|
|
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
2053 |
2054 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
1686.8 |
2777.3 |
3914.2 |
4740.8 |
5356.8 |
5827.6 |
6203.5 |
6522.6 |
6814.5 |
7099.3 |
7387.9 |
7687.7 |
8001.4 |
8328.5 |
8665.9 |
9008.7 |
9350.9 |
9685.8 |
10006.5 |
10306.5 |
10579.7 |
10820.9 |
11026.2 |
11192.9 |
11319.7 |
11406.8 |
11455.9 |
11470.3 |
11454.2 |
11413.5 |
11354.7 |
11285.3 |
11213.5 |
11147.4 |
11095.6 |
11066.3 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
381.2 |
878.0 |
1503.8 |
2178.1 |
2871.4 |
3555.3 |
4211.0 |
4826.1 |
5392.3 |
5904.0 |
6357.6 |
6751.2 |
7084.3 |
7357.6 |
7572.7 |
7732.4 |
7840.5 |
7901.3 |
7920.0 |
7902.7 |
7855.5 |
7785.2 |
7698.7 |
7603.1 |
7505.2 |
7411.7 |
7329.0 |
7262.7 |
7218.0 |
7199.4 |
7210.4 |
7253.7 |
7331.0 |
7443.0 |
7589.6 |
7769.7 |
Investment |
fI |
1411.9 |
2584.6 |
3744.1 |
4752.6 |
5605.0 |
6317.6 |
6893.5 |
7349.6 |
7699.8 |
7959.7 |
8140.2 |
8252.4 |
8305.2 |
8306.3 |
8261.7 |
8176.9 |
8056.6 |
7905.5 |
7728.1 |
7529.3 |
7314.0 |
7087.7 |
6855.9 |
6624.7 |
6399.9 |
6187.7 |
5994.1 |
5824.7 |
5684.9 |
5579.5 |
5512.6 |
5487.6 |
5507.0 |
5572.0 |
5683.3 |
5840.2 |
Export |
fE |
421.0 |
1237.4 |
2347.3 |
3654.8 |
5105.1 |
6630.7 |
8172.8 |
9674.6 |
11094.2 |
12396.6 |
13557.3 |
14559.0 |
15392.2 |
16053.7 |
16546.4 |
16878.0 |
17060.6 |
17110.0 |
17044.7 |
16885.3 |
16653.7 |
16372.6 |
16064.6 |
15751.6 |
15454.5 |
15192.4 |
14982.4 |
14839.0 |
14773.9 |
14796.0 |
14911.1 |
15121.9 |
15428.0 |
15826.1 |
16310.1 |
16871.6 |
Import |
fM |
1369.2 |
2421.0 |
3560.4 |
4591.4 |
5538.5 |
6448.9 |
7317.0 |
8140.4 |
8917.1 |
9643.7 |
10314.7 |
10926.3 |
11474.6 |
11956.3 |
12369.0 |
12711.1 |
12982.7 |
13184.9 |
13320.4 |
13393.2 |
13409.0 |
13374.4 |
13297.4 |
13186.7 |
13052.1 |
12903.5 |
12751.3 |
12605.8 |
12476.9 |
12374.2 |
12306.2 |
12280.8 |
12304.5 |
12382.3 |
12518.0 |
12713.7 |
GDP |
fY |
2565.5 |
5098.4 |
7999.8 |
10795.1 |
13480.5 |
15966.4 |
18245.7 |
20308.6 |
22152.3 |
23776.7 |
25181.9 |
26371.8 |
27352.7 |
28132.5 |
28721.3 |
29131.7 |
29377.9 |
29476.6 |
29446.1 |
29306.4 |
29078.9 |
28786.0 |
28450.4 |
28095.0 |
27742.6 |
27414.8 |
27132.0 |
26913.3 |
26775.1 |
26731.9 |
26795.3 |
26974.0 |
27273.5 |
27696.3 |
28241.7 |
28905.9 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
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|
|
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|
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|
|
Employment |
Q |
2.647 |
5.815 |
9.565 |
13.359 |
17.032 |
20.446 |
23.528 |
26.239 |
28.565 |
30.506 |
32.068 |
33.268 |
34.124 |
34.663 |
34.910 |
34.896 |
34.653 |
34.214 |
33.612 |
32.883 |
