|
|
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
2053 |
2054 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
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|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
519.8 |
946.1 |
1256.4 |
1244.9 |
989.6 |
549.1 |
-27.3 |
-696.9 |
-1421.3 |
-2170.2 |
-2918.7 |
-3648.0 |
-4342.4 |
-4989.7 |
-5580.6 |
-6108.4 |
-6568.5 |
-6958.2 |
-7276.5 |
-7524.1 |
-7702.9 |
-7815.7 |
-7866.5 |
-7860.1 |
-7801.8 |
-7697.1 |
-7552.4 |
-7373.7 |
-7167.5 |
-6940.1 |
-6697.7 |
-6446.1 |
-6191.2 |
-5938.2 |
-5692.0 |
-5457.1 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
-26.9 |
-60.7 |
-96.2 |
-123.5 |
-142.2 |
-153.3 |
-158.4 |
-159.2 |
-157.1 |
-153.5 |
-149.4 |
-145.8 |
-143.2 |
-142.2 |
-143.0 |
-145.9 |
-150.9 |
-158.2 |
-167.5 |
-178.8 |
-191.9 |
-206.6 |
-222.6 |
-239.7 |
-257.5 |
-276.0 |
-294.7 |
-313.5 |
-332.2 |
-350.5 |
-368.3 |
-385.3 |
-401.6 |
-417.0 |
-431.3 |
-444.6 |
Investment |
fI |
397.5 |
800.2 |
1172.7 |
1411.6 |
1550.3 |
1616.9 |
1620.5 |
1585.1 |
1527.5 |
1465.8 |
1413.4 |
1380.9 |
1375.7 |
1402.7 |
1464.0 |
1559.9 |
1688.7 |
1847.6 |
2032.9 |
2240.2 |
2464.7 |
2701.6 |
2946.1 |
3193.5 |
3439.7 |
3680.6 |
3913.0 |
4133.8 |
4340.5 |
4531.4 |
4704.8 |
4859.9 |
4996.1 |
5113.4 |
5211.9 |
5292.2 |
Export |
fE |
299.7 |
946.6 |
1852.0 |
2966.3 |
4280.0 |
5758.1 |
7376.5 |
9100.6 |
10906.1 |
12766.0 |
14658.0 |
16560.0 |
18452.4 |
20316.9 |
22137.1 |
23897.9 |
25586.3 |
27191.0 |
28702.4 |
30112.9 |
31416.6 |
32609.7 |
33690.0 |
34657.2 |
35512.5 |
36258.9 |
36900.7 |
37443.4 |
37893.9 |
38259.7 |
38549.4 |
38772.2 |
38937.6 |
39055.4 |
39135.8 |
39188.6 |
Import |
fM |
338.7 |
629.3 |
884.3 |
1003.4 |
1053.9 |
1067.3 |
1066.3 |
1066.2 |
1081.0 |
1120.2 |
1191.1 |
1297.3 |
1441.3 |
1623.1 |
1841.7 |
2094.3 |
2377.5 |
2687.0 |
3018.1 |
3365.6 |
3724.4 |
4089.5 |
4455.9 |
4818.9 |
5174.4 |
5518.6 |
5848.0 |
6159.9 |
6451.9 |
6722.2 |
6969.5 |
7193.0 |
7392.3 |
7567.6 |
7719.3 |
7848.3 |
GDP |
fY |
854.2 |
1991.8 |
3276.6 |
4461.1 |
5596.5 |
6661.8 |
7681.6 |
8673.0 |
9653.1 |
10633.7 |
11623.8 |
12626.8 |
13644.4 |
14675.0 |
15715.3 |
16759.9 |
17802.6 |
18836.3 |
19853.7 |
20847.3 |
21810.0 |
22735.3 |
23617.4 |
24451.3 |
25233.1 |
25960.0 |
26630.1 |
27242.7 |
27798.0 |
28297.3 |
28742.6 |
29137.0 |
29484.1 |
29788.0 |
30053.6 |
30285.9 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
0.836 |
2.196 |
3.878 |
5.623 |
7.381 |
9.104 |
10.780 |
12.407 |
13.988 |
15.528 |
17.030 |
18.494 |
19.918 |
21.299 |
22.629 |
23.903 |
25.112 |
26.249 |
27.306 |
28.277 |
29.156 |
29.940 |
30.625 |
