|
|
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
2053 |
2054 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
755.9 |
1507.5 |
2176.1 |
2728.6 |
3284.4 |
3863.8 |
4478.8 |
5135.3 |
5833.8 |
6568.9 |
7330.9 |
8106.5 |
8877.9 |
9628.6 |
10340.9 |
10997.2 |
11581.3 |
12078.6 |
12476.9 |
12767.2 |
12943.7 |
13004.2 |
12950.1 |
12786.6 |
12522.6 |
12170.0 |
11743.9 |
11261.8 |
10743.3 |
10209.2 |
9681.2 |
9181.2 |
8730.4 |
8348.9 |
8054.9 |
7864.5 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
3100.6 |
3354.2 |
3823.9 |
4439.6 |
5120.5 |
5806.6 |
6460.9 |
7057.7 |
7579.0 |
8013.0 |
8352.7 |
8595.2 |
8741.2 |
8794.3 |
8761.2 |
8650.3 |
8472.3 |
8239.2 |
7963.9 |
7660.1 |
7341.8 |
7022.9 |
6716.9 |
6436.4 |
6193.0 |
5997.2 |
5857.5 |
5781.0 |
5772.7 |
5835.8 |
5971.3 |
6178.0 |
6453.1 |
6791.4 |
7186.4 |
7629.6 |
Investment |
fI |
1462.2 |
3151.6 |
4262.2 |
5339.2 |
6294.8 |
7119.2 |
7792.7 |
8335.2 |
8751.8 |
9053.1 |
9245.5 |
9336.7 |
9332.6 |
9239.8 |
9065.6 |
8817.7 |
8504.6 |
8135.5 |
7720.5 |
7270.6 |
6797.3 |
6312.9 |
5830.0 |
5361.5 |
4920.0 |
4517.7 |
4166.4 |
3876.4 |
3657.2 |
3516.3 |
3459.7 |
3491.1 |
3612.1 |
3822.0 |
4117.6 |
4493.6 |
Export |
fE |
2851.1 |
4672.7 |
6620.9 |
8506.9 |
10383.6 |
12140.5 |
13736.8 |
15114.3 |
16243.8 |
17100.8 |
17677.0 |
17973.3 |
18002.1 |
17784.4 |
17348.9 |
16730.8 |
15969.5 |
15107.7 |
14189.6 |
13259.6 |
12360.5 |
11532.7 |
10812.7 |
10232.6 |
9818.8 |
9591.9 |
9565.8 |
9747.9 |
10138.9 |
10732.9 |
11517.5 |
12475.0 |
13582.2 |
14811.5 |
16131.8 |
17509.5 |
Import |
fM |
1320.1 |
2640.5 |
3884.8 |
5060.9 |
6252.0 |
7408.6 |
8509.9 |
9539.1 |
10481.1 |
11320.9 |
12046.2 |
12646.8 |
13114.5 |
13445.7 |
13640.3 |
13701.1 |
13634.7 |
13450.8 |
13162.0 |
12783.6 |
12333.2 |
11830.0 |
11294.7 |
10748.3 |
10212.4 |
9707.9 |
9254.5 |
8870.9 |
8573.3 |
8375.6 |
8288.9 |
8320.9 |
8476.2 |
8755.8 |
9157.1 |
9674.1 |
GDP |
fY |
6740.6 |
9689.1 |
12520.1 |
15498.6 |
18402.3 |
21105.5 |
23552.7 |
25705.2 |
27538.1 |
29036.2 |
30194.2 |
31015.3 |
31508.8 |
31692.8 |
31591.8 |
31235.7 |
30659.1 |
29900.5 |
29001.0 |
28004.0 |
26953.4 |
25893.3 |
24866.6 |
23914.1 |
23073.9 |
22380.3 |
21862.9 |
21546.6 |
21450.2 |
21586.7 |
21962.5 |
22577.8 |
23426.1 |
24494.6 |
25764.5 |
27211.8 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
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|
|
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|
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|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
-10.028 |
-8.552 |
-6.138 |
-3.123 |
0.065 |
3.106 |
5.828 |
8.130 |
9.949 |
11.260 |
12.059 |
12.364 |
12.205 |
11.627 |
10.683 |
9.430 |
7.933 |
6.257 |
4.466 |
2.625 |
0.793 |
-0.974 |
-2.623 |
-4.112 |
-5.404 |
