|
|
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
2053 |
2054 |
2055 |
2056 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
903.6 |
1151.3 |
2714.1 |
3067.6 |
3170.6 |
3106.6 |
2920.1 |
2657.6 |
2356.8 |
2044.0 |
1740.2 |
1460.1 |
1215.7 |
1015.5 |
865.6 |
769.6 |
729.1 |
744.1 |
813.0 |
932.7 |
1099.5 |
1308.6 |
1554.5 |
1831.3 |
2133.1 |
2453.5 |
2786.4 |
3125.7 |
3465.7 |
3800.8 |
4126.2 |
4437.3 |
4730.4 |
5001.9 |
5249.4 |
5470.8 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
-117.0 |
-158.0 |
-250.1 |
-311.6 |
-358.4 |
-395.3 |
-424.6 |
-448.0 |
-467.4 |
-483.9 |
-498.6 |
-512.2 |
-525.4 |
-538.7 |
-552.3 |
-566.5 |
-581.5 |
-597.2 |
-613.7 |
-630.8 |
-648.6 |
-666.8 |
-685.2 |
-703.7 |
-722.2 |
-740.4 |
-758.3 |
-775.6 |
-792.2 |
-808.1 |
-823.2 |
-837.4 |
-850.7 |
-863.1 |
-874.6 |
-885.4 |
Investment |
fI |
712.9 |
1133.1 |
2521.3 |
3185.8 |
3637.8 |
4013.8 |
4289.2 |
4488.9 |
4631.8 |
4738.0 |
4822.6 |
4898.0 |
4973.5 |
5055.3 |
5147.4 |
5251.7 |
5368.2 |
5495.9 |
5632.6 |
5775.9 |
5922.6 |
6069.5 |
6213.7 |
6352.2 |
6482.4 |
6602.0 |
6709.3 |
6803.0 |
6882.2 |
6946.5 |
6995.9 |
7031.0 |
7052.6 |
7062.0 |
7060.6 |
7050.3 |
Export |
fE |
759.5 |
2056.5 |
3698.6 |
5455.9 |
7397.8 |
9464.0 |
11610.7 |
13788.6 |
15965.4 |
18109.1 |
20196.0 |
22204.7 |
24118.7 |
25923.9 |
27609.7 |
29167.8 |
30592.5 |
31880.3 |
33030.0 |
34042.2 |
34919.2 |
35665.4 |
36286.4 |
36789.4 |
37182.7 |
37475.8 |
37679.1 |
37803.6 |
37861.0 |
37863.3 |
37822.7 |
37751.5 |
37661.7 |
37565.0 |
37472.9 |
37396.0 |
Import |
fM |
685.4 |
1044.1 |
2468.3 |
3131.5 |
3691.7 |
4249.7 |
4786.8 |
5310.6 |
5829.9 |
6349.0 |
6871.6 |
7398.4 |
7929.8 |
8464.9 |
9001.5 |
9536.8 |
10067.7 |
10590.3 |
11100.8 |
11595.2 |
12070.0 |
12521.7 |
12947.2 |
13343.9 |
13709.9 |
14043.6 |
14344.1 |
14611.3 |
14845.4 |
15047.2 |
15218.3 |
15360.6 |
15476.4 |
15568.6 |
15640.3 |
15694.8 |
GDP |
fY |
1576.9 |
3113.4 |
6196.9 |
8248.6 |
10163.6 |
11944.1 |
13602.1 |
15153.1 |
16613.1 |
17992.3 |
19299.9 |
20540.9 |
21719.6 |
22838.4 |
23898.5 |
24900.0 |
25842.5 |
26725.0 |
27546.5 |
28305.8 |
29002.3 |
29635.6 |
30205.8 |
30714.0 |
31161.7 |
31551.2 |
31885.8 |
32169.2 |
32405.9 |
32601.1 |
32760.5 |
32890.1 |
32996.5 |
33086.3 |
33166.2 |
33243.2 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
-27.045 |
-25.022 |
-21.740 |
-18.973 |
-16.342 |
-13.868 |
-11.574 |
-9.461 |
-7.522 |
-5.749 |
-4.132 |
-2.665 |
-1.340 |
-0.152 |
0.904 |
1.832 |
2.635 |
3.317 |
3.882 |
4.333 |
4.674 |
4.912 |
5.051 |
5.097 |
5.058 |
4.941 |
4.755 |
4.507 |
4.206 |
3.862 |
3.483 |
