|
|
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
2053 |
2054 |
2055 |
2056 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
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|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
1156.1 |
2071.8 |
2957.0 |
3747.3 |
4492.7 |
5210.0 |
5917.9 |
6626.2 |
7339.6 |
8055.8 |
8765.6 |
9459.9 |
10126.7 |
10753.5 |
11327.7 |
11837.4 |
12272.1 |
12623.2 |
12884.4 |
13051.7 |
13124.3 |
13103.9 |
12995.2 |
12805.7 |
12545.2 |
12226.0 |
11862.2 |
11469.5 |
11064.4 |
10664.4 |
10286.7 |
9948.2 |
9664.8 |
9451.3 |
9320.3 |
9282.4 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
3155.5 |
3463.3 |
3975.3 |
4607.9 |
5288.6 |
5960.9 |
6591.7 |
7158.6 |
7646.6 |
8046.1 |
8351.7 |
8562.1 |
8679.4 |
8708.1 |
8655.7 |
8531.3 |
8346.0 |
8111.7 |
7841.7 |
7549.3 |
7248.3 |
6951.8 |
6672.7 |
6422.8 |
6212.6 |
6051.2 |
5946.4 |
5903.7 |
5927.0 |
6018.4 |
6177.6 |
6402.9 |
6690.4 |
7034.7 |
7428.8 |
7864.5 |
Investment |
fI |
1770.5 |
3777.1 |
5164.2 |
6318.9 |
7308.0 |
8133.7 |
8798.5 |
9318.0 |
9699.0 |
9948.7 |
10072.0 |
10077.1 |
9973.0 |
9769.6 |
9477.9 |
9110.2 |
8679.5 |
8199.8 |
7685.6 |
7152.0 |
6614.2 |
6087.1 |
5585.3 |
5122.6 |
4711.7 |
4363.9 |
4089.1 |
3895.3 |
3788.4 |
3772.3 |
3848.6 |
4016.6 |
4273.2 |
4613.4 |
5029.8 |
5513.1 |
Export |
fE |
3050.6 |
5130.2 |
7138.3 |
9086.4 |
10938.9 |
12653.6 |
14187.1 |
15499.5 |
16565.7 |
17369.8 |
17907.1 |
18183.0 |
18211.4 |
18014.2 |
17619.8 |
17061.7 |
16377.1 |
15605.8 |
14788.3 |
13964.9 |
13174.4 |
12453.0 |
11833.0 |
11342.8 |
11005.2 |
10837.9 |
10852.5 |
11054.6 |
11444.0 |
12014.5 |
12754.6 |
13647.7 |
14673.0 |
15805.7 |
17018.3 |
18281.3 |
Import |
fM |
1768.7 |
3494.6 |
5024.7 |
6419.1 |
7720.0 |
8951.8 |
10099.6 |
11152.3 |
12097.6 |
12923.0 |
13616.9 |
14172.2 |
14585.3 |
14855.7 |
14986.5 |
14984.3 |
14858.9 |
14623.4 |
14293.1 |
13885.8 |
13420.8 |
12918.8 |
12400.8 |
11888.1 |
11401.4 |
10960.4 |
10583.2 |
10285.9 |
10082.2 |
9983.3 |
9997.0 |
10128.3 |
10378.7 |
10746.5 |
11226.7 |
11811.4 |
GDP |
fY |
7298.6 |
10851.6 |
14125.9 |
17282.2 |
20304.6 |
23022.2 |
25422.4 |
27484.5 |
29194.5 |
30545.8 |
31536.9 |
32177.8 |
32485.7 |
32484.7 |
32205.3 |
31683.3 |
30958.9 |
30075.5 |
29078.8 |
28015.3 |
26931.5 |
25872.8 |
24882.0 |
23999.0 |
23259.3 |
22693.7 |
22327.6 |
22180.2 |
22264.7 |
22587.6 |
23149.0 |
23942.5 |
24955.6 |
26170.1 |
27562.5 |
29105.0 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
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|
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|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
-9.777 |
-7.913 |
-5.184 |
-2.022 |
1.197 |
4.185 |
6.793 |
8.938 |
10.577 |
11.694 |
