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|
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
2053 |
2054 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
1720.2 |
1322.4 |
7295.8 |
12039.8 |
16617.1 |
20867.5 |
24853.6 |
28544.3 |
31937.9 |
35034.2 |
37837.7 |
40352.8 |
42581.0 |
44531.4 |
46207.3 |
47617.9 |
48772.2 |
49680.4 |
50354.1 |
50806.4 |
51052.6 |
51109.3 |
50995.1 |
50730.4 |
50336.9 |
49837.4 |
49255.8 |
48616.7 |
47944.6 |
47264.2 |
46599.3 |
45972.9 |
45406.9 |
44921.3 |
44534.3 |
44261.8 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
-81.5 |
-85.5 |
-336.1 |
-595.7 |
-840.9 |
-1058.1 |
-1245.6 |
-1402.2 |
-1528.1 |
-1624.6 |
-1693.7 |
-1737.6 |
-1758.8 |
-1760.0 |
-1743.6 |
-1712.3 |
-1668.6 |
-1614.9 |
-1553.2 |
-1485.7 |
-1414.3 |
-1340.7 |
-1266.4 |
-1192.9 |
-1121.6 |
-1053.6 |
-990.1 |
-931.8 |
-879.7 |
-834.4 |
-796.5 |
-766.4 |
-744.5 |
-731.0 |
-725.9 |
-729.1 |
Investment |
fI |
10386.0 |
19429.3 |
23366.5 |
27350.8 |
30510.0 |
32951.4 |
34623.3 |
35678.4 |
36193.4 |
36264.7 |
35965.8 |
35369.8 |
34537.8 |
33526.7 |
32385.1 |
31156.3 |
29877.7 |
28581.5 |
27294.8 |
26040.5 |
24837.9 |
23702.9 |
22648.7 |
21686.4 |
20824.8 |
20071.2 |
19431.1 |
18908.8 |
18507.0 |
18227.2 |
18069.8 |
18033.5 |
18116.0 |
18313.9 |
18622.2 |
19035.0 |
Export |
fE |
3779.1 |
6322.2 |
9122.5 |
10999.4 |
12450.3 |
13211.3 |
13350.7 |
12809.7 |
11642.2 |
9885.4 |
7617.1 |
4917.2 |
1879.5 |
-1400.9 |
-4828.1 |
-8310.0 |
-11759.9 |
-15098.8 |
-18256.5 |
-21172.7 |
-23797.6 |
-26091.6 |
-28025.8 |
-29581.2 |
-30748.6 |
-31527.8 |
-31926.9 |
-31961.3 |
-31653.2 |
-31030.5 |
-30125.9 |
-28975.9 |
-27619.8 |
-26099.1 |
-24456.2 |
-22733.7 |
Import |
fM |
6707.1 |
10534.1 |
14653.1 |
17698.0 |
20403.1 |
22646.4 |
24439.8 |
25793.7 |
26742.4 |
27317.3 |
27556.0 |
27496.0 |
27174.1 |
26630.2 |
25900.8 |
25023.3 |
24033.1 |
22963.4 |
21845.4 |
20707.7 |
19577.0 |
18477.2 |
17430.1 |
16454.9 |
15568.3 |
14784.7 |
14116.0 |
13571.5 |
13158.2 |
12880.6 |
12740.9 |
12739.0 |
12872.6 |
13137.3 |
13526.8 |
14033.2 |
GDP |
fY |
9389.1 |
16968.0 |
25393.5 |
32885.8 |
39283.3 |
44409.6 |
48334.4 |
51119.4 |
52861.7 |
53668.0 |
53657.2 |
52950.6 |
51666.7 |
49924.4 |
47833.0 |
45495.8 |
43007.0 |
40450.8 |
37901.3 |
35422.5 |
33069.2 |
30887.0 |
28912.9 |
27176.4 |
25699.6 |
24498.0 |
23581.1 |
22952.8 |
22612.0 |
22553.2 |
22766.6 |
23238.9 |
23953.6 |
24891.1 |
26029.9 |
27346.5 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
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|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
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|
|
Employment |
Q |
2.919 |
9.566 |
16.990 |
23.990 |
29.971 |
34.547 |
37.662 |
39.355 |
39.732 |
38.941 |
37.153 |
34.547 |
31.303 |
27.593 |