31.211 |
31.696 |
32.084 |
32.377 |
32.578 |
32.694 |
32.730 |
32.694 |
32.592 |
32.433 |
32.224 |
31.974 |
31.690 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
9.031 |
11.377 |
12.046 |
11.982 |
11.525 |
10.880 |
10.143 |
9.363 |
8.566 |
7.765 |
6.968 |
6.182 |
5.410 |
4.658 |
3.930 |
3.231 |
2.567 |
1.941 |
1.358 |
0.822 |
0.335 |
-0.099 |
-0.479 |
-0.805 |
-1.076 |
-1.294 |
-1.460 |
-1.575 |
-1.644 |
-1.668 |
-1.653 |
-1.602 |
-1.518 |
-1.407 |
-1.273 |
-1.121 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.056 |
-0.067 |
-0.046 |
-0.003 |
0.044 |
0.089 |
0.131 |
0.169 |
0.205 |
0.239 |
0.271 |
0.301 |
0.331 |
0.361 |
0.390 |
0.418 |
0.446 |
0.473 |
0.499 |
0.525 |
0.549 |
0.573 |
0.595 |
0.616 |
0.635 |
0.653 |
0.670 |
0.685 |
0.699 |
0.711 |
0.723 |
0.733 |
0.742 |
0.750 |
0.758 |
0.765 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.036 |
0.029 |
-0.002 |
-0.043 |
-0.075 |
-0.098 |
-0.110 |
-0.115 |
-0.112 |
-0.104 |
-0.094 |
-0.081 |
-0.068 |
-0.054 |
-0.041 |
-0.029 |
-0.018 |
-0.008 |
0.000 |
0.007 |
0.013 |
0.017 |
0.021 |
0.023 |
0.025 |
0.026 |
0.026 |
0.026 |
0.025 |
0.024 |
0.023 |
0.022 |
0.021 |
0.020 |
0.019 |
0.018 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.020 |
-0.039 |
-0.050 |
-0.049 |
-0.035 |
-0.014 |
0.014 |
0.048 |
0.085 |
0.125 |
0.167 |
0.210 |
0.252 |
0.295 |
0.336 |
0.376 |
0.415 |
0.452 |
0.486 |
0.519 |
0.549 |
0.577 |
0.603 |
0.626 |
0.647 |
0.667 |
0.684 |
0.699 |
0.713 |
0.725 |
0.735 |
0.745 |
0.753 |
0.760 |
0.767 |
0.773 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
0.024 |
0.063 |
0.113 |
0.182 |
0.272 |
0.385 |
0.523 |
0.687 |
0.877 |
1.091 |
1.330 |
1.591 |
1.874 |
2.177 |
2.497 |
2.833 |
3.184 |
3.547 |
3.920 |
4.302 |
4.691 |
5.086 |
5.484 |
5.885 |
6.287 |
6.688 |
7.089 |
7.488 |
7.884 |
8.277 |
8.666 |
9.050 |
9.430 |
9.804 |
10.174 |
10.538 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.055 |
0.148 |
0.224 |
0.263 |
0.258 |
0.215 |
0.134 |
0.020 |
-0.123 |
-0.294 |
-0.490 |
-0.709 |
-0.949 |
-1.210 |
-1.490 |
-1.788 |
-2.103 |
-2.433 |
-2.776 |
-3.133 |
-3.500 |
-3.877 |
-4.262 |
-4.653 |
-5.049 |
-5.448 |
-5.848 |
-6.249 |
-6.649 |
-7.047 |
-7.442 |
-7.832 |
-8.218 |
-8.597 |
-8.971 |
-9.338 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.035 |
-0.081 |
-0.133 |
-0.179 |
-0.224 |
-0.266 |
-0.308 |
-0.349 |
-0.390 |
-0.433 |
-0.476 |
-0.519 |
-0.563 |
-0.606 |
-0.648 |
-0.688 |
-0.725 |
-0.760 |
-0.791 |
-0.819 |
-0.843 |
-0.862 |
-0.878 |
-0.889 |
-0.896 |
-0.899 |
-0.898 |
-0.894 |
-0.887 |
-0.877 |
-0.865 |
-0.851 |
-0.835 |
-0.817 |
-0.799 |
