|
|
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
2053 |
2054 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
1720.2 |
1362.0 |
7457.1 |
12432.4 |
17357.6 |
22072.2 |
26628.0 |
30978.2 |
35101.8 |
38978.5 |
42591.3 |
45923.0 |
48952.1 |
51667.7 |
54053.6 |
56101.2 |
57803.7 |
59157.5 |
60163.2 |
60825.5 |
61153.7 |
61161.9 |
60868.7 |
60297.2 |
59475.1 |
58433.7 |
57208.0 |
55835.9 |
54357.6 |
52815.0 |
51250.8 |
49708.2 |
48229.2 |
46855.0 |
45624.2 |
44572.7 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
-81.5 |
-90.9 |
-353.5 |
-633.0 |
-905.3 |
-1156.1 |
-1382.2 |
-1580.1 |
-1748.2 |
-1886.0 |
-1993.7 |
-2072.1 |
-2122.3 |
-2146.1 |
-2145.3 |
-2122.2 |
-2079.0 |
-2018.2 |
-1942.2 |
-1853.4 |
-1754.4 |
-1647.6 |
-1535.4 |
-1420.0 |
-1303.8 |
-1188.9 |
-1077.4 |
-971.3 |
-872.4 |
-782.4 |
-702.9 |
-635.1 |
-580.2 |
-539.2 |
-512.8 |
-501.5 |
Investment |
fI |
10386.0 |
19578.2 |
23832.5 |
28241.9 |
31912.4 |
34917.5 |
37170.8 |
38792.2 |
39831.9 |
40363.6 |
40442.5 |
40128.4 |
39472.9 |
38528.5 |
37343.6 |
35964.6 |
34435.2 |
32796.1 |
31084.9 |
29336.1 |
27581.9 |
25851.4 |
24171.5 |
22567.2 |
21060.9 |
19673.4 |
18423.5 |
17327.9 |
16401.5 |
15656.7 |
15103.7 |
14750.2 |
14601.1 |
14658.5 |
14921.4 |
15385.7 |
Export |
fE |
3779.1 |
6820.6 |
10446.2 |
13438.0 |
16202.9 |
18370.9 |
19895.7 |
20621.5 |
20518.1 |
19558.1 |
17772.4 |
15213.1 |
11963.5 |
8124.6 |
3812.3 |
-848.9 |
-5730.8 |
-10705.5 |
-15649.5 |
-20446.3 |
-24989.4 |
-29183.9 |
-32947.7 |
-36213.0 |
-38926.0 |
-41047.8 |
-42553.5 |
-43432.7 |
-43688.0 |
-43335.1 |
-42401.1 |
-40924.1 |
-38952.1 |
-36541.3 |
-33755.0 |
-30662.6 |
Import |
fM |
6707.1 |
10858.4 |
15575.2 |
19430.7 |
23118.1 |
26458.1 |
29397.3 |
31888.3 |
33915.8 |
35468.9 |
36550.9 |
37173.0 |
37352.6 |
37119.2 |
36504.9 |
35549.8 |
34296.9 |
32792.2 |
31083.2 |
29218.2 |
27245.5 |
25213.0 |
23166.9 |
21151.8 |
19209.8 |
17380.1 |
15698.8 |
14198.2 |
12906.7 |
11848.3 |
11042.2 |
10503.0 |
10240.2 |
10258.3 |
10556.3 |
11128.8 |
GDP |
fY |
9389.1 |
17325.1 |
26407.9 |
34844.3 |
42409.4 |
48844.8 |
54127.6 |
58233.3 |
61182.9 |
63019.8 |
63813.8 |
63651.6 |
62630.4 |
60862.1 |
58460.2 |
55543.2 |
52227.9 |
48628.2 |
44852.1 |
41001.2 |
37169.3 |
33442.0 |
29896.2 |
26599.6 |
23611.5 |
20981.8 |
18752.2 |
16955.2 |
15615.2 |
14748.0 |
14361.4 |
14454.9 |
15020.4 |
16042.0 |
17496.9 |
19355.1 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
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|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
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|
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|
|
Employment |
Q |
2.919 |
9.895 |
17.970 |
25.919 |
33.088 |
39.000 |
43.491 |
46.497 |
48.035 |