32.060 |
31.176 |
30.263 |
29.352 |
28.468 |
27.638 |
26.882 |
26.217 |
25.659 |
25.217 |
24.898 |
24.704 |
24.635 |
24.685 |
24.848 |
25.113 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
7.852 |
9.264 |
8.834 |
7.691 |
6.221 |
4.677 |
3.188 |
1.824 |
0.622 |
-0.400 |
-1.235 |
-1.885 |
-2.355 |
-2.656 |
-2.802 |
-2.806 |
-2.685 |
-2.457 |
-2.140 |
-1.752 |
-1.311 |
-0.836 |
-0.344 |
0.148 |
0.627 |
1.078 |
1.490 |
1.852 |
2.158 |
2.401 |
2.578 |
2.687 |
2.728 |
2.704 |
2.619 |
2.478 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.172 |
-0.182 |
-0.157 |
-0.115 |
-0.072 |
-0.033 |
-0.001 |
0.025 |
0.043 |
0.057 |
0.065 |
0.069 |
0.069 |
0.067 |
0.063 |
0.057 |
0.049 |
0.041 |
0.032 |
0.022 |
0.013 |
0.004 |
-0.005 |
-0.014 |
-0.021 |
-0.028 |
-0.034 |
-0.039 |
-0.043 |
-0.046 |
-0.047 |
-0.048 |
-0.048 |
-0.046 |
-0.044 |
-0.041 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.098 |
0.063 |
-0.003 |
-0.069 |
-0.122 |
-0.161 |
-0.185 |
-0.197 |
-0.200 |
-0.196 |
-0.186 |
-0.173 |
-0.157 |
-0.141 |
-0.125 |
-0.109 |
-0.094 |
-0.080 |
-0.067 |
-0.056 |
-0.046 |
-0.037 |
-0.030 |
-0.024 |
-0.018 |
-0.014 |
-0.010 |
-0.008 |
-0.005 |
-0.004 |
-0.003 |
-0.002 |
-0.001 |
-0.001 |
-0.001 |
-0.002 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.073 |
-0.118 |
-0.159 |
-0.183 |
-0.193 |
-0.192 |
-0.184 |
-0.171 |
-0.154 |
-0.136 |
-0.118 |
-0.100 |
-0.084 |
-0.069 |
-0.057 |
-0.046 |
-0.039 |
-0.033 |
-0.029 |
-0.027 |
-0.026 |
-0.027 |
-0.028 |
-0.030 |
-0.033 |
-0.036 |
-0.038 |
-0.040 |
-0.042 |
-0.044 |
-0.044 |
-0.045 |
-0.044 |
-0.043 |
-0.041 |
-0.038 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
-0.027 |
-0.140 |
-0.290 |
-0.453 |
-0.618 |
-0.784 |
-0.942 |
-1.087 |
-1.216 |
-1.328 |
-1.422 |
-1.497 |
-1.554 |
-1.593 |
-1.617 |
-1.627 |
-1.623 |
-1.608 |
-1.583 |
-1.550 |
-1.510 |
-1.464 |
-1.415 |
-1.362 |
-1.307 |
-1.251 |
-1.194 |
-1.137 |
-1.080 |
-1.025 |
-0.971 |
-0.918 |
-0.866 |
-0.817 |
-0.768 |
-0.722 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.099 |
0.255 |
0.380 |
0.463 |
0.501 |
0.502 |
0.472 |
0.418 |
0.348 |
0.267 |
0.181 |
0.093 |
0.008 |
-0.073 |
-0.146 |
-0.211 |
-0.266 |
-0.311 |
-0.345 |
-0.368 |
-0.381 |
-0.384 |
-0.377 |
-0.362 |
-0.340 |
-0.312 |
-0.278 |
-0.240 |
-0.199 |
-0.157 |
-0.115 |
-0.073 |
-0.032 |
0.005 |
0.039 |
0.069 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
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|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.095 |
-0.180 |
-0.268 |
-0.340 |
-0.399 |
-0.442 |
-0.472 |
-0.489 |
-0.495 |
-0.491 |
-0.479 |
-0.460 |
-0.435 |
-0.404 |
-0.370 |
-0.333 |
-0.293 |
-0.253 |
-0.213 |
-0.173 |
-0.135 |
-0.099 |
