|
|
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
2053 |
2054 |
2055 |
2056 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
-914.5 |
-1656.4 |
-2068.0 |
-2403.5 |
-2715.3 |
-3009.9 |
-3290.3 |
-3554.9 |
-3802.6 |
-4032.4 |
-4243.6 |
-4436.7 |
-4612.1 |
-4770.5 |
-4912.4 |
-5038.6 |
-5149.8 |
-5246.9 |
-5330.7 |
-5402.2 |
-5462.4 |
-5512.3 |
-5553.2 |
-5586.3 |
-5612.8 |
-5633.9 |
-5651.1 |
-5665.5 |
-5678.5 |
-5691.3 |
-5705.1 |
-5721.1 |
-5740.4 |
-5763.9 |
-5792.4 |
-5826.9 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
34.2 |
64.8 |
88.7 |
108.4 |
124.9 |
138.5 |
149.8 |
158.9 |
166.1 |
171.5 |
175.4 |
177.9 |
179.3 |
179.6 |
179.2 |
178.1 |
176.5 |
174.5 |
172.3 |
169.9 |
167.6 |
165.2 |
163.0 |
160.9 |
159.1 |
157.5 |
156.3 |
155.4 |
154.9 |
154.8 |
155.1 |
155.8 |
156.9 |
158.4 |
160.3 |
162.6 |
Investment |
fI |
-702.9 |
-1374.0 |
-1621.1 |
-1787.6 |
-1932.0 |
-2045.2 |
-2116.8 |
-2151.6 |
-2153.6 |
-2129.3 |
-2083.7 |
-2022.1 |
-1948.9 |
-1867.7 |
-1781.8 |
-1693.7 |
-1605.8 |
-1519.8 |
-1437.2 |
-1359.1 |
-1286.6 |
-1220.3 |
-1160.7 |
-1108.3 |
-1063.2 |
-1025.6 |
-995.4 |
-972.7 |
-957.3 |
-948.9 |
-947.2 |
-952.1 |
-963.0 |
-979.6 |
-1001.6 |
-1028.3 |
Export |
fE |
-616.7 |
-877.4 |
-1008.3 |
-1050.2 |
-1038.6 |
-967.9 |
-848.1 |
-680.3 |
-472.5 |
-230.6 |
37.8 |
325.8 |
626.5 |
933.2 |
1239.9 |
1541.0 |
1831.6 |
2107.4 |
2364.7 |
2600.6 |
2812.8 |
2999.8 |
3160.6 |
3294.8 |
3402.6 |
3484.6 |
3541.8 |
3575.9 |
3588.4 |
3581.5 |
3557.3 |
3518.2 |
3466.7 |
3405.2 |
3336.2 |
3262.2 |
Import |
fM |
-785.2 |
-1446.3 |
-1677.6 |
-1820.9 |
-1935.1 |
-2052.7 |
-2151.4 |
-2226.4 |
-2278.2 |
-2308.0 |
-2318.0 |
-2310.9 |
-2289.3 |
-2255.6 |
-2212.3 |
-2161.7 |
-2105.8 |
-2046.6 |
-1985.9 |
-1925.3 |
-1866.1 |
-1809.8 |
-1757.3 |
-1709.8 |
-1667.8 |
-1632.2 |
-1603.3 |
-1581.6 |
-1567.4 |
-1560.6 |
-1561.3 |
-1569.5 |
-1584.8 |
-1607.2 |
-1636.2 |
-1671.4 |
GDP |
fY |
-1426.7 |
-2458.7 |
-2994.6 |
-3364.3 |
-3650.3 |
-3848.6 |
-3968.3 |
-4016.2 |
-4001.4 |
-3933.3 |
-3821.0 |
-3674.1 |
-3501.2 |
-3310.4 |
-3108.7 |
-2902.6 |
-2697.6 |
-2498.4 |
-2309.0 |
-2132.7 |
-1972.1 |
-1829.4 |
-1706.0 |
-1602.7 |
-1520.3 |
-1458.7 |
-1417.7 |
-1396.7 |
-1394.9 |
-1411.3 |
-1444.5 |
-1493.3 |
-1556.2 |
-1631.5 |
-1717.6 |
-1813.0 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
-1.100 |
-2.052 |
-2.673 |
-3.106 |
-3.401 |
-3.565 |
-3.612 |
-3.557 |
-3.415 |
-3.203 |
-2.936 |
-2.629 |
-2.296 |
-1.947 |
-1.595 |
-1.247 |
-0.911 |
-0.593 |
-0.298 |
-0.029 |
0.211 |
0.421 |
0.600 |
0.748 |
0.866 |
0.955 |
1.017 |
1.054 |
