|
|
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
2053 |
2054 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
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|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
-8855.0 |
-15916.2 |
-14904.0 |
-14368.2 |
-13186.9 |
-11761.6 |
-10071.1 |
-8191.2 |
-6168.5 |
-4052.3 |
-1892.3 |
256.5 |
2331.5 |
4276.3 |
6030.1 |
7539.1 |
8754.0 |
9632.6 |
10141.8 |
10258.2 |
9969.9 |
9276.1 |
8188.0 |
6728.1 |
4929.8 |
2836.5 |
500.7 |
-2017.8 |
-4652.9 |
-7334.7 |
-9990.7 |
-12548.3 |
-14936.6 |
-17088.4 |
-18942.5 |
-20445.1 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
-126.4 |
730.3 |
1769.2 |
2954.6 |
4238.6 |
5521.0 |
6730.9 |
7810.1 |
8713.6 |
9407.5 |
9869.4 |
10087.2 |
10058.4 |
9790.0 |
9296.9 |
8601.0 |
7730.3 |
6717.4 |
5598.6 |
4412.0 |
3197.1 |
1993.1 |
838.0 |
-232.2 |
-1184.6 |
-1990.0 |
-2623.5 |
-3065.2 |
-3300.7 |
-3321.2 |
-3123.9 |
-2711.9 |
-2094.5 |
-1286.8 |
-309.3 |
812.2 |
Investment |
fI |
8676.0 |
13986.4 |
14649.4 |
16468.8 |
18374.8 |
20233.5 |
21830.6 |
23212.6 |
24349.6 |
25241.1 |
25870.1 |
26232.0 |
26321.1 |
26140.8 |
25699.6 |
25012.6 |
24100.9 |
22990.8 |
21713.1 |
20302.5 |
18796.8 |
17235.8 |
15661.2 |
14115.2 |
12639.9 |
11276.5 |
10064.1 |
9039.4 |
8235.1 |
7679.5 |
7395.1 |
7398.2 |
7698.0 |
8295.8 |
9185.1 |
10350.9 |
Export |
fE |
3962.6 |
7204.0 |
11122.7 |
14528.4 |
17876.4 |
20857.6 |
23455.2 |
25503.4 |
26946.1 |
27714.7 |
27793.9 |
27187.0 |
25931.4 |
24086.6 |
21734.9 |
18975.1 |
15918.9 |
12686.1 |
9400.4 |
6184.6 |
3157.2 |
428.4 |
-1903.1 |
-3752.3 |
-5050.5 |
-5746.3 |
-5807.3 |
-5220.3 |
-3991.6 |
-2146.6 |
271.4 |
3201.6 |
6568.2 |
10281.8 |
14242.3 |
18341.4 |
Import |
fM |
1542.3 |
1934.9 |
3834.0 |
5725.2 |
8074.1 |
10484.1 |
12859.4 |
15114.2 |
17185.4 |
19010.6 |
20539.9 |
21731.5 |
22553.0 |
22987.2 |
23026.4 |
22676.7 |
21955.2 |
20889.4 |
19516.7 |
17882.7 |
16040.2 |
14047.4 |
11966.6 |
9862.4 |
7799.8 |
5843.0 |
4053.2 |
2487.3 |
1196.0 |
222.9 |
-397.2 |
-639.1 |
-488.2 |
59.0 |
994.7 |
2299.9 |
GDP |
fY |
2060.0 |
3955.0 |
8534.4 |
13623.0 |
19045.9 |
24237.0 |
29009.1 |
33196.9 |
36684.8 |
39383.3 |
41237.9 |
42222.2 |
42334.8 |
41605.7 |
40086.1 |
37850.3 |
34990.6 |
31614.1 |
27838.2 |
23788.1 |
19592.5 |
15380.7 |
11279.3 |
7409.2 |
3883.6 |
804.8 |
-1737.5 |
-3667.9 |
-4927.5 |
-5474.7 |
-5287.0 |
-4361.1 |
-2713.8 |
-381.7 |
2579.2 |
6094.6 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
-2.677 |
-0.814 |
3.530 |
9.050 |
15.097 |
20.929 |
26.159 |
30.513 |
33.811 |
35.944 |
36.869 |
36.595 |
35.177 |
32.711 |
29.321 |
25.157 |
20.384 |
15.179 |
9.719 |
4.181 |
-1.267 |
