|
|
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
2053 |
2054 |
2055 |
2056 |
|
|
Million 2010-kr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
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|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
62.3 |
-1219.1 |
-1848.1 |
-2425.8 |
-2905.6 |
-3302.1 |
-3634.7 |
-3915.2 |
-4152.2 |
-4352.3 |
-4520.2 |
-4660.1 |
-4775.6 |
-4869.7 |
-4945.3 |
-5004.8 |
-5050.6 |
-5084.9 |
-5109.4 |
-5126.2 |
-5136.8 |
-5143.0 |
-5146.1 |
-5147.7 |
-5148.9 |
-5151.1 |
-5155.3 |
-5162.5 |
-5173.7 |
-5189.7 |
-5211.2 |
-5238.8 |
-5273.2 |
-5314.6 |
-5363.5 |
-5419.9 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
-8.5 |
350.9 |
641.9 |
908.5 |
1152.2 |
1374.9 |
1578.7 |
1765.7 |
1937.6 |
2096.3 |
2243.0 |
2379.3 |
2506.4 |
2625.3 |
2737.0 |
2842.6 |
2942.7 |
3038.1 |
3129.6 |
3217.6 |
3302.7 |
3385.4 |
3466.1 |
3545.1 |
3622.8 |
3699.4 |
3775.3 |
3850.6 |
3925.5 |
4000.2 |
4074.8 |
4149.6 |
4224.5 |
4299.7 |
4375.4 |
4451.4 |
Investment |
fI |
2444.4 |
1460.0 |
959.4 |
674.4 |
468.4 |
333.9 |
258.7 |
236.0 |
257.7 |
315.8 |
402.6 |
510.7 |
633.9 |
766.8 |
904.7 |
1043.9 |
1181.4 |
1314.8 |
1442.3 |
1562.7 |
1674.9 |
1778.5 |
1873.2 |
1958.8 |
2035.7 |
2104.0 |
2164.2 |
2216.7 |
2262.3 |
2301.4 |
2334.7 |
2362.8 |
2386.5 |
2406.4 |
2423.2 |
2437.4 |
Export |
fE |
-66.7 |
-122.8 |
-130.8 |
-124.5 |
-100.2 |
-59.2 |
0.6 |
78.8 |
174.2 |
283.8 |
404.3 |
531.7 |
662.0 |
791.3 |
915.8 |
1032.2 |
1137.5 |
1229.3 |
1305.6 |
1365.0 |
1406.7 |
1430.3 |
1435.8 |
1423.7 |
1394.8 |
1350.5 |
1292.1 |
1221.4 |
1140.0 |
1050.0 |
953.4 |
852.2 |
748.3 |
643.7 |
540.1 |
439.4 |
Import |
fM |
1278.0 |
408.7 |
57.1 |
-159.3 |
-319.7 |
-430.7 |
-504.1 |
-544.8 |
-557.1 |
-545.3 |
-513.3 |
-464.9 |
-403.6 |
-332.7 |
-255.2 |
-173.6 |
-90.3 |
-7.1 |
74.1 |
152.0 |
225.4 |
293.4 |
355.2 |
410.4 |
458.6 |
499.7 |
533.6 |
560.3 |
580.2 |
593.5 |
600.5 |
601.7 |
597.5 |
588.6 |
575.4 |
558.6 |
GDP |
fY |
1212.0 |
103.1 |
-399.9 |
-776.4 |
-1037.8 |
-1196.8 |
-1269.9 |
-1269.2 |
-1206.6 |
-1093.6 |
-940.8 |
-758.3 |
-555.2 |
-339.6 |
-118.7 |
101.6 |
315.9 |
520.2 |
711.0 |
886.0 |
1043.1 |
1181.2 |
1299.9 |
1398.8 |
1478.4 |
1539.5 |
1582.8 |
1609.8 |
1621.8 |
1620.4 |
1607.2 |
1583.9 |
1552.2 |
1513.8 |
1470.4 |
1423.4 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
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|
|
Employment |
Q |
1.099 |
0.328 |
-0.225 |
-0.709 |
-1.091 |
-1.363 |
-1.527 |
-1.591 |
-1.570 |
-1.479 |
-1.332 |
-1.146 |
-0.933 |
-0.705 |
-0.473 |
-0.245 |
-0.028 |
0.172 |
0.352 |
0.508 |
0.640 |
0.745 |
0.826 |
0.882 |
0.915 |
0.926 |
0.917 |