23.577 |
19.400 |
15.189 |
11.054 |
7.088 |
3.365 |
-0.056 |
-3.132 |
-5.832 |
-8.138 |
-10.042 |
-11.547 |
-12.662 |
-13.404 |
-13.793 |
-13.858 |
-13.627 |
-13.133 |
-12.410 |
-11.494 |
-10.420 |
-9.224 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
-1.540 |
-4.930 |
-8.575 |
-11.961 |
-14.827 |
-16.993 |
-18.447 |
-19.211 |
-19.340 |
-18.906 |
-17.994 |
-16.693 |
-15.089 |
-13.265 |
-11.299 |
-9.260 |
-7.211 |
-5.203 |
-3.281 |
-1.481 |
0.170 |
1.652 |
2.949 |
4.054 |
4.964 |
5.679 |
6.205 |
6.550 |
6.725 |
6.742 |
6.618 |
6.366 |
6.005 |
5.552 |
5.023 |
4.436 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
0.179 |
-0.670 |
-0.388 |
-0.173 |
0.005 |
0.128 |
0.206 |
0.241 |
0.241 |
0.208 |
0.151 |
0.072 |
-0.023 |
-0.130 |
-0.244 |
-0.363 |
-0.484 |
-0.604 |
-0.720 |
-0.832 |
-0.937 |
-1.036 |
-1.127 |
-1.209 |
-1.283 |
-1.349 |
-1.406 |
-1.454 |
-1.495 |
-1.528 |
-1.555 |
-1.575 |
-1.589 |
-1.598 |
-1.603 |
-1.603 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
-1.697 |
-0.791 |
-1.105 |
-1.323 |
-1.501 |
-1.617 |
-1.682 |
-1.707 |
-1.699 |
-1.667 |
-1.616 |
-1.553 |
-1.481 |
-1.404 |
-1.324 |
-1.245 |
-1.168 |
-1.094 |
-1.024 |
-0.958 |
-0.896 |
-0.839 |
-0.787 |
-0.739 |
-0.695 |
-0.656 |
-0.619 |
-0.587 |
-0.558 |
-0.532 |
-0.509 |
-0.489 |
-0.471 |
-0.457 |
-0.445 |
-0.435 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-1.518 |
-1.461 |
-1.493 |
-1.496 |
-1.496 |
-1.489 |
-1.476 |
-1.465 |
-1.459 |
-1.459 |
-1.466 |
-1.481 |
-1.504 |
-1.533 |
-1.569 |
-1.609 |
-1.652 |
-1.698 |
-1.744 |
-1.790 |
-1.834 |
-1.875 |
-1.914 |
-1.948 |
-1.979 |
-2.004 |
-2.025 |
-2.041 |
-2.053 |
-2.060 |
-2.064 |
-2.064 |
-2.061 |
-2.055 |
-2.047 |
-2.038 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
-2.427 |
-3.560 |
-4.848 |
-6.185 |
-7.555 |
-8.926 |
-10.279 |
-11.606 |
-12.902 |
-14.168 |
-15.408 |
-16.624 |
-17.823 |
-19.008 |
-20.186 |
-21.359 |
-22.531 |
-23.704 |
-24.879 |
-26.057 |
-27.237 |
-28.417 |
-29.594 |
-30.768 |
-31.934 |
-33.089 |
-34.230 |
-35.353 |
-36.455 |
-37.533 |
-38.585 |
-39.607 |
-40.599 |
-41.557 |
-42.483 |
-43.373 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
2.129 |
2.168 |
1.962 |
1.604 |
1.138 |
0.614 |
0.073 |
-0.450 |
-0.924 |
-1.325 |
-1.633 |
-1.834 |
-1.919 |
-1.882 |
-1.722 |
-1.440 |
-1.041 |
-0.530 |
0.085 |
0.795 |
1.589 |
2.458 |
3.391 |
4.376 |
5.404 |
6.463 |
7.544 |
8.637 |
9.734 |
10.826 |
11.905 |
12.965 |
14.001 |
15.007 |
15.980 |
16.915 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
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|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.348 |
-0.480 |
-0.566 |
-0.576 |
-0.503 |
-0.354 |
-0.146 |
0.108 |
0.395 |
0.702 |
1.021 |
1.341 |
1.655 |
1.958 |
2.245 |
2.510 |
2.751 |
2.967 |
3.155 |
3.315 |
3.448 |