-6.467 |
-11.277 |
-15.574 |
-19.252 |
-22.229 |
-24.446 |
-25.863 |
-26.468 |
-26.268 |
-25.292 |
-23.590 |
-21.231 |
-18.301 |
-14.897 |
-11.130 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
1.413 |
0.321 |
-1.900 |
-4.633 |
-7.596 |
-10.423 |
-12.941 |
-15.022 |
-16.582 |
-17.571 |
-17.970 |
-17.787 |
-17.049 |
-15.806 |
-14.119 |
-12.061 |
-9.714 |
-7.165 |
-4.499 |
-1.802 |
0.844 |
3.363 |
5.686 |
7.754 |
9.517 |
10.936 |
11.982 |
12.638 |
12.898 |
12.767 |
12.260 |
11.402 |
10.227 |
8.778 |
7.103 |
5.256 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
1.221 |
0.147 |
0.224 |
0.287 |
0.340 |
0.384 |
0.422 |
0.453 |
0.476 |
0.490 |
0.495 |
0.491 |
0.478 |
0.456 |
0.427 |
0.390 |
0.347 |
0.299 |
0.248 |
0.194 |
0.138 |
0.083 |
0.029 |
-0.023 |
-0.071 |
-0.114 |
-0.152 |
-0.184 |
-0.209 |
-0.226 |
-0.236 |
-0.239 |
-0.235 |
-0.224 |
-0.206 |
-0.184 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
-2.474 |
-1.159 |
-1.136 |
-1.112 |
-1.103 |
-1.087 |
-1.066 |
-1.042 |
-1.017 |
-0.990 |
-0.963 |
-0.937 |
-0.911 |
-0.886 |
-0.862 |
-0.838 |
-0.813 |
-0.789 |
-0.764 |
-0.737 |
-0.710 |
-0.680 |
-0.649 |
-0.616 |
-0.582 |
-0.546 |
-0.509 |
-0.472 |
-0.436 |
-0.400 |
-0.366 |
-0.334 |
-0.305 |
-0.280 |
-0.258 |
-0.242 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-1.253 |
-1.012 |
-0.912 |
-0.825 |
-0.763 |
-0.703 |
-0.644 |
-0.589 |
-0.541 |
-0.500 |
-0.469 |
-0.446 |
-0.434 |
-0.430 |
-0.435 |
-0.448 |
-0.466 |
-0.489 |
-0.516 |
-0.544 |
-0.571 |
-0.597 |
-0.620 |
-0.639 |
-0.653 |
-0.660 |
-0.662 |
-0.656 |
-0.644 |
-0.626 |
-0.602 |
-0.573 |
-0.540 |
-0.503 |
-0.465 |
-0.426 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
-2.248 |
-2.697 |
-3.249 |
-3.858 |
-4.497 |
-5.143 |
-5.780 |
-6.396 |
-6.985 |
-7.545 |
-8.075 |
-8.578 |
-9.056 |
-9.513 |
-9.955 |
-10.385 |
-10.807 |
-11.225 |
-11.642 |
-12.059 |
-12.478 |
-12.899 |
-13.321 |
-13.743 |
-14.161 |
-14.574 |
-14.979 |
-15.372 |
-15.749 |
-16.108 |
-16.445 |
-16.757 |
-17.044 |
-17.302 |
-17.532 |
-17.734 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
1.554 |
0.999 |
0.388 |
-0.233 |
-0.860 |
-1.481 |
-2.096 |
-2.699 |
-3.283 |
-3.842 |
-4.367 |
-4.850 |
-5.284 |
-5.663 |
-5.980 |
-6.231 |
-6.414 |
-6.525 |
-6.566 |
-6.536 |
-6.439 |
-6.277 |
-6.057 |
-5.783 |
-5.463 |
-5.104 |
-4.716 |
-4.308 |
-3.888 |
-3.467 |
-3.053 |
-2.656 |
-2.283 |
-1.942 |
-1.640 |
-1.380 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.105 |
-0.081 |
-0.138 |
-0.215 |
-0.282 |
-0.318 |
-0.319 |
-0.284 |
-0.212 |
-0.106 |
0.032 |
0.199 |
0.389 |
0.597 |
0.818 |
1.046 |
1.273 |
1.495 |
1.706 |
1.900 |
2.072 |
2.219 |
2.337 |
