|
|
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
2053 |
2054 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
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|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
1106.4 |
1227.8 |
1048.9 |
1264.8 |
1676.3 |
2147.9 |
2629.7 |
3108.8 |
3585.5 |
4061.0 |
4537.2 |
5014.7 |
5492.5 |
5969.9 |
6445.2 |
6916.2 |
7380.0 |
7833.8 |
8274.4 |
8698.9 |
9104.3 |
9487.9 |
9847.4 |
10180.8 |
10486.8 |
10764.3 |
11012.9 |
11232.9 |
11424.8 |
11590.0 |
11730.0 |
11846.9 |
11943.4 |
12022.2 |
12086.3 |
12139.1 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
5789.7 |
5850.5 |
5927.3 |
5995.1 |
6055.1 |
6112.4 |
6170.6 |
6231.6 |
6296.4 |
6365.4 |
6438.8 |
6516.7 |
6598.9 |
6685.5 |
6776.3 |
6871.2 |
6969.9 |
7072.3 |
7178.4 |
7287.9 |
7400.6 |
7516.5 |
7635.5 |
7757.3 |
7882.0 |
8009.2 |
8139.0 |
8271.2 |
8405.7 |
8542.4 |
8681.1 |
8821.7 |
8964.1 |
9108.2 |
9253.9 |
9401.1 |
Investment |
fI |
-1902.7 |
-2242.2 |
-873.7 |
288.8 |
1136.3 |
1848.1 |
2449.5 |
2965.4 |
3393.2 |
3741.1 |
4013.7 |
4219.7 |
4366.2 |
4461.6 |
4513.3 |
4528.5 |
4513.3 |
4473.4 |
4413.5 |
4337.6 |
4249.2 |
4151.3 |
4046.5 |
3937.0 |
3824.6 |
3711.2 |
3598.4 |
3487.6 |
3380.2 |
3277.6 |
3181.1 |
3091.8 |
3010.9 |
2939.5 |
2878.4 |
2828.6 |
Export |
fE |
3226.5 |
4912.1 |
6739.3 |
8476.8 |
10213.6 |
11844.8 |
13367.9 |
14743.0 |
15961.4 |
17007.8 |
17879.5 |
18575.7 |
19101.9 |
19466.5 |
19681.8 |
19761.9 |
19723.0 |
19582.4 |
19358.0 |
19067.6 |
18728.9 |
18359.0 |
17974.0 |
17588.7 |
17216.8 |
16870.4 |
16560.0 |
16294.4 |
16081.1 |
15925.8 |
15832.4 |
15803.8 |
15841.0 |
15944.1 |
16111.7 |
16341.5 |
Import |
fM |
430.8 |
428.3 |
1263.0 |
2197.8 |
3074.4 |
3878.4 |
4623.1 |
5307.3 |
5931.1 |
6492.8 |
6993.1 |
7433.0 |
7813.8 |
8138.2 |
8409.3 |
8630.5 |
8805.6 |
8938.4 |
9033.1 |
9093.8 |
9124.9 |
9130.4 |
9114.7 |
9081.9 |
9035.9 |
8980.7 |
8920.0 |
8857.4 |
8796.4 |
8739.9 |
8690.9 |
8652.1 |
8625.8 |
8613.9 |
8618.2 |
8640.1 |
GDP |
fY |
7512.9 |
8692.1 |
10830.3 |
13123.2 |
15342.8 |
17437.7 |
19380.0 |
21146.5 |
22727.2 |
24118.6 |
25324.6 |
26353.3 |
27215.7 |
27925.4 |
28497.6 |
28948.0 |
29292.6 |
29546.9 |
29726.1 |
29844.6 |
29916.2 |
29953.4 |
29967.9 |
29970.3 |
29970.4 |
29976.6 |
29996.8 |
30037.5 |
30104.6 |
30203.0 |
30336.8 |
30509.2 |
30722.7 |
30979.1 |
31279.6 |
31624.5 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
-9.188 |
-9.631 |
-8.428 |
-6.657 |
-4.659 |
-2.630 |
-0.695 |
1.063 |
2.593 |
3.872 |
4.892 |
5.658 |
6.185 |
6.493 |
6.605 |
6.546 |
6.342 |
6.018 |
5.598 |
5.105 |
4.560 |
3.981 |
3.385 |
2.788 |
2.202 |
1.637 |
