|
|
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
2053 |
2054 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
916.1 |
1752.9 |
2382.0 |
2784.7 |
3079.2 |
3296.7 |
3457.5 |
3576.3 |
3666.4 |
3738.1 |
3800.0 |
3858.5 |
3918.8 |
3984.7 |
4059.1 |
4143.8 |
4239.4 |
4346.3 |
4463.8 |
4591.0 |
4726.8 |
4869.7 |
5018.0 |
5170.3 |
5324.9 |
5480.3 |
5635.2 |
5788.4 |
5939.0 |
6086.0 |
6229.0 |
6367.5 |
6501.3 |
6630.4 |
6755.0 |
6875.4 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
4851.3 |
4869.7 |
4900.7 |
4942.3 |
4992.7 |
5050.6 |
5115.1 |
5185.4 |
5260.7 |
5340.3 |
5423.4 |
5509.6 |
5598.2 |
5688.8 |
5781.0 |
5874.6 |
5969.3 |
6064.9 |
6161.5 |
6258.8 |
6357.0 |
6456.0 |
6555.9 |
6656.7 |
6758.6 |
6861.6 |
6965.8 |
7071.3 |
7178.1 |
7286.4 |
7396.1 |
7507.4 |
7620.3 |
7734.9 |
7851.0 |
7968.9 |
Investment |
fI |
1437.3 |
2683.9 |
3252.4 |
3836.4 |
4286.4 |
4620.7 |
4833.4 |
4955.6 |
5002.4 |
4994.7 |
4947.3 |
4874.7 |
4788.0 |
4696.4 |
4607.0 |
4525.0 |
4454.0 |
4396.1 |
4352.4 |
4323.0 |
4307.4 |
4304.7 |
4313.6 |
4332.7 |
4360.5 |
4395.6 |
4436.4 |
4481.9 |
4531.0 |
4582.7 |
4636.4 |
4691.5 |
4747.8 |
4805.0 |
4863.1 |
4922.0 |
Export |
fE |
2770.7 |
4079.5 |
5433.6 |
6687.2 |
7928.7 |
9087.4 |
10167.0 |
11145.5 |
12024.2 |
12799.2 |
13474.5 |
14054.0 |
14544.7 |
14953.7 |
15289.6 |
15561.0 |
15776.5 |
15944.7 |
16073.9 |
16171.7 |
16245.5 |
16301.9 |
16347.0 |
16386.0 |
16423.8 |
16464.5 |
16511.9 |
16568.8 |
16637.9 |
16721.2 |
16820.4 |
16936.8 |
17071.1 |
17224.1 |
17395.9 |
17586.5 |
Import |
fM |
1639.4 |
2604.0 |
3277.8 |
3831.6 |
4331.3 |
4757.2 |
5118.4 |
5423.2 |
5681.3 |
5899.9 |
6086.3 |
6246.2 |
6384.9 |
6506.9 |
6616.1 |
6715.5 |
6807.5 |
6894.2 |
6977.1 |
7057.3 |
7135.8 |
7213.2 |
7289.9 |
7366.4 |
7443.0 |
7520.0 |
7597.6 |
7676.0 |
7755.6 |
7836.5 |
7919.3 |
8004.0 |
8091.3 |
8181.3 |
8274.5 |
8371.2 |
GDP |
fY |
8193.6 |
10394.9 |
12182.7 |
13932.3 |
15492.3 |
16844.3 |
18004.3 |
18988.6 |
19817.7 |
20511.4 |
21090.2 |
21573.2 |
21978.3 |
22321.7 |
22617.6 |
22878.6 |
23115.2 |
23336.0 |
23548.2 |
23757.6 |
23968.6 |
24184.7 |
24408.3 |
24641.5 |
24885.4 |
25141.1 |
25409.0 |
25689.5 |
25982.8 |
26289.1 |
26608.3 |
26940.4 |
27285.5 |
27643.6 |
28014.7 |
28398.7 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
-7.087 |
-6.516 |
-5.498 |
-4.173 |
-2.807 |
-1.544 |
-0.441 |
0.480 |
1.217 |
1.780 |
2.185 |
2.454 |
2.606 |
2.663 |
2.643 |
2.564 |
2.439 |
2.283 |
2.106 |
1.915 |
1.719 |
1.522 |
1.329 |
1.142 |
0.965 |
0.798 |
0.643 |
0.500 |
0.369 |
0.252 |
0.146 |
0.054 |
-0.027 |
-0.097 |
-0.155 |