2.424 |
2.478 |
2.498 |
2.486 |
2.442 |
2.369 |
2.268 |
2.145 |
2.002 |
1.844 |
1.676 |
1.504 |
1.331 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.317 |
-0.398 |
-0.465 |
-0.519 |
-0.554 |
-0.573 |
-0.581 |
-0.582 |
-0.580 |
-0.577 |
-0.575 |
-0.573 |
-0.575 |
-0.579 |
-0.586 |
-0.595 |
-0.608 |
-0.623 |
-0.640 |
-0.658 |
-0.678 |
-0.697 |
-0.716 |
-0.734 |
-0.751 |
-0.765 |
-0.778 |
-0.787 |
-0.794 |
-0.798 |
-0.798 |
-0.796 |
-0.790 |
-0.783 |
-0.772 |
-0.760 |
User cost |
uim |
-5.883 |
-6.095 |
-6.227 |
-6.316 |
-6.360 |
-6.358 |
-6.314 |
-6.231 |
-6.117 |
-5.977 |
-5.818 |
-5.646 |
-5.470 |
-5.295 |
-5.128 |
-4.974 |
-4.838 |
-4.724 |
-4.637 |
-4.576 |
-4.545 |
-4.543 |
-4.570 |
-4.623 |
-4.701 |
-4.800 |
-4.917 |
-5.047 |
-5.187 |
-5.332 |
-5.477 |
-5.618 |
-5.752 |
-5.874 |
-5.981 |
-6.071 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.107 |
-0.275 |
-0.363 |
-0.350 |
-0.236 |
-0.019 |
0.292 |
0.686 |
1.147 |
1.658 |
2.202 |
2.758 |
3.308 |
3.834 |
4.320 |
4.750 |
5.113 |
5.398 |
5.599 |
5.713 |
5.737 |
5.676 |
5.533 |
5.316 |
5.034 |
4.698 |
4.320 |
3.914 |
3.492 |
3.067 |
2.653 |
2.261 |
1.901 |
1.584 |
1.317 |
1.107 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.148 |
-0.648 |
-1.076 |
-1.421 |
-1.688 |
-1.884 |
-2.015 |
-2.087 |
-2.108 |
-2.084 |
-2.023 |
-1.934 |
-1.824 |
-1.700 |
-1.571 |
-1.444 |
-1.325 |
-1.219 |
-1.133 |
-1.069 |
-1.030 |
-1.019 |
-1.036 |
-1.080 |
-1.151 |
-1.246 |
-1.363 |
-1.497 |
-1.646 |
-1.804 |
-1.968 |
-2.132 |
-2.292 |
-2.444 |
-2.584 |
-2.708 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.143 |
-0.328 |
-0.474 |
-0.578 |
-0.639 |
-0.660 |
-0.646 |
-0.599 |
-0.524 |
-0.427 |
-0.313 |
-0.186 |
-0.053 |
0.081 |
0.212 |
0.334 |
0.444 |
0.537 |
0.612 |
0.666 |
0.698 |
0.708 |
0.696 |
0.662 |
0.609 |
0.538 |
0.452 |
0.355 |
0.249 |
0.138 |
0.025 |
-0.086 |
-0.192 |
-0.290 |
-0.378 |
-0.453 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
1.981 |
0.149 |
0.062 |
-0.061 |
-0.147 |
-0.230 |
-0.299 |
-0.359 |
-0.408 |
-0.446 |
-0.474 |
-0.491 |
-0.498 |
-0.496 |
-0.487 |
-0.471 |
-0.450 |
-0.427 |
-0.403 |
-0.379 |
-0.358 |
-0.342 |
-0.330 |
-0.325 |
-0.327 |
-0.337 |
-0.355 |
-0.380 |
-0.413 |
-0.452 |
-0.498 |
-0.548 |
-0.601 |
-0.657 |
-0.714 |
-0.769 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.084 |
0.096 |
0.265 |
0.424 |
0.585 |
0.756 |
0.934 |
1.116 |
1.298 |
1.477 |
1.647 |
1.804 |
1.946 |
2.068 |
2.169 |
2.246 |
2.300 |
2.329 |
2.334 |
2.318 |
2.280 |
2.225 |
2.154 |
2.071 |
1.978 |
1.880 |
1.780 |
1.681 |
1.587 |
1.499 |
1.421 |
1.355 |
1.302 |
1.264 |
1.242 |
1.236 |
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