0 |
3127.7 |
3158.5 |
3157.1 |
3126.4 |
3069.8 |
2991.3 |
2894.7 |
2784.0 |
2663.2 |
2536.0 |
2406.2 |
2277.0 |
2151.5 |
2032.5 |
1922.3 |
1822.9 |
1736.0 |
1662.9 |
1604.5 |
1561.4 |
1534.0 |
1522.1 |
1525.5 |
1543.7 |
Import |
fM |
-1089.3 |
-1521.9 |
-1259.6 |
-936.5 |
-670.8 |
-457.5 |
-273.9 |
-111.3 |
33.9 |
163.2 |
276.7 |
374.8 |
457.5 |
525.3 |
578.8 |
618.8 |
646.2 |
661.8 |
666.8 |
662.3 |
649.3 |
629.0 |
602.4 |
570.6 |
534.6 |
495.4 |
453.9 |
411.0 |
367.5 |
324.2 |
281.8 |
240.8 |
201.9 |
165.5 |
132.1 |
101.9 |
GDP |
fY |
-633.7 |
-934.6 |
-656.1 |
-161.6 |
352.2 |
841.7 |
1290.1 |
1691.5 |
2043.7 |
2345.8 |
2597.7 |
2800.8 |
2957.5 |
3070.9 |
3144.6 |
3182.9 |
3189.8 |
3169.8 |
3127.0 |
3065.8 |
2989.9 |
2903.2 |
2809.0 |
2710.5 |
2610.7 |
2511.9 |
2416.4 |
2326.1 |
2242.8 |
2167.6 |
2101.8 |
2046.0 |
2001.0 |
1967.0 |
1944.3 |
1932.8 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
-1.516 |
-1.997 |
-1.877 |
-1.470 |
-0.971 |
-0.451 |
0.051 |
0.509 |
0.909 |
1.244 |
1.510 |
1.708 |
1.841 |
1.915 |
1.936 |
1.909 |
1.843 |
1.744 |
1.618 |
1.472 |
1.312 |
1.144 |
0.971 |
0.798 |
0.628 |
0.466 |
0.311 |
0.168 |
0.038 |
-0.080 |
-0.183 |
-0.272 |
-0.347 |
-0.407 |
-0.454 |
-0.487 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
0.986 |
1.119 |
0.997 |
0.765 |
0.501 |
0.229 |
-0.034 |
-0.276 |
-0.488 |
-0.667 |
-0.811 |
-0.919 |
-0.993 |
-1.035 |
-1.048 |
-1.036 |
-1.002 |
-0.950 |
-0.884 |
-0.806 |
-0.721 |
-0.630 |
-0.537 |
-0.443 |
-0.351 |
-0.263 |
-0.179 |
-0.100 |
-0.029 |
0.036 |
0.093 |
0.142 |
0.183 |
0.217 |
0.243 |
0.262 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.008 |
-0.009 |
-0.006 |
0.003 |
0.014 |
0.025 |
0.037 |
0.049 |
0.059 |
0.067 |
0.074 |
0.079 |
0.083 |
0.086 |
0.087 |
0.087 |
0.087 |
0.086 |
0.084 |
0.082 |
0.079 |
0.077 |
0.074 |
0.072 |
0.069 |
0.067 |
0.064 |
0.063 |
0.061 |
0.059 |
0.058 |
0.057 |
0.057 |
0.056 |
0.056 |
0.056 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.052 |
0.071 |
0.066 |
0.054 |
0.042 |
0.030 |
0.019 |
0.009 |
0.001 |
-0.005 |
-0.010 |
-0.013 |
-0.015 |
-0.016 |
-0.017 |
-0.016 |
-0.015 |
-0.014 |
-0.013 |
-0.011 |
-0.010 |
-0.008 |
-0.007 |
-0.005 |
-0.004 |
-0.003 |
-0.002 |
-0.001 |
0.000 |
0.001 |
0.002 |
0.002 |
0.003 |
0.003 |
0.004 |
0.004 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
0.044 |
0.061 |
0.059 |
0.056 |
0.055 |
0.055 |
0.056 |
0.057 |
0.059 |
0.061 |
0.063 |
0.066 |
0.067 |
0.069 |
0.070 |
0.071 |
0.071 |
0.071 |
0.071 |
0.071 |
0.070 |
0.069 |
0.068 |
0.067 |
0.066 |
0.065 |
0.064 |
0.063 |
0.062 |
0.061 |
0.061 |
0.060 |
0.060 |
0.060 |
0.060 |
0.061 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
0.097 |
0.193 |
0.258 |
0.305 |
0.344 |
0.380 |
0.412 |
0.443 |
0.472 |
0.500 |
0.528 |
0.556 |
0.585 |
0.613 |
0.642 |
0.672 |
0.701 |
0.730 |
0.759 |
0.788 |
0.817 |
0.845 |
0.872 |
0.899 |
0.926 |
0.951 |
0.976 |
1.001 |
1.025 |
1.048 |
1.071 |
1.094 |
1.116 |
1.139 |
1.161 |
1.184 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.037 |
0.065 |
0.076 |
0.074 |
0.060 |
0.035 |
-0.001 |
-0.046 |
-0.099 |
-0.158 |
-0.221 |
-0.288 |
-0.356 |
