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|
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
2053 |
2054 |
2055 |
2056 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
1112.4 |
1563.6 |
3471.0 |
4269.7 |
4907.5 |
5453.8 |
5941.7 |
6407.3 |
6874.6 |
7354.5 |
7849.4 |
8357.9 |
8874.6 |
9391.5 |
9899.0 |
10386.6 |
10843.5 |
11259.7 |
11625.6 |
11933.3 |
12176.6 |
12351.4 |
12455.7 |
12489.8 |
12456.4 |
12360.3 |
12208.6 |
12010.1 |
11775.5 |
11516.5 |
11246.1 |
10977.6 |
10724.7 |
10500.6 |
10318.2 |
10189.3 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
405.1 |
961.8 |
1848.3 |
2687.4 |
3525.4 |
4335.6 |
5096.5 |
5794.1 |
6419.3 |
6965.5 |
7428.4 |
7806.2 |
8098.9 |
8308.6 |
8438.9 |
8495.2 |
8484.4 |
8414.4 |
8294.5 |
8134.5 |
7945.0 |
7736.7 |
7520.5 |
7307.0 |
7106.3 |
6927.7 |
6779.9 |
6670.1 |
6604.6 |
6587.9 |
6623.5 |
6713.0 |
6856.8 |
7053.4 |
7300.2 |
7593.2 |
Investment |
fI |
1038.8 |
1890.5 |
3900.2 |
5226.1 |
6225.2 |
7084.5 |
7788.7 |
8353.9 |
8791.6 |
9114.4 |
9330.9 |
9450.1 |
9480.2 |
9428.8 |
9303.2 |
9111.0 |
8859.8 |
8558.2 |
8215.1 |
7840.1 |
7443.3 |
7035.4 |
6627.0 |
6229.1 |
5852.2 |
5506.4 |
5201.4 |
4945.8 |
4747.1 |
4611.5 |
4543.9 |
4547.3 |
4623.4 |
4771.8 |
4990.5 |
5275.7 |
Export |
fE |
784.5 |
2100.8 |
3747.5 |
5452.3 |
7249.9 |
9058.6 |
10810.9 |
12443.0 |
13912.0 |
15183.0 |
16234.7 |
17055.0 |
17641.4 |
17999.7 |
18142.9 |
18090.3 |
17866.2 |
17498.9 |
17019.4 |
16460.8 |
15856.5 |
15239.8 |
14642.7 |
14094.8 |
13623.0 |
13250.7 |
12997.3 |
12877.6 |
12901.9 |
13075.5 |
13399.3 |
13869.1 |
14476.7 |
15209.7 |
16052.1 |
16985.0 |
Import |
fM |
996.9 |
1725.4 |
3726.3 |
5010.3 |
6152.6 |
7280.9 |
8359.7 |
9379.3 |
10331.5 |
11205.7 |
11991.1 |
12679.4 |
13263.8 |
13739.6 |
14104.2 |
14357.8 |
14502.8 |
14544.3 |
14489.9 |
14349.2 |
14134.2 |
13858.3 |
13536.4 |
13184.4 |
12818.7 |
12455.7 |
12111.6 |
11802.0 |
11541.2 |
11342.1 |
11215.7 |
11171.2 |
11215.2 |
11352.0 |
11583.3 |
11908.3 |
GDP |
fY |
2352.4 |
4785.1 |
9259.2 |
12662.0 |
15827.0 |
18733.2 |
21362.8 |
23703.4 |
25748.5 |
27492.8 |
28933.2 |
30072.6 |
30918.6 |
31483.2 |
31783.4 |
31840.3 |
31679.2 |
31328.8 |
30820.9 |
30189.4 |
29469.8 |
28698.5 |
27911.5 |
27144.2 |
26430.1 |
25800.4 |
25283.1 |
24902.9 |
24679.9 |
24629.9 |
24763.7 |
25087.4 |
25601.6 |
26302.2 |
27180.1 |
28221.7 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
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|
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|
|
Employment |
Q |
-25.865 |
-22.488 |
-17.112 |
-12.427 |
-8.069 |
-4.104 |
-0.606 |
2.389 |
4.871 |
6.842 |
8.313 |
9.306 |
9.850 |
9.983 |
9.745 |
9.184 |
8.347 |
7.288 |
6.057 |
4.709 |
3.293 |
1.859 |
0.451 |
-0.888 |
-2.124 |
-3.223 |
-4.163 |
-4.922 |
-5.489 |
-5.857 |
-6.024 |
-5.997 |
-5.784 |
-5.402 |