3.077 |
2.655 |
2.223 |
1.789 |
1.362 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
17.585 |
13.310 |
11.458 |
10.125 |
8.791 |
7.522 |
6.331 |
5.218 |
4.185 |
3.230 |
2.353 |
1.551 |
0.824 |
0.170 |
-0.414 |
-0.929 |
-1.376 |
-1.756 |
-2.072 |
-2.326 |
-2.520 |
-2.656 |
-2.739 |
-2.770 |
-2.754 |
-2.695 |
-2.598 |
-2.467 |
-2.306 |
-2.121 |
-1.916 |
-1.697 |
-1.468 |
-1.233 |
-0.998 |
-0.765 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.096 |
-0.060 |
-0.127 |
-0.029 |
0.050 |
0.113 |
0.168 |
0.216 |
0.258 |
0.294 |
0.326 |
0.355 |
0.382 |
0.405 |
0.427 |
0.448 |
0.466 |
0.483 |
0.499 |
0.514 |
0.527 |
0.539 |
0.550 |
0.559 |
0.568 |
0.575 |
0.582 |
0.587 |
0.592 |
0.596 |
0.600 |
0.603 |
0.606 |
0.608 |
0.611 |
0.613 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.062 |
0.015 |
0.034 |
-0.061 |
-0.122 |
-0.158 |
-0.179 |
-0.187 |
-0.186 |
-0.179 |
-0.167 |
-0.152 |
-0.136 |
-0.119 |
-0.102 |
-0.087 |
-0.072 |
-0.059 |
-0.047 |
-0.037 |
-0.028 |
-0.021 |
-0.015 |
-0.010 |
-0.006 |
-0.003 |
-0.001 |
0.001 |
0.002 |
0.002 |
0.003 |
0.003 |
0.003 |
0.003 |
0.003 |
0.002 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.034 |
-0.047 |
-0.096 |
-0.094 |
-0.076 |
-0.049 |
-0.015 |
0.023 |
0.065 |
0.109 |
0.153 |
0.197 |
0.239 |
0.280 |
0.318 |
0.354 |
0.388 |
0.418 |
0.446 |
0.471 |
0.494 |
0.513 |
0.530 |
0.545 |
0.558 |
0.569 |
0.578 |
0.585 |
0.591 |
0.596 |
0.601 |
0.604 |
0.607 |
0.610 |
0.612 |
0.614 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
0.054 |
0.145 |
0.112 |
0.110 |
0.127 |
0.167 |
0.233 |
0.328 |
0.453 |
0.608 |
0.790 |
1.000 |
1.234 |
1.491 |
1.768 |
2.064 |
2.374 |
2.698 |
3.032 |
3.375 |
3.724 |
4.078 |
4.435 |
4.793 |
5.151 |
5.508 |
5.863 |
6.214 |
6.562 |
6.906 |
7.244 |
7.578 |
7.906 |
8.230 |
8.548 |
8.860 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.104 |
0.216 |
0.346 |
0.390 |
0.360 |
0.273 |
0.137 |
-0.039 |
-0.248 |
-0.486 |
-0.747 |
-1.027 |
-1.323 |
-1.632 |
-1.951 |
-2.280 |
-2.615 |
-2.955 |
-3.299 |
-3.644 |
-3.991 |
-4.336 |
-4.680 |
-5.021 |
-5.358 |
-5.691 |
-6.018 |
-6.339 |
-6.653 |
-6.961 |
-7.261 |
-7.553 |
-7.838 |
-8.116 |
-8.386 |
-8.649 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.068 |
-0.139 |
-0.254 |
-0.323 |
-0.380 |
-0.429 |
-0.470 |
-0.505 |
-0.536 |
-0.563 |
-0.587 |
-0.608 |
-0.627 |
-0.643 |
-0.657 |
-0.668 |
-0.676 |
-0.681 |
-0.684 |
-0.683 |
-0.679 |
-0.673 |
-0.664 |
-0.652 |
-0.638 |
-0.622 |
-0.605 |
-0.586 |
-0.567 |
-0.546 |
-0.526 |
-0.505 |
-0.485 |
-0.466 |
-0.447 |
-0.430 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.023 |