0.891 |
0.850 |
0.797 |
0.733 |
0.661 |
0.584 |
0.503 |
0.420 |
0.337 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
-0.715 |
-0.109 |
0.158 |
0.404 |
0.599 |
0.738 |
0.822 |
0.855 |
0.844 |
0.796 |
0.719 |
0.620 |
0.507 |
0.386 |
0.261 |
0.139 |
0.022 |
-0.086 |
-0.184 |
-0.269 |
-0.341 |
-0.400 |
-0.445 |
-0.476 |
-0.495 |
-0.502 |
-0.498 |
-0.485 |
-0.464 |
-0.436 |
-0.402 |
-0.363 |
-0.321 |
-0.278 |
-0.233 |
-0.188 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.065 |
0.062 |
0.036 |
0.014 |
-0.003 |
-0.016 |
-0.025 |
-0.030 |
-0.033 |
-0.033 |
-0.031 |
-0.028 |
-0.024 |
-0.019 |
-0.014 |
-0.009 |
-0.004 |
0.001 |
0.005 |
0.009 |
0.012 |
0.015 |
0.017 |
0.018 |
0.020 |
0.020 |
0.020 |
0.020 |
0.020 |
0.019 |
0.018 |
0.017 |
0.016 |
0.014 |
0.013 |
0.011 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
-0.008 |
-0.085 |
-0.042 |
-0.008 |
0.017 |
0.036 |
0.049 |
0.057 |
0.061 |
0.062 |
0.061 |
0.059 |
0.055 |
0.051 |
0.046 |
0.042 |
0.037 |
0.033 |
0.029 |
0.025 |
0.022 |
0.019 |
0.016 |
0.014 |
0.012 |
0.011 |
0.010 |
0.009 |
0.008 |
0.007 |
0.007 |
0.007 |
0.007 |
0.007 |
0.007 |
0.007 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.072 |
-0.023 |
-0.005 |
0.006 |
0.014 |
0.020 |
0.023 |
0.026 |
0.027 |
0.028 |
0.029 |
0.030 |
0.030 |
0.031 |
0.031 |
0.032 |
0.032 |
0.033 |
0.033 |
0.033 |
0.033 |
0.033 |
0.033 |
0.032 |
0.032 |
0.031 |
0.030 |
0.029 |
0.028 |
0.027 |
0.025 |
0.024 |
0.022 |
0.021 |
0.020 |
0.018 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
-0.096 |
-0.074 |
-0.057 |
-0.031 |
0.000 |
0.033 |
0.068 |
0.103 |
0.136 |
0.167 |
0.196 |
0.223 |
0.247 |
0.269 |
0.289 |
0.307 |
0.323 |
0.338 |
0.351 |
0.363 |
0.373 |
0.383 |
0.391 |
0.398 |
0.405 |
0.410 |
0.414 |
0.418 |
0.420 |
0.422 |
0.423 |
0.423 |
0.422 |
0.420 |
0.418 |
0.415 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.013 |
-0.023 |
-0.046 |
-0.050 |
-0.039 |
-0.018 |
0.010 |
0.041 |
0.073 |
0.104 |
0.131 |
0.154 |
0.172 |
0.185 |
0.192 |
0.194 |
0.191 |
0.184 |
0.173 |
0.159 |
0.142 |
0.124 |
0.104 |
0.083 |
0.061 |
0.040 |
0.019 |
0.000 |
-0.019 |
-0.037 |
-0.052 |
-0.067 |
-0.079 |
-0.090 |
-0.099 |
-0.106 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.020 |
0.041 |
0.071 |
0.089 |
0.097 |
0.098 |
0.094 |
0.086 |
0.074 |
0.061 |
0.048 |
0.034 |
0.021 |
0.009 |
-0.003 |
-0.012 |
-0.020 |
-0.027 |
-0.031 |
-0.035 |
-0.036 |
-0.037 |
-0.036 |
-0.034 |
-0.032 |
-0.028 |
-0.024 |
-0.020 |
-0.015 |
-0.010 |
-0.004 |
0.001 |
0.006 |
0.011 |
0.016 |
0.020 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.015 |
0.002 |
0.004 |
0.003 |
-0.001 |
-0.005 |
-0.009 |
-0.013 |
-0.017 |
