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|
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
2053 |
2054 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
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|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
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|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
1233.5 |
1229.6 |
1055.9 |
1459.2 |
2206.1 |
3148.4 |
4231.5 |
5441.2 |
6769.8 |
8203.2 |
9721.5 |
11298.0 |
12898.3 |
14489.4 |
16035.0 |
17499.2 |
18847.0 |
20046.4 |
21069.0 |
21891.3 |
22495.7 |
22870.7 |
23011.8 |
22921.4 |
22608.8 |
22090.3 |
21388.1 |
20530.4 |
19550.2 |
18484.2 |
17372.4 |
16256.2 |
15177.8 |
14178.8 |
13298.7 |
12574.1 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
3290.6 |
3069.3 |
3485.9 |
4189.4 |
5048.6 |
5985.1 |
6938.5 |
7859.0 |
8706.9 |
9451.2 |
10068.7 |
10543.4 |
10865.4 |
11031.1 |
11042.6 |
10907.0 |
10636.0 |
10245.1 |
9753.0 |
9181.0 |
8552.3 |
7890.8 |
7221.1 |
6567.3 |
5952.7 |
5398.8 |
4925.3 |
4549.0 |
4284.1 |
4141.1 |
4127.4 |
4246.3 |
4497.6 |
4877.3 |
5377.7 |
5987.6 |
Investment |
fI |
-3639.7 |
-4248.1 |
-1809.1 |
417.3 |
2204.0 |
3785.9 |
5206.0 |
6482.0 |
7597.6 |
8545.8 |
9316.8 |
9906.0 |
10309.0 |
10525.8 |
10559.6 |
10417.0 |
10107.8 |
9644.8 |
9043.7 |
8323.2 |
7504.1 |
6609.3 |
5663.4 |
4691.8 |
3720.7 |
2776.1 |
1883.6 |
1067.5 |
350.5 |
-247.2 |
-708.1 |
-1018.1 |
-1166.9 |
-1148.5 |
-961.2 |
-608.0 |
Export |
fE |
3375.1 |
5594.5 |
8004.2 |
10441.9 |
12951.0 |
15368.3 |
17626.7 |
19626.8 |
21306.0 |
22605.1 |
23488.3 |
23934.8 |
23942.7 |
23526.7 |
22716.9 |
21557.0 |
20102.1 |
18416.3 |
16569.9 |
14637.2 |
12693.7 |
10813.6 |
9067.3 |
7519.8 |
6228.5 |
5241.9 |
4598.1 |
4324.3 |
4435.9 |
4936.4 |
5817.6 |
7059.8 |
8632.3 |
10494.9 |
12598.6 |
14887.4 |
Import |
fM |
-476.5 |
-561.6 |
946.7 |
2735.6 |
4532.7 |
6327.3 |
8114.5 |
9862.3 |
11534.4 |
13093.0 |
14503.6 |
15735.2 |
16760.2 |
17559.3 |
18119.3 |
18433.8 |
18503.4 |
18335.6 |
17944.3 |
17349.7 |
16577.4 |
15657.6 |
14624.6 |
13515.4 |
12368.8 |
11224.7 |
10122.3 |
9100.0 |
8193.4 |
7434.9 |
6852.8 |
6470.2 |
6304.7 |
6367.6 |
6663.6 |
7190.9 |
GDP |
fY |
4468.0 |
5556.8 |
9034.4 |
13083.6 |
17245.1 |
21368.1 |
25330.9 |
29024.2 |
32359.1 |
35263.9 |
37685.7 |
39588.0 |
40948.5 |
41764.0 |
42046.3 |
41821.8 |
41129.7 |
40020.7 |
38555.1 |
36801.1 |
34832.3 |
32726.2 |
30561.7 |
28417.6 |
26370.1 |
24491.4 |
22848.0 |
21498.9 |
20494.7 |
19876.2 |
19673.2 |
19904.5 |
20576.6 |
21684.1 |
23209.4 |
25123.5 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
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|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
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|
