|
|
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
2053 |
2054 |
2055 |
2056 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
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|
|
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|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
1120.0 |
2019.3 |
2839.8 |
3511.2 |
4071.6 |
4548.0 |
4965.9 |
5343.5 |
5695.5 |
6031.5 |
6356.8 |
6675.7 |
6990.6 |
7302.6 |
7611.7 |
7917.2 |
8217.9 |
8512.0 |
8797.7 |
9073.2 |
9336.5 |
9585.9 |
9820.0 |
10037.6 |
10237.8 |
10420.1 |
10584.6 |
10731.5 |
10861.6 |
10976.0 |
11076.2 |
11163.9 |
11241.1 |
11310.2 |
11373.6 |
11433.7 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
4848.0 |
4866.9 |
4894.4 |
4929.3 |
4971.3 |
5020.4 |
5076.0 |
5137.4 |
5203.9 |
5275.1 |
5350.5 |
5429.7 |
5512.5 |
5598.5 |
5687.4 |
5779.0 |
5873.2 |
5969.6 |
6068.2 |
6168.9 |
6271.5 |
6375.8 |
6481.9 |
6589.6 |
6698.9 |
6809.6 |
6921.8 |
7035.3 |
7150.0 |
7266.0 |
7383.2 |
7501.5 |
7620.9 |
7741.3 |
7862.8 |
7985.2 |
Investment |
fI |
1834.2 |
3420.0 |
4312.3 |
5032.3 |
5623.4 |
6089.5 |
6444.2 |
6707.5 |
6892.3 |
7011.4 |
7074.9 |
7093.0 |
7074.7 |
7027.5 |
6958.0 |
6871.6 |
6773.2 |
6666.6 |
6555.1 |
6441.6 |
6328.5 |
6217.8 |
6111.3 |
6010.7 |
5917.4 |
5832.6 |
5757.5 |
5693.2 |
5640.5 |
5600.3 |
5573.4 |
5560.4 |
5561.8 |
5577.9 |
5609.1 |
5655.5 |
Export |
fE |
3085.8 |
5105.4 |
7008.4 |
8833.7 |
10566.0 |
12191.2 |
13688.0 |
15036.2 |
16224.3 |
17245.4 |
18098.0 |
18784.6 |
19311.9 |
19689.2 |
19928.3 |
20043.2 |
20048.7 |
19960.9 |
19796.2 |
19571.0 |
19301.4 |
19003.0 |
18690.6 |
18378.0 |
18077.6 |
17800.8 |
17557.5 |
17356.2 |
17203.9 |
17106.3 |
17067.5 |
17090.2 |
17176.0 |
17325.1 |
17536.6 |
17808.5 |
Import |
fM |
2120.8 |
3659.9 |
4862.4 |
5902.9 |
6824.3 |
7665.8 |
8432.5 |
9129.3 |
9759.4 |
10324.7 |
10826.5 |
11267.3 |
11649.9 |
11977.2 |
12252.7 |
12479.9 |
12662.6 |
12805.0 |
12911.2 |
12985.7 |
13032.9 |
13057.3 |
13063.5 |
13055.8 |
13038.6 |
13016.3 |
12992.7 |
12971.9 |
12957.5 |
12952.7 |
12960.6 |
12984.0 |
13025.2 |
13086.3 |
13169.0 |
13274.5 |
GDP |
fY |
8695.5 |
11641.4 |
14082.5 |
16308.2 |
18357.9 |
20144.4 |
21706.0 |
23058.9 |
24218.1 |
25197.4 |
26010.1 |
26671.0 |
27195.1 |
27597.4 |
27892.9 |
28096.2 |
28221.5 |
28282.7 |
28293.0 |
28264.8 |
28210.1 |
28139.7 |
28064.1 |
27992.4 |
27933.3 |
27894.3 |
27882.2 |
27902.7 |
27961.0 |
28061.0 |
28206.1 |
28398.7 |
28640.4 |
28932.1 |
29274.1 |
29665.8 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
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|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
-6.881 |
-5.857 |
-4.339 |
-2.562 |
-0.761 |
0.907 |