-0.020 |
-0.023 |
-0.025 |
-0.027 |
-0.028 |
-0.029 |
-0.030 |
-0.031 |
-0.031 |
-0.031 |
-0.032 |
-0.032 |
-0.032 |
-0.032 |
-0.032 |
-0.032 |
-0.032 |
-0.033 |
-0.033 |
-0.033 |
-0.033 |
-0.033 |
-0.034 |
-0.034 |
-0.034 |
-0.035 |
-0.035 |
User cost |
uim |
0.189 |
0.259 |
0.326 |
0.383 |
0.430 |
0.470 |
0.503 |
0.531 |
0.554 |
0.574 |
0.591 |
0.606 |
0.619 |
0.631 |
0.642 |
0.652 |
0.662 |
0.671 |
0.681 |
0.690 |
0.699 |
0.708 |
0.717 |
0.725 |
0.734 |
0.743 |
0.751 |
0.759 |
0.766 |
0.773 |
0.780 |
0.787 |
0.792 |
0.798 |
0.802 |
0.807 |
Wage |
lna |
0.011 |
0.021 |
0.021 |
0.014 |
0.001 |
-0.016 |
-0.035 |
-0.056 |
-0.078 |
-0.099 |
-0.118 |
-0.136 |
-0.150 |
-0.162 |
-0.171 |
-0.176 |
-0.179 |
-0.179 |
-0.176 |
-0.171 |
-0.164 |
-0.155 |
-0.145 |
-0.133 |
-0.121 |
-0.109 |
-0.096 |
-0.084 |
-0.072 |
-0.060 |
-0.049 |
-0.039 |
-0.031 |
-0.023 |
-0.016 |
-0.010 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
0.006 |
0.010 |
0.011 |
0.010 |
0.007 |
0.002 |
-0.005 |
-0.014 |
-0.022 |
-0.032 |
-0.041 |
-0.049 |
-0.057 |
-0.064 |
-0.070 |
-0.075 |
-0.079 |
-0.081 |
-0.083 |
-0.083 |
-0.082 |
-0.080 |
-0.077 |
-0.074 |
-0.070 |
-0.066 |
-0.061 |
-0.056 |
-0.051 |
-0.046 |
-0.041 |
-0.036 |
-0.031 |
-0.026 |
-0.022 |
-0.018 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
0.005 |
0.008 |
0.009 |
0.008 |
0.006 |
0.002 |
-0.002 |
-0.007 |
-0.013 |
-0.018 |
-0.023 |
-0.028 |
-0.033 |
-0.037 |
-0.040 |
-0.043 |
-0.044 |
-0.045 |
-0.045 |
-0.045 |
-0.044 |
-0.042 |
-0.040 |
-0.037 |
-0.034 |
-0.031 |
-0.028 |
-0.024 |
-0.021 |
-0.017 |
-0.014 |
-0.011 |
-0.008 |
-0.005 |
-0.003 |
-0.001 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
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|
|
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|
|
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|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
-0.021 |
0.054 |
0.027 |
0.001 |
-0.021 |
-0.039 |
-0.053 |
-0.063 |
-0.071 |
-0.077 |
-0.081 |
-0.085 |
-0.087 |
-0.088 |
-0.089 |
-0.089 |
-0.089 |
-0.088 |
-0.088 |
-0.087 |
-0.086 |
-0.085 |
-0.084 |
-0.083 |
-0.082 |
-0.081 |
-0.080 |
-0.078 |
-0.077 |
-0.076 |
-0.075 |
-0.074 |
-0.073 |
-0.071 |
-0.070 |
-0.070 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.009 |
0.003 |
0.002 |
-0.004 |
-0.013 |
-0.022 |
-0.031 |
-0.039 |
-0.047 |
-0.053 |
-0.058 |
-0.062 |
-0.065 |
-0.067 |
-0.068 |
-0.067 |
-0.066 |
-0.065 |
-0.063 |
-0.060 |
-0.057 |
-0.054 |
-0.051 |
-0.048 |
-0.045 |
-0.042 |
-0.039 |
-0.036 |
-0.034 |
-0.032 |
-0.031 |
-0.030 |
-0.029 |
-0.028 |
-0.028 |
-0.028 |
|
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