1.102 |
0.606 |
0.153 |
-0.254 |
-0.610 |
-0.915 |
-1.168 |
-1.371 |
-1.524 |
-1.629 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
4.849 |
4.709 |
4.046 |
3.163 |
2.182 |
1.194 |
0.257 |
-0.590 |
-1.325 |
-1.937 |
-2.422 |
-2.784 |
-3.030 |
-3.171 |
-3.217 |
-3.181 |
-3.076 |
-2.913 |
-2.705 |
-2.462 |
-2.195 |
-1.912 |
-1.622 |
-1.331 |
-1.046 |
-0.772 |
-0.514 |
-0.274 |
-0.055 |
0.140 |
0.312 |
0.458 |
0.579 |
0.675 |
0.747 |
0.797 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.191 |
-0.201 |
-0.147 |
-0.102 |
-0.057 |
-0.012 |
0.029 |
0.067 |
0.098 |
0.125 |
0.145 |
0.160 |
0.170 |
0.176 |
0.178 |
0.177 |
0.173 |
0.167 |
0.160 |
0.151 |
0.141 |
0.131 |
0.120 |
0.109 |
0.099 |
0.089 |
0.079 |
0.070 |
0.061 |
0.054 |
0.047 |
0.041 |
0.035 |
0.031 |
0.028 |
0.025 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.121 |
0.128 |
0.068 |
0.025 |
-0.008 |
-0.038 |
-0.062 |
-0.080 |
-0.092 |
-0.099 |
-0.102 |
-0.101 |
-0.097 |
-0.091 |
-0.084 |
-0.077 |
-0.068 |
-0.060 |
-0.053 |
-0.046 |
-0.039 |
-0.033 |
-0.027 |
-0.023 |
-0.018 |
-0.015 |
-0.011 |
-0.008 |
-0.006 |
-0.003 |
-0.001 |
0.001 |
0.003 |
0.005 |
0.007 |
0.008 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.070 |
-0.073 |
-0.079 |
-0.077 |
-0.065 |
-0.051 |
-0.033 |
-0.014 |
0.006 |
0.025 |
0.043 |
0.059 |
0.073 |
0.085 |
0.094 |
0.101 |
0.105 |
0.107 |
0.107 |
0.105 |
0.102 |
0.098 |
0.093 |
0.087 |
0.080 |
0.074 |
0.068 |
0.061 |
0.056 |
0.050 |
0.046 |
0.042 |
0.038 |
0.036 |
0.034 |
0.033 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
0.012 |
0.015 |
-0.031 |
-0.089 |
-0.141 |
-0.186 |
-0.219 |
-0.239 |
-0.245 |
-0.236 |
-0.213 |
-0.179 |
-0.133 |
-0.079 |
-0.017 |
0.049 |
0.118 |
0.188 |
0.258 |
0.327 |
0.392 |
0.454 |
0.512 |
0.564 |
0.612 |
0.655 |
0.693 |
0.726 |
0.755 |
0.780 |
0.802 |
0.821 |
0.838 |
0.854 |
0.868 |
0.882 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.247 |
0.474 |
0.624 |
0.717 |
0.760 |
0.754 |
0.705 |
0.618 |
0.499 |
0.358 |
0.199 |
0.030 |
-0.144 |
-0.319 |
-0.489 |
-0.653 |
-0.807 |
-0.950 |
-1.079 |
-1.195 |
-1.296 |
-1.384 |
-1.456 |
-1.515 |
-1.561 |
-1.595 |
-1.617 |
-1.629 |
-1.631 |
-1.625 |
-1.612 |
-1.594 |
-1.570 |
-1.543 |
-1.512 |
-1.481 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.395 |
-0.507 |
-0.631 |
-0.734 |
-0.818 |
-0.883 |
-0.931 |
-0.963 |
-0.982 |
-0.987 |
-0.983 |
-0.969 |
-0.949 |
-0.922 |
-0.891 |
-0.857 |
-0.821 |
-0.784 |
-0.747 |
-0.710 |
-0.675 |
-0.641 |
-0.609 |
-0.579 |
-0.552 |
-0.527 |
-0.505 |
-0.487 |
-0.471 |
-0.458 |
-0.448 |
-0.440 |
-0.435 |
-0.433 |
-0.432 |
-0.434 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.690 |