3.553 |
3.631 |
3.684 |
3.714 |
3.721 |
3.709 |
3.680 |
3.635 |
3.576 |
3.507 |
3.430 |
3.345 |
3.257 |
3.166 |
3.074 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.386 |
-0.528 |
-0.631 |
-0.704 |
-0.748 |
-0.771 |
-0.780 |
-0.782 |
-0.779 |
-0.774 |
-0.768 |
-0.763 |
-0.759 |
-0.757 |
-0.756 |
-0.757 |
-0.760 |
-0.764 |
-0.769 |
-0.775 |
-0.782 |
-0.789 |
-0.796 |
-0.803 |
-0.810 |
-0.816 |
-0.822 |
-0.827 |
-0.832 |
-0.836 |
-0.839 |
-0.841 |
-0.842 |
-0.843 |
-0.843 |
-0.843 |
User cost |
uim |
-5.901 |
-6.137 |
-6.264 |
-6.330 |
-6.341 |
-6.303 |
-6.225 |
-6.115 |
-5.982 |
-5.832 |
-5.673 |
-5.512 |
-5.352 |
-5.200 |
-5.059 |
-4.932 |
-4.821 |
-4.728 |
-4.653 |
-4.598 |
-4.561 |
-4.542 |
-4.540 |
-4.553 |
-4.580 |
-4.619 |
-4.669 |
-4.727 |
-4.791 |
-4.859 |
-4.931 |
-5.003 |
-5.075 |
-5.145 |
-5.211 |
-5.274 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.053 |
-0.087 |
0.017 |
0.251 |
0.599 |
1.040 |
1.552 |
2.112 |
2.699 |
3.292 |
3.874 |
4.430 |
4.947 |
5.414 |
5.824 |
6.172 |
6.455 |
6.673 |
6.825 |
6.916 |
6.948 |
6.927 |
6.858 |
6.747 |
6.601 |
6.427 |
6.230 |
6.018 |
5.796 |
5.570 |
5.344 |
5.125 |
4.914 |
4.717 |
4.536 |
4.373 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.113 |
-0.569 |
-0.936 |
-1.202 |
-1.378 |
-1.478 |
-1.513 |
-1.495 |
-1.436 |
-1.345 |
-1.231 |
-1.104 |
-0.970 |
-0.835 |
-0.706 |
-0.586 |
-0.479 |
-0.388 |
-0.314 |
-0.259 |
-0.223 |
-0.206 |
-0.207 |
-0.226 |
-0.260 |
-0.309 |
-0.370 |
-0.442 |
-0.521 |
-0.608 |
-0.698 |
-0.791 |
-0.884 |
-0.977 |
-1.066 |
-1.151 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.129 |
-0.283 |
-0.384 |
-0.433 |
-0.435 |
-0.396 |
-0.325 |
-0.228 |
-0.112 |
0.017 |
0.153 |
0.291 |
0.427 |
0.556 |
0.675 |
0.782 |
0.876 |
0.954 |
1.017 |
1.064 |
1.095 |
1.111 |
1.113 |
1.103 |
1.080 |
1.048 |
1.007 |
0.959 |
0.905 |
0.848 |
0.789 |
0.729 |
0.670 |
0.612 |
0.557 |
0.505 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
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|
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|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
1.238 |
-0.213 |
-0.013 |
0.078 |
0.171 |
0.235 |
0.282 |
0.315 |
0.334 |
0.345 |
0.348 |
0.346 |
0.340 |
0.332 |
0.323 |
0.313 |
0.303 |
0.293 |
0.283 |
0.272 |
0.260 |
0.247 |
0.233 |
0.218 |
0.202 |
0.183 |
0.163 |
0.142 |
0.119 |
0.094 |
0.069 |
0.043 |
0.016 |
-0.011 |
-0.037 |
-0.063 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.129 |
0.043 |
0.250 |
0.466 |
0.689 |
0.912 |
1.129 |
1.336 |
1.527 |
1.699 |
1.851 |
1.981 |
2.089 |
2.174 |
2.237 |
2.279 |
2.303 |
2.309 |
2.300 |
2.278 |
2.244 |
2.202 |
2.154 |
2.100 |
2.044 |
1.987 |
1.929 |
1.874 |
1.821 |
1.772 |
1.728 |
1.688 |
1.655 |
1.627 |
1.605 |
1.589 |
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