|
Employment |
Q |
-14.275 |
-14.863 |
-11.889 |
-7.700 |
-3.000 |
1.806 |
6.420 |
10.614 |
14.226 |
17.144 |
19.302 |
20.670 |
21.248 |
21.067 |
20.180 |
18.658 |
16.589 |
14.071 |
11.210 |
8.113 |
4.890 |
1.647 |
-1.515 |
-4.504 |
-7.236 |
-9.642 |
-11.663 |
-13.253 |
-14.384 |
-15.037 |
-15.212 |
-14.920 |
-14.185 |
-13.043 |
-11.540 |
-9.733 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
7.534 |
7.264 |
5.654 |
3.569 |
1.262 |
-1.080 |
-3.315 |
-5.338 |
-7.070 |
-8.460 |
-9.478 |
-10.110 |
-10.358 |
-10.239 |
-9.777 |
-9.011 |
-7.982 |
-6.738 |
-5.332 |
-3.816 |
-2.243 |
-0.665 |
0.869 |
2.315 |
3.634 |
4.790 |
5.757 |
6.512 |
7.043 |
7.341 |
7.406 |
7.244 |
6.868 |
6.296 |
5.550 |
4.658 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.142 |
-0.143 |
-0.103 |
-0.062 |
-0.018 |
0.028 |
0.072 |
0.112 |
0.147 |
0.176 |
0.198 |
0.213 |
0.221 |
0.223 |
0.218 |
0.209 |
0.194 |
0.175 |
0.152 |
0.127 |
0.100 |
0.071 |
0.042 |
0.013 |
-0.014 |
-0.040 |
-0.064 |
-0.084 |
-0.101 |
-0.115 |
-0.125 |
-0.130 |
-0.132 |
-0.130 |
-0.124 |
-0.114 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.128 |
0.138 |
0.073 |
0.019 |
-0.024 |
-0.062 |
-0.092 |
-0.115 |
-0.132 |
-0.143 |
-0.151 |
-0.155 |
-0.156 |
-0.156 |
-0.154 |
-0.151 |
-0.147 |
-0.142 |
-0.137 |
-0.131 |
-0.123 |
-0.115 |
-0.105 |
-0.095 |
-0.083 |
-0.070 |
-0.057 |
-0.042 |
-0.028 |
-0.013 |
0.002 |
0.016 |
0.029 |
0.040 |
0.051 |
0.059 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.014 |
-0.005 |
-0.029 |
-0.043 |
-0.042 |
-0.034 |
-0.020 |
-0.003 |
0.015 |
0.032 |
0.047 |
0.058 |
0.065 |
0.067 |
0.065 |
0.058 |
0.047 |
0.033 |
0.016 |
-0.003 |
-0.023 |
-0.044 |
-0.063 |
-0.081 |
-0.097 |
-0.110 |
-0.120 |
-0.126 |
-0.129 |
-0.128 |
-0.123 |
-0.115 |
-0.103 |
-0.089 |
-0.073 |
-0.055 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
0.168 |
0.273 |
0.253 |
0.180 |
0.090 |
-0.009 |
-0.107 |
-0.198 |
-0.279 |
-0.346 |
-0.399 |
-0.437 |
-0.462 |
-0.475 |
-0.479 |
-0.475 |
-0.466 |
-0.455 |
-0.443 |
-0.431 |
-0.421 |
-0.414 |
-0.410 |
-0.409 |
-0.410 |
-0.414 |
-0.419 |
-0.424 |
-0.427 |
-0.428 |
-0.424 |
-0.416 |
-0.402 |
-0.381 |
-0.353 |
-0.317 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.281 |
0.476 |
0.578 |
0.615 |
0.593 |
0.513 |
0.380 |
0.202 |
-0.012 |
-0.252 |
-0.508 |
-0.771 |
-1.031 |
-1.280 |
-1.511 |
-1.718 |
-1.896 |
-2.041 |
-2.150 |
-2.221 |
-2.255 |
-2.250 |
-2.210 |
-2.135 |
-2.030 |
-1.897 |
-1.742 |
-1.568 |
-1.381 |
-1.187 |
-0.991 |
-0.797 |
-0.611 |
-0.438 |
-0.281 |
-0.145 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.287 |
-0.430 |
-0.632 |
-0.812 |
-0.964 |
-1.086 |
-1.178 |
-1.240 |
-1.270 |
-1.272 |
-1.245 |
-1.194 |
-1.120 |
-1.027 |
-0.919 |
-0.799 |
-0.671 |
-0.539 |
-0.407 |