-0.065 |
-0.036 |
-0.010 |
0.011 |
0.027 |
0.039 |
0.046 |
0.049 |
0.047 |
0.041 |
0.031 |
0.018 |
0.002 |
-0.015 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.020 |
-0.027 |
-0.029 |
-0.024 |
-0.016 |
-0.006 |
0.005 |
0.016 |
0.025 |
0.034 |
0.042 |
0.048 |
0.054 |
0.058 |
0.061 |
0.063 |
0.064 |
0.064 |
0.064 |
0.063 |
0.062 |
0.060 |
0.058 |
0.055 |
0.053 |
0.050 |
0.048 |
0.045 |
0.043 |
0.041 |
0.039 |
0.038 |
0.037 |
0.036 |
0.036 |
0.036 |
User cost |
uim |
-0.034 |
-0.094 |
-0.157 |
-0.216 |
-0.267 |
-0.308 |
-0.339 |
-0.360 |
-0.371 |
-0.372 |
-0.365 |
-0.351 |
-0.331 |
-0.306 |
-0.278 |
-0.249 |
-0.218 |
-0.188 |
-0.159 |
-0.132 |
-0.108 |
-0.088 |
-0.071 |
-0.058 |
-0.050 |
-0.046 |
-0.046 |
-0.050 |
-0.058 |
-0.068 |
-0.081 |
-0.096 |
-0.112 |
-0.129 |
-0.147 |
-0.163 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.099 |
-0.301 |
-0.507 |
-0.690 |
-0.840 |
-0.953 |
-1.031 |
-1.074 |
-1.087 |
-1.073 |
-1.037 |
-0.982 |
-0.913 |
-0.835 |
-0.751 |
-0.664 |
-0.578 |
-0.496 |
-0.420 |
-0.352 |
-0.294 |
-0.247 |
-0.211 |
-0.188 |
-0.176 |
-0.176 |
-0.187 |
-0.207 |
-0.236 |
-0.272 |
-0.313 |
-0.358 |
-0.406 |
-0.453 |
-0.500 |
-0.544 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.031 |
-0.093 |
-0.160 |
-0.224 |
-0.280 |
-0.327 |
-0.363 |
-0.389 |
-0.406 |
-0.413 |
-0.412 |
-0.404 |
-0.390 |
-0.371 |
-0.347 |
-0.321 |
-0.294 |
-0.265 |
-0.237 |
-0.210 |
-0.185 |
-0.163 |
-0.144 |
-0.129 |
-0.118 |
-0.110 |
-0.107 |
-0.107 |
-0.112 |
-0.119 |
-0.130 |
-0.143 |
-0.157 |
-0.174 |
-0.191 |
-0.208 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.024 |
-0.068 |
-0.114 |
-0.159 |
-0.198 |
-0.231 |
-0.257 |
-0.275 |
-0.286 |
-0.290 |
-0.288 |
-0.280 |
-0.268 |
-0.253 |
-0.234 |
-0.214 |
-0.193 |
-0.171 |
-0.151 |
-0.131 |
-0.113 |
-0.098 |
-0.085 |
-0.075 |
-0.068 |
-0.064 |
-0.063 |
-0.065 |
-0.069 |
-0.076 |
-0.084 |
-0.094 |
-0.106 |
-0.118 |
-0.130 |
-0.142 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
-0.086 |
-0.090 |
-0.054 |
-0.015 |
0.016 |
0.037 |
0.049 |
0.053 |
0.051 |
0.045 |
0.037 |
0.027 |
0.016 |
0.007 |
-0.002 |
-0.010 |
-0.015 |
-0.019 |
-0.021 |
-0.022 |
-0.022 |
-0.020 |
-0.017 |
-0.014 |
-0.010 |
-0.007 |
-0.003 |
0.000 |
0.002 |
0.004 |
0.006 |
0.006 |
0.006 |
0.005 |
0.003 |
0.000 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.042 |
-0.101 |
-0.152 |
-0.189 |
-0.211 |
-0.222 |
-0.223 |
-0.217 |
-0.203 |
-0.185 |
-0.163 |
-0.139 |
-0.113 |
-0.088 |
-0.063 |
-0.040 |
-0.019 |
-0.001 |
0.014 |
0.025 |
0.033 |
0.038 |
0.039 |
0.037 |
0.033 |
0.026 |
0.016 |
0.005 |
-0.007 |
-0.020 |
-0.034 |
-0.047 |
-0.060 |
-0.072 |
-0.082 |
-0.091 |
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