-0.423 |
-0.490 |
-0.554 |
-0.616 |
-0.675 |
-0.729 |
-0.780 |
-0.827 |
-0.870 |
-0.909 |
-0.944 |
-0.975 |
-1.003 |
-1.028 |
-1.050 |
-1.070 |
-1.088 |
-1.104 |
-1.118 |
-1.132 |
-1.144 |
-1.156 |
-1.168 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.002 |
-0.030 |
-0.070 |
-0.107 |
-0.137 |
-0.160 |
-0.178 |
-0.192 |
-0.200 |
-0.205 |
-0.206 |
-0.205 |
-0.201 |
-0.195 |
-0.187 |
-0.179 |
-0.170 |
-0.160 |
-0.150 |
-0.140 |
-0.131 |
-0.122 |
-0.113 |
-0.105 |
-0.098 |
-0.092 |
-0.086 |
-0.082 |
-0.078 |
-0.075 |
-0.072 |
-0.070 |
-0.069 |
-0.069 |
-0.069 |
-0.070 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.027 |
-0.037 |
-0.051 |
-0.061 |
-0.067 |
-0.071 |
-0.073 |
-0.074 |
-0.074 |
-0.074 |
-0.073 |
-0.073 |
-0.072 |
-0.071 |
-0.071 |
-0.070 |
-0.070 |
-0.069 |
-0.069 |
-0.069 |
-0.069 |
-0.069 |
-0.069 |
-0.069 |
-0.069 |
-0.070 |
-0.070 |
-0.070 |
-0.071 |
-0.071 |
-0.071 |
-0.072 |
-0.072 |
-0.072 |
-0.072 |
-0.073 |
User cost |
uim |
-0.023 |
-0.031 |
-0.047 |
-0.062 |
-0.075 |
-0.085 |
-0.092 |
-0.096 |
-0.098 |
-0.097 |
-0.094 |
-0.090 |
-0.084 |
-0.077 |
-0.069 |
-0.060 |
-0.051 |
-0.043 |
-0.034 |
-0.025 |
-0.017 |
-0.010 |
-0.003 |
0.003 |
0.009 |
0.014 |
0.017 |
0.021 |
0.023 |
0.025 |
0.026 |
0.026 |
0.026 |
0.025 |
0.024 |
0.023 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.026 |
-0.059 |
-0.089 |
-0.115 |
-0.134 |
-0.146 |
-0.151 |
-0.149 |
-0.142 |
-0.129 |
-0.112 |
-0.092 |
-0.069 |
-0.045 |
-0.019 |
0.006 |
0.032 |
0.056 |
0.079 |
0.101 |
0.120 |
0.138 |
0.153 |
0.166 |
0.177 |
0.185 |
0.192 |
0.196 |
0.198 |
0.199 |
0.198 |
0.195 |
0.192 |
0.187 |
0.182 |
0.176 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.027 |
-0.048 |
-0.067 |
-0.084 |
-0.099 |
-0.111 |
-0.120 |
-0.126 |
-0.130 |
-0.131 |
-0.130 |
-0.126 |
-0.122 |
-0.115 |
-0.108 |
-0.099 |
-0.091 |
-0.082 |
-0.072 |
-0.063 |
-0.055 |
-0.046 |
-0.039 |
-0.032 |
-0.025 |
-0.020 |
-0.015 |
-0.011 |
-0.008 |
-0.005 |
-0.003 |
-0.002 |
-0.002 |
-0.002 |
-0.003 |
-0.004 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.029 |
-0.047 |
-0.063 |
-0.076 |
-0.088 |
-0.097 |
-0.104 |
-0.108 |
-0.110 |
-0.111 |
-0.109 |
-0.107 |
-0.103 |
-0.098 |
-0.093 |
-0.087 |
-0.080 |
-0.074 |
-0.068 |
-0.062 |
-0.056 |
-0.050 |
-0.045 |
-0.041 |
-0.037 |
-0.034 |
-0.031 |
-0.029 |
-0.027 |
-0.026 |
-0.025 |
-0.025 |
-0.025 |
-0.026 |
-0.027 |
-0.028 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
0.038 |
0.050 |
0.024 |
0.012 |
0.012 |
0.017 |
0.023 |
0.029 |
0.035 |
0.040 |
0.043 |
0.047 |
0.049 |
0.052 |
0.053 |
0.055 |
0.057 |
0.058 |
0.060 |
0.061 |
0.062 |
0.064 |
0.065 |
0.066 |
0.067 |
0.069 |
0.070 |
0.071 |
0.072 |
0.073 |
0.073 |
0.074 |
0.075 |
0.075 |
0.075 |
0.075 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.004 |
-0.008 |
-0.015 |
-0.021 |
-0.023 |
-0.022 |
-0.018 |
-0.013 |
-0.006 |
0.001 |
0.009 |
0.018 |
0.026 |
0.034 |
0.041 |
0.048 |
0.054 |
0.059 |
0.064 |
0.068 |
0.071 |
0.073 |
0.075 |
0.076 |
0.077 |
0.077 |
0.076 |
0.075 |
0.074 |
0.072 |
0.070 |
0.068 |
0.066 |
0.064 |
0.062 |
0.060 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|