-0.279 |
-0.159 |
-0.048 |
0.050 |
0.132 |
0.198 |
0.245 |
0.274 |
0.284 |
0.275 |
0.249 |
0.206 |
0.150 |
0.081 |
0.002 |
-0.084 |
-0.175 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.735 |
-0.834 |
-0.908 |
-0.952 |
-0.975 |
-0.984 |
-0.984 |
-0.979 |
-0.971 |
-0.963 |
-0.955 |
-0.948 |
-0.943 |
-0.940 |
-0.939 |
-0.941 |
-0.946 |
-0.953 |
-0.961 |
-0.971 |
-0.983 |
-0.995 |
-1.008 |
-1.020 |
-1.032 |
-1.044 |
-1.054 |
-1.063 |
-1.070 |
-1.076 |
-1.079 |
-1.081 |
-1.081 |
-1.079 |
-1.075 |
-1.070 |
User cost |
uim |
-0.428 |
-0.538 |
-0.640 |
-0.719 |
-0.772 |
-0.797 |
-0.795 |
-0.768 |
-0.716 |
-0.644 |
-0.555 |
-0.452 |
-0.339 |
-0.222 |
-0.104 |
0.012 |
0.121 |
0.220 |
0.306 |
0.377 |
0.431 |
0.468 |
0.486 |
0.486 |
0.469 |
0.435 |
0.387 |
0.326 |
0.255 |
0.176 |
0.093 |
0.007 |
-0.079 |
-0.161 |
-0.238 |
-0.308 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.305 |
-0.558 |
-0.771 |
-0.926 |
-1.012 |
-1.024 |
-0.964 |
-0.837 |
-0.650 |
-0.413 |
-0.136 |
0.170 |
0.492 |
0.819 |
1.139 |
1.442 |
1.719 |
1.962 |
2.163 |
2.319 |
2.425 |
2.481 |
2.486 |
2.442 |
2.353 |
2.223 |
2.058 |
1.865 |
1.650 |
1.420 |
1.184 |
0.949 |
0.722 |
0.509 |
0.317 |
0.150 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.392 |
-0.525 |
-0.632 |
-0.722 |
-0.791 |
-0.835 |
-0.855 |
-0.849 |
-0.819 |
-0.766 |
-0.695 |
-0.606 |
-0.505 |
-0.395 |
-0.280 |
-0.163 |
-0.050 |
0.058 |
0.156 |
0.242 |
0.313 |
0.368 |
0.406 |
0.426 |
0.429 |
0.414 |
0.382 |
0.336 |
0.278 |
0.208 |
0.131 |
0.048 |
-0.038 |
-0.123 |
-0.207 |
-0.285 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.312 |
-0.405 |
-0.485 |
-0.551 |
-0.599 |
-0.627 |
-0.635 |
-0.624 |
-0.594 |
-0.549 |
-0.489 |
-0.419 |
-0.340 |
-0.257 |
-0.171 |
-0.087 |
-0.006 |
0.068 |
0.134 |
0.190 |
0.233 |
0.264 |
0.282 |
0.286 |
0.278 |
0.257 |
0.225 |
0.184 |
0.134 |
0.078 |
0.017 |
-0.046 |
-0.109 |
-0.170 |
-0.229 |
-0.282 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
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|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
0.046 |
0.054 |
0.025 |
0.007 |
0.000 |
-0.003 |
-0.006 |
-0.010 |
-0.014 |
-0.017 |
-0.017 |
-0.013 |
-0.006 |
0.005 |
0.020 |
0.039 |
0.061 |
0.085 |
0.110 |
0.136 |
0.162 |
0.187 |
0.209 |
0.228 |
0.244 |
0.256 |
0.263 |
0.266 |
0.264 |
0.258 |
0.247 |
0.233 |
0.215 |
0.194 |
0.172 |
0.148 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.159 |
-0.246 |
-0.308 |
-0.338 |
-0.340 |
-0.318 |
-0.276 |
-0.218 |
-0.148 |
-0.071 |
0.011 |
0.093 |
0.172 |
0.245 |
0.311 |
0.366 |
0.410 |
0.441 |
0.459 |
0.463 |
0.455 |
0.435 |
0.404 |
0.363 |
0.315 |
0.260 |
0.201 |
0.140 |
0.079 |
0.019 |
-0.037 |
-0.089 |
-0.134 |
-0.171 |
-0.200 |
-0.220 |
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