12.295 |
12.406 |
12.066 |
11.325 |
10.240 |
8.874 |
7.292 |
5.560 |
3.745 |
1.910 |
0.113 |
-1.592 |
-3.158 |
-4.544 |
-5.718 |
-6.656 |
-7.342 |
-7.768 |
-7.934 |
-7.847 |
-7.521 |
-6.976 |
-6.239 |
-5.340 |
-4.310 |
-3.187 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
6.357 |
4.101 |
2.591 |
0.924 |
-0.764 |
-2.326 |
-3.697 |
-4.831 |
-5.704 |
-6.304 |
-6.632 |
-6.699 |
-6.525 |
-6.135 |
-5.558 |
-4.828 |
-3.980 |
-3.050 |
-2.072 |
-1.081 |
-0.109 |
0.815 |
1.665 |
2.420 |
3.061 |
3.575 |
3.953 |
4.191 |
4.288 |
4.248 |
4.078 |
3.789 |
3.395 |
2.913 |
2.359 |
1.753 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.127 |
-0.109 |
-0.047 |
-0.002 |
0.033 |
0.063 |
0.086 |
0.102 |
0.112 |
0.117 |
0.116 |
0.111 |
0.102 |
0.090 |
0.076 |
0.060 |
0.043 |
0.025 |
0.008 |
-0.009 |
-0.026 |
-0.041 |
-0.054 |
-0.065 |
-0.075 |
-0.082 |
-0.087 |
-0.089 |
-0.090 |
-0.088 |
-0.084 |
-0.079 |
-0.072 |
-0.063 |
-0.054 |
-0.044 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.063 |
0.011 |
-0.072 |
-0.124 |
-0.158 |
-0.181 |
-0.192 |
-0.196 |
-0.193 |
-0.185 |
-0.174 |
-0.160 |
-0.145 |
-0.130 |
-0.114 |
-0.099 |
-0.085 |
-0.071 |
-0.059 |
-0.047 |
-0.037 |
-0.028 |
-0.019 |
-0.012 |
-0.006 |
-0.001 |
0.004 |
0.007 |
0.010 |
0.012 |
0.013 |
0.014 |
0.014 |
0.013 |
0.012 |
0.010 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.067 |
-0.100 |
-0.120 |
-0.127 |
-0.125 |
-0.116 |
-0.104 |
-0.091 |
-0.077 |
-0.063 |
-0.052 |
-0.043 |
-0.036 |
-0.032 |
-0.030 |
-0.030 |
-0.033 |
-0.036 |
-0.042 |
-0.047 |
-0.053 |
-0.059 |
-0.065 |
-0.070 |
-0.073 |
-0.076 |
-0.077 |
-0.077 |
-0.075 |
-0.072 |
-0.067 |
-0.062 |
-0.055 |
-0.048 |
-0.040 |
-0.032 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
0.105 |
-0.020 |
-0.175 |
-0.342 |
-0.511 |
-0.679 |
-0.837 |
-0.982 |
-1.111 |
-1.221 |
-1.313 |
-1.385 |
-1.438 |
-1.474 |
-1.492 |
-1.496 |
-1.486 |
-1.464 |
-1.433 |
-1.394 |
-1.347 |
-1.296 |
-1.242 |
-1.185 |
-1.126 |
-1.067 |
-1.009 |
-0.951 |
-0.895 |
-0.841 |
-0.788 |
-0.737 |
-0.689 |
-0.643 |
-0.598 |
-0.556 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.215 |
0.290 |
0.300 |
0.265 |
0.194 |
0.096 |
-0.020 |
-0.149 |
-0.282 |
-0.414 |
-0.539 |
-0.654 |
-0.755 |
-0.839 |
-0.905 |
-0.951 |
-0.978 |
-0.984 |
-0.972 |
-0.942 |
-0.896 |
-0.836 |
-0.764 |
-0.682 |
-0.593 |
-0.500 |
-0.404 |
-0.309 |
-0.216 |
-0.128 |
-0.047 |
0.026 |
0.090 |
0.143 |
0.185 |
0.215 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.334 |
-0.465 |
-0.558 |
-0.629 |
-0.680 |
-0.710 |
-0.720 |
-0.712 |
-0.688 |
-0.649 |
-0.599 |
-0.539 |
-0.471 |
-0.398 |
-0.322 |
-0.244 |
-0.168 |
-0.096 |
-0.028 |
0.034 |
0.088 |
0.133 |
0.169 |
0.195 |
0.211 |
0.217 |
0.213 |
0.201 |
0.180 |
0.152 |
