|
|
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
2053 |
2054 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
146.2 |
-164.5 |
-498.3 |
-482.3 |
-324.5 |
-123.5 |
84.6 |
291.5 |
496.1 |
698.1 |
897.1 |
1092.4 |
1282.7 |
1467.0 |
1644.1 |
1812.9 |
1972.3 |
2121.5 |
2259.5 |
2385.9 |
2500.1 |
2601.7 |
2690.6 |
2766.8 |
2830.5 |
2882.0 |
2921.9 |
2950.9 |
2969.7 |
2979.4 |
2981.1 |
2975.8 |
2964.9 |
2949.6 |
2931.2 |
2911.1 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
-5.2 |
-20.6 |
-33.1 |
-55.1 |
-83.9 |
-115.3 |
-146.9 |
-177.5 |
-206.5 |
-233.8 |
-259.2 |
-282.7 |
-304.2 |
-323.9 |
-341.7 |
-357.8 |
-372.3 |
-385.3 |
-396.8 |
-407.1 |
-416.3 |
-424.4 |
-431.6 |
-438.1 |
-443.9 |
-449.2 |
-454.0 |
-458.6 |
-462.9 |
-467.2 |
-471.4 |
-475.6 |
-480.0 |
-484.6 |
-489.5 |
-494.7 |
Investment |
fI |
-1929.1 |
-2529.2 |
-1939.6 |
-1578.4 |
-1373.7 |
-1203.8 |
-1040.9 |
-885.2 |
-744.5 |
-622.8 |
-523.0 |
-445.9 |
-391.2 |
-358.0 |
-344.6 |
-349.0 |
-369.4 |
-403.8 |
-450.0 |
-506.2 |
-570.7 |
-641.7 |
-717.6 |
-797.2 |
-879.1 |
-962.1 |
-1045.2 |
-1127.4 |
-1207.9 |
-1286.0 |
-1361.0 |
-1432.5 |
-1499.8 |
-1562.8 |
-1621.0 |
-1674.4 |
Export |
fE |
383.1 |
667.5 |
995.3 |
1318.8 |
1639.5 |
1938.2 |
2212.3 |
2452.9 |
2656.0 |
2817.1 |
2934.3 |
3007.0 |
3036.2 |
3024.1 |
2973.8 |
2889.6 |
2776.2 |
2638.5 |
2481.9 |
2311.9 |
2133.7 |
1952.4 |
1772.7 |
1599.2 |
1435.6 |
1285.6 |
1151.8 |
1036.7 |
942.0 |
868.9 |
818.2 |
789.9 |
783.9 |
799.4 |
835.3 |
890.1 |
Import |
fM |
-1009.0 |
-1487.6 |
-1223.4 |
-916.6 |
-667.7 |
-449.0 |
-246.7 |
-60.0 |
110.0 |
261.6 |
393.6 |
505.3 |
596.3 |
667.0 |
718.0 |
750.3 |
765.3 |
764.2 |
748.8 |
720.7 |
681.7 |
633.5 |
577.9 |
516.6 |
451.3 |
383.6 |
315.0 |
246.8 |
180.3 |
116.7 |
56.9 |
1.9 |
-47.7 |
-91.3 |
-128.5 |
-158.9 |
GDP |
fY |
-473.5 |
-696.9 |
-386.8 |
-0.4 |
415.1 |
842.4 |
1261.2 |
1654.6 |
2011.4 |
2324.7 |
2590.5 |
2807.5 |
2976.0 |
3097.9 |
3176.1 |
3214.5 |
3217.3 |
3189.0 |
3134.4 |
3058.2 |
2965.1 |
2859.5 |
2745.6 |
2627.3 |
2508.2 |
2391.4 |
2279.9 |
2176.1 |
2082.0 |
1999.3 |
1929.4 |
1873.3 |
1831.7 |
1804.8 |
1792.8 |
1795.5 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
-1.342 |
-1.695 |
-1.508 |
-1.167 |
-0.743 |
-0.276 |
0.195 |
0.638 |
1.033 |
1.366 |
1.631 |
1.827 |
1.955 |
2.019 |
2.024 |
1.977 |
1.886 |
1.759 |
1.602 |
1.423 |
1.230 |
1.028 |
0.823 |
0.620 |
0.424 |
0.239 |
0.067 |
-0.090 |
-0.229 |
-0.350 |
-0.451 |
-0.533 |
-0.596 |
-0.640 |
-0.667 |
-0.678 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