2.374 |
3.611 |
4.609 |
5.370 |
5.907 |
6.236 |
6.379 |
6.357 |
6.193 |
5.909 |
5.528 |
5.070 |
4.553 |
3.997 |
3.417 |
2.828 |
2.242 |
1.671 |
1.125 |
0.611 |
0.137 |
-0.294 |
-0.676 |
-1.009 |
-1.290 |
-1.518 |
-1.696 |
-1.824 |
-1.904 |
-1.940 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
4.474 |
3.067 |
2.224 |
1.289 |
0.349 |
-0.520 |
-1.290 |
-1.944 |
-2.477 |
-2.888 |
-3.182 |
-3.365 |
-3.450 |
-3.445 |
-3.364 |
-3.217 |
-3.016 |
-2.773 |
-2.497 |
-2.198 |
-1.886 |
-1.567 |
-1.250 |
-0.940 |
-0.642 |
-0.362 |
-0.102 |
0.134 |
0.345 |
0.528 |
0.684 |
0.811 |
0.910 |
0.983 |
1.029 |
1.051 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.141 |
-0.107 |
-0.033 |
0.019 |
0.064 |
0.102 |
0.133 |
0.157 |
0.175 |
0.188 |
0.195 |
0.198 |
0.198 |
0.195 |
0.189 |
0.182 |
0.173 |
0.164 |
0.153 |
0.143 |
0.132 |
0.122 |
0.112 |
0.103 |
0.094 |
0.086 |
0.079 |
0.073 |
0.068 |
0.063 |
0.060 |
0.058 |
0.057 |
0.056 |
0.057 |
0.058 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.055 |
0.003 |
-0.073 |
-0.119 |
-0.149 |
-0.168 |
-0.177 |
-0.179 |
-0.175 |
-0.166 |
-0.154 |
-0.141 |
-0.126 |
-0.111 |
-0.097 |
-0.083 |
-0.069 |
-0.058 |
-0.047 |
-0.037 |
-0.029 |
-0.022 |
-0.016 |
-0.011 |
-0.008 |
-0.005 |
-0.002 |
-0.001 |
0.000 |
0.001 |
0.001 |
0.001 |
0.001 |
0.000 |
-0.001 |
-0.001 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.089 |
-0.105 |
-0.108 |
-0.101 |
-0.086 |
-0.066 |
-0.044 |
-0.021 |
0.002 |
0.023 |
0.043 |
0.060 |
0.075 |
0.087 |
0.096 |
0.103 |
0.108 |
0.111 |
0.111 |
0.111 |
0.108 |
0.105 |
0.101 |
0.097 |
0.092 |
0.087 |
0.082 |
0.078 |
0.073 |
0.070 |
0.067 |
0.064 |
0.062 |
0.061 |
0.061 |
0.062 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
0.027 |
-0.090 |
-0.204 |
-0.305 |
-0.388 |
-0.455 |
-0.500 |
-0.525 |
-0.530 |
-0.515 |
-0.483 |
-0.435 |
-0.373 |
-0.300 |
-0.218 |
-0.128 |
-0.033 |
0.065 |
0.166 |
0.266 |
0.366 |
0.464 |
0.560 |
0.652 |
0.741 |
0.827 |
0.908 |
0.986 |
1.060 |
1.131 |
1.199 |
1.265 |
1.328 |
1.389 |
1.449 |
1.507 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.189 |
0.268 |
0.277 |
0.239 |
0.161 |
0.050 |
-0.085 |
-0.238 |
-0.402 |
-0.573 |
-0.744 |
-0.912 |
-1.074 |
-1.227 |
-1.370 |
-1.500 |
-1.618 |
-1.722 |
-1.814 |
-1.892 |
-1.957 |
-2.010 |
-2.052 |
-2.084 |
-2.106 |
-2.120 |
-2.126 |
-2.127 |
-2.122 |
-2.114 |
-2.103 |
-2.090 |
-2.076 |
-2.062 |
-2.049 |
-2.037 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.392 |
-0.499 |
-0.566 |
-0.613 |
-0.645 |
-0.661 |
-0.666 |
-0.660 |
-0.646 |
-0.625 |
-0.600 |
-0.570 |
-0.537 |
-0.503 |
-0.468 |
-0.432 |
-0.397 |
-0.362 |
-0.329 |
-0.297 |
-0.268 |
-0.240 |
-0.215 |
-0.193 |
-0.173 |
-0.156 |
-0.142 |
