|
|
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
2053 |
2054 |
2055 |
2056 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
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|
|
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|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
-952.9 |
-1135.5 |
-1392.0 |
-1580.2 |
-1690.4 |
-1736.3 |
-1735.8 |
-1702.1 |
-1642.7 |
-1564.4 |
-1472.7 |
-1371.6 |
-1265.1 |
-1156.5 |
-1049.0 |
-945.1 |
-847.3 |
-757.5 |
-677.4 |
-608.1 |
-550.4 |
-504.8 |
-471.6 |
-450.5 |
-441.3 |
-443.4 |
-455.9 |
-478.0 |
-508.6 |
-546.7 |
-591.0 |
-640.3 |
-693.4 |
-749.2 |
-806.5 |
-864.1 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
-29.2 |
-15.9 |
-13.1 |
-10.5 |
-7.8 |
-4.9 |
-2.3 |
0.2 |
2.3 |
4.1 |
5.6 |
6.9 |
7.8 |
8.6 |
9.2 |
9.6 |
10.0 |
10.4 |
10.8 |
11.2 |
11.8 |
12.4 |
13.1 |
14.0 |
14.9 |
16.0 |
17.1 |
18.2 |
19.4 |
20.5 |
21.6 |
22.6 |
23.6 |
24.4 |
25.0 |
25.5 |
Investment |
fI |
664.3 |
1091.0 |
764.6 |
570.7 |
414.4 |
301.8 |
198.9 |
117.6 |
50.7 |
-0.8 |
-40.9 |
-70.4 |
-92.1 |
-107.7 |
-119.2 |
-128.2 |
-136.3 |
-144.3 |
-153.3 |
-163.7 |
-176.0 |
-190.1 |
-206.1 |
-223.7 |
-242.7 |
-262.6 |
-283.0 |
-303.4 |
-323.3 |
-342.3 |
-360.0 |
-375.9 |
-389.7 |
-401.2 |
-410.1 |
-416.4 |
Export |
fE |
3722.9 |
4228.1 |
4714.2 |
4939.5 |
5054.9 |
5031.4 |
4918.6 |
4719.2 |
4458.1 |
4146.0 |
3798.2 |
3425.5 |
3038.7 |
2646.1 |
2255.8 |
1873.9 |
1506.0 |
1156.6 |
829.3 |
526.9 |
251.6 |
4.9 |
-212.4 |
-399.7 |
-557.3 |
-685.6 |
-785.5 |
-858.1 |
-904.9 |
-927.6 |
-928.0 |
-908.2 |
-870.3 |
-816.4 |
-748.9 |
-669.9 |
Import |
fM |
32.2 |
281.2 |
187.0 |
158.3 |
185.4 |
211.2 |
232.6 |
245.5 |
251.0 |
248.3 |
237.6 |
219.6 |
194.8 |
163.7 |
126.8 |
84.5 |
37.5 |
-13.6 |
-68.3 |
-125.8 |
-185.4 |
-246.5 |
-308.2 |
-369.8 |
-430.6 |
-490.0 |
-547.3 |
-601.9 |
-653.3 |
-701.0 |
-744.7 |
-784.1 |
-818.9 |
-849.0 |
-874.3 |
-894.9 |
GDP |
fY |
3261.3 |
3706.0 |
3693.0 |
3578.7 |
3439.5 |
3247.4 |
3022.5 |
2773.2 |
2509.3 |
2237.2 |
1962.3 |
1689.8 |
1423.2 |
1165.2 |
917.9 |
682.8 |
460.8 |
252.7 |
59.0 |
-119.9 |
-283.9 |
-432.6 |
-566.2 |
-684.7 |
-788.0 |
-876.5 |
-950.4 |
-1010.0 |
-1055.7 |
-1088.0 |
-1107.5 |
-1114.9 |
-1111.0 |
-1096.5 |
-1072.4 |
-1039.6 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
3.769 |
4.920 |
5.386 |
5.531 |
5.492 |
5.309 |
5.028 |
4.680 |
4.289 |
3.873 |
3.445 |
3.017 |
2.598 |
2.192 |
1.805 |
1.440 |
1.099 |
0.785 |
0.497 |
0.237 |
0.004 |
-0.202 |
-0.381 |
-0.534 |
-0.662 |
-0.766 |
-0.848 |
-0.909 |
