|
|
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
2053 |
2054 |
2055 |
2056 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
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|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
902.2 |
1138.1 |
2668.5 |
2957.8 |
2964.0 |
2772.3 |
2431.8 |
1992.5 |
1495.1 |
968.3 |
436.0 |
-85.2 |
-580.9 |
-1040.5 |
-1455.7 |
-1820.6 |
-2131.2 |
-2385.4 |
-2582.4 |
-2722.9 |
-2808.5 |
-2841.8 |
-2826.4 |
-2766.1 |
-2665.3 |
-2528.9 |
-2361.8 |
-2169.1 |
-1955.9 |
-1727.2 |
-1487.9 |
-1242.5 |
-995.4 |
-750.7 |
-512.1 |
-282.8 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
-116.9 |
-156.7 |
-246.0 |
-302.6 |
-342.6 |
-371.2 |
-390.8 |
-403.8 |
-412.1 |
-417.2 |
-420.6 |
-423.0 |
-425.4 |
-428.3 |
-432.1 |
-437.2 |
-443.8 |
-452.0 |
-461.8 |
-473.2 |
-486.0 |
-500.3 |
-515.6 |
-532.0 |
-549.3 |
-567.1 |
-585.3 |
-603.8 |
-622.3 |
-640.7 |
-658.9 |
-676.6 |
-693.9 |
-710.7 |
-726.7 |
-742.2 |
Investment |
fI |
697.1 |
1069.4 |
2357.9 |
2878.4 |
3155.7 |
3347.1 |
3433.3 |
3445.0 |
3404.8 |
3336.7 |
3258.4 |
3184.4 |
3125.3 |
3088.7 |
3079.1 |
3098.6 |
3147.6 |
3224.8 |
3327.8 |
3453.5 |
3598.2 |
3757.9 |
3928.8 |
4106.8 |
4288.4 |
4470.0 |
4648.8 |
4821.9 |
4987.2 |
5142.9 |
5287.5 |
5420.0 |
5539.9 |
5646.8 |
5740.8 |
5822.2 |
Export |
fE |
647.7 |
1742.8 |
3018.4 |
4346.9 |
5820.0 |
7392.9 |
9041.6 |
10731.1 |
12442.0 |
14152.4 |
15847.0 |
17510.7 |
19131.5 |
20698.6 |
22203.0 |
23636.9 |
24994.0 |
26269.1 |
27458.3 |
28559.1 |
29569.9 |
30490.5 |
31321.7 |
32065.5 |
32724.6 |
33303.0 |
33805.4 |
34237.0 |
34604.0 |
34912.9 |
35170.7 |
35384.7 |
35562.4 |
35711.5 |
35839.4 |
35953.5 |
Import |
fM |
582.0 |
775.3 |
1892.3 |
2211.7 |
2392.6 |
2546.6 |
2665.2 |
2763.6 |
2856.8 |
2954.3 |
3064.6 |
3192.3 |
3341.1 |
3512.7 |
3707.6 |
3924.8 |
4162.6 |
4418.5 |
4689.5 |
4972.2 |
5263.1 |
5558.7 |
5855.4 |
6149.9 |
6439.3 |
6720.7 |
6991.8 |
7250.5 |
7495.0 |
7724.2 |
7937.0 |
8133.0 |
8311.9 |
8473.9 |
8619.4 |
8749.1 |
GDP |
fY |
1549.6 |
2988.2 |
5877.7 |
7636.0 |
9192.0 |
10574.5 |
11814.4 |
12943.0 |
13989.3 |
14974.2 |
15915.6 |
16824.9 |
17711.2 |
18580.4 |
19435.8 |
20278.5 |
21108.4 |
21923.6 |
22721.8 |
23499.8 |
24254.6 |
24982.8 |
25681.4 |
26347.8 |
26979.8 |
27575.9 |
28135.1 |
28657.1 |
29142.3 |
29591.7 |
30006.9 |
30390.0 |
30743.6 |
31070.9 |
31375.2 |
31660.2 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
-27.059 |
-25.112 |
-21.987 |
-19.483 |
-17.189 |
-15.098 |
-13.208 |
-11.500 |
-9.948 |
-8.531 |
-7.227 |
-6.021 |
-4.902 |
-3.860 |
-2.891 |
-1.991 |
-1.159 |
-0.394 |
0.302 |
0.928 |
