|
|
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
2053 |
2054 |
2055 |
2056 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
520.5 |
953.6 |
1283.8 |
1310.1 |
1113.0 |
751.4 |
274.0 |
-277.4 |
-865.4 |
-1460.6 |
-2039.1 |
-2583.0 |
-3077.6 |
-3511.7 |
-3877.5 |
-4169.5 |
-4384.7 |
-4522.4 |
-4583.5 |
-4570.8 |
-4488.4 |
-4341.5 |
-4136.6 |
-3880.6 |
-3581.3 |
-3246.5 |
-2884.6 |
-2503.8 |
-2112.2 |
-1717.6 |
-1327.6 |
-949.2 |
-588.6 |
-251.6 |
56.9 |
332.6 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
-27.0 |
-61.5 |
-98.7 |
-128.8 |
-151.6 |
-168.0 |
-179.4 |
-187.4 |
-193.2 |
-198.1 |
-203.0 |
-208.6 |
-215.5 |
-224.0 |
-234.4 |
-246.7 |
-261.0 |
-277.1 |
-295.0 |
-314.4 |
-334.9 |
-356.5 |
-378.6 |
-401.0 |
-423.5 |
-445.6 |
-467.1 |
-487.8 |
-507.5 |
-525.9 |
-542.9 |
-558.3 |
-572.2 |
-584.5 |
-595.1 |
-604.1 |
Investment |
fI |
406.1 |
838.3 |
1270.1 |
1594.9 |
1840.5 |
2028.9 |
2165.2 |
2269.4 |
2355.5 |
2439.4 |
2532.0 |
2642.2 |
2775.9 |
2936.3 |
3124.1 |
3338.1 |
3575.6 |
3832.6 |
4104.2 |
4385.1 |
4669.8 |
4952.8 |
5228.7 |
5492.7 |
5740.5 |
5968.4 |
6173.2 |
6352.5 |
6504.8 |
6629.2 |
6725.2 |
6793.4 |
6834.7 |
6850.6 |
6843.1 |
6814.5 |
Export |
fE |
360.8 |
1141.3 |
2251.5 |
3626.4 |
5244.8 |
7060.9 |
9039.8 |
11137.9 |
13322.7 |
15559.9 |
17820.7 |
20076.9 |
22303.7 |
24477.9 |
26578.7 |
28587.3 |
30487.4 |
32264.8 |
33907.8 |
35407.2 |
36756.2 |
37950.6 |
38988.8 |
39871.6 |
40602.1 |
41185.8 |
41630.0 |
41944.3 |
42139.5 |
42228.3 |
42224.3 |
42142.0 |
41996.6 |
41803.8 |
41579.2 |
41338.4 |
Import |
fM |
395.2 |
797.4 |
1221.2 |
1552.4 |
1850.4 |
2141.2 |
2441.7 |
2762.9 |
3114.8 |
3503.6 |
3933.1 |
4403.9 |
4915.4 |
5464.5 |
6046.9 |
6656.8 |
7287.8 |
7932.5 |
8583.1 |
9232.0 |
9871.4 |
10493.9 |
11092.7 |
11661.7 |
12195.3 |
12688.9 |
13139.0 |
13542.7 |
13898.3 |
14205.1 |
14463.0 |
14673.2 |
14837.4 |
14958.3 |
15039.1 |
15083.6 |
GDP |
fY |
869.1 |
2066.2 |
3467.4 |
4824.5 |
6181.4 |
7506.3 |
8813.9 |
10112.6 |
11411.3 |
12715.0 |
14026.0 |
15342.8 |
16662.2 |
17978.4 |
19284.2 |
20570.9 |
21829.3 |
23049.5 |
24222.0 |
25337.6 |
26387.6 |
27364.7 |
28262.6 |
29076.5 |
29803.0 |
30440.5 |
30988.8 |
31449.4 |
31825.1 |
32120.4 |
32340.9 |
32493.3 |
32585.4 |
32625.8 |
32623.5 |
32588.3 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
0.843 |
2.249 |
4.028 |
5.929 |
7.892 |
9.862 |
11.814 |
13.731 |
15.609 |
17.441 |
19.221 |
20.944 |
22.602 |
24.186 |
25.686 |
27.092 |
28.396 |
29.589 |
30.662 |
31.609 |
32.427 |
33.111 |
33.661 |
34.079 |
34.366 |
34.529 |
34.573 |
34.508 |
34.341 |
34.084 |
