|
|
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
2053 |
2054 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
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|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
845.2 |
1246.2 |
2795.2 |
3332.5 |
3727.4 |
4095.2 |
4455.1 |
4838.8 |
5264.6 |
5740.0 |
6265.4 |
6835.5 |
7439.3 |
8064.9 |
8697.8 |
9322.0 |
9921.3 |
10479.6 |
10982.0 |
11415.1 |
11767.8 |
12031.6 |
12200.9 |
12273.3 |
12249.8 |
12134.4 |
11934.5 |
11660.2 |
11324.1 |
10941.3 |
10528.3 |
10102.9 |
9683.8 |
9289.5 |
8938.0 |
8646.6 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
310.5 |
878.3 |
1679.3 |
2550.2 |
3433.3 |
4293.1 |
5105.2 |
5852.3 |
6522.3 |
7107.0 |
7601.0 |
8001.9 |
8309.2 |
8524.9 |
8652.8 |
8698.7 |
8670.0 |
8575.4 |
8424.8 |
8229.0 |
7999.6 |
7748.3 |
7487.2 |
7228.1 |
6982.2 |
6760.2 |
6571.8 |
6425.5 |
6328.5 |
6286.6 |
6303.7 |
6382.3 |
6523.1 |
6724.8 |
6984.8 |
7298.7 |
Investment |
fI |
536.9 |
1456.7 |
2853.8 |
4301.3 |
5435.6 |
6357.2 |
7094.5 |
7675.5 |
8120.8 |
8450.3 |
8679.5 |
8821.2 |
8884.4 |
8876.5 |
8803.7 |
8671.3 |
8484.4 |
8248.1 |
7968.0 |
7650.2 |
7301.6 |
6930.1 |
6544.2 |
6152.9 |
5766.1 |
5393.7 |
5045.8 |
4732.2 |
4462.2 |
4244.6 |
4086.9 |
3995.4 |
3975.0 |
4028.7 |
4157.8 |
4361.7 |
Export |
fE |
654.1 |
1906.2 |
3440.5 |
5114.2 |
6945.1 |
8818.9 |
10649.3 |
12360.6 |
13897.6 |
15217.7 |
16292.9 |
17107.2 |
17656.3 |
17946.1 |
17991.0 |
17813.4 |
17441.8 |
16909.3 |
16252.6 |
15510.6 |
14722.7 |
13928.1 |
13164.4 |
12466.4 |
11865.7 |
11389.3 |
11059.8 |
10894.1 |
10903.6 |
11094.1 |
11465.4 |
12011.9 |
12722.4 |
13581.0 |
14567.6 |
15658.2 |
Import |
fM |
629.0 |
1286.0 |
2815.3 |
3927.9 |
4982.3 |
6034.0 |
7057.9 |
8044.2 |
8980.4 |
9853.0 |
10649.2 |
11357.6 |
11967.5 |
12471.2 |
12863.7 |
13142.0 |
13306.5 |
13360.0 |
13308.1 |
13159.4 |
12924.5 |
12616.6 |
12250.5 |
11842.4 |
11409.7 |
10970.4 |
10542.4 |
10143.2 |
9789.7 |
9497.3 |
9279.6 |
9148.2 |
9112.3 |
9178.3 |
9349.8 |
9627.4 |
GDP |
fY |
1726.9 |
4143.7 |
7864.8 |
11305.9 |
14510.6 |
17484.6 |
20198.1 |
22630.5 |
24768.1 |
26602.5 |
28130.5 |
29353.3 |
30275.8 |
30908.5 |
31266.9 |
31370.3 |
31242.4 |
30910.2 |
30404.1 |
29756.7 |
29002.9 |
28178.7 |
27320.7 |
26465.3 |
25647.7 |
24901.7 |
24258.4 |
23746.0 |
23388.6 |
23206.3 |
23214.4 |
23423.1 |
23837.1 |
24455.8 |
25273.1 |
26277.8 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
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|
|
Employment |
Q |
-26.111 |
-22.689 |
-17.876 |
-13.075 |
-8.532 |
-4.364 |
-0.657 |
2.541 |
5.207 |
7.336 |
8.937 |
10.030 |
10.645 |
10.816 |
10.588 |
10.008 |
9.127 |
8.000 |
6.682 |
5.228 |
3.693 |
2.129 |
0.584 |