-0.203 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
3.740 |
3.151 |
2.628 |
1.974 |
1.308 |
0.698 |
0.168 |
-0.272 |
-0.623 |
-0.889 |
-1.080 |
-1.205 |
-1.274 |
-1.298 |
-1.285 |
-1.244 |
-1.181 |
-1.104 |
-1.017 |
-0.923 |
-0.828 |
-0.732 |
-0.638 |
-0.548 |
-0.462 |
-0.381 |
-0.306 |
-0.237 |
-0.174 |
-0.117 |
-0.067 |
-0.022 |
0.017 |
0.050 |
0.078 |
0.101 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.158 |
-0.149 |
-0.089 |
-0.046 |
-0.008 |
0.023 |
0.047 |
0.065 |
0.078 |
0.085 |
0.089 |
0.091 |
0.089 |
0.087 |
0.083 |
0.079 |
0.074 |
0.069 |
0.065 |
0.061 |
0.057 |
0.053 |
0.050 |
0.048 |
0.045 |
0.044 |
0.042 |
0.041 |
0.040 |
0.039 |
0.038 |
0.038 |
0.038 |
0.038 |
0.038 |
0.038 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.046 |
0.004 |
-0.065 |
-0.107 |
-0.134 |
-0.151 |
-0.157 |
-0.155 |
-0.148 |
-0.136 |
-0.122 |
-0.107 |
-0.091 |
-0.075 |
-0.060 |
-0.047 |
-0.035 |
-0.024 |
-0.015 |
-0.008 |
-0.002 |
0.002 |
0.005 |
0.008 |
0.009 |
0.010 |
0.010 |
0.010 |
0.010 |
0.009 |
0.009 |
0.008 |
0.007 |
0.007 |
0.006 |
0.005 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.112 |
-0.146 |
-0.155 |
-0.153 |
-0.143 |
-0.128 |
-0.109 |
-0.090 |
-0.070 |
-0.051 |
-0.033 |
-0.016 |
-0.001 |
0.012 |
0.023 |
0.032 |
0.039 |
0.045 |
0.049 |
0.052 |
0.054 |
0.055 |
0.056 |
0.055 |
0.055 |
0.054 |
0.052 |
0.051 |
0.050 |
0.048 |
0.047 |
0.046 |
0.045 |
0.044 |
0.044 |
0.043 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
-0.123 |
-0.249 |
-0.379 |
-0.505 |
-0.619 |
-0.716 |
-0.795 |
-0.853 |
-0.892 |
-0.913 |
-0.916 |
-0.905 |
-0.880 |
-0.844 |
-0.799 |
-0.747 |
-0.690 |
-0.629 |
-0.566 |
-0.501 |
-0.436 |
-0.372 |
-0.310 |
-0.249 |
-0.190 |
-0.134 |
-0.080 |
-0.029 |
0.020 |
0.067 |
0.111 |
0.154 |
0.194 |
0.233 |
0.270 |
0.306 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.189 |
0.333 |
0.418 |
0.455 |
0.454 |
0.423 |
0.368 |
0.297 |
0.215 |
0.128 |
0.039 |
-0.049 |
-0.133 |
-0.212 |
-0.285 |
-0.352 |
-0.412 |
-0.466 |
-0.514 |
-0.556 |
-0.592 |
-0.624 |
-0.652 |
-0.676 |
-0.697 |
-0.715 |
-0.731 |
-0.745 |
-0.757 |
-0.767 |
-0.777 |
-0.785 |
-0.793 |
-0.800 |
-0.807 |
-0.813 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.378 |
-0.457 |
-0.504 |
-0.541 |
-0.564 |
-0.573 |
-0.573 |
-0.565 |
-0.552 |
-0.535 |
-0.516 |
-0.495 |
-0.475 |
-0.455 |
-0.436 |
-0.418 |
-0.401 |
-0.386 |
-0.372 |
-0.359 |
-0.348 |
-0.337 |
-0.328 |
-0.320 |
-0.312 |
-0.306 |
-0.300 |
-0.294 |
-0.290 |
-0.286 |
-0.282 |
-0.279 |
-0.277 |
-0.274 |
-0.273 |
-0.271 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.644 |