33.747 |
33.343 |
32.883 |
32.380 |
31.845 |
31.291 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
9.026 |
11.345 |
11.958 |
11.807 |
11.237 |
10.458 |
9.572 |
8.634 |
7.677 |
6.717 |
5.769 |
4.841 |
3.942 |
3.079 |
2.258 |
1.486 |
0.768 |
0.111 |
-0.482 |
-1.006 |
-1.459 |
-1.840 |
-2.148 |
-2.383 |
-2.547 |
-2.642 |
-2.673 |
-2.643 |
-2.557 |
-2.421 |
-2.242 |
-2.025 |
-1.777 |
-1.505 |
-1.215 |
-0.914 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.056 |
-0.066 |
-0.043 |
0.004 |
0.055 |
0.105 |
0.153 |
0.198 |
0.240 |
0.280 |
0.318 |
0.355 |
0.390 |
0.424 |
0.457 |
0.489 |
0.519 |
0.549 |
0.576 |
0.603 |
0.627 |
0.650 |
0.670 |
0.689 |
0.706 |
0.721 |
0.734 |
0.745 |
0.755 |
0.763 |
0.770 |
0.776 |
0.780 |
0.784 |
0.787 |
0.790 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.036 |
0.029 |
-0.003 |
-0.045 |
-0.080 |
-0.105 |
-0.120 |
-0.127 |
-0.127 |
-0.122 |
-0.113 |
-0.102 |
-0.091 |
-0.079 |
-0.067 |
-0.055 |
-0.045 |
-0.036 |
-0.028 |
-0.021 |
-0.015 |
-0.010 |
-0.006 |
-0.003 |
-0.001 |
0.001 |
0.002 |
0.003 |
0.003 |
0.003 |
0.004 |
0.004 |
0.004 |
0.004 |
0.004 |
0.004 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.020 |
-0.038 |
-0.048 |
-0.044 |
-0.029 |
-0.004 |
0.028 |
0.065 |
0.107 |
0.151 |
0.197 |
0.244 |
0.290 |
0.336 |
0.381 |
0.424 |
0.465 |
0.504 |
0.540 |
0.573 |
0.603 |
0.631 |
0.656 |
0.678 |
0.698 |
0.715 |
0.730 |
0.742 |
0.753 |
0.762 |
0.769 |
0.775 |
0.780 |
0.784 |
0.787 |
0.790 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
0.023 |
0.061 |
0.108 |
0.173 |
0.259 |
0.369 |
0.505 |
0.668 |
0.859 |
1.077 |
1.322 |
1.592 |
1.886 |
2.202 |
2.539 |
2.895 |
3.267 |
3.653 |
4.052 |
4.462 |
4.880 |
5.304 |
5.733 |
6.165 |
6.599 |
7.034 |
7.467 |
7.898 |
8.326 |
8.749 |
9.168 |
9.582 |
9.990 |
10.392 |
10.788 |
11.178 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.054 |
0.146 |
0.216 |
0.245 |
0.227 |
0.164 |
0.058 |
-0.087 |
-0.267 |
-0.479 |
-0.721 |
-0.990 |
-1.285 |
-1.602 |
-1.941 |
-2.299 |
-2.674 |
-3.064 |
-3.468 |
-3.882 |
-4.305 |
-4.735 |
-5.169 |
-5.607 |
-6.044 |
-6.481 |
-6.915 |
-7.344 |
-7.767 |
-8.184 |
-8.592 |
-8.991 |
-9.381 |
-9.761 |
-10.131 |
-10.491 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.036 |
-0.088 |
-0.145 |
-0.201 |
-0.254 |
-0.306 |
-0.357 |
-0.406 |
-0.455 |
-0.503 |
-0.551 |
-0.597 |
-0.641 |
-0.683 |
-0.722 |
-0.758 |
-0.789 |
-0.817 |
-0.839 |
-0.857 |
-0.869 |
-0.876 |
-0.879 |
-0.876 |
-0.869 |
-0.857 |
-0.842 |
-0.823 |
-0.802 |
-0.778 |
-0.752 |
-0.725 |
-0.698 |
-0.670 |
-0.642 |
-0.616 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.012 |