-0.895 |
-2.269 |
-3.502 |
-4.565 |
-5.434 |
-6.095 |
-6.537 |
-6.756 |
-6.756 |
-6.546 |
-6.141 |
-5.560 |
-4.827 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
13.781 |
10.913 |
8.482 |
6.158 |
3.959 |
1.948 |
0.165 |
-1.370 |
-2.644 |
-3.657 |
-4.413 |
-4.924 |
-5.203 |
-5.268 |
-5.140 |
-4.843 |
-4.402 |
-3.844 |
-3.195 |
-2.482 |
-1.732 |
-0.970 |
-0.219 |
0.497 |
1.161 |
1.755 |
2.264 |
2.679 |
2.992 |
3.198 |
3.295 |
3.286 |
3.175 |
2.970 |
2.680 |
2.317 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.110 |
-0.106 |
-0.206 |
-0.126 |
-0.061 |
-0.011 |
0.029 |
0.059 |
0.082 |
0.098 |
0.109 |
0.115 |
0.117 |
0.115 |
0.110 |
0.103 |
0.095 |
0.084 |
0.073 |
0.060 |
0.047 |
0.034 |
0.021 |
0.008 |
-0.004 |
-0.015 |
-0.026 |
-0.035 |
-0.042 |
-0.048 |
-0.052 |
-0.054 |
-0.054 |
-0.053 |
-0.050 |
-0.046 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.062 |
0.009 |
0.038 |
-0.065 |
-0.132 |
-0.172 |
-0.193 |
-0.200 |
-0.197 |
-0.187 |
-0.173 |
-0.158 |
-0.141 |
-0.124 |
-0.109 |
-0.095 |
-0.083 |
-0.072 |
-0.062 |
-0.055 |
-0.048 |
-0.042 |
-0.036 |
-0.031 |
-0.027 |
-0.022 |
-0.017 |
-0.013 |
-0.008 |
-0.003 |
0.002 |
0.006 |
0.011 |
0.015 |
0.018 |
0.021 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.047 |
-0.097 |
-0.168 |
-0.191 |
-0.193 |
-0.183 |
-0.164 |
-0.140 |
-0.115 |
-0.089 |
-0.064 |
-0.043 |
-0.024 |
-0.010 |
0.001 |
0.009 |
0.012 |
0.013 |
0.010 |
0.006 |
0.000 |
-0.008 |
-0.016 |
-0.023 |
-0.031 |
-0.038 |
-0.043 |
-0.047 |
-0.050 |
-0.051 |
-0.050 |
-0.048 |
-0.044 |
-0.038 |
-0.032 |
-0.024 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
-0.022 |
-0.037 |
-0.178 |
-0.351 |
-0.531 |
-0.703 |
-0.860 |
-0.995 |
-1.105 |
-1.190 |
-1.250 |
-1.286 |
-1.302 |
-1.301 |
-1.284 |
-1.255 |
-1.217 |
-1.172 |
-1.123 |
-1.072 |
-1.021 |
-0.970 |
-0.922 |
-0.875 |
-0.831 |
-0.789 |
-0.749 |
-0.712 |
-0.675 |
-0.640 |
-0.604 |
-0.568 |
-0.531 |
-0.492 |
-0.451 |
-0.407 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.103 |
0.249 |
0.450 |
0.558 |
0.595 |
0.575 |
0.511 |
0.414 |
0.293 |
0.157 |
0.013 |
-0.134 |
-0.277 |
-0.413 |
-0.539 |
-0.651 |
-0.747 |
-0.827 |
-0.889 |
-0.932 |
-0.957 |
-0.963 |
-0.953 |
-0.927 |
-0.886 |
-0.833 |
-0.770 |
-0.698 |
-0.620 |
-0.538 |
-0.455 |
-0.373 |
-0.294 |
-0.221 |
-0.155 |
-0.098 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
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|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.076 |
-0.183 |
-0.321 |
-0.432 |
-0.515 |
-0.576 |
-0.615 |
-0.636 |
-0.641 |
-0.631 |
-0.608 |
-0.574 |
-0.531 |
-0.480 |
-0.423 |
-0.362 |
-0.297 |
-0.232 |
-0.167 |
-0.104 |
-0.044 |
0.011 |
0.060 |
0.102 |
0.136 |
0.162 |
0.180 |
0.189 |
0.190 |
