|
|
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
2053 |
2054 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
916.1 |
1790.6 |
2513.6 |
3063.6 |
3543.3 |
3979.0 |
4387.0 |
4778.7 |
5163.2 |
5546.5 |
5932.4 |
6322.5 |
6716.1 |
7112.4 |
7509.5 |
7904.3 |
8293.4 |
8673.1 |
9039.3 |
9388.2 |
9716.3 |
10020.3 |
10297.6 |
10546.2 |
10764.7 |
10952.5 |
11109.7 |
11237.1 |
11336.4 |
11409.6 |
11459.8 |
11490.1 |
11504.4 |
11506.7 |
11501.4 |
11493.1 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
4851.3 |
4864.4 |
4886.8 |
4916.8 |
4953.5 |
4996.2 |
5044.6 |
5098.4 |
5157.2 |
5220.8 |
5288.7 |
5360.7 |
5436.6 |
5516.1 |
5599.0 |
5685.2 |
5774.5 |
5866.7 |
5961.7 |
6059.4 |
6159.7 |
6262.5 |
6367.7 |
6475.1 |
6584.7 |
6696.2 |
6809.7 |
6924.8 |
7041.5 |
7159.6 |
7279.0 |
7399.5 |
7520.9 |
7643.2 |
7766.1 |
7889.6 |
Investment |
fI |
1437.3 |
2827.4 |
3619.8 |
4413.8 |
5077.1 |
5627.0 |
6052.7 |
6377.6 |
6612.1 |
6772.3 |
6869.7 |
6916.4 |
6921.7 |
6893.9 |
6840.3 |
6766.6 |
6677.6 |
6577.3 |
6468.9 |
6354.8 |
6237.5 |
6118.6 |
6000.0 |
5883.3 |
5769.9 |
5661.4 |
5559.4 |
5465.4 |
5380.9 |
5307.6 |
5247.0 |
5200.4 |
5169.3 |
5154.9 |
5158.3 |
5180.1 |
Export |
fE |
2770.7 |
4560.9 |
6441.1 |
8244.0 |
10037.2 |
11732.5 |
13309.2 |
14727.7 |
15973.0 |
17030.0 |
17894.4 |
18566.1 |
19051.2 |
19359.3 |
19504.3 |
19502.3 |
19371.7 |
19132.3 |
18804.7 |
18409.6 |
17967.6 |
17498.6 |
17021.4 |
16553.5 |
16110.9 |
15708.0 |
15356.9 |
15068.2 |
14850.3 |
14709.5 |
14650.4 |
14675.5 |
14785.3 |
14978.9 |
15253.7 |
15605.6 |
Import |
fM |
1639.4 |
2916.4 |
3986.8 |
4947.3 |
5869.6 |
6730.1 |
7525.4 |
8253.5 |
8914.5 |
9507.7 |
10033.6 |
10493.3 |
10887.6 |
11219.0 |
11490.2 |
11704.5 |
11865.7 |
11977.8 |
12045.5 |
12073.6 |
12067.2 |
12031.6 |
11972.4 |
11895.1 |
11805.2 |
11708.3 |
11609.7 |
11514.6 |
11428.0 |
11354.3 |
11297.9 |
11262.6 |
11251.6 |
11267.8 |
11313.4 |
11390.2 |
GDP |
fY |
8193.6 |
10740.0 |
12970.2 |
15210.6 |
17287.2 |
19163.5 |
20834.8 |
22300.2 |
23564.8 |
24636.8 |
25527.4 |
26249.6 |
26817.4 |
27246.0 |
27551.4 |
27749.3 |
27855.4 |
27885.1 |
27853.1 |
27773.6 |
27660.0 |
27525.0 |
27380.5 |
27237.5 |
27106.0 |
26995.4 |
26913.9 |
26868.9 |
26866.7 |
26912.8 |
27011.6 |
27166.6 |
27380.3 |
27654.3 |
27989.1 |
28384.4 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
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|
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|
|
Employment |
Q |
-7.087 |
-6.199 |
-4.728 |
-2.890 |
-0.978 |
0.831 |
2.453 |
3.842 |
4.975 |
5.850 |
6.473 |
6.861 |
7.034 |
7.013 |
6.825 |
6.495 |
6.047 |
5.507 |
4.896 |