1.485 |
1.971 |
2.385 |
2.730 |
3.005 |
3.213 |
3.357 |
3.440 |
3.465 |
3.438 |
3.363 |
3.246 |
3.091 |
2.906 |
2.695 |
2.464 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
17.594 |
13.365 |
11.602 |
10.416 |
9.266 |
8.204 |
7.229 |
6.335 |
5.510 |
4.748 |
4.040 |
3.381 |
2.766 |
2.192 |
1.656 |
1.158 |
0.698 |
0.274 |
-0.112 |
-0.460 |
-0.770 |
-1.040 |
-1.271 |
-1.464 |
-1.619 |
-1.737 |
-1.819 |
-1.868 |
-1.886 |
-1.874 |
-1.836 |
-1.775 |
-1.693 |
-1.594 |
-1.481 |
-1.356 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.096 |
-0.062 |
-0.132 |
-0.040 |
0.032 |
0.086 |
0.133 |
0.172 |
0.204 |
0.233 |
0.258 |
0.281 |
0.303 |
0.323 |
0.342 |
0.361 |
0.379 |
0.397 |
0.414 |
0.431 |
0.447 |
0.462 |
0.477 |
0.491 |
0.505 |
0.517 |
0.529 |
0.540 |
0.550 |
0.559 |
0.567 |
0.575 |
0.582 |
0.588 |
0.594 |
0.599 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.062 |
0.016 |
0.035 |
-0.057 |
-0.114 |
-0.147 |
-0.164 |
-0.168 |
-0.164 |
-0.154 |
-0.140 |
-0.123 |
-0.105 |
-0.088 |
-0.071 |
-0.055 |
-0.041 |
-0.028 |
-0.017 |
-0.008 |
-0.001 |
0.006 |
0.010 |
0.014 |
0.017 |
0.018 |
0.019 |
0.020 |
0.019 |
0.019 |
0.018 |
0.017 |
0.016 |
0.015 |
0.015 |
0.014 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.035 |
-0.048 |
-0.099 |
-0.101 |
-0.087 |
-0.065 |
-0.037 |
-0.004 |
0.033 |
0.071 |
0.110 |
0.149 |
0.188 |
0.225 |
0.261 |
0.295 |
0.327 |
0.358 |
0.386 |
0.412 |
0.436 |
0.457 |
0.477 |
0.495 |
0.511 |
0.526 |
0.538 |
0.550 |
0.560 |
0.569 |
0.577 |
0.583 |
0.590 |
0.595 |
0.600 |
0.605 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
0.055 |
0.149 |
0.121 |
0.125 |
0.147 |
0.191 |
0.260 |
0.354 |
0.475 |
0.621 |
0.792 |
0.986 |
1.201 |
1.436 |
1.687 |
1.954 |
2.234 |
2.525 |
2.826 |
3.134 |
3.448 |
3.767 |
4.088 |
4.412 |
4.736 |
5.059 |
5.381 |
5.702 |
6.019 |
6.334 |
6.645 |
6.952 |
7.255 |
7.554 |
7.849 |
8.139 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.105 |
0.221 |
0.359 |
0.420 |
0.413 |
0.357 |
0.261 |
0.132 |
-0.024 |
-0.202 |
-0.398 |
-0.610 |
-0.836 |
-1.073 |
-1.322 |
-1.580 |
-1.847 |
-2.122 |
-2.405 |
-2.693 |
-2.988 |
-3.287 |
-3.589 |
-3.895 |
-4.203 |
-4.511 |
-4.820 |
-5.128 |
-5.435 |
-5.740 |
-6.041 |
-6.340 |
-6.634 |
-6.924 |
-7.210 |
-7.491 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.065 |
-0.129 |
-0.232 |
-0.287 |
-0.330 |
-0.365 |
-0.394 |
-0.420 |
-0.443 |
-0.466 |
-0.489 |
-0.511 |
-0.534 |
-0.557 |
-0.579 |
-0.601 |
-0.621 |
-0.640 |
-0.657 |
-0.673 |
-0.686 |
-0.696 |
-0.704 |
-0.709 |
-0.711 |
-0.711 |
-0.709 |
-0.704 |
-0.698 |
-0.689 |
-0.679 |
-0.668 |
-0.656 |
-0.643 |
-0.629 |