0.183 |
0.168 |
0.146 |
0.118 |
0.085 |
0.049 |
0.010 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.009 |
-0.012 |
-0.015 |
-0.009 |
0.004 |
0.020 |
0.036 |
0.052 |
0.066 |
0.079 |
0.090 |
0.099 |
0.105 |
0.110 |
0.113 |
0.114 |
0.114 |
0.112 |
0.109 |
0.105 |
0.100 |
0.094 |
0.088 |
0.083 |
0.077 |
0.071 |
0.066 |
0.061 |
0.058 |
0.055 |
0.052 |
0.051 |
0.050 |
0.051 |
0.052 |
0.054 |
User cost |
uim |
-0.092 |
-0.221 |
-0.327 |
-0.405 |
-0.464 |
-0.503 |
-0.523 |
-0.526 |
-0.513 |
-0.487 |
-0.449 |
-0.402 |
-0.349 |
-0.291 |
-0.232 |
-0.173 |
-0.116 |
-0.063 |
-0.015 |
0.026 |
0.059 |
0.084 |
0.100 |
0.108 |
0.108 |
0.099 |
0.083 |
0.061 |
0.033 |
0.001 |
-0.034 |
-0.072 |
-0.109 |
-0.147 |
-0.182 |
-0.215 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.239 |
-0.659 |
-0.987 |
-1.209 |
-1.364 |
-1.457 |
-1.492 |
-1.477 |
-1.418 |
-1.324 |
-1.202 |
-1.060 |
-0.904 |
-0.741 |
-0.579 |
-0.422 |
-0.276 |
-0.144 |
-0.030 |
0.062 |
0.132 |
0.179 |
0.201 |
0.201 |
0.178 |
0.135 |
0.074 |
-0.001 |
-0.089 |
-0.185 |
-0.287 |
-0.390 |
-0.492 |
-0.590 |
-0.680 |
-0.760 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.081 |
-0.205 |
-0.314 |
-0.399 |
-0.467 |
-0.518 |
-0.551 |
-0.567 |
-0.568 |
-0.555 |
-0.530 |
-0.495 |
-0.451 |
-0.402 |
-0.349 |
-0.293 |
-0.238 |
-0.185 |
-0.135 |
-0.091 |
-0.052 |
-0.021 |
0.003 |
0.019 |
0.027 |
0.026 |
0.018 |
0.003 |
-0.019 |
-0.046 |
-0.078 |
-0.112 |
-0.149 |
-0.187 |
-0.224 |
-0.259 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.063 |
-0.157 |
-0.238 |
-0.300 |
-0.349 |
-0.384 |
-0.406 |
-0.414 |
-0.411 |
-0.397 |
-0.374 |
-0.344 |
-0.308 |
-0.268 |
-0.227 |
-0.185 |
-0.143 |
-0.104 |
-0.069 |
-0.038 |
-0.012 |
0.008 |
0.022 |
0.029 |
0.031 |
0.026 |
0.016 |
0.002 |
-0.018 |
-0.040 |
-0.066 |
-0.092 |
-0.120 |
-0.148 |
-0.174 |
-0.199 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
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|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
-0.060 |
-0.029 |
-0.075 |
-0.016 |
0.017 |
0.031 |
0.032 |
0.026 |
0.015 |
0.002 |
-0.012 |
-0.024 |
-0.034 |
-0.042 |
-0.047 |
-0.049 |
-0.047 |
-0.044 |
-0.038 |
-0.030 |
-0.021 |
-0.011 |
-0.001 |
0.008 |
0.016 |
0.024 |
0.029 |
0.033 |
0.035 |
0.034 |
0.032 |
0.028 |
0.022 |
0.015 |
0.007 |
-0.002 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.074 |
-0.185 |
-0.266 |
-0.303 |
-0.316 |
-0.311 |
-0.293 |
-0.263 |
-0.226 |
-0.184 |
-0.140 |
-0.094 |
-0.049 |
-0.007 |
0.031 |
0.065 |
0.092 |
0.114 |
0.129 |
0.137 |
0.139 |
0.135 |
0.126 |
0.111 |
0.092 |
0.069 |
0.044 |
0.017 |
-0.010 |
-0.038 |
-0.064 |
-0.089 |
-0.111 |
-0.130 |
-0.145 |
-0.157 |
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