4.237 |
3.549 |
2.850 |
2.156 |
1.481 |
0.836 |
0.233 |
-0.320 |
-0.817 |
-1.253 |
-1.625 |
-1.931 |
-2.170 |
-2.343 |
-2.453 |
-2.502 |
-2.493 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
3.740 |
2.983 |
2.235 |
1.329 |
0.396 |
-0.480 |
-1.261 |
-1.926 |
-2.467 |
-2.882 |
-3.174 |
-3.353 |
-3.428 |
-3.410 |
-3.312 |
-3.145 |
-2.922 |
-2.656 |
-2.356 |
-2.033 |
-1.697 |
-1.357 |
-1.019 |
-0.692 |
-0.380 |
-0.088 |
0.179 |
0.418 |
0.628 |
0.806 |
0.952 |
1.065 |
1.147 |
1.198 |
1.219 |
1.212 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.158 |
-0.143 |
-0.073 |
-0.017 |
0.033 |
0.077 |
0.114 |
0.144 |
0.168 |
0.185 |
0.196 |
0.203 |
0.205 |
0.204 |
0.200 |
0.193 |
0.185 |
0.175 |
0.164 |
0.153 |
0.141 |
0.129 |
0.117 |
0.106 |
0.095 |
0.085 |
0.075 |
0.067 |
0.059 |
0.053 |
0.048 |
0.043 |
0.040 |
0.039 |
0.038 |
0.038 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.046 |
0.004 |
-0.068 |
-0.114 |
-0.145 |
-0.166 |
-0.176 |
-0.178 |
-0.174 |
-0.165 |
-0.154 |
-0.140 |
-0.125 |
-0.110 |
-0.095 |
-0.081 |
-0.068 |
-0.057 |
-0.047 |
-0.038 |
-0.030 |
-0.024 |
-0.019 |
-0.014 |
-0.011 |
-0.008 |
-0.006 |
-0.004 |
-0.002 |
-0.001 |
0.000 |
0.001 |
0.001 |
0.002 |
0.003 |
0.003 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.112 |
-0.139 |
-0.141 |
-0.131 |
-0.112 |
-0.088 |
-0.061 |
-0.034 |
-0.006 |
0.019 |
0.043 |
0.063 |
0.080 |
0.094 |
0.105 |
0.112 |
0.117 |
0.118 |
0.118 |
0.115 |
0.111 |
0.105 |
0.099 |
0.091 |
0.084 |
0.077 |
0.070 |
0.063 |
0.057 |
0.052 |
0.047 |
0.044 |
0.042 |
0.041 |
0.040 |
0.041 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
-0.123 |
-0.253 |
-0.385 |
-0.505 |
-0.606 |
-0.684 |
-0.735 |
-0.759 |
-0.758 |
-0.732 |
-0.684 |
-0.618 |
-0.537 |
-0.442 |
-0.339 |
-0.230 |
-0.117 |
-0.002 |
0.111 |
0.221 |
0.327 |
0.427 |
0.522 |
0.610 |
0.691 |
0.766 |
0.834 |
0.896 |
0.953 |
1.005 |
1.053 |
1.097 |
1.139 |
1.179 |
1.219 |
1.258 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.189 |
0.321 |
0.381 |
0.381 |
0.330 |
0.236 |
0.107 |
-0.048 |
-0.222 |
-0.407 |
-0.598 |
-0.789 |
-0.976 |
-1.154 |
-1.322 |
-1.477 |
-1.617 |
-1.742 |
-1.851 |
-1.944 |
-2.021 |
-2.082 |
-2.128 |
-2.160 |
-2.180 |
-2.188 |
-2.185 |
-2.174 |
-2.155 |
-2.129 |
-2.099 |
-2.065 |
-2.029 |
-1.992 |
-1.956 |
-1.920 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.378 |
-0.475 |
-0.541 |
-0.595 |
-0.633 |
-0.656 |
-0.665 |
-0.662 |
-0.650 |
-0.629 |
-0.603 |
-0.571 |
-0.535 |
-0.497 |
-0.457 |
-0.416 |
-0.375 |
-0.334 |
-0.295 |
-0.258 |
-0.222 |
-0.189 |
-0.159 |
-0.132 |
-0.108 |
-0.087 |
-0.070 |
-0.056 |
-0.045 |
-0.037 |
-0.033 |
-0.032 |
