|
|
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
2053 |
2054 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
1106.4 |
1263.7 |
1171.8 |
1524.2 |
2111.2 |
2797.5 |
3531.7 |
4299.6 |
5098.0 |
5924.5 |
6776.0 |
7647.6 |
8531.6 |
9421.0 |
10307.8 |
11183.1 |
12037.8 |
12862.8 |
13649.5 |
14389.6 |
15075.7 |
15701.4 |
16261.3 |
16751.5 |
17169.3 |
17513.6 |
17784.6 |
17984.0 |
18114.9 |
18181.8 |
18190.3 |
18147.2 |
18060.1 |
17937.4 |
17788.0 |
17621.4 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
5789.7 |
5845.5 |
5914.4 |
5971.4 |
6018.1 |
6060.1 |
6101.3 |
6144.0 |
6189.8 |
6239.4 |
6293.6 |
6352.9 |
6417.6 |
6488.1 |
6564.6 |
6647.2 |
6735.9 |
6830.9 |
6931.9 |
7039.0 |
7151.9 |
7270.4 |
7394.3 |
7523.2 |
7656.9 |
7794.9 |
7936.9 |
8082.4 |
8231.1 |
8382.3 |
8535.8 |
8691.0 |
8847.5 |
9005.0 |
9162.9 |
9321.1 |
Investment |
fI |
-1902.7 |
-2105.4 |
-534.8 |
822.1 |
1884.7 |
2826.7 |
3668.4 |
4425.9 |
5090.5 |
5663.3 |
6143.3 |
6533.9 |
6837.9 |
7060.0 |
7205.5 |
7280.1 |
7289.4 |
7239.5 |
7136.1 |
6985.3 |
6793.0 |
6565.1 |
6307.7 |
6026.6 |
5727.9 |
5417.4 |
5100.9 |
4784.2 |
4472.9 |
4172.3 |
3887.7 |
3623.8 |
3385.0 |
3175.4 |
2998.5 |
2857.1 |
Export |
fE |
3226.5 |
5371.1 |
7664.0 |
9926.2 |
12224.8 |
14439.5 |
16541.8 |
18470.6 |
20194.5 |
21679.2 |
22904.9 |
23857.6 |
24533.3 |
24935.1 |
25073.3 |
24964.2 |
24629.3 |
24094.4 |
23388.5 |
22542.7 |
21589.7 |
20562.6 |
19494.1 |
18416.0 |
17358.5 |
16349.7 |
15414.9 |
14576.8 |
13854.5 |
13264.0 |
12817.6 |
12524.3 |
12389.4 |
12414.7 |
12598.9 |
12937.5 |
Import |
fM |
430.8 |
726.0 |
1914.9 |
3233.9 |
4535.9 |
5801.7 |
7032.4 |
8214.7 |
9336.3 |
10384.0 |
11347.6 |
12218.0 |
12987.7 |
13652.4 |
14209.9 |
14659.7 |
15003.5 |
15244.5 |
15387.7 |
15439.5 |
15407.7 |
15300.9 |
15128.7 |
14901.4 |
14629.8 |
14324.9 |
13997.9 |
13659.8 |
13321.3 |
12992.9 |
12684.3 |
12404.6 |
12162.1 |
11964.0 |
11816.6 |
11725.1 |
GDP |
fY |
7512.9 |
9021.3 |
11555.9 |
14311.6 |
17047.6 |
19697.2 |
22212.8 |
24552.3 |
26686.3 |
28594.0 |
30263.3 |
31688.9 |
32870.3 |
33813.6 |
34529.0 |
35030.2 |
35333.7 |
35458.5 |
35425.3 |
35255.7 |
34972.5 |
34598.5 |
34156.6 |
33669.2 |
33157.9 |
32643.7 |
32145.9 |
31682.8 |
31270.9 |
30925.0 |
30658.1 |
30481.2 |
30403.3 |
30431.6 |
30570.9 |
30824.1 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
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|
|
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|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
-9.188 |
-9.328 |
-7.718 |
-5.466 |
-2.929 |
-0.329 |
2.182 |
4.495 |
6.537 |
8.263 |
9.649 |
10.686 |
11.379 |
11.744 |
11.801 |
11.581 |
11.113 |
10.432 |