-0.616 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.020 |
-0.027 |
-0.047 |
-0.047 |
-0.043 |
-0.038 |
-0.032 |
-0.027 |
-0.021 |
-0.017 |
-0.013 |
-0.009 |
-0.005 |
-0.002 |
0.001 |
0.005 |
0.007 |
0.010 |
0.013 |
0.016 |
0.018 |
0.021 |
0.023 |
0.025 |
0.027 |
0.029 |
0.030 |
0.032 |
0.033 |
0.034 |
0.035 |
0.035 |
0.036 |
0.036 |
0.036 |
0.036 |
User cost |
uim |
-0.087 |
-0.209 |
-0.318 |
-0.413 |
-0.503 |
-0.588 |
-0.667 |
-0.740 |
-0.808 |
-0.869 |
-0.925 |
-0.975 |
-1.019 |
-1.058 |
-1.091 |
-1.120 |
-1.143 |
-1.162 |
-1.176 |
-1.186 |
-1.193 |
-1.195 |
-1.194 |
-1.191 |
-1.184 |
-1.176 |
-1.165 |
-1.153 |
-1.140 |
-1.126 |
-1.111 |
-1.096 |
-1.081 |
-1.066 |
-1.052 |
-1.038 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.240 |
-0.654 |
-0.989 |
-1.257 |
-1.500 |
-1.719 |
-1.913 |
-2.085 |
-2.237 |
-2.370 |
-2.485 |
-2.584 |
-2.667 |
-2.736 |
-2.791 |
-2.833 |
-2.864 |
-2.883 |
-2.892 |
-2.891 |
-2.883 |
-2.866 |
-2.843 |
-2.815 |
-2.781 |
-2.744 |
-2.704 |
-2.662 |
-2.618 |
-2.574 |
-2.531 |
-2.488 |
-2.447 |
-2.407 |
-2.370 |
-2.336 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.083 |
-0.207 |
-0.321 |
-0.421 |
-0.518 |
-0.609 |
-0.695 |
-0.775 |
-0.850 |
-0.921 |
-0.986 |
-1.046 |
-1.100 |
-1.150 |
-1.194 |
-1.233 |
-1.267 |
-1.296 |
-1.320 |
-1.340 |
-1.354 |
-1.365 |
-1.371 |
-1.374 |
-1.373 |
-1.369 |
-1.362 |
-1.353 |
-1.343 |
-1.330 |
-1.316 |
-1.302 |
-1.286 |
-1.271 |
-1.255 |
-1.240 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.060 |
-0.148 |
-0.227 |
-0.296 |
-0.363 |
-0.427 |
-0.486 |
-0.541 |
-0.592 |
-0.638 |
-0.680 |
-0.718 |
-0.751 |
-0.780 |
-0.805 |
-0.826 |
-0.844 |
-0.857 |
-0.867 |
-0.874 |
-0.878 |
-0.879 |
-0.878 |
-0.874 |
-0.869 |
-0.862 |
-0.853 |
-0.843 |
-0.832 |
-0.821 |
-0.809 |
-0.797 |
-0.785 |
-0.773 |
-0.762 |
-0.751 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
-0.048 |
-0.025 |
-0.065 |
0.003 |
0.046 |
0.067 |
0.076 |
0.074 |
0.065 |
0.051 |
0.033 |
0.012 |
-0.010 |
-0.033 |
-0.056 |
-0.078 |
-0.098 |
-0.117 |
-0.135 |
-0.151 |
-0.165 |
-0.177 |
-0.187 |
-0.195 |
-0.202 |
-0.207 |
-0.211 |
-0.213 |
-0.214 |
-0.214 |
-0.213 |
-0.212 |
-0.210 |
-0.207 |
-0.204 |
-0.200 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.084 |
-0.198 |
-0.291 |
-0.347 |
-0.389 |
-0.423 |
-0.450 |
-0.472 |
-0.488 |
-0.501 |
-0.509 |
-0.514 |
-0.516 |
-0.514 |
-0.511 |
-0.504 |
-0.496 |
-0.486 |
-0.475 |
-0.462 |
-0.448 |
-0.433 |
-0.419 |
-0.403 |
-0.388 |
-0.374 |
-0.359 |
-0.345 |
-0.332 |
-0.320 |
-0.309 |
-0.298 |
-0.289 |
-0.281 |
-0.274 |
-0.269 |
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