-0.033 |
-0.037 |
-0.043 |
-0.051 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.644 |
-0.742 |
-0.800 |
-0.839 |
-0.865 |
-0.881 |
-0.891 |
-0.897 |
-0.900 |
-0.901 |
-0.900 |
-0.899 |
-0.898 |
-0.896 |
-0.894 |
-0.892 |
-0.891 |
-0.889 |
-0.888 |
-0.888 |
-0.887 |
-0.887 |
-0.887 |
-0.887 |
-0.887 |
-0.888 |
-0.889 |
-0.889 |
-0.890 |
-0.891 |
-0.892 |
-0.893 |
-0.894 |
-0.895 |
-0.896 |
-0.897 |
User cost |
uim |
-0.374 |
-0.432 |
-0.478 |
-0.517 |
-0.545 |
-0.563 |
-0.570 |
-0.569 |
-0.559 |
-0.542 |
-0.518 |
-0.491 |
-0.459 |
-0.425 |
-0.390 |
-0.355 |
-0.320 |
-0.286 |
-0.254 |
-0.224 |
-0.197 |
-0.173 |
-0.153 |
-0.136 |
-0.122 |
-0.112 |
-0.105 |
-0.102 |
-0.101 |
-0.104 |
-0.108 |
-0.115 |
-0.124 |
-0.134 |
-0.146 |
-0.158 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.225 |
-0.341 |
-0.429 |
-0.493 |
-0.527 |
-0.532 |
-0.510 |
-0.465 |
-0.401 |
-0.321 |
-0.229 |
-0.129 |
-0.024 |
0.083 |
0.189 |
0.291 |
0.388 |
0.478 |
0.559 |
0.631 |
0.693 |
0.744 |
0.785 |
0.815 |
0.835 |
0.845 |
0.846 |
0.839 |
0.825 |
0.804 |
0.778 |
0.747 |
0.713 |
0.677 |
0.639 |
0.601 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.345 |
-0.423 |
-0.478 |
-0.526 |
-0.562 |
-0.587 |
-0.602 |
-0.606 |
-0.601 |
-0.589 |
-0.570 |
-0.545 |
-0.515 |
-0.483 |
-0.448 |
-0.412 |
-0.376 |
-0.340 |
-0.306 |
-0.274 |
-0.244 |
-0.217 |
-0.193 |
-0.172 |
-0.155 |
-0.141 |
-0.132 |
-0.125 |
-0.122 |
-0.122 |
-0.125 |
-0.131 |
-0.138 |
-0.148 |
-0.159 |
-0.171 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.269 |
-0.318 |
-0.357 |
-0.390 |
-0.414 |
-0.428 |
-0.435 |
-0.434 |
-0.426 |
-0.413 |
-0.395 |
-0.373 |
-0.349 |
-0.322 |
-0.295 |
-0.267 |
-0.239 |
-0.213 |
-0.188 |
-0.165 |
-0.144 |
-0.126 |
-0.110 |
-0.097 |
-0.087 |
-0.080 |
-0.075 |
-0.073 |
-0.073 |
-0.075 |
-0.080 |
-0.086 |
-0.093 |
-0.101 |
-0.111 |
-0.121 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
-0.071 |
-0.077 |
-0.024 |
-0.002 |
0.008 |
0.013 |
0.013 |
0.009 |
0.003 |
-0.005 |
-0.014 |
-0.023 |
-0.031 |
-0.038 |
-0.044 |
-0.048 |
-0.051 |
-0.052 |
-0.052 |
-0.050 |
-0.047 |
-0.044 |
-0.040 |
-0.035 |
-0.030 |
-0.025 |
-0.021 |
-0.016 |
-0.012 |
-0.008 |
-0.005 |
-0.003 |
-0.001 |
0.000 |
0.001 |
0.001 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.127 |
-0.195 |
-0.229 |
-0.244 |
-0.244 |
-0.235 |
-0.218 |
-0.196 |
-0.171 |
-0.143 |
-0.114 |
-0.086 |
-0.058 |
-0.032 |
-0.008 |
0.013 |
0.031 |
0.047 |
0.059 |
0.069 |
0.075 |
0.078 |
0.079 |
0.078 |
0.074 |
0.068 |
0.061 |
0.052 |
0.043 |
0.032 |
0.021 |
0.010 |
0.000 |
-0.011 |
-0.021 |
-0.031 |
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