-4.868 |
-4.205 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
16.817 |
11.825 |
8.815 |
6.491 |
4.253 |
2.196 |
0.364 |
-1.222 |
-2.549 |
-3.613 |
-4.415 |
-4.964 |
-5.273 |
-5.361 |
-5.248 |
-4.959 |
-4.520 |
-3.958 |
-3.301 |
-2.578 |
-1.817 |
-1.044 |
-0.283 |
0.443 |
1.113 |
1.712 |
2.224 |
2.640 |
2.953 |
3.157 |
3.254 |
3.244 |
3.135 |
2.932 |
2.647 |
2.292 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
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|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.123 |
-0.101 |
-0.189 |
-0.111 |
-0.049 |
-0.005 |
0.031 |
0.057 |
0.076 |
0.088 |
0.095 |
0.096 |
0.093 |
0.088 |
0.079 |
0.068 |
0.056 |
0.043 |
0.029 |
0.015 |
0.001 |
-0.013 |
-0.025 |
-0.037 |
-0.047 |
-0.056 |
-0.063 |
-0.068 |
-0.072 |
-0.074 |
-0.074 |
-0.072 |
-0.069 |
-0.065 |
-0.060 |
-0.053 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.071 |
0.021 |
0.035 |
-0.066 |
-0.131 |
-0.172 |
-0.196 |
-0.207 |
-0.208 |
-0.202 |
-0.191 |
-0.177 |
-0.161 |
-0.144 |
-0.127 |
-0.110 |
-0.095 |
-0.080 |
-0.067 |
-0.055 |
-0.044 |
-0.034 |
-0.026 |
-0.019 |
-0.012 |
-0.007 |
-0.003 |
0.001 |
0.004 |
0.006 |
0.008 |
0.009 |
0.010 |
0.010 |
0.009 |
0.009 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.052 |
-0.081 |
-0.155 |
-0.177 |
-0.181 |
-0.176 |
-0.164 |
-0.148 |
-0.129 |
-0.111 |
-0.093 |
-0.076 |
-0.062 |
-0.050 |
-0.041 |
-0.035 |
-0.031 |
-0.029 |
-0.029 |
-0.031 |
-0.035 |
-0.039 |
-0.043 |
-0.048 |
-0.052 |
-0.056 |
-0.059 |
-0.061 |
-0.062 |
-0.062 |
-0.061 |
-0.059 |
-0.056 |
-0.052 |
-0.047 |
-0.041 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
0.019 |
0.027 |
-0.146 |
-0.319 |
-0.495 |
-0.673 |
-0.845 |
-1.003 |
-1.145 |
-1.270 |
-1.374 |
-1.459 |
-1.524 |
-1.570 |
-1.599 |
-1.613 |
-1.611 |
-1.598 |
-1.573 |
-1.539 |
-1.498 |
-1.451 |
-1.399 |
-1.344 |
-1.286 |
-1.227 |
-1.168 |
-1.109 |
-1.050 |
-0.993 |
-0.937 |
-0.882 |
-0.829 |
-0.778 |
-0.728 |
-0.681 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.105 |
0.229 |
0.375 |
0.449 |
0.462 |
0.431 |
0.366 |
0.277 |
0.173 |
0.060 |
-0.055 |
-0.168 |
-0.274 |
-0.370 |
-0.454 |
-0.524 |
-0.578 |
-0.617 |
-0.639 |
-0.646 |
-0.639 |
-0.617 |
-0.583 |
-0.539 |
-0.485 |
-0.424 |
-0.357 |
-0.287 |
-0.215 |
-0.143 |
-0.074 |
-0.008 |
0.053 |
0.108 |
0.155 |
0.194 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
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|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
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|
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Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.097 |
-0.196 |
-0.351 |
-0.448 |
-0.520 |
-0.572 |
-0.605 |
-0.621 |
-0.621 |
-0.608 |
-0.584 |
-0.549 |
-0.506 |
-0.456 |
-0.400 |
-0.342 |
-0.281 |
-0.221 |
-0.161 |
-0.104 |
-0.051 |