-0.781 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.010 |
-0.018 |
-0.024 |
-0.024 |
-0.023 |
-0.020 |
-0.017 |
-0.013 |
-0.009 |
-0.006 |
-0.002 |
0.001 |
0.005 |
0.008 |
0.011 |
0.015 |
0.018 |
0.021 |
0.025 |
0.028 |
0.031 |
0.034 |
0.037 |
0.040 |
0.043 |
0.045 |
0.047 |
0.049 |
0.051 |
0.053 |
0.054 |
0.055 |
0.055 |
0.056 |
0.056 |
0.056 |
User cost |
uim |
-0.041 |
-0.116 |
-0.203 |
-0.294 |
-0.387 |
-0.479 |
-0.569 |
-0.655 |
-0.738 |
-0.816 |
-0.888 |
-0.956 |
-1.017 |
-1.072 |
-1.121 |
-1.164 |
-1.200 |
-1.231 |
-1.255 |
-1.274 |
-1.287 |
-1.295 |
-1.299 |
-1.298 |
-1.293 |
-1.285 |
-1.274 |
-1.260 |
-1.245 |
-1.228 |
-1.209 |
-1.190 |
-1.171 |
-1.151 |
-1.132 |
-1.114 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.115 |
-0.360 |
-0.633 |
-0.910 |
-1.180 |
-1.437 |
-1.678 |
-1.901 |
-2.106 |
-2.292 |
-2.460 |
-2.608 |
-2.738 |
-2.850 |
-2.944 |
-3.021 |
-3.081 |
-3.126 |
-3.155 |
-3.171 |
-3.174 |
-3.166 |
-3.147 |
-3.119 |
-3.083 |
-3.041 |
-2.994 |
-2.943 |
-2.889 |
-2.833 |
-2.776 |
-2.720 |
-2.666 |
-2.613 |
-2.562 |
-2.515 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.039 |
-0.114 |
-0.204 |
-0.299 |
-0.396 |
-0.494 |
-0.590 |
-0.685 |
-0.776 |
-0.864 |
-0.947 |
-1.026 |
-1.099 |
-1.167 |
-1.229 |
-1.284 |
-1.333 |
-1.376 |
-1.413 |
-1.443 |
-1.467 |
-1.485 |
-1.497 |
-1.504 |
-1.507 |
-1.505 |
-1.499 |
-1.489 |
-1.477 |
-1.462 |
-1.445 |
-1.427 |
-1.407 |
-1.387 |
-1.367 |
-1.347 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.028 |
-0.082 |
-0.144 |
-0.211 |
-0.280 |
-0.348 |
-0.416 |
-0.481 |
-0.544 |
-0.603 |
-0.658 |
-0.708 |
-0.755 |
-0.796 |
-0.833 |
-0.865 |
-0.893 |
-0.915 |
-0.933 |
-0.947 |
-0.956 |
-0.961 |
-0.963 |
-0.962 |
-0.957 |
-0.950 |
-0.941 |
-0.930 |
-0.917 |
-0.903 |
-0.889 |
-0.873 |
-0.858 |
-0.843 |
-0.827 |
-0.813 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
-0.029 |
-0.034 |
-0.014 |
0.014 |
0.036 |
0.049 |
0.053 |
0.049 |
0.039 |
0.023 |
0.004 |
-0.018 |
-0.042 |
-0.066 |
-0.090 |
-0.114 |
-0.136 |
-0.158 |
-0.178 |
-0.195 |
-0.212 |
-0.226 |
-0.238 |
-0.248 |
-0.256 |
-0.263 |
-0.267 |
-0.271 |
-0.272 |
-0.273 |
-0.272 |
-0.270 |
-0.268 |
-0.265 |
-0.261 |
-0.257 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.040 |
-0.111 |
-0.183 |
-0.248 |
-0.305 |
-0.356 |
-0.400 |
-0.438 |
-0.470 |
-0.496 |
-0.517 |
-0.533 |
-0.544 |
-0.551 |
-0.553 |
-0.552 |
-0.547 |
-0.539 |
-0.528 |
-0.515 |
-0.500 |
-0.483 |
-0.465 |
-0.447 |
-0.428 |
-0.409 |
-0.391 |
-0.372 |
-0.355 |
-0.338 |
-0.323 |
-0.309 |
-0.296 |
-0.284 |
-0.274 |
-0.266 |
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