-0.023 |
-0.033 |
-0.039 |
-0.042 |
-0.045 |
-0.046 |
-0.047 |
-0.047 |
-0.048 |
-0.048 |
-0.048 |
-0.048 |
-0.048 |
-0.048 |
-0.047 |
-0.046 |
-0.045 |
-0.044 |
-0.042 |
-0.041 |
-0.039 |
-0.037 |
-0.035 |
-0.033 |
-0.031 |
-0.029 |
-0.027 |
-0.026 |
-0.024 |
-0.022 |
-0.021 |
-0.020 |
-0.019 |
-0.018 |
-0.017 |
User cost |
uim |
-0.041 |
-0.117 |
-0.204 |
-0.295 |
-0.388 |
-0.479 |
-0.567 |
-0.651 |
-0.730 |
-0.803 |
-0.869 |
-0.928 |
-0.981 |
-1.026 |
-1.063 |
-1.094 |
-1.117 |
-1.133 |
-1.143 |
-1.147 |
-1.145 |
-1.138 |
-1.127 |
-1.111 |
-1.092 |
-1.070 |
-1.045 |
-1.020 |
-0.993 |
-0.965 |
-0.938 |
-0.911 |
-0.885 |
-0.861 |
-0.838 |
-0.817 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.115 |
-0.359 |
-0.631 |
-0.905 |
-1.169 |
-1.417 |
-1.645 |
-1.853 |
-2.038 |
-2.200 |
-2.340 |
-2.457 |
-2.553 |
-2.628 |
-2.682 |
-2.716 |
-2.733 |
-2.733 |
-2.717 |
-2.687 |
-2.644 |
-2.591 |
-2.529 |
-2.460 |
-2.385 |
-2.306 |
-2.226 |
-2.144 |
-2.063 |
-1.985 |
-1.909 |
-1.838 |
-1.772 |
-1.713 |
-1.659 |
-1.613 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.039 |
-0.114 |
-0.203 |
-0.297 |
-0.392 |
-0.487 |
-0.580 |
-0.669 |
-0.753 |
-0.832 |
-0.905 |
-0.972 |
-1.033 |
-1.086 |
-1.131 |
-1.170 |
-1.201 |
-1.225 |
-1.241 |
-1.251 |
-1.254 |
-1.251 |
-1.243 |
-1.230 |
-1.212 |
-1.191 |
-1.167 |
-1.140 |
-1.112 |
-1.082 |
-1.052 |
-1.022 |
-0.993 |
-0.964 |
-0.937 |
-0.912 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.028 |
-0.081 |
-0.144 |
-0.210 |
-0.277 |
-0.344 |
-0.408 |
-0.469 |
-0.527 |
-0.580 |
-0.628 |
-0.670 |
-0.707 |
-0.739 |
-0.765 |
-0.785 |
-0.800 |
-0.809 |
-0.814 |
-0.814 |
-0.810 |
-0.801 |
-0.790 |
-0.775 |
-0.758 |
-0.739 |
-0.719 |
-0.697 |
-0.675 |
-0.652 |
-0.630 |
-0.609 |
-0.588 |
-0.568 |
-0.551 |
-0.534 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
-0.029 |
-0.035 |
-0.017 |
0.009 |
0.030 |
0.041 |
0.044 |
0.039 |
0.028 |
0.011 |
-0.009 |
-0.031 |
-0.055 |
-0.079 |
-0.103 |
-0.126 |
-0.148 |
-0.168 |
-0.187 |
-0.203 |
-0.217 |
-0.229 |
-0.238 |
-0.245 |
-0.250 |
-0.254 |
-0.255 |
-0.255 |
-0.253 |
-0.250 |
-0.246 |
-0.241 |
-0.235 |
-0.228 |
-0.222 |
-0.215 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.040 |
-0.112 |
-0.185 |
-0.250 |
-0.308 |
-0.358 |
-0.400 |
-0.435 |
-0.464 |
-0.485 |
-0.501 |
-0.510 |
-0.515 |
-0.514 |
-0.508 |
-0.499 |
-0.486 |
-0.469 |
-0.450 |
-0.430 |
-0.407 |
-0.383 |
-0.359 |
-0.335 |
-0.311 |
-0.288 |
-0.265 |
-0.244 |
-0.225 |
-0.207 |
-0.192 |
-0.178 |
-0.167 |
-0.157 |
-0.150 |
-0.145 |
|
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