|
|
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
2053 |
2054 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
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|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
840.5 |
1130.7 |
2452.1 |
2646.7 |
2593.6 |
2415.1 |
2141.5 |
1816.4 |
1472.7 |
1134.9 |
822.5 |
550.8 |
331.2 |
171.8 |
78.1 |
52.6 |
95.5 |
204.7 |
376.4 |
605.3 |
884.7 |
1207.1 |
1564.1 |
1947.2 |
2347.4 |
2756.0 |
3164.6 |
3565.2 |
3950.2 |
4313.1 |
4648.0 |
4950.2 |
5215.6 |
5441.4 |
5625.7 |
5767.7 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
-118.6 |
-169.4 |
-265.6 |
-331.8 |
-381.4 |
-421.1 |
-453.0 |
-479.1 |
-501.3 |
-520.8 |
-538.7 |
-555.9 |
-573.1 |
-591.0 |
-609.7 |
-629.6 |
-650.6 |
-672.9 |
-696.2 |
-720.4 |
-745.3 |
-770.5 |
-795.7 |
-820.7 |
-845.1 |
-868.6 |
-891.1 |
-912.2 |
-931.8 |
-949.8 |
-966.1 |
-980.7 |
-993.6 |
-1004.8 |
-1014.5 |
-1022.8 |
Investment |
fI |
374.4 |
979.0 |
1922.9 |
2868.5 |
3542.1 |
4046.3 |
4399.1 |
4633.6 |
4778.2 |
4861.9 |
4907.7 |
4935.0 |
4958.5 |
4988.8 |
5033.0 |
5095.1 |
5176.5 |
5276.6 |
5393.3 |
5523.3 |
5662.6 |
5806.6 |
5951.1 |
6091.4 |
6223.6 |
6344.2 |
6450.0 |
6538.9 |
6609.2 |
6659.9 |
6691.1 |
6703.0 |
6696.9 |
6674.4 |
6637.7 |
6589.2 |
Export |
fE |
677.9 |
1976.3 |
3603.2 |
5430.7 |
7501.6 |
9725.0 |
12036.5 |
14374.6 |
16694.1 |
18954.7 |
21125.0 |
23179.1 |
25097.4 |
26864.5 |
28469.9 |
29906.8 |
31172.0 |
32265.2 |
33189.2 |
33949.0 |
34552.0 |
35007.3 |
35325.7 |
35519.6 |
35602.5 |
35588.6 |
35493.1 |
35331.5 |
35119.7 |
34873.4 |
34608.2 |
34339.2 |
34081.1 |
33847.5 |
33651.2 |
33503.7 |
Import |
fM |
522.9 |
929.8 |
2061.2 |
2711.9 |
3293.9 |
3875.3 |
4443.2 |
5004.3 |
5563.4 |
6122.6 |
6683.0 |
7244.3 |
7805.5 |
8364.1 |
8917.4 |
9461.6 |
9992.8 |
10506.8 |
10999.3 |
11466.2 |
11903.7 |
12308.2 |
12676.8 |
13007.3 |
13297.9 |
13547.8 |
13756.7 |
13925.4 |
14055.1 |
14148.0 |
14206.8 |
14234.9 |
14236.3 |
14215.2 |
14176.4 |
14124.9 |
GDP |
fY |
1265.6 |
2927.0 |
5550.1 |
7816.7 |
9884.5 |
11805.2 |
13581.0 |
15220.4 |
16735.2 |
18136.2 |
19434.2 |
20638.4 |
21757.0 |
22796.2 |
23761.3 |
24656.0 |
25482.8 |
26243.4 |
26938.8 |
27569.7 |
28136.4 |
28639.5 |
29080.0 |
29459.0 |
29778.7 |
30041.5 |
30251.1 |
30411.6 |
30528.0 |
30606.2 |
30652.6 |
30674.1 |
30678.2 |
30672.6 |
30665.3 |
30664.3 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
-26.931 |
-24.722 |
-21.627 |
-18.568 |
-15.641 |
-12.886 |
-10.336 |
-8.004 |
-5.891 |
-3.989 |
-2.291 |
-0.786 |
0.535 |
1.683 |
2.667 |
3.496 |
4.178 |
4.721 |
5.131 |
5.418 |
5.587 |
5.647 |
5.607 |
5.474 |
