|
|
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
2053 |
2054 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
840.5 |
1125.4 |
2427.5 |
2578.0 |
2449.4 |
2161.7 |
1746.4 |
1249.5 |
706.4 |
144.1 |
-415.1 |
-953.1 |
-1454.7 |
-1909.0 |
-2306.8 |
-2642.2 |
-2911.5 |
-3113.1 |
-3247.3 |
-3316.0 |
-3322.5 |
-3271.4 |
-3168.1 |
-3018.6 |
-2829.7 |
-2608.2 |
-2361.4 |
-2096.2 |
-1819.5 |
-1537.9 |
-1257.6 |
-984.4 |
-723.3 |
-479.0 |
-255.3 |
-55.5 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
-118.6 |
-168.6 |
-262.8 |
-324.8 |
-368.0 |
-399.1 |
-420.6 |
-434.8 |
-444.0 |
-449.7 |
-453.4 |
-456.4 |
-459.6 |
-463.8 |
-469.7 |
-477.5 |
-487.6 |
-500.1 |
-514.8 |
-531.8 |
-550.8 |
-571.6 |
-593.9 |
-617.2 |
-641.4 |
-666.0 |
-690.8 |
-715.4 |
-739.5 |
-763.0 |
-785.6 |
-807.0 |
-827.3 |
-846.3 |
-864.0 |
-880.3 |
Investment |
fI |
374.4 |
959.0 |
1847.8 |
2696.0 |
3237.2 |
3587.2 |
3771.7 |
3829.7 |
3794.9 |
3701.2 |
3575.8 |
3441.7 |
3316.6 |
3213.6 |
3141.4 |
3105.4 |
3107.7 |
3148.1 |
3224.5 |
3333.3 |
3469.9 |
3629.1 |
3805.4 |
3993.3 |
4187.3 |
4382.5 |
4574.3 |
4758.7 |
4932.3 |
5092.4 |
5236.9 |
5364.4 |
5474.0 |
5565.6 |
5639.3 |
5695.9 |
Export |
fE |
677.9 |
1909.4 |
3382.2 |
4942.7 |
6666.5 |
8490.8 |
10375.6 |
12281.2 |
14181.4 |
16051.8 |
17874.4 |
19633.7 |
21317.6 |
22915.8 |
24420.5 |
25825.5 |
27126.3 |
28319.7 |
29404.2 |
30379.3 |
31246.1 |
32006.7 |
32664.5 |
33224.0 |
33690.8 |
34071.3 |
34373.0 |
34603.9 |
34773.0 |
34889.4 |
34962.8 |
35003.0 |
35019.9 |
35023.2 |
35022.7 |
35027.3 |
Import |
fM |
522.9 |
886.3 |
1909.5 |
2371.4 |
2701.0 |
2983.8 |
3220.6 |
3429.4 |
3624.9 |
3817.9 |
4016.8 |
4228.0 |
4455.8 |
4702.2 |
4968.0 |
5252.1 |
5552.4 |
5866.2 |
6189.8 |
6519.2 |
6850.1 |
7178.4 |
7500.0 |
7810.8 |
8107.5 |
8387.0 |
8646.7 |
8884.6 |
9099.4 |
9290.2 |
9456.7 |
9599.3 |
9718.6 |
9816.0 |
9893.2 |
9952.0 |
GDP |
fY |
1265.6 |
2879.0 |
5383.4 |
7433.7 |
9204.0 |
10767.5 |
12145.8 |
13365.6 |
14455.0 |
15439.4 |
16341.6 |
17181.2 |
17974.6 |
18734.0 |
19468.9 |
20185.4 |
20887.2 |
21575.7 |
22250.4 |
22909.6 |
23550.8 |
24170.6 |
24765.6 |
25332.7 |
25868.7 |
26371.2 |
26838.3 |
27269.2 |
27663.5 |
28021.9 |
28345.7 |
28637.3 |
28899.5 |
29135.7 |
29350.1 |
29547.1 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
-26.931 |
-24.767 |
-21.786 |
-18.938 |
-16.307 |
-13.911 |
-11.760 |
-9.844 |
-8.140 |
-6.626 |
-5.276 |
-4.068 |
-2.984 |
-2.007 |
-1.126 |
-0.331 |
0.385 |
1.024 |
1.591 |
2.086 |
2.511 |
2.865 |