48.177 |
47.041 |
44.772 |
41.532 |
37.495 |
32.838 |
27.733 |
22.347 |
16.834 |
11.334 |
5.973 |
0.860 |
-3.913 |
-8.271 |
-12.154 |
-15.516 |
-18.329 |
-20.573 |
-22.245 |
-23.351 |
-23.906 |
-23.937 |
-23.476 |
-22.562 |
-21.242 |
-19.566 |
-17.588 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
-1.540 |
-5.104 |
-9.078 |
-12.938 |
-16.393 |
-19.215 |
-21.340 |
-22.740 |
-23.426 |
-23.437 |
-22.831 |
-21.680 |
-20.063 |
-18.067 |
-15.776 |
-13.274 |
-10.643 |
-7.956 |
-5.282 |
-2.681 |
-0.204 |
2.103 |
4.205 |
6.073 |
7.687 |
9.032 |
10.100 |
10.889 |
11.403 |
11.650 |
11.643 |
11.398 |
10.935 |
10.276 |
9.446 |
8.471 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
0.179 |
-0.663 |
-0.368 |
-0.132 |
0.072 |
0.227 |
0.336 |
0.403 |
0.432 |
0.425 |
0.388 |
0.323 |
0.236 |
0.129 |
0.008 |
-0.124 |
-0.264 |
-0.408 |
-0.553 |
-0.696 |
-0.836 |
-0.970 |
-1.097 |
-1.214 |
-1.322 |
-1.419 |
-1.504 |
-1.578 |
-1.640 |
-1.690 |
-1.728 |
-1.756 |
-1.773 |
-1.780 |
-1.778 |
-1.768 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
-1.697 |
-0.790 |
-1.107 |
-1.330 |
-1.515 |
-1.640 |
-1.715 |
-1.750 |
-1.752 |
-1.729 |
-1.686 |
-1.629 |
-1.561 |
-1.486 |
-1.408 |
-1.327 |
-1.247 |
-1.168 |
-1.092 |
-1.020 |
-0.950 |
-0.885 |
-0.824 |
-0.767 |
-0.714 |
-0.664 |
-0.619 |
-0.578 |
-0.540 |
-0.506 |
-0.476 |
-0.450 |
-0.427 |
-0.408 |
-0.393 |
-0.381 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-1.518 |
-1.453 |
-1.475 |
-1.461 |
-1.443 |
-1.414 |
-1.379 |
-1.347 |
-1.321 |
-1.304 |
-1.299 |
-1.306 |
-1.325 |
-1.357 |
-1.399 |
-1.451 |
-1.511 |
-1.576 |
-1.645 |
-1.716 |
-1.787 |
-1.855 |
-1.921 |
-1.981 |
-2.036 |
-2.083 |
-2.123 |
-2.155 |
-2.180 |
-2.196 |
-2.204 |
-2.205 |
-2.200 |
-2.188 |
-2.171 |
-2.149 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
-2.427 |
-3.564 |
-4.855 |
-6.184 |
-7.535 |
-8.869 |
-10.166 |
-11.418 |
-12.622 |
-13.779 |
-14.896 |
-15.982 |
-17.045 |
-18.096 |
-19.143 |
-20.194 |
-21.256 |
-22.336 |
-23.437 |
-24.561 |
-25.708 |
-26.879 |
-28.070 |
-29.279 |
-30.501 |
-31.731 |
-32.962 |
-34.188 |
-35.404 |
-36.602 |
-37.776 |
-38.920 |
-40.029 |
-41.097 |
-42.121 |
-43.097 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
2.129 |
2.155 |
1.917 |
1.501 |
0.948 |
0.308 |
-0.381 |
-1.077 |
-1.747 |
-2.361 |
-2.893 |
-3.321 |
-3.630 |
-3.807 |
-3.845 |
-3.738 |
-3.486 |
-3.091 |
-2.558 |
-1.893 |
-1.106 |
-0.207 |
0.793 |
1.881 |
3.044 |
4.269 |
5.540 |
6.844 |
8.168 |
9.498 |
10.820 |
12.124 |
13.398 |
14.631 |
15.815 |
16.942 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.348 |
-0.499 |
-0.613 |
-0.660 |
-0.629 |
-0.519 |
-0.344 |
-0.115 |
0.159 |
0.466 |
0.798 |
1.145 |
1.500 |
1.854 |
2.201 |
2.534 |
2.848 |
3.140 |
3.404 |
3.638 |
3.840 |
4.009 |
4.144 |