5.258 |
4.969 |
4.615 |
4.208 |
3.758 |
3.275 |
2.769 |
2.251 |
1.730 |
1.216 |
0.717 |
0.242 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
14.214 |
11.953 |
10.378 |
8.903 |
7.485 |
6.152 |
4.920 |
3.795 |
2.776 |
1.861 |
1.043 |
0.320 |
-0.315 |
-0.867 |
-1.338 |
-1.735 |
-2.061 |
-2.319 |
-2.513 |
-2.647 |
-2.724 |
-2.749 |
-2.725 |
-2.657 |
-2.548 |
-2.404 |
-2.230 |
-2.030 |
-1.809 |
-1.572 |
-1.326 |
-1.073 |
-0.820 |
-0.570 |
-0.328 |
-0.098 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.102 |
-0.082 |
-0.159 |
-0.057 |
0.028 |
0.098 |
0.157 |
0.207 |
0.250 |
0.287 |
0.318 |
0.346 |
0.371 |
0.394 |
0.414 |
0.433 |
0.451 |
0.467 |
0.482 |
0.496 |
0.509 |
0.520 |
0.531 |
0.540 |
0.549 |
0.556 |
0.562 |
0.567 |
0.571 |
0.575 |
0.577 |
0.580 |
0.581 |
0.583 |
0.584 |
0.586 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.061 |
0.003 |
0.027 |
-0.079 |
-0.147 |
-0.187 |
-0.207 |
-0.212 |
-0.206 |
-0.192 |
-0.173 |
-0.151 |
-0.128 |
-0.105 |
-0.084 |
-0.064 |
-0.047 |
-0.032 |
-0.020 |
-0.010 |
-0.003 |
0.003 |
0.006 |
0.008 |
0.009 |
0.008 |
0.007 |
0.006 |
0.004 |
0.002 |
0.000 |
-0.001 |
-0.003 |
-0.004 |
-0.005 |
-0.005 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.041 |
-0.079 |
-0.132 |
-0.136 |
-0.119 |
-0.090 |
-0.051 |
-0.005 |
0.044 |
0.094 |
0.145 |
0.195 |
0.243 |
0.288 |
0.330 |
0.369 |
0.404 |
0.435 |
0.462 |
0.486 |
0.506 |
0.523 |
0.537 |
0.548 |
0.557 |
0.564 |
0.569 |
0.573 |
0.575 |
0.577 |
0.578 |
0.578 |
0.579 |
0.579 |
0.580 |
0.581 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
-0.001 |
0.038 |
-0.016 |
-0.080 |
-0.129 |
-0.152 |
-0.142 |
-0.095 |
-0.009 |
0.118 |
0.283 |
0.485 |
0.721 |
0.986 |
1.278 |
1.593 |
1.927 |
2.275 |
2.636 |
3.005 |
3.379 |
3.756 |
4.133 |
4.508 |
4.881 |
5.248 |
5.609 |
5.963 |
6.310 |
6.649 |
6.980 |
7.303 |
7.618 |
7.926 |
8.226 |
8.520 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.108 |
0.251 |
0.440 |
0.523 |
0.523 |
0.454 |
0.329 |
0.156 |
-0.054 |
-0.296 |
-0.564 |
-0.852 |
-1.156 |
-1.474 |
-1.803 |
-2.140 |
-2.483 |
-2.831 |
-3.182 |
-3.534 |
-3.887 |
-4.238 |
-4.586 |
-4.931 |
-5.271 |
-5.604 |
-5.931 |
-6.250 |
-6.561 |
-6.863 |
-7.156 |
-7.439 |
-7.713 |
-7.978 |
-8.234 |
-8.480 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.059 |
-0.141 |
-0.248 |
-0.334 |
-0.402 |
-0.457 |
-0.501 |
-0.538 |
-0.568 |
-0.594 |
-0.616 |
-0.634 |
-0.649 |
-0.661 |
-0.671 |
-0.678 |
-0.681 |
-0.682 |
-0.679 |
-0.673 |
-0.664 |
-0.652 |
-0.638 |
-0.620 |
-0.601 |
-0.579 |
-0.556 |
-0.532 |
-0.507 |
-0.482 |
-0.457 |
-0.433 |
-0.410 |
-0.388 |
-0.368 |