1.067 |
1.059 |
1.033 |
0.991 |
0.936 |
0.870 |
0.795 |
0.713 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
0.715 |
1.190 |
1.479 |
1.694 |
1.846 |
1.932 |
1.958 |
1.930 |
1.856 |
1.744 |
1.603 |
1.439 |
1.261 |
1.073 |
0.883 |
0.695 |
0.513 |
0.340 |
0.179 |
0.032 |
-0.100 |
-0.216 |
-0.314 |
-0.397 |
-0.463 |
-0.513 |
-0.548 |
-0.570 |
-0.578 |
-0.575 |
-0.563 |
-0.541 |
-0.512 |
-0.476 |
-0.436 |
-0.392 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.034 |
-0.063 |
-0.085 |
-0.100 |
-0.109 |
-0.116 |
-0.120 |
-0.121 |
-0.120 |
-0.117 |
-0.113 |
-0.108 |
-0.102 |
-0.097 |
-0.091 |
-0.085 |
-0.079 |
-0.074 |
-0.069 |
-0.065 |
-0.061 |
-0.058 |
-0.056 |
-0.054 |
-0.053 |
-0.053 |
-0.053 |
-0.053 |
-0.054 |
-0.055 |
-0.057 |
-0.059 |
-0.061 |
-0.064 |
-0.066 |
-0.069 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
-0.028 |
0.001 |
0.022 |
0.035 |
0.044 |
0.049 |
0.053 |
0.054 |
0.053 |
0.052 |
0.049 |
0.046 |
0.042 |
0.039 |
0.035 |
0.032 |
0.029 |
0.026 |
0.023 |
0.021 |
0.019 |
0.017 |
0.016 |
0.015 |
0.014 |
0.013 |
0.013 |
0.012 |
0.012 |
0.011 |
0.011 |
0.011 |
0.011 |
0.011 |
0.011 |
0.011 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.063 |
-0.064 |
-0.065 |
-0.066 |
-0.068 |
-0.069 |
-0.070 |
-0.070 |
-0.070 |
-0.069 |
-0.068 |
-0.066 |
-0.064 |
-0.062 |
-0.060 |
-0.057 |
-0.055 |
-0.052 |
-0.050 |
-0.048 |
-0.047 |
-0.045 |
-0.044 |
-0.044 |
-0.043 |
-0.043 |
-0.044 |
-0.045 |
-0.046 |
-0.048 |
-0.049 |
-0.051 |
-0.054 |
-0.056 |
-0.059 |
-0.061 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
0.045 |
0.012 |
-0.029 |
-0.071 |
-0.115 |
-0.156 |
-0.198 |
-0.240 |
-0.283 |
-0.326 |
-0.370 |
-0.414 |
-0.458 |
-0.501 |
-0.544 |
-0.586 |
-0.628 |
-0.669 |
-0.709 |
-0.749 |
-0.788 |
-0.826 |
-0.864 |
-0.901 |
-0.939 |
-0.976 |
-1.014 |
-1.052 |
-1.090 |
-1.129 |
-1.168 |
-1.208 |
-1.249 |
-1.291 |
-1.333 |
-1.377 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.060 |
0.136 |
0.224 |
0.321 |
0.422 |
0.525 |
0.628 |
0.728 |
0.823 |
0.912 |
0.993 |
1.066 |
1.132 |
1.189 |
1.238 |
1.280 |
1.315 |
1.344 |
1.367 |
1.385 |
1.399 |
1.410 |
1.418 |
1.423 |
1.428 |
1.432 |
1.435 |
1.439 |
1.443 |
1.449 |
1.455 |
1.463 |
1.474 |
1.486 |
1.500 |
1.516 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
0.057 |
0.083 |
0.086 |
0.081 |
0.071 |
0.056 |
0.038 |
0.017 |
-0.005 |
-0.028 |
-0.051 |
-0.073 |
-0.094 |
-0.115 |
-0.133 |
-0.150 |
-0.165 |
-0.178 |
-0.189 |
-0.198 |
-0.206 |
-0.212 |
-0.216 |
-0.218 |
-0.220 |
-0.220 |
-0.219 |
-0.217 |
-0.214 |
-0.211 |
-0.207 |
-0.202 |
-0.198 |
-0.193 |