-6.468 |
-7.284 |
-7.838 |
-8.125 |
-8.148 |
-7.916 |
-7.446 |
-6.762 |
-5.891 |
-4.866 |
-3.723 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
5.293 |
4.106 |
2.880 |
1.393 |
-0.165 |
-1.638 |
-2.949 |
-4.050 |
-4.915 |
-5.531 |
-5.898 |
-6.026 |
-5.929 |
-5.631 |
-5.156 |
-4.534 |
-3.796 |
-2.973 |
-2.097 |
-1.199 |
-0.309 |
0.547 |
1.345 |
2.062 |
2.682 |
3.190 |
3.577 |
3.835 |
3.964 |
3.964 |
3.840 |
3.602 |
3.260 |
2.829 |
2.324 |
1.763 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.125 |
-0.132 |
-0.075 |
-0.030 |
0.010 |
0.044 |
0.073 |
0.095 |
0.112 |
0.124 |
0.130 |
0.132 |
0.130 |
0.125 |
0.116 |
0.105 |
0.093 |
0.078 |
0.063 |
0.047 |
0.031 |
0.015 |
0.000 |
-0.014 |
-0.027 |
-0.039 |
-0.049 |
-0.056 |
-0.062 |
-0.065 |
-0.067 |
-0.066 |
-0.063 |
-0.058 |
-0.051 |
-0.043 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.032 |
0.001 |
-0.070 |
-0.115 |
-0.144 |
-0.162 |
-0.171 |
-0.173 |
-0.169 |
-0.161 |
-0.151 |
-0.139 |
-0.127 |
-0.116 |
-0.104 |
-0.094 |
-0.084 |
-0.076 |
-0.068 |
-0.060 |
-0.053 |
-0.046 |
-0.039 |
-0.033 |
-0.026 |
-0.019 |
-0.013 |
-0.006 |
0.001 |
0.007 |
0.013 |
0.018 |
0.023 |
0.027 |
0.030 |
0.032 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.093 |
-0.131 |
-0.145 |
-0.144 |
-0.134 |
-0.118 |
-0.098 |
-0.077 |
-0.056 |
-0.037 |
-0.021 |
-0.007 |
0.003 |
0.009 |
0.012 |
0.011 |
0.008 |
0.003 |
-0.005 |
-0.013 |
-0.022 |
-0.031 |
-0.040 |
-0.047 |
-0.054 |
-0.058 |
-0.061 |
-0.062 |
-0.061 |
-0.058 |
-0.054 |
-0.047 |
-0.039 |
-0.030 |
-0.021 |
-0.010 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
-0.062 |
-0.181 |
-0.326 |
-0.477 |
-0.624 |
-0.760 |
-0.877 |
-0.974 |
-1.049 |
-1.103 |
-1.137 |
-1.153 |
-1.153 |
-1.141 |
-1.118 |
-1.088 |
-1.051 |
-1.012 |
-0.971 |
-0.929 |
-0.889 |
-0.849 |
-0.812 |
-0.776 |
-0.742 |
-0.710 |
-0.679 |
-0.648 |
-0.616 |
-0.584 |
-0.550 |
-0.513 |
-0.474 |
-0.432 |
-0.387 |
-0.338 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.199 |
0.324 |
0.381 |
0.383 |
0.339 |
0.256 |
0.143 |
0.007 |
-0.143 |
-0.301 |
-0.459 |
-0.614 |
-0.759 |
-0.890 |
-1.005 |
-1.102 |
-1.177 |
-1.231 |
-1.263 |
-1.273 |
-1.262 |
-1.232 |
-1.184 |
-1.119 |
-1.042 |
-0.953 |
-0.856 |
-0.755 |
-0.651 |
-0.548 |
-0.448 |
-0.354 |
-0.269 |
-0.194 |
-0.131 |
-0.082 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
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|
|
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|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.320 |
-0.431 |
-0.516 |
-0.590 |
-0.647 |
-0.684 |
-0.701 |
-0.701 |
-0.684 |
-0.653 |
-0.608 |
-0.553 |
-0.488 |
-0.417 |
-0.342 |
-0.264 |
-0.186 |
-0.109 |
-0.036 |
0.031 |
0.092 |
0.144 |
0.188 |
0.221 |
0.245 |
0.257 |
0.260 |
0.252 |
0.235 |
0.210 |
0.177 |