-0.130 |
-0.121 |
-0.114 |
-0.110 |
-0.108 |
-0.108 |
-0.109 |
-0.113 |
-0.118 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.652 |
-0.761 |
-0.822 |
-0.861 |
-0.886 |
-0.902 |
-0.912 |
-0.918 |
-0.922 |
-0.923 |
-0.924 |
-0.924 |
-0.923 |
-0.922 |
-0.921 |
-0.919 |
-0.918 |
-0.917 |
-0.916 |
-0.915 |
-0.914 |
-0.913 |
-0.912 |
-0.912 |
-0.912 |
-0.912 |
-0.912 |
-0.912 |
-0.912 |
-0.913 |
-0.913 |
-0.914 |
-0.914 |
-0.915 |
-0.915 |
-0.916 |
User cost |
uim |
-0.346 |
-0.398 |
-0.441 |
-0.477 |
-0.505 |
-0.524 |
-0.535 |
-0.539 |
-0.536 |
-0.527 |
-0.512 |
-0.494 |
-0.473 |
-0.449 |
-0.424 |
-0.398 |
-0.371 |
-0.346 |
-0.321 |
-0.297 |
-0.275 |
-0.255 |
-0.238 |
-0.223 |
-0.210 |
-0.200 |
-0.192 |
-0.186 |
-0.183 |
-0.182 |
-0.183 |
-0.185 |
-0.189 |
-0.195 |
-0.201 |
-0.209 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.214 |
-0.317 |
-0.388 |
-0.440 |
-0.467 |
-0.472 |
-0.455 |
-0.420 |
-0.370 |
-0.307 |
-0.235 |
-0.156 |
-0.073 |
0.012 |
0.096 |
0.178 |
0.257 |
0.330 |
0.397 |
0.458 |
0.511 |
0.556 |
0.594 |
0.624 |
0.646 |
0.661 |
0.670 |
0.671 |
0.667 |
0.658 |
0.645 |
0.628 |
0.607 |
0.584 |
0.560 |
0.535 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.342 |
-0.416 |
-0.466 |
-0.508 |
-0.541 |
-0.564 |
-0.578 |
-0.583 |
-0.581 |
-0.573 |
-0.559 |
-0.540 |
-0.518 |
-0.493 |
-0.466 |
-0.438 |
-0.410 |
-0.381 |
-0.354 |
-0.328 |
-0.303 |
-0.281 |
-0.260 |
-0.242 |
-0.227 |
-0.214 |
-0.204 |
-0.197 |
-0.192 |
-0.189 |
-0.188 |
-0.190 |
-0.193 |
-0.198 |
-0.204 |
-0.211 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.248 |
-0.291 |
-0.325 |
-0.352 |
-0.373 |
-0.386 |
-0.393 |
-0.395 |
-0.390 |
-0.382 |
-0.369 |
-0.354 |
-0.336 |
-0.316 |
-0.295 |
-0.274 |
-0.253 |
-0.232 |
-0.212 |
-0.194 |
-0.177 |
-0.161 |
-0.148 |
-0.136 |
-0.127 |
-0.119 |
-0.113 |
-0.109 |
-0.107 |
-0.107 |
-0.108 |
-0.110 |
-0.114 |
-0.118 |
-0.124 |
-0.130 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
-0.079 |
-0.094 |
-0.048 |
-0.024 |
-0.009 |
0.000 |
0.003 |
0.003 |
-0.001 |
-0.007 |
-0.014 |
-0.021 |
-0.028 |
-0.035 |
-0.041 |
-0.046 |
-0.050 |
-0.052 |
-0.054 |
-0.054 |
-0.053 |
-0.052 |
-0.050 |
-0.047 |
-0.044 |
-0.040 |
-0.037 |
-0.033 |
-0.030 |
-0.027 |
-0.024 |
-0.021 |
-0.019 |
-0.017 |
-0.015 |
-0.014 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.140 |
-0.208 |
-0.239 |
-0.251 |
-0.250 |
-0.242 |
-0.227 |
-0.208 |
-0.186 |
-0.163 |
-0.139 |
-0.115 |
-0.092 |
-0.070 |
-0.050 |
-0.031 |
-0.015 |
-0.001 |
0.011 |
0.020 |
0.027 |
0.032 |
0.035 |
0.036 |
0.035 |
0.032 |
0.029 |
0.024 |
0.018 |
0.011 |
0.004 |
-0.004 |
-0.011 |
-0.019 |
-0.027 |
-0.034 |
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