9.573 |
8.573 |
7.466 |
6.285 |
5.064 |
3.831 |
2.614 |
1.436 |
0.320 |
-0.716 |
-1.659 |
-2.495 |
-3.217 |
-3.817 |
-4.294 |
-4.647 |
-4.878 |
-4.990 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
4.849 |
4.549 |
3.683 |
2.564 |
1.318 |
0.051 |
-1.166 |
-2.283 |
-3.265 |
-4.091 |
-4.751 |
-5.240 |
-5.563 |
-5.727 |
-5.742 |
-5.623 |
-5.385 |
-5.045 |
-4.620 |
-4.128 |
-3.585 |
-3.008 |
-2.412 |
-1.812 |
-1.220 |
-0.649 |
-0.109 |
0.392 |
0.846 |
1.248 |
1.595 |
1.882 |
2.108 |
2.275 |
2.382 |
2.432 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.191 |
-0.195 |
-0.132 |
-0.075 |
-0.018 |
0.040 |
0.096 |
0.147 |
0.192 |
0.231 |
0.262 |
0.286 |
0.304 |
0.314 |
0.319 |
0.318 |
0.313 |
0.303 |
0.290 |
0.274 |
0.255 |
0.235 |
0.214 |
0.192 |
0.170 |
0.148 |
0.127 |
0.107 |
0.088 |
0.071 |
0.056 |
0.043 |
0.032 |
0.023 |
0.016 |
0.012 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.121 |
0.128 |
0.065 |
0.019 |
-0.018 |
-0.052 |
-0.081 |
-0.103 |
-0.119 |
-0.130 |
-0.136 |
-0.138 |
-0.136 |
-0.132 |
-0.126 |
-0.118 |
-0.110 |
-0.102 |
-0.093 |
-0.084 |
-0.076 |
-0.068 |
-0.060 |
-0.053 |
-0.046 |
-0.039 |
-0.033 |
-0.027 |
-0.022 |
-0.017 |
-0.012 |
-0.007 |
-0.003 |
0.001 |
0.005 |
0.008 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.070 |
-0.067 |
-0.066 |
-0.056 |
-0.036 |
-0.012 |
0.015 |
0.044 |
0.073 |
0.101 |
0.126 |
0.149 |
0.167 |
0.182 |
0.193 |
0.200 |
0.203 |
0.201 |
0.197 |
0.189 |
0.179 |
0.167 |
0.154 |
0.139 |
0.124 |
0.109 |
0.094 |
0.079 |
0.066 |
0.054 |
0.044 |
0.036 |
0.029 |
0.024 |
0.021 |
0.020 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
0.012 |
0.010 |
-0.037 |
-0.089 |
-0.130 |
-0.157 |
-0.164 |
-0.151 |
-0.116 |
-0.059 |
0.017 |
0.112 |
0.221 |
0.342 |
0.472 |
0.608 |
0.746 |
0.883 |
1.017 |
1.146 |
1.267 |
1.380 |
1.482 |
1.574 |
1.655 |
1.724 |
1.784 |
1.833 |
1.873 |
1.904 |
1.929 |
1.949 |
1.963 |
1.975 |
1.986 |
1.995 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.247 |
0.462 |
0.589 |
0.648 |
0.643 |
0.576 |
0.452 |
0.277 |
0.061 |
-0.187 |
-0.460 |
-0.748 |
-1.043 |
-1.338 |
-1.627 |
-1.904 |
-2.165 |
-2.405 |
-2.622 |
-2.813 |
-2.978 |
-3.115 |
-3.224 |
-3.306 |
-3.362 |
-3.393 |
-3.400 |
-3.386 |
-3.353 |
-3.303 |
-3.239 |
-3.164 |
-3.079 |
-2.989 |
-2.894 |
-2.798 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.395 |
-0.523 |
-0.664 |
-0.785 |
-0.884 |
-0.964 |
-1.024 |
-1.066 |
-1.089 |
-1.096 |
-1.088 |
-1.067 |
-1.034 |
-0.991 |
-0.940 |
-0.882 |
-0.820 |
-0.755 |
-0.688 |
-0.621 |
-0.554 |
-0.490 |
-0.430 |
-0.373 |
-0.321 |
-0.275 |
-0.234 |
-0.200 |
-0.172 |
-0.150 |
-0.135 |
-0.126 |
-0.122 |
-0.125 |
-0.133 |