-0.949 |
-0.972 |
-0.978 |
-0.969 |
-0.946 |
-0.912 |
-0.867 |
-0.815 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
-2.451 |
-2.754 |
-2.926 |
-2.986 |
-2.965 |
-2.872 |
-2.728 |
-2.548 |
-2.343 |
-2.123 |
-1.895 |
-1.666 |
-1.439 |
-1.220 |
-1.009 |
-0.810 |
-0.624 |
-0.451 |
-0.293 |
-0.149 |
-0.020 |
0.094 |
0.193 |
0.279 |
0.350 |
0.409 |
0.455 |
0.490 |
0.514 |
0.527 |
0.531 |
0.528 |
0.516 |
0.498 |
0.475 |
0.447 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
0.067 |
0.099 |
0.091 |
0.086 |
0.081 |
0.076 |
0.070 |
0.064 |
0.058 |
0.052 |
0.047 |
0.042 |
0.037 |
0.033 |
0.030 |
0.026 |
0.024 |
0.022 |
0.020 |
0.018 |
0.017 |
0.017 |
0.016 |
0.016 |
0.016 |
0.017 |
0.017 |
0.018 |
0.020 |
0.021 |
0.023 |
0.025 |
0.027 |
0.029 |
0.031 |
0.034 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
-0.115 |
-0.123 |
-0.073 |
-0.043 |
-0.018 |
0.000 |
0.014 |
0.024 |
0.032 |
0.037 |
0.039 |
0.040 |
0.039 |
0.037 |
0.035 |
0.031 |
0.027 |
0.023 |
0.019 |
0.015 |
0.010 |
0.007 |
0.003 |
-0.001 |
-0.004 |
-0.006 |
-0.009 |
-0.011 |
-0.013 |
-0.015 |
-0.016 |
-0.018 |
-0.019 |
-0.020 |
-0.020 |
-0.021 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.045 |
-0.020 |
0.022 |
0.048 |
0.068 |
0.081 |
0.090 |
0.094 |
0.096 |
0.096 |
0.093 |
0.089 |
0.084 |
0.078 |
0.072 |
0.066 |
0.059 |
0.053 |
0.047 |
0.042 |
0.036 |
0.032 |
0.028 |
0.024 |
0.021 |
0.019 |
0.017 |
0.016 |
0.015 |
0.015 |
0.015 |
0.016 |
0.017 |
0.018 |
0.019 |
0.021 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
-0.255 |
-0.330 |
-0.329 |
-0.298 |
-0.240 |
-0.173 |
-0.096 |
-0.013 |
0.073 |
0.161 |
0.247 |
0.331 |
0.412 |
0.489 |
0.562 |
0.631 |
0.695 |
0.755 |
0.811 |
0.863 |
0.911 |
0.957 |
0.999 |
1.039 |
1.078 |
1.115 |
1.151 |
1.186 |
1.220 |
1.254 |
1.289 |
1.323 |
1.358 |
1.394 |
1.431 |
1.468 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
-0.190 |
-0.315 |
-0.413 |
-0.502 |
-0.580 |
-0.651 |
-0.713 |
-0.767 |
-0.813 |
-0.851 |
-0.883 |
-0.908 |
-0.928 |
-0.943 |
-0.954 |
-0.961 |
-0.965 |
-0.967 |
-0.966 |
-0.964 |
-0.961 |
-0.957 |
-0.953 |
-0.949 |
-0.944 |
-0.941 |
-0.937 |
-0.935 |
-0.934 |
-0.935 |
-0.936 |
-0.940 |
-0.945 |
-0.952 |
-0.961 |
-0.972 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.187 |
-0.194 |
-0.187 |
-0.176 |
-0.166 |
-0.154 |
-0.141 |
-0.129 |
-0.117 |
-0.104 |
-0.093 |
-0.081 |
-0.071 |
-0.061 |
-0.051 |
-0.042 |
-0.034 |
-0.027 |
-0.020 |
-0.014 |
-0.008 |
-0.004 |
0.000 |
0.003 |
0.005 |
0.007 |
0.008 |
0.008 |
0.008 |
0.007 |
0.006 |
0.005 |
0.003 |
0.000 |