0.138 |
0.095 |
0.048 |
-0.001 |
-0.050 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.688 |
-0.784 |
-0.836 |
-0.866 |
-0.881 |
-0.887 |
-0.887 |
-0.884 |
-0.880 |
-0.875 |
-0.871 |
-0.868 |
-0.867 |
-0.867 |
-0.868 |
-0.871 |
-0.875 |
-0.880 |
-0.886 |
-0.892 |
-0.899 |
-0.906 |
-0.914 |
-0.920 |
-0.927 |
-0.932 |
-0.937 |
-0.941 |
-0.944 |
-0.945 |
-0.946 |
-0.946 |
-0.945 |
-0.942 |
-0.939 |
-0.936 |
User cost |
uim |
-0.392 |
-0.464 |
-0.519 |
-0.558 |
-0.579 |
-0.583 |
-0.570 |
-0.542 |
-0.501 |
-0.449 |
-0.389 |
-0.324 |
-0.256 |
-0.188 |
-0.122 |
-0.060 |
-0.004 |
0.044 |
0.084 |
0.114 |
0.133 |
0.143 |
0.143 |
0.133 |
0.114 |
0.087 |
0.054 |
0.015 |
-0.027 |
-0.072 |
-0.117 |
-0.162 |
-0.205 |
-0.245 |
-0.280 |
-0.310 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.252 |
-0.410 |
-0.525 |
-0.599 |
-0.624 |
-0.601 |
-0.535 |
-0.430 |
-0.293 |
-0.132 |
0.045 |
0.232 |
0.420 |
0.604 |
0.777 |
0.933 |
1.069 |
1.181 |
1.266 |
1.323 |
1.351 |
1.352 |
1.326 |
1.276 |
1.203 |
1.112 |
1.006 |
0.890 |
0.766 |
0.640 |
0.516 |
0.397 |
0.286 |
0.187 |
0.103 |
0.036 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.354 |
-0.444 |
-0.509 |
-0.560 |
-0.596 |
-0.615 |
-0.617 |
-0.604 |
-0.577 |
-0.537 |
-0.489 |
-0.432 |
-0.371 |
-0.307 |
-0.242 |
-0.180 |
-0.121 |
-0.068 |
-0.021 |
0.017 |
0.046 |
0.065 |
0.074 |
0.074 |
0.065 |
0.047 |
0.021 |
-0.012 |
-0.050 |
-0.092 |
-0.136 |
-0.181 |
-0.226 |
-0.270 |
-0.310 |
-0.346 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.276 |
-0.334 |
-0.380 |
-0.416 |
-0.438 |
-0.448 |
-0.444 |
-0.430 |
-0.405 |
-0.371 |
-0.331 |
-0.286 |
-0.238 |
-0.190 |
-0.142 |
-0.096 |
-0.054 |
-0.018 |
0.013 |
0.037 |
0.054 |
0.063 |
0.065 |
0.060 |
0.048 |
0.030 |
0.007 |
-0.020 |
-0.050 |
-0.083 |
-0.116 |
-0.150 |
-0.182 |
-0.212 |
-0.239 |
-0.263 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
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|
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|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
-0.050 |
-0.067 |
-0.024 |
-0.009 |
-0.006 |
-0.008 |
-0.014 |
-0.022 |
-0.030 |
-0.038 |
-0.045 |
-0.049 |
-0.050 |
-0.049 |
-0.045 |
-0.039 |
-0.030 |
-0.020 |
-0.009 |
0.002 |
0.014 |
0.024 |
0.034 |
0.042 |
0.048 |
0.052 |
0.053 |
0.053 |
0.050 |
0.044 |
0.037 |
0.028 |
0.018 |
0.006 |
-0.005 |
-0.018 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.154 |
-0.233 |
-0.272 |
-0.284 |
-0.277 |
-0.255 |
-0.222 |
-0.181 |
-0.135 |
-0.086 |
-0.038 |
0.009 |
0.052 |
0.090 |
0.122 |
0.147 |
0.165 |
0.175 |
0.178 |
0.173 |
0.161 |
0.144 |
0.121 |
0.094 |
0.064 |
0.032 |
-0.001 |
-0.034 |
-0.066 |
-0.096 |
-0.123 |
-0.146 |
-0.165 |
-0.179 |
-0.189 |
-0.193 |
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