-0.780 |
-0.849 |
-0.897 |
-0.928 |
-0.948 |
-0.961 |
-0.969 |
-0.973 |
-0.974 |
-0.974 |
-0.973 |
-0.971 |
-0.969 |
-0.967 |
-0.965 |
-0.963 |
-0.962 |
-0.961 |
-0.961 |
-0.960 |
-0.961 |
-0.961 |
-0.962 |
-0.962 |
-0.963 |
-0.964 |
-0.966 |
-0.967 |
-0.968 |
-0.969 |
-0.971 |
-0.972 |
-0.973 |
-0.974 |
-0.975 |
User cost |
uim |
-0.390 |
-0.451 |
-0.516 |
-0.576 |
-0.626 |
-0.665 |
-0.693 |
-0.710 |
-0.717 |
-0.715 |
-0.705 |
-0.688 |
-0.665 |
-0.639 |
-0.609 |
-0.577 |
-0.543 |
-0.510 |
-0.477 |
-0.445 |
-0.414 |
-0.386 |
-0.361 |
-0.338 |
-0.318 |
-0.301 |
-0.287 |
-0.276 |
-0.267 |
-0.262 |
-0.258 |
-0.257 |
-0.259 |
-0.262 |
-0.266 |
-0.272 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.258 |
-0.427 |
-0.576 |
-0.702 |
-0.798 |
-0.862 |
-0.894 |
-0.898 |
-0.877 |
-0.834 |
-0.772 |
-0.696 |
-0.610 |
-0.517 |
-0.419 |
-0.321 |
-0.224 |
-0.130 |
-0.041 |
0.041 |
0.116 |
0.182 |
0.240 |
0.289 |
0.328 |
0.360 |
0.382 |
0.397 |
0.405 |
0.405 |
0.400 |
0.389 |
0.375 |
0.356 |
0.334 |
0.311 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.376 |
-0.485 |
-0.571 |
-0.649 |
-0.716 |
-0.772 |
-0.817 |
-0.849 |
-0.870 |
-0.881 |
-0.883 |
-0.877 |
-0.863 |
-0.844 |
-0.821 |
-0.794 |
-0.764 |
-0.733 |
-0.702 |
-0.671 |
-0.640 |
-0.611 |
-0.584 |
-0.560 |
-0.538 |
-0.518 |
-0.502 |
-0.488 |
-0.477 |
-0.469 |
-0.464 |
-0.461 |
-0.460 |
-0.462 |
-0.465 |
-0.470 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.300 |
-0.374 |
-0.439 |
-0.496 |
-0.544 |
-0.582 |
-0.609 |
-0.628 |
-0.638 |
-0.640 |
-0.635 |
-0.625 |
-0.610 |
-0.591 |
-0.570 |
-0.547 |
-0.522 |
-0.497 |
-0.473 |
-0.449 |
-0.426 |
-0.405 |
-0.386 |
-0.369 |
-0.355 |
-0.342 |
-0.332 |
-0.324 |
-0.318 |
-0.314 |
-0.312 |
-0.312 |
-0.314 |
-0.317 |
-0.321 |
-0.326 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
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|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
0.022 |
0.033 |
0.024 |
0.017 |
0.020 |
0.027 |
0.033 |
0.037 |
0.038 |
0.038 |
0.036 |
0.033 |
0.030 |
0.027 |
0.025 |
0.023 |
0.021 |
0.021 |
0.021 |
0.023 |
0.025 |
0.028 |
0.031 |
0.034 |
0.038 |
0.042 |
0.046 |
0.050 |
0.054 |
0.057 |
0.060 |
0.062 |
0.064 |
0.066 |
0.067 |
0.067 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.127 |
-0.190 |
-0.235 |
-0.260 |
-0.271 |
-0.271 |
-0.260 |
-0.242 |
-0.219 |
-0.191 |
-0.162 |
-0.131 |
-0.100 |
-0.071 |
-0.043 |
-0.017 |
0.006 |
0.027 |
0.045 |
0.059 |
0.071 |
0.080 |
0.086 |
0.089 |
0.090 |
0.089 |
0.087 |
0.082 |
0.077 |
0.070 |
0.063 |
0.055 |
0.047 |
0.038 |
0.030 |
0.022 |
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