|
|
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
2053 |
2054 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
373.3 |
159.5 |
-99.7 |
12.1 |
283.2 |
615.3 |
972.3 |
1347.0 |
1737.5 |
2141.3 |
2553.7 |
2968.6 |
3378.0 |
3774.5 |
4149.9 |
4496.3 |
4806.4 |
5073.6 |
5292.1 |
5457.6 |
5567.2 |
5619.4 |
5614.4 |
5553.9 |
5441.5 |
5282.0 |
5081.9 |
4848.8 |
4591.3 |
4318.9 |
4041.5 |
3769.4 |
3512.6 |
3281.0 |
3083.6 |
2928.8 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
-343.1 |
-483.0 |
-463.1 |
-373.4 |
-246.2 |
-96.8 |
61.1 |
215.3 |
355.8 |
474.7 |
566.0 |
625.8 |
651.5 |
642.0 |
597.8 |
520.4 |
412.7 |
278.2 |
121.5 |
-52.3 |
-237.7 |
-428.9 |
-620.2 |
-805.6 |
-979.8 |
-1137.6 |
-1274.7 |
-1387.0 |
-1471.7 |
-1526.5 |
-1550.1 |
-1542.3 |
-1503.6 |
-1435.4 |
-1340.4 |
-1221.5 |
Investment |
fI |
-2129.2 |
-2820.8 |
-1983.1 |
-1356.1 |
-941.2 |
-593.4 |
-270.9 |
27.7 |
292.9 |
517.8 |
697.3 |
828.2 |
908.8 |
938.8 |
919.3 |
852.5 |
741.4 |
590.1 |
403.3 |
186.4 |
-54.6 |
-313.2 |
-582.8 |
-856.4 |
-1127.0 |
-1388.1 |
-1633.1 |
-1855.9 |
-2051.3 |
-2214.7 |
-2342.1 |
-2431.0 |
-2479.4 |
-2486.9 |
-2453.8 |
-2381.8 |
Export |
fE |
398.1 |
673.1 |
987.5 |
1326.0 |
1683.1 |
2029.0 |
2349.8 |
2625.7 |
2842.3 |
2986.1 |
3048.3 |
3023.6 |
2911.2 |
2713.7 |
2437.6 |
2092.4 |
1690.2 |
1245.4 |
773.6 |
291.6 |
-183.9 |
-636.1 |
-1049.3 |
-1409.2 |
-1703.2 |
-1921.0 |
-2054.8 |
-2099.4 |
-2052.6 |
-1915.0 |
-1690.0 |
-1383.9 |
-1005.3 |
-565.2 |
-76.4 |
446.7 |
Import |
fM |
-1053.8 |
-1593.9 |
-1206.1 |
-738.4 |
-332.0 |
51.2 |
427.5 |
793.3 |
1140.4 |
1459.6 |
1742.3 |
1981.0 |
2168.9 |
2301.8 |
2376.6 |
2392.4 |
2349.7 |
2250.9 |
2100.0 |
1902.4 |
1664.9 |
1395.3 |
1102.2 |
795.0 |
483.3 |
176.8 |
-115.1 |
-383.3 |
-619.6 |
-816.7 |
-968.4 |
-1069.9 |
-1117.9 |
-1110.6 |
-1047.8 |
-931.1 |
GDP |
fY |
-717.5 |
-1010.6 |
-472.6 |
251.3 |
1031.9 |
1836.7 |
2630.9 |
3380.9 |
4059.3 |
4644.8 |
5121.5 |
5478.7 |
5709.5 |
5812.4 |
5789.6 |
5647.4 |
5395.3 |
5045.7 |
4613.6 |
4115.8 |
3570.6 |
2997.1 |
2414.8 |
1843.1 |
1300.7 |
804.8 |
371.4 |
14.2 |
-255.5 |
-428.7 |
-499.7 |
-465.5 |
-326.3 |
-85.3 |
251.5 |
675.3 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
-1.901 |
-2.384 |
-1.905 |
-1.121 |
-0.206 |
0.764 |
1.720 |
2.601 |
3.363 |
3.976 |
4.419 |
4.685 |
4.770 |
4.682 |
4.432 |
4.037 |
3.518 |
2.897 |
2.202 |
1.457 |
0.690 |
-0.075 |
-0.812 |
-1.500 |
-2.118 |
-2.651 |
-3.085 |
-3.410 |
-3.620 |
-3.713 |
-3.690 |
-3.555 |
-3.317 |
-2.985 |
-2.572 |
-2.094 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