-0.735 |
-0.785 |
-0.819 |
-0.840 |
-0.852 |
-0.859 |
-0.863 |
-0.864 |
-0.864 |
-0.863 |
-0.862 |
-0.860 |
-0.859 |
-0.858 |
-0.857 |
-0.856 |
-0.856 |
-0.855 |
-0.855 |
-0.855 |
-0.855 |
-0.855 |
-0.855 |
-0.856 |
-0.856 |
-0.856 |
-0.857 |
-0.857 |
-0.858 |
-0.858 |
-0.858 |
-0.859 |
-0.859 |
-0.860 |
-0.860 |
User cost |
uim |
-0.374 |
-0.432 |
-0.480 |
-0.521 |
-0.555 |
-0.581 |
-0.600 |
-0.612 |
-0.618 |
-0.620 |
-0.617 |
-0.612 |
-0.604 |
-0.595 |
-0.584 |
-0.573 |
-0.561 |
-0.549 |
-0.537 |
-0.526 |
-0.516 |
-0.506 |
-0.497 |
-0.488 |
-0.481 |
-0.474 |
-0.468 |
-0.463 |
-0.459 |
-0.456 |
-0.453 |
-0.451 |
-0.449 |
-0.448 |
-0.448 |
-0.448 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.225 |
-0.344 |
-0.441 |
-0.521 |
-0.580 |
-0.619 |
-0.638 |
-0.643 |
-0.634 |
-0.615 |
-0.589 |
-0.557 |
-0.521 |
-0.483 |
-0.445 |
-0.407 |
-0.371 |
-0.336 |
-0.303 |
-0.273 |
-0.246 |
-0.221 |
-0.199 |
-0.180 |
-0.164 |
-0.150 |
-0.139 |
-0.129 |
-0.122 |
-0.117 |
-0.114 |
-0.112 |
-0.111 |
-0.112 |
-0.113 |
-0.116 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.345 |
-0.424 |
-0.482 |
-0.534 |
-0.578 |
-0.614 |
-0.642 |
-0.663 |
-0.678 |
-0.688 |
-0.693 |
-0.695 |
-0.694 |
-0.690 |
-0.684 |
-0.678 |
-0.670 |
-0.661 |
-0.653 |
-0.644 |
-0.635 |
-0.626 |
-0.618 |
-0.611 |
-0.604 |
-0.597 |
-0.592 |
-0.586 |
-0.582 |
-0.578 |
-0.575 |
-0.572 |
-0.570 |
-0.568 |
-0.567 |
-0.567 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.269 |
-0.319 |
-0.360 |
-0.397 |
-0.426 |
-0.449 |
-0.466 |
-0.477 |
-0.484 |
-0.487 |
-0.486 |
-0.483 |
-0.478 |
-0.472 |
-0.464 |
-0.456 |
-0.447 |
-0.438 |
-0.430 |
-0.421 |
-0.413 |
-0.406 |
-0.399 |
-0.392 |
-0.387 |
-0.381 |
-0.377 |
-0.373 |
-0.370 |
-0.367 |
-0.365 |
-0.364 |
-0.362 |
-0.362 |
-0.361 |
-0.361 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
-0.071 |
-0.070 |
-0.011 |
0.013 |
0.026 |
0.033 |
0.033 |
0.030 |
0.023 |
0.014 |
0.003 |
-0.008 |
-0.018 |
-0.029 |
-0.039 |
-0.047 |
-0.055 |
-0.061 |
-0.066 |
-0.070 |
-0.072 |
-0.074 |
-0.075 |
-0.075 |
-0.075 |
-0.074 |
-0.072 |
-0.071 |
-0.069 |
-0.067 |
-0.065 |
-0.063 |
-0.061 |
-0.060 |
-0.058 |
-0.057 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.127 |
-0.192 |
-0.225 |
-0.240 |
-0.245 |
-0.242 |
-0.233 |
-0.221 |
-0.208 |
-0.193 |
-0.177 |
-0.162 |
-0.148 |
-0.135 |
-0.122 |
-0.111 |
-0.101 |
-0.092 |
-0.085 |
-0.079 |
-0.074 |
-0.070 |
-0.066 |
-0.064 |
-0.062 |
-0.062 |
-0.061 |
-0.061 |
-0.062 |
-0.063 |
-0.064 |
-0.065 |
-0.067 |
-0.069 |
-0.070 |
-0.072 |
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