-0.003 |
0.039 |
0.074 |
0.102 |
0.123 |
0.136 |
0.141 |
0.140 |
0.131 |
0.116 |
0.095 |
0.070 |
0.041 |
0.010 |
-0.023 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.016 |
-0.019 |
-0.031 |
-0.024 |
-0.013 |
0.000 |
0.013 |
0.025 |
0.037 |
0.046 |
0.055 |
0.061 |
0.066 |
0.070 |
0.072 |
0.074 |
0.073 |
0.072 |
0.070 |
0.068 |
0.065 |
0.061 |
0.057 |
0.053 |
0.049 |
0.045 |
0.041 |
0.038 |
0.035 |
0.033 |
0.031 |
0.030 |
0.030 |
0.030 |
0.030 |
0.031 |
User cost |
uim |
-0.083 |
-0.195 |
-0.283 |
-0.346 |
-0.395 |
-0.429 |
-0.449 |
-0.455 |
-0.448 |
-0.430 |
-0.402 |
-0.367 |
-0.327 |
-0.282 |
-0.236 |
-0.190 |
-0.146 |
-0.104 |
-0.066 |
-0.034 |
-0.008 |
0.012 |
0.026 |
0.032 |
0.032 |
0.025 |
0.013 |
-0.004 |
-0.026 |
-0.050 |
-0.078 |
-0.107 |
-0.136 |
-0.165 |
-0.192 |
-0.217 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.229 |
-0.614 |
-0.892 |
-1.075 |
-1.206 |
-1.287 |
-1.320 |
-1.312 |
-1.269 |
-1.196 |
-1.100 |
-0.986 |
-0.861 |
-0.731 |
-0.600 |
-0.473 |
-0.354 |
-0.247 |
-0.155 |
-0.079 |
-0.021 |
0.018 |
0.038 |
0.039 |
0.023 |
-0.009 |
-0.056 |
-0.114 |
-0.182 |
-0.257 |
-0.336 |
-0.417 |
-0.496 |
-0.572 |
-0.642 |
-0.704 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.079 |
-0.193 |
-0.289 |
-0.361 |
-0.420 |
-0.463 |
-0.491 |
-0.506 |
-0.508 |
-0.498 |
-0.478 |
-0.450 |
-0.415 |
-0.375 |
-0.332 |
-0.288 |
-0.244 |
-0.201 |
-0.161 |
-0.125 |
-0.094 |
-0.069 |
-0.050 |
-0.037 |
-0.031 |
-0.031 |
-0.038 |
-0.050 |
-0.067 |
-0.088 |
-0.113 |
-0.140 |
-0.169 |
-0.198 |
-0.227 |
-0.255 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.058 |
-0.138 |
-0.204 |
-0.253 |
-0.293 |
-0.322 |
-0.341 |
-0.350 |
-0.349 |
-0.339 |
-0.323 |
-0.301 |
-0.274 |
-0.243 |
-0.211 |
-0.179 |
-0.146 |
-0.116 |
-0.088 |
-0.063 |
-0.043 |
-0.027 |
-0.015 |
-0.009 |
-0.007 |
-0.010 |
-0.017 |
-0.028 |
-0.042 |
-0.059 |
-0.078 |
-0.098 |
-0.119 |
-0.140 |
-0.160 |
-0.179 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
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|
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Consumption ratio |
bcp |
-0.062 |
-0.048 |
-0.098 |
-0.039 |
-0.002 |
0.017 |
0.025 |
0.026 |
0.022 |
0.015 |
0.006 |
-0.002 |
-0.010 |
-0.017 |
-0.022 |
-0.024 |
-0.025 |
-0.024 |
-0.021 |
-0.017 |
-0.012 |
-0.007 |
-0.001 |
0.005 |
0.010 |
0.015 |
0.019 |
0.021 |
0.023 |
0.023 |
0.021 |
0.019 |
0.015 |
0.010 |
0.005 |
-0.002 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.078 |
-0.181 |
-0.254 |
-0.283 |
-0.292 |
-0.288 |
-0.272 |
-0.248 |
-0.217 |
-0.182 |
-0.145 |
-0.107 |
-0.069 |
-0.034 |
-0.001 |
0.028 |
0.052 |
0.070 |
0.084 |
0.092 |
0.095 |
0.093 |
0.086 |
0.074 |
0.059 |
0.042 |
0.022 |
0.000 |
-0.022 |
-0.044 |
-0.065 |
-0.085 |
-0.104 |
-0.119 |
-0.132 |
-0.142 |
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