-0.350 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.018 |
-0.033 |
-0.052 |
-0.063 |
-0.067 |
-0.068 |
-0.067 |
-0.065 |
-0.062 |
-0.058 |
-0.054 |
-0.051 |
-0.047 |
-0.043 |
-0.039 |
-0.036 |
-0.032 |
-0.029 |
-0.026 |
-0.023 |
-0.020 |
-0.018 |
-0.016 |
-0.014 |
-0.012 |
-0.011 |
-0.009 |
-0.008 |
-0.008 |
-0.007 |
-0.007 |
-0.007 |
-0.007 |
-0.007 |
-0.007 |
-0.007 |
User cost |
uim |
-0.096 |
-0.234 |
-0.359 |
-0.467 |
-0.565 |
-0.652 |
-0.729 |
-0.795 |
-0.850 |
-0.896 |
-0.932 |
-0.959 |
-0.979 |
-0.990 |
-0.995 |
-0.993 |
-0.986 |
-0.974 |
-0.958 |
-0.938 |
-0.915 |
-0.890 |
-0.864 |
-0.837 |
-0.809 |
-0.781 |
-0.754 |
-0.728 |
-0.704 |
-0.681 |
-0.660 |
-0.642 |
-0.626 |
-0.612 |
-0.602 |
-0.594 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.246 |
-0.691 |
-1.066 |
-1.363 |
-1.618 |
-1.832 |
-2.009 |
-2.149 |
-2.258 |
-2.337 |
-2.389 |
-2.418 |
-2.426 |
-2.415 |
-2.387 |
-2.346 |
-2.293 |
-2.231 |
-2.160 |
-2.084 |
-2.004 |
-1.922 |
-1.838 |
-1.756 |
-1.676 |
-1.599 |
-1.526 |
-1.459 |
-1.399 |
-1.345 |
-1.298 |
-1.259 |
-1.228 |
-1.205 |
-1.189 |
-1.181 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.083 |
-0.215 |
-0.339 |
-0.448 |
-0.549 |
-0.640 |
-0.723 |
-0.795 |
-0.858 |
-0.912 |
-0.957 |
-0.993 |
-1.021 |
-1.042 |
-1.055 |
-1.061 |
-1.061 |
-1.055 |
-1.044 |
-1.029 |
-1.009 |
-0.987 |
-0.962 |
-0.934 |
-0.906 |
-0.877 |
-0.848 |
-0.819 |
-0.792 |
-0.765 |
-0.741 |
-0.718 |
-0.698 |
-0.681 |
-0.666 |
-0.655 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.065 |
-0.164 |
-0.257 |
-0.337 |
-0.411 |
-0.477 |
-0.535 |
-0.585 |
-0.627 |
-0.661 |
-0.688 |
-0.708 |
-0.721 |
-0.728 |
-0.730 |
-0.727 |
-0.720 |
-0.709 |
-0.695 |
-0.677 |
-0.658 |
-0.637 |
-0.615 |
-0.592 |
-0.569 |
-0.547 |
-0.524 |
-0.503 |
-0.483 |
-0.465 |
-0.448 |
-0.434 |
-0.421 |
-0.411 |
-0.402 |
-0.396 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
-0.055 |
-0.014 |
-0.049 |
0.021 |
0.061 |
0.078 |
0.081 |
0.073 |
0.057 |
0.036 |
0.011 |
-0.015 |
-0.042 |
-0.068 |
-0.093 |
-0.115 |
-0.135 |
-0.153 |
-0.167 |
-0.178 |
-0.187 |
-0.192 |
-0.195 |
-0.196 |
-0.195 |
-0.192 |
-0.188 |
-0.182 |
-0.176 |
-0.169 |
-0.162 |
-0.155 |
-0.147 |
-0.140 |
-0.133 |
-0.127 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.080 |
-0.202 |
-0.301 |
-0.364 |
-0.409 |
-0.439 |
-0.458 |
-0.468 |
-0.471 |
-0.467 |
-0.457 |
-0.443 |
-0.426 |
-0.405 |
-0.383 |
-0.359 |
-0.333 |
-0.308 |
-0.282 |
-0.257 |
-0.233 |
-0.210 |
-0.189 |
-0.169 |
-0.151 |
-0.135 |
-0.122 |
-0.110 |
-0.101 |
-0.094 |
-0.090 |
-0.088 |
-0.087 |
-0.089 |
-0.092 |
-0.097 |
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