-0.145 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.690 |
-0.787 |
-0.863 |
-0.915 |
-0.952 |
-0.977 |
-0.995 |
-1.006 |
-1.013 |
-1.016 |
-1.018 |
-1.018 |
-1.017 |
-1.015 |
-1.012 |
-1.010 |
-1.008 |
-1.005 |
-1.003 |
-1.002 |
-1.001 |
-1.000 |
-0.999 |
-0.999 |
-0.999 |
-1.000 |
-1.001 |
-1.002 |
-1.003 |
-1.005 |
-1.007 |
-1.008 |
-1.010 |
-1.012 |
-1.013 |
-1.015 |
User cost |
uim |
-0.390 |
-0.450 |
-0.515 |
-0.571 |
-0.616 |
-0.648 |
-0.665 |
-0.669 |
-0.659 |
-0.638 |
-0.605 |
-0.564 |
-0.515 |
-0.461 |
-0.402 |
-0.340 |
-0.278 |
-0.216 |
-0.156 |
-0.099 |
-0.045 |
0.003 |
0.046 |
0.084 |
0.115 |
0.139 |
0.157 |
0.169 |
0.175 |
0.175 |
0.170 |
0.160 |
0.146 |
0.129 |
0.108 |
0.085 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.258 |
-0.425 |
-0.565 |
-0.676 |
-0.748 |
-0.780 |
-0.772 |
-0.726 |
-0.647 |
-0.539 |
-0.406 |
-0.253 |
-0.086 |
0.090 |
0.270 |
0.450 |
0.626 |
0.794 |
0.951 |
1.094 |
1.222 |
1.332 |
1.424 |
1.497 |
1.551 |
1.586 |
1.603 |
1.603 |
1.588 |
1.559 |
1.517 |
1.464 |
1.403 |
1.334 |
1.261 |
1.185 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.376 |
-0.484 |
-0.567 |
-0.641 |
-0.701 |
-0.747 |
-0.778 |
-0.794 |
-0.795 |
-0.783 |
-0.758 |
-0.722 |
-0.678 |
-0.625 |
-0.567 |
-0.505 |
-0.440 |
-0.375 |
-0.310 |
-0.248 |
-0.188 |
-0.133 |
-0.082 |
-0.038 |
0.000 |
0.032 |
0.057 |
0.075 |
0.087 |
0.092 |
0.091 |
0.084 |
0.073 |
0.057 |
0.037 |
0.014 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.300 |
-0.373 |
-0.436 |
-0.490 |
-0.532 |
-0.562 |
-0.580 |
-0.586 |
-0.581 |
-0.567 |
-0.543 |
-0.512 |
-0.475 |
-0.433 |
-0.387 |
-0.340 |
-0.292 |
-0.244 |
-0.198 |
-0.154 |
-0.113 |
-0.076 |
-0.044 |
-0.016 |
0.007 |
0.025 |
0.038 |
0.046 |
0.049 |
0.047 |
0.042 |
0.033 |
0.020 |
0.005 |
-0.012 |
-0.031 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
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|
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|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
0.022 |
0.026 |
0.013 |
0.003 |
0.003 |
0.008 |
0.012 |
0.014 |
0.015 |
0.015 |
0.014 |
0.013 |
0.012 |
0.012 |
0.014 |
0.016 |
0.020 |
0.026 |
0.033 |
0.040 |
0.049 |
0.058 |
0.068 |
0.078 |
0.088 |
0.098 |
0.107 |
0.115 |
0.122 |
0.128 |
0.134 |
0.137 |
0.140 |
0.141 |
0.142 |
0.141 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.127 |
-0.193 |
-0.239 |
-0.263 |
-0.271 |
-0.265 |
-0.247 |
-0.219 |
-0.184 |
-0.143 |
-0.099 |
-0.054 |
-0.008 |
0.037 |
0.080 |
0.119 |
0.155 |
0.186 |
0.213 |
0.234 |
0.250 |
0.260 |
0.266 |
0.267 |
0.264 |
0.256 |
0.245 |
0.231 |
0.215 |
0.197 |
0.177 |
0.156 |
0.135 |
0.113 |
0.093 |
0.073 |
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