0.708 |
0.840 |
0.725 |
0.553 |
0.344 |
0.114 |
-0.115 |
-0.329 |
-0.519 |
-0.678 |
-0.804 |
-0.897 |
-0.956 |
-0.984 |
-0.985 |
-0.960 |
-0.914 |
-0.850 |
-0.773 |
-0.685 |
-0.590 |
-0.491 |
-0.392 |
-0.293 |
-0.198 |
-0.108 |
-0.025 |
0.050 |
0.117 |
0.175 |
0.224 |
0.263 |
0.292 |
0.313 |
0.326 |
0.330 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.007 |
-0.011 |
-0.008 |
-0.002 |
0.006 |
0.017 |
0.028 |
0.040 |
0.051 |
0.060 |
0.068 |
0.075 |
0.080 |
0.083 |
0.085 |
0.086 |
0.085 |
0.084 |
0.083 |
0.080 |
0.077 |
0.074 |
0.071 |
0.068 |
0.065 |
0.062 |
0.059 |
0.056 |
0.054 |
0.052 |
0.050 |
0.049 |
0.048 |
0.047 |
0.046 |
0.046 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.043 |
0.063 |
0.058 |
0.050 |
0.043 |
0.033 |
0.023 |
0.013 |
0.004 |
-0.003 |
-0.009 |
-0.013 |
-0.016 |
-0.018 |
-0.020 |
-0.020 |
-0.020 |
-0.019 |
-0.018 |
-0.017 |
-0.015 |
-0.014 |
-0.012 |
-0.011 |
-0.009 |
-0.008 |
-0.006 |
-0.005 |
-0.003 |
-0.002 |
-0.001 |
0.000 |
0.001 |
0.002 |
0.003 |
0.004 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
0.037 |
0.053 |
0.050 |
0.048 |
0.049 |
0.050 |
0.051 |
0.053 |
0.055 |
0.058 |
0.060 |
0.062 |
0.063 |
0.065 |
0.065 |
0.066 |
0.066 |
0.065 |
0.064 |
0.063 |
0.062 |
0.060 |
0.059 |
0.057 |
0.055 |
0.054 |
0.053 |
0.051 |
0.050 |
0.049 |
0.049 |
0.049 |
0.049 |
0.049 |
0.049 |
0.050 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
0.068 |
0.149 |
0.204 |
0.248 |
0.287 |
0.324 |
0.357 |
0.389 |
0.420 |
0.451 |
0.482 |
0.514 |
0.546 |
0.577 |
0.609 |
0.641 |
0.672 |
0.703 |
0.732 |
0.761 |
0.788 |
0.814 |
0.839 |
0.863 |
0.885 |
0.906 |
0.926 |
0.945 |
0.963 |
0.980 |
0.997 |
1.014 |
1.030 |
1.047 |
1.064 |
1.081 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.028 |
0.054 |
0.068 |
0.072 |
0.067 |
0.050 |
0.021 |
-0.019 |
-0.069 |
-0.127 |
-0.191 |
-0.260 |
-0.330 |
-0.402 |
-0.472 |
-0.541 |
-0.606 |
-0.668 |
-0.726 |
-0.779 |
-0.827 |
-0.869 |
-0.907 |
-0.940 |
-0.968 |
-0.992 |
-1.012 |
-1.029 |
-1.042 |
-1.053 |
-1.061 |
-1.068 |
-1.073 |
-1.077 |
-1.081 |
-1.084 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.012 |
-0.042 |
-0.080 |
-0.111 |
-0.137 |
-0.160 |
-0.178 |
-0.192 |
-0.202 |
-0.207 |
-0.208 |
-0.206 |
-0.201 |
-0.194 |
-0.184 |
-0.174 |
-0.162 |
-0.150 |
-0.138 |
-0.126 |
-0.114 |
-0.103 |
-0.092 |
-0.082 |
-0.074 |
-0.066 |
-0.060 |
-0.055 |
-0.051 |
-0.048 |
-0.046 |
-0.045 |
-0.044 |
-0.045 |
-0.047 |
-0.049 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.032 |