0.119 |
0.080 |
0.039 |
-0.005 |
-0.049 |
-0.092 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.691 |
-0.800 |
-0.856 |
-0.887 |
-0.903 |
-0.910 |
-0.911 |
-0.910 |
-0.907 |
-0.904 |
-0.902 |
-0.900 |
-0.899 |
-0.899 |
-0.901 |
-0.903 |
-0.906 |
-0.911 |
-0.915 |
-0.920 |
-0.926 |
-0.931 |
-0.937 |
-0.942 |
-0.947 |
-0.951 |
-0.955 |
-0.958 |
-0.960 |
-0.962 |
-0.963 |
-0.962 |
-0.962 |
-0.960 |
-0.958 |
-0.956 |
User cost |
uim |
-0.366 |
-0.426 |
-0.468 |
-0.498 |
-0.512 |
-0.513 |
-0.499 |
-0.473 |
-0.436 |
-0.391 |
-0.339 |
-0.283 |
-0.225 |
-0.167 |
-0.112 |
-0.060 |
-0.014 |
0.025 |
0.057 |
0.080 |
0.094 |
0.100 |
0.097 |
0.087 |
0.068 |
0.044 |
0.014 |
-0.020 |
-0.056 |
-0.095 |
-0.134 |
-0.171 |
-0.207 |
-0.240 |
-0.269 |
-0.293 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.239 |
-0.379 |
-0.466 |
-0.516 |
-0.525 |
-0.492 |
-0.422 |
-0.321 |
-0.194 |
-0.047 |
0.112 |
0.277 |
0.443 |
0.602 |
0.750 |
0.883 |
0.997 |
1.089 |
1.158 |
1.202 |
1.221 |
1.216 |
1.188 |
1.140 |
1.074 |
0.993 |
0.900 |
0.799 |
0.693 |
0.585 |
0.480 |
0.380 |
0.289 |
0.208 |
0.140 |
0.086 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.351 |
-0.435 |
-0.491 |
-0.533 |
-0.561 |
-0.574 |
-0.571 |
-0.556 |
-0.528 |
-0.490 |
-0.444 |
-0.393 |
-0.337 |
-0.280 |
-0.224 |
-0.170 |
-0.119 |
-0.074 |
-0.036 |
-0.005 |
0.018 |
0.032 |
0.038 |
0.035 |
0.025 |
0.007 |
-0.017 |
-0.046 |
-0.080 |
-0.116 |
-0.154 |
-0.193 |
-0.231 |
-0.268 |
-0.301 |
-0.331 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.255 |
-0.305 |
-0.342 |
-0.370 |
-0.386 |
-0.392 |
-0.387 |
-0.373 |
-0.350 |
-0.321 |
-0.286 |
-0.247 |
-0.206 |
-0.165 |
-0.125 |
-0.087 |
-0.052 |
-0.022 |
0.003 |
0.022 |
0.035 |
0.041 |
0.042 |
0.037 |
0.026 |
0.010 |
-0.010 |
-0.033 |
-0.058 |
-0.085 |
-0.113 |
-0.141 |
-0.167 |
-0.192 |
-0.214 |
-0.233 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
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|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
-0.073 |
-0.093 |
-0.053 |
-0.033 |
-0.023 |
-0.017 |
-0.016 |
-0.018 |
-0.022 |
-0.025 |
-0.029 |
-0.031 |
-0.032 |
-0.031 |
-0.028 |
-0.023 |
-0.017 |
-0.010 |
-0.002 |
0.006 |
0.014 |
0.022 |
0.028 |
0.034 |
0.038 |
0.041 |
0.042 |
0.041 |
0.038 |
0.034 |
0.028 |
0.021 |
0.013 |
0.005 |
-0.005 |
-0.014 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.167 |
-0.245 |
-0.277 |
-0.284 |
-0.273 |
-0.249 |
-0.216 |
-0.176 |
-0.133 |
-0.088 |
-0.044 |
-0.002 |
0.037 |
0.071 |
0.099 |
0.120 |
0.135 |
0.143 |
0.145 |
0.139 |
0.128 |
0.112 |
0.091 |
0.067 |
0.040 |
0.011 |
-0.018 |
-0.048 |
-0.075 |
-0.101 |
-0.125 |
-0.145 |
-0.161 |
-0.173 |
-0.181 |
-0.185 |
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