-0.035 |
-0.063 |
-0.070 |
-0.074 |
-0.075 |
-0.076 |
-0.076 |
-0.075 |
-0.074 |
-0.073 |
-0.072 |
-0.071 |
-0.070 |
-0.068 |
-0.067 |
-0.065 |
-0.063 |
-0.062 |
-0.060 |
-0.058 |
-0.056 |
-0.054 |
-0.052 |
-0.050 |
-0.049 |
-0.047 |
-0.046 |
-0.044 |
-0.043 |
-0.042 |
-0.041 |
-0.040 |
-0.040 |
-0.039 |
-0.039 |
User cost |
uim |
-0.088 |
-0.210 |
-0.320 |
-0.415 |
-0.505 |
-0.588 |
-0.664 |
-0.733 |
-0.794 |
-0.847 |
-0.893 |
-0.931 |
-0.962 |
-0.987 |
-1.005 |
-1.017 |
-1.023 |
-1.025 |
-1.022 |
-1.015 |
-1.004 |
-0.990 |
-0.974 |
-0.956 |
-0.936 |
-0.915 |
-0.893 |
-0.872 |
-0.850 |
-0.830 |
-0.810 |
-0.791 |
-0.774 |
-0.758 |
-0.744 |
-0.732 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.240 |
-0.653 |
-0.985 |
-1.248 |
-1.481 |
-1.685 |
-1.860 |
-2.007 |
-2.129 |
-2.226 |
-2.302 |
-2.357 |
-2.394 |
-2.413 |
-2.417 |
-2.407 |
-2.385 |
-2.353 |
-2.311 |
-2.262 |
-2.207 |
-2.147 |
-2.083 |
-2.018 |
-1.952 |
-1.886 |
-1.822 |
-1.760 |
-1.702 |
-1.647 |
-1.596 |
-1.551 |
-1.511 |
-1.477 |
-1.448 |
-1.425 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.083 |
-0.207 |
-0.320 |
-0.418 |
-0.511 |
-0.598 |
-0.677 |
-0.749 |
-0.814 |
-0.871 |
-0.922 |
-0.965 |
-1.001 |
-1.031 |
-1.054 |
-1.072 |
-1.083 |
-1.089 |
-1.090 |
-1.086 |
-1.078 |
-1.066 |
-1.051 |
-1.034 |
-1.014 |
-0.993 |
-0.971 |
-0.948 |
-0.924 |
-0.901 |
-0.879 |
-0.857 |
-0.837 |
-0.818 |
-0.801 |
-0.786 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.060 |
-0.147 |
-0.226 |
-0.294 |
-0.359 |
-0.419 |
-0.473 |
-0.522 |
-0.565 |
-0.602 |
-0.634 |
-0.660 |
-0.681 |
-0.696 |
-0.707 |
-0.713 |
-0.715 |
-0.713 |
-0.708 |
-0.700 |
-0.689 |
-0.676 |
-0.662 |
-0.646 |
-0.629 |
-0.611 |
-0.593 |
-0.576 |
-0.558 |
-0.541 |
-0.525 |
-0.510 |
-0.496 |
-0.484 |
-0.473 |
-0.464 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
-0.049 |
-0.028 |
-0.070 |
-0.005 |
0.035 |
0.055 |
0.062 |
0.060 |
0.050 |
0.035 |
0.017 |
-0.004 |
-0.026 |
-0.048 |
-0.069 |
-0.090 |
-0.108 |
-0.126 |
-0.141 |
-0.154 |
-0.165 |
-0.173 |
-0.180 |
-0.185 |
-0.188 |
-0.189 |
-0.189 |
-0.188 |
-0.185 |
-0.182 |
-0.178 |
-0.173 |
-0.168 |
-0.163 |
-0.157 |
-0.152 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.084 |
-0.199 |
-0.294 |
-0.351 |
-0.393 |
-0.426 |
-0.450 |
-0.467 |
-0.477 |
-0.482 |
-0.482 |
-0.477 |
-0.469 |
-0.458 |
-0.444 |
-0.428 |
-0.410 |
-0.390 |
-0.370 |
-0.350 |
-0.329 |
-0.309 |
-0.289 |
-0.270 |
-0.252 |
-0.236 |
-0.220 |
-0.207 |
-0.195 |
-0.184 |
-0.176 |
-0.169 |
-0.164 |
-0.160 |
-0.158 |
-0.158 |
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