-0.188 |
-0.183 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
0.026 |
0.036 |
0.036 |
0.035 |
0.034 |
0.033 |
0.032 |
0.031 |
0.030 |
0.029 |
0.029 |
0.028 |
0.028 |
0.029 |
0.029 |
0.030 |
0.030 |
0.031 |
0.032 |
0.032 |
0.033 |
0.034 |
0.035 |
0.035 |
0.036 |
0.036 |
0.037 |
0.037 |
0.038 |
0.038 |
0.038 |
0.038 |
0.038 |
0.038 |
0.038 |
0.038 |
User cost |
uim |
0.045 |
0.053 |
0.049 |
0.040 |
0.029 |
0.016 |
0.001 |
-0.014 |
-0.030 |
-0.046 |
-0.062 |
-0.077 |
-0.091 |
-0.103 |
-0.115 |
-0.125 |
-0.134 |
-0.141 |
-0.146 |
-0.150 |
-0.153 |
-0.155 |
-0.155 |
-0.154 |
-0.152 |
-0.150 |
-0.147 |
-0.143 |
-0.139 |
-0.134 |
-0.129 |
-0.124 |
-0.120 |
-0.115 |
-0.110 |
-0.106 |
Wage |
lna |
0.009 |
-0.010 |
-0.043 |
-0.082 |
-0.125 |
-0.172 |
-0.221 |
-0.270 |
-0.318 |
-0.363 |
-0.406 |
-0.445 |
-0.481 |
-0.511 |
-0.537 |
-0.559 |
-0.575 |
-0.588 |
-0.596 |
-0.600 |
-0.601 |
-0.598 |
-0.593 |
-0.585 |
-0.576 |
-0.564 |
-0.552 |
-0.539 |
-0.525 |
-0.511 |
-0.497 |
-0.484 |
-0.471 |
-0.459 |
-0.447 |
-0.437 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
0.113 |
0.141 |
0.137 |
0.126 |
0.113 |
0.098 |
0.081 |
0.062 |
0.043 |
0.024 |
0.005 |
-0.013 |
-0.031 |
-0.047 |
-0.062 |
-0.075 |
-0.086 |
-0.096 |
-0.104 |
-0.111 |
-0.116 |
-0.119 |
-0.121 |
-0.122 |
-0.121 |
-0.119 |
-0.117 |
-0.114 |
-0.110 |
-0.106 |
-0.101 |
-0.096 |
-0.091 |
-0.086 |
-0.081 |
-0.076 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.203 |
-0.230 |
-0.235 |
-0.243 |
-0.252 |
-0.263 |
-0.274 |
-0.287 |
-0.299 |
-0.312 |
-0.324 |
-0.336 |
-0.347 |
-0.357 |
-0.366 |
-0.374 |
-0.381 |
-0.386 |
-0.391 |
-0.394 |
-0.396 |
-0.397 |
-0.397 |
-0.397 |
-0.395 |
-0.393 |
-0.391 |
-0.388 |
-0.385 |
-0.381 |
-0.378 |
-0.374 |
-0.370 |
-0.367 |
-0.363 |
-0.360 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
0.047 |
0.041 |
0.025 |
0.014 |
0.006 |
0.000 |
-0.006 |
-0.011 |
-0.015 |
-0.019 |
-0.022 |
-0.025 |
-0.028 |
-0.031 |
-0.033 |
-0.035 |
-0.037 |
-0.039 |
-0.041 |
-0.043 |
-0.045 |
-0.046 |
-0.047 |
-0.048 |
-0.049 |
-0.050 |
-0.050 |
-0.050 |
-0.050 |
-0.050 |
-0.050 |
-0.049 |
-0.049 |
-0.048 |
-0.048 |
-0.047 |
Wage share |
byw |
0.041 |
0.038 |
0.026 |
0.013 |
-0.002 |
-0.015 |
-0.028 |
-0.040 |
-0.051 |
-0.060 |
-0.067 |
-0.073 |
-0.078 |
-0.081 |
-0.083 |
-0.084 |
-0.083 |
-0.082 |
-0.080 |
-0.077 |
-0.073 |
-0.069 |
-0.065 |
-0.061 |
-0.056 |
-0.052 |
-0.047 |
-0.043 |
-0.039 |
-0.035 |
-0.032 |
-0.029 |
-0.026 |
-0.024 |
-0.022 |
-0.020 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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