-0.041 |
-0.054 |
-0.062 |
-0.067 |
-0.070 |
-0.073 |
-0.074 |
-0.075 |
-0.075 |
-0.074 |
-0.074 |
-0.073 |
-0.072 |
-0.072 |
-0.071 |
-0.070 |
-0.070 |
-0.070 |
-0.070 |
-0.070 |
-0.070 |
-0.070 |
-0.070 |
-0.070 |
-0.071 |
-0.071 |
-0.071 |
-0.072 |
-0.072 |
-0.073 |
-0.073 |
-0.073 |
-0.074 |
-0.074 |
-0.074 |
User cost |
uim |
-0.010 |
-0.013 |
-0.028 |
-0.043 |
-0.055 |
-0.064 |
-0.071 |
-0.074 |
-0.074 |
-0.072 |
-0.068 |
-0.062 |
-0.054 |
-0.045 |
-0.036 |
-0.025 |
-0.015 |
-0.005 |
0.005 |
0.015 |
0.024 |
0.032 |
0.039 |
0.045 |
0.050 |
0.054 |
0.057 |
0.059 |
0.060 |
0.060 |
0.059 |
0.058 |
0.056 |
0.054 |
0.051 |
0.048 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.025 |
-0.055 |
-0.084 |
-0.108 |
-0.125 |
-0.135 |
-0.138 |
-0.133 |
-0.122 |
-0.104 |
-0.082 |
-0.057 |
-0.028 |
0.002 |
0.032 |
0.063 |
0.093 |
0.121 |
0.147 |
0.171 |
0.191 |
0.209 |
0.224 |
0.236 |
0.244 |
0.250 |
0.253 |
0.253 |
0.251 |
0.247 |
0.242 |
0.234 |
0.226 |
0.217 |
0.207 |
0.197 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.025 |
-0.045 |
-0.064 |
-0.080 |
-0.094 |
-0.105 |
-0.113 |
-0.118 |
-0.121 |
-0.120 |
-0.117 |
-0.112 |
-0.105 |
-0.096 |
-0.087 |
-0.076 |
-0.065 |
-0.054 |
-0.044 |
-0.033 |
-0.023 |
-0.014 |
-0.006 |
0.002 |
0.008 |
0.013 |
0.017 |
0.021 |
0.023 |
0.024 |
0.024 |
0.023 |
0.022 |
0.020 |
0.017 |
0.014 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.030 |
-0.047 |
-0.063 |
-0.077 |
-0.088 |
-0.096 |
-0.102 |
-0.106 |
-0.107 |
-0.106 |
-0.103 |
-0.098 |
-0.093 |
-0.086 |
-0.078 |
-0.071 |
-0.063 |
-0.055 |
-0.047 |
-0.040 |
-0.033 |
-0.027 |
-0.022 |
-0.018 |
-0.014 |
-0.011 |
-0.009 |
-0.007 |
-0.007 |
-0.007 |
-0.008 |
-0.009 |
-0.010 |
-0.012 |
-0.015 |
-0.017 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
0.051 |
0.054 |
0.022 |
0.011 |
0.012 |
0.017 |
0.023 |
0.028 |
0.033 |
0.037 |
0.041 |
0.044 |
0.047 |
0.050 |
0.052 |
0.055 |
0.057 |
0.059 |
0.061 |
0.063 |
0.064 |
0.066 |
0.068 |
0.069 |
0.071 |
0.072 |
0.073 |
0.074 |
0.075 |
0.075 |
0.076 |
0.076 |
0.076 |
0.076 |
0.076 |
0.075 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.005 |
-0.007 |
-0.013 |
-0.016 |
-0.016 |
-0.014 |
-0.010 |
-0.004 |
0.004 |
0.012 |
0.021 |
0.030 |
0.039 |
0.048 |
0.056 |
0.063 |
0.069 |
0.075 |
0.079 |
0.083 |
0.085 |
0.087 |
0.087 |
0.087 |
0.087 |
0.085 |
0.083 |
0.081 |
0.078 |
0.075 |
0.072 |
0.069 |
0.066 |
0.063 |
0.060 |
0.057 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
|
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|