1.003 |
1.181 |
0.906 |
0.512 |
0.062 |
-0.412 |
-0.877 |
-1.302 |
-1.668 |
-1.959 |
-2.168 |
-2.290 |
-2.324 |
-2.274 |
-2.145 |
-1.947 |
-1.689 |
-1.383 |
-1.042 |
-0.677 |
-0.303 |
0.068 |
0.426 |
0.758 |
1.056 |
1.312 |
1.519 |
1.672 |
1.770 |
1.810 |
1.794 |
1.724 |
1.603 |
1.438 |
1.234 |
0.998 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.020 |
-0.015 |
-0.015 |
-0.012 |
-0.005 |
0.005 |
0.015 |
0.026 |
0.035 |
0.043 |
0.050 |
0.054 |
0.057 |
0.058 |
0.057 |
0.055 |
0.052 |
0.047 |
0.041 |
0.035 |
0.028 |
0.021 |
0.014 |
0.007 |
0.000 |
-0.006 |
-0.011 |
-0.016 |
-0.020 |
-0.023 |
-0.025 |
-0.026 |
-0.026 |
-0.025 |
-0.023 |
-0.020 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.060 |
0.072 |
0.061 |
0.048 |
0.036 |
0.022 |
0.010 |
-0.002 |
-0.012 |
-0.020 |
-0.026 |
-0.031 |
-0.035 |
-0.038 |
-0.039 |
-0.040 |
-0.040 |
-0.039 |
-0.038 |
-0.036 |
-0.034 |
-0.032 |
-0.029 |
-0.025 |
-0.022 |
-0.018 |
-0.014 |
-0.010 |
-0.006 |
-0.002 |
0.002 |
0.006 |
0.009 |
0.012 |
0.014 |
0.016 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
0.040 |
0.057 |
0.045 |
0.036 |
0.031 |
0.027 |
0.025 |
0.024 |
0.024 |
0.024 |
0.024 |
0.023 |
0.022 |
0.020 |
0.018 |
0.015 |
0.012 |
0.008 |
0.003 |
-0.001 |
-0.006 |
-0.010 |
-0.014 |
-0.018 |
-0.021 |
-0.024 |
-0.025 |
-0.026 |
-0.026 |
-0.025 |
-0.023 |
-0.020 |
-0.017 |
-0.013 |
-0.009 |
-0.004 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
0.088 |
0.177 |
0.222 |
0.243 |
0.252 |
0.253 |
0.246 |
0.236 |
0.223 |
0.210 |
0.196 |
0.183 |
0.172 |
0.161 |
0.152 |
0.144 |
0.136 |
0.130 |
0.123 |
0.117 |
0.112 |
0.106 |
0.100 |
0.094 |
0.088 |
0.082 |
0.077 |
0.072 |
0.068 |
0.065 |
0.064 |
0.064 |
0.066 |
0.069 |
0.075 |
0.083 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.042 |
0.076 |
0.094 |
0.102 |
0.099 |
0.083 |
0.054 |
0.014 |
-0.036 |
-0.093 |
-0.155 |
-0.220 |
-0.284 |
-0.346 |
-0.404 |
-0.456 |
-0.500 |
-0.537 |
-0.564 |
-0.582 |
-0.590 |
-0.589 |
-0.579 |
-0.561 |
-0.535 |
-0.503 |
-0.466 |
-0.424 |
-0.380 |
-0.335 |
-0.290 |
-0.246 |
-0.204 |
-0.166 |
-0.133 |
-0.105 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.004 |
-0.034 |
-0.083 |
-0.125 |
-0.160 |
-0.189 |
-0.212 |
-0.227 |
-0.235 |
-0.236 |
-0.230 |
-0.218 |
-0.200 |
-0.177 |
-0.151 |
-0.121 |
-0.090 |
-0.059 |
-0.027 |
0.003 |
0.031 |
0.056 |
0.078 |
0.096 |
0.109 |
0.118 |
0.122 |
0.122 |
0.117 |
0.108 |
0.095 |
0.080 |
0.061 |
0.040 |
0.018 |
-0.004 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.040 |
-0.051 |
-0.063 |
-0.070 |
-0.074 |
-0.075 |
-0.074 |
-0.073 |
-0.071 |