-0.002 |
-0.005 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.058 |
-0.035 |
-0.019 |
-0.008 |
-0.001 |
0.005 |
0.009 |
0.013 |
0.015 |
0.017 |
0.018 |
0.019 |
0.020 |
0.020 |
0.020 |
0.020 |
0.020 |
0.019 |
0.018 |
0.018 |
0.017 |
0.016 |
0.016 |
0.015 |
0.014 |
0.014 |
0.013 |
0.012 |
0.012 |
0.011 |
0.011 |
0.011 |
0.010 |
0.010 |
0.010 |
0.010 |
User cost |
uim |
0.516 |
0.550 |
0.584 |
0.619 |
0.653 |
0.686 |
0.719 |
0.750 |
0.780 |
0.808 |
0.833 |
0.857 |
0.879 |
0.898 |
0.915 |
0.931 |
0.944 |
0.955 |
0.965 |
0.972 |
0.978 |
0.983 |
0.986 |
0.988 |
0.989 |
0.989 |
0.988 |
0.986 |
0.983 |
0.980 |
0.977 |
0.973 |
0.969 |
0.965 |
0.961 |
0.957 |
Wage |
lna |
0.095 |
0.168 |
0.244 |
0.323 |
0.403 |
0.481 |
0.556 |
0.626 |
0.692 |
0.753 |
0.808 |
0.857 |
0.900 |
0.938 |
0.970 |
0.997 |
1.019 |
1.036 |
1.049 |
1.058 |
1.063 |
1.065 |
1.064 |
1.061 |
1.055 |
1.048 |
1.039 |
1.029 |
1.018 |
1.006 |
0.994 |
0.982 |
0.969 |
0.957 |
0.946 |
0.935 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
0.382 |
0.439 |
0.477 |
0.516 |
0.555 |
0.594 |
0.631 |
0.667 |
0.702 |
0.735 |
0.766 |
0.795 |
0.822 |
0.847 |
0.870 |
0.891 |
0.909 |
0.926 |
0.940 |
0.953 |
0.963 |
0.972 |
0.979 |
0.985 |
0.989 |
0.992 |
0.994 |
0.994 |
0.994 |
0.993 |
0.991 |
0.989 |
0.986 |
0.983 |
0.980 |
0.976 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.363 |
-0.331 |
-0.302 |
-0.273 |
-0.245 |
-0.218 |
-0.191 |
-0.167 |
-0.143 |
-0.122 |
-0.101 |
-0.083 |
-0.066 |
-0.051 |
-0.038 |
-0.026 |
-0.016 |
-0.007 |
0.000 |
0.006 |
0.010 |
0.014 |
0.016 |
0.017 |
0.018 |
0.018 |
0.017 |
0.015 |
0.013 |
0.011 |
0.008 |
0.005 |
0.002 |
-0.001 |
-0.004 |
-0.007 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
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|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
0.034 |
0.028 |
-0.006 |
-0.030 |
-0.048 |
-0.061 |
-0.070 |
-0.076 |
-0.080 |
-0.081 |
-0.080 |
-0.077 |
-0.074 |
-0.069 |
-0.063 |
-0.057 |
-0.051 |
-0.044 |
-0.037 |
-0.031 |
-0.025 |
-0.019 |
-0.013 |
-0.008 |
-0.003 |
0.001 |
0.005 |
0.008 |
0.011 |
0.014 |
0.016 |
0.017 |
0.019 |
0.020 |
0.020 |
0.021 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.065 |
-0.044 |
-0.026 |
-0.010 |
0.004 |
0.017 |
0.029 |
0.039 |
0.048 |
0.055 |
0.061 |
0.065 |
0.068 |
0.070 |
0.070 |
0.070 |
0.068 |
0.066 |
0.063 |
0.060 |
0.056 |
0.051 |
0.047 |
0.042 |
0.037 |
0.032 |
0.027 |
0.023 |
0.018 |
0.014 |
0.010 |
0.006 |
0.002 |
-0.001 |
-0.004 |
-0.006 |
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