4.244 |
4.311 |
4.346 |
4.350 |
4.325 |
4.273 |
4.197 |
4.101 |
3.986 |
3.857 |
3.716 |
3.568 |
3.414 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.386 |
-0.536 |
-0.651 |
-0.737 |
-0.795 |
-0.830 |
-0.851 |
-0.860 |
-0.862 |
-0.860 |
-0.854 |
-0.846 |
-0.838 |
-0.830 |
-0.823 |
-0.817 |
-0.812 |
-0.809 |
-0.807 |
-0.807 |
-0.808 |
-0.810 |
-0.813 |
-0.817 |
-0.822 |
-0.827 |
-0.832 |
-0.838 |
-0.843 |
-0.848 |
-0.853 |
-0.858 |
-0.862 |
-0.865 |
-0.868 |
-0.870 |
User cost |
uim |
-5.901 |
-6.136 |
-6.263 |
-6.324 |
-6.327 |
-6.276 |
-6.178 |
-6.042 |
-5.876 |
-5.686 |
-5.482 |
-5.270 |
-5.058 |
-4.851 |
-4.654 |
-4.474 |
-4.313 |
-4.174 |
-4.060 |
-3.973 |
-3.912 |
-3.878 |
-3.869 |
-3.886 |
-3.925 |
-3.985 |
-4.063 |
-4.156 |
-4.262 |
-4.378 |
-4.500 |
-4.626 |
-4.753 |
-4.878 |
-4.999 |
-5.114 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.053 |
-0.084 |
0.031 |
0.289 |
0.679 |
1.181 |
1.777 |
2.443 |
3.156 |
3.894 |
4.636 |
5.361 |
6.052 |
6.692 |
7.269 |
7.771 |
8.191 |
8.524 |
8.767 |
8.921 |
8.987 |
8.970 |
8.876 |
8.712 |
8.486 |
8.208 |
7.887 |
7.532 |
7.154 |
6.762 |
6.366 |
5.973 |
5.591 |
5.228 |
4.889 |
4.581 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.113 |
-0.568 |
-0.932 |
-1.190 |
-1.354 |
-1.434 |
-1.443 |
-1.390 |
-1.288 |
-1.147 |
-0.977 |
-0.787 |
-0.586 |
-0.383 |
-0.184 |
0.004 |
0.175 |
0.325 |
0.452 |
0.551 |
0.622 |
0.663 |
0.676 |
0.660 |
0.617 |
0.550 |
0.460 |
0.350 |
0.224 |
0.085 |
-0.064 |
-0.220 |
-0.379 |
-0.539 |
-0.695 |
-0.846 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.129 |
-0.283 |
-0.381 |
-0.425 |
-0.417 |
-0.364 |
-0.272 |
-0.149 |
-0.002 |
0.164 |
0.340 |
0.523 |
0.704 |
0.881 |
1.047 |
1.200 |
1.335 |
1.451 |
1.546 |
1.618 |
1.668 |
1.696 |
1.701 |
1.686 |
1.652 |
1.600 |
1.533 |
1.454 |
1.365 |
1.267 |
1.164 |
1.059 |
0.952 |
0.848 |
0.747 |
0.651 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
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|
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|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
1.238 |
-0.220 |
-0.030 |
0.052 |
0.135 |
0.192 |
0.235 |
0.266 |
0.287 |
0.301 |
0.310 |
0.316 |
0.321 |
0.325 |
0.329 |
0.333 |
0.338 |
0.343 |
0.347 |
0.351 |
0.353 |
0.354 |
0.351 |
0.346 |
0.337 |
0.325 |
0.309 |
0.288 |
0.264 |
0.237 |
0.206 |
0.172 |
0.136 |
0.099 |
0.060 |
0.020 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.129 |
0.040 |
0.243 |
0.458 |
0.683 |
0.915 |
1.146 |
1.373 |
1.589 |
1.792 |
1.977 |
2.141 |
2.282 |
2.399 |
2.491 |
2.557 |
2.599 |
2.618 |
2.615 |
2.593 |
2.552 |
2.497 |
2.430 |
2.352 |
2.268 |
2.178 |
2.087 |
1.995 |
1.905 |
1.819 |
1.739 |
1.665 |
1.599 |
1.542 |
1.495 |
1.458 |
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