-0.069 |
-0.067 |
-0.066 |
-0.065 |
-0.064 |
-0.064 |
-0.065 |
-0.066 |
-0.068 |
-0.070 |
-0.073 |
-0.075 |
-0.078 |
-0.081 |
-0.084 |
-0.087 |
-0.090 |
-0.092 |
-0.094 |
-0.095 |
-0.096 |
-0.097 |
-0.097 |
-0.097 |
-0.096 |
-0.095 |
-0.093 |
User cost |
uim |
-0.019 |
-0.035 |
-0.060 |
-0.078 |
-0.088 |
-0.093 |
-0.091 |
-0.083 |
-0.070 |
-0.053 |
-0.032 |
-0.008 |
0.018 |
0.045 |
0.072 |
0.098 |
0.121 |
0.143 |
0.161 |
0.175 |
0.185 |
0.191 |
0.192 |
0.190 |
0.183 |
0.173 |
0.159 |
0.143 |
0.124 |
0.104 |
0.083 |
0.062 |
0.041 |
0.022 |
0.004 |
-0.012 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.030 |
-0.071 |
-0.108 |
-0.133 |
-0.145 |
-0.142 |
-0.124 |
-0.091 |
-0.046 |
0.010 |
0.074 |
0.144 |
0.217 |
0.290 |
0.361 |
0.427 |
0.486 |
0.536 |
0.576 |
0.605 |
0.623 |
0.629 |
0.623 |
0.605 |
0.578 |
0.542 |
0.498 |
0.448 |
0.394 |
0.337 |
0.280 |
0.224 |
0.170 |
0.121 |
0.078 |
0.041 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.027 |
-0.050 |
-0.070 |
-0.087 |
-0.100 |
-0.107 |
-0.109 |
-0.106 |
-0.097 |
-0.083 |
-0.065 |
-0.043 |
-0.019 |
0.007 |
0.034 |
0.061 |
0.087 |
0.111 |
0.132 |
0.150 |
0.165 |
0.176 |
0.182 |
0.184 |
0.182 |
0.175 |
0.165 |
0.152 |
0.136 |
0.118 |
0.098 |
0.077 |
0.056 |
0.035 |
0.015 |
-0.003 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.031 |
-0.051 |
-0.068 |
-0.083 |
-0.093 |
-0.098 |
-0.100 |
-0.096 |
-0.089 |
-0.078 |
-0.064 |
-0.048 |
-0.030 |
-0.011 |
0.008 |
0.027 |
0.045 |
0.061 |
0.074 |
0.085 |
0.094 |
0.099 |
0.101 |
0.100 |
0.096 |
0.089 |
0.080 |
0.068 |
0.055 |
0.041 |
0.025 |
0.010 |
-0.005 |
-0.020 |
-0.034 |
-0.046 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
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|
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|
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|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
0.040 |
0.052 |
0.022 |
0.012 |
0.014 |
0.019 |
0.025 |
0.030 |
0.035 |
0.040 |
0.045 |
0.050 |
0.055 |
0.061 |
0.067 |
0.073 |
0.080 |
0.087 |
0.093 |
0.100 |
0.106 |
0.112 |
0.116 |
0.120 |
0.123 |
0.125 |
0.126 |
0.126 |
0.124 |
0.122 |
0.118 |
0.114 |
0.109 |
0.104 |
0.098 |
0.092 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.010 |
-0.016 |
-0.023 |
-0.026 |
-0.024 |
-0.017 |
-0.006 |
0.008 |
0.024 |
0.042 |
0.060 |
0.079 |
0.096 |
0.112 |
0.126 |
0.137 |
0.146 |
0.152 |
0.154 |
0.154 |
0.150 |
0.144 |
0.135 |
0.124 |
0.112 |
0.098 |
0.083 |
0.069 |
0.054 |
0.040 |
0.027 |
0.015 |
0.005 |
-0.003 |
-0.008 |
-0.012 |
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