3.150 |
3.366 |
3.515 |
3.599 |
3.621 |
3.585 |
3.494 |
3.356 |
3.174 |
2.954 |
2.704 |
2.429 |
2.137 |
1.832 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
14.214 |
11.976 |
10.460 |
9.092 |
7.821 |
6.666 |
5.630 |
4.707 |
3.888 |
3.159 |
2.509 |
1.928 |
1.406 |
0.935 |
0.511 |
0.128 |
-0.217 |
-0.525 |
-0.798 |
-1.035 |
-1.239 |
-1.408 |
-1.544 |
-1.646 |
-1.716 |
-1.754 |
-1.762 |
-1.742 |
-1.696 |
-1.626 |
-1.536 |
-1.428 |
-1.305 |
-1.170 |
-1.027 |
-0.878 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.102 |
-0.083 |
-0.162 |
-0.065 |
0.014 |
0.075 |
0.124 |
0.165 |
0.197 |
0.224 |
0.247 |
0.266 |
0.284 |
0.300 |
0.316 |
0.332 |
0.347 |
0.362 |
0.378 |
0.394 |
0.409 |
0.424 |
0.439 |
0.453 |
0.467 |
0.480 |
0.492 |
0.504 |
0.514 |
0.524 |
0.533 |
0.540 |
0.547 |
0.554 |
0.560 |
0.565 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.061 |
0.003 |
0.027 |
-0.078 |
-0.144 |
-0.182 |
-0.199 |
-0.201 |
-0.191 |
-0.174 |
-0.152 |
-0.128 |
-0.102 |
-0.078 |
-0.055 |
-0.034 |
-0.016 |
-0.001 |
0.012 |
0.021 |
0.029 |
0.033 |
0.036 |
0.037 |
0.037 |
0.035 |
0.033 |
0.030 |
0.027 |
0.023 |
0.020 |
0.017 |
0.014 |
0.011 |
0.008 |
0.007 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.041 |
-0.080 |
-0.135 |
-0.143 |
-0.131 |
-0.107 |
-0.075 |
-0.036 |
0.006 |
0.050 |
0.094 |
0.139 |
0.182 |
0.223 |
0.261 |
0.298 |
0.331 |
0.362 |
0.390 |
0.415 |
0.438 |
0.458 |
0.475 |
0.491 |
0.504 |
0.516 |
0.525 |
0.534 |
0.541 |
0.547 |
0.552 |
0.557 |
0.561 |
0.565 |
0.568 |
0.571 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
-0.001 |
0.038 |
-0.015 |
-0.079 |
-0.129 |
-0.159 |
-0.160 |
-0.128 |
-0.063 |
0.037 |
0.171 |
0.337 |
0.532 |
0.754 |
0.999 |
1.266 |
1.549 |
1.848 |
2.158 |
2.478 |
2.805 |
3.136 |
3.470 |
3.804 |
4.138 |
4.471 |
4.800 |
5.126 |
5.447 |
5.763 |
6.074 |
6.379 |
6.678 |
6.972 |
7.261 |
7.544 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.108 |
0.252 |
0.447 |
0.542 |
0.561 |
0.522 |
0.435 |
0.311 |
0.158 |
-0.018 |
-0.213 |
-0.421 |
-0.642 |
-0.873 |
-1.114 |
-1.363 |
-1.621 |
-1.886 |
-2.158 |
-2.436 |
-2.721 |
-3.010 |
-3.305 |
-3.603 |
-3.904 |
-4.207 |
-4.511 |
-4.814 |
-5.117 |
-5.417 |
-5.715 |
-6.009 |
-6.298 |
-6.583 |
-6.863 |
-7.137 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.059 |
-0.138 |
-0.240 |
-0.317 |
-0.373 |
-0.416 |
-0.449 |
-0.476 |
-0.498 |
-0.518 |
-0.537 |
-0.556 |
-0.575 |
-0.594 |
-0.613 |
-0.632 |
-0.650 |
-0.667 |
-0.682 |
-0.695 |
-0.705 |
-0.714 |
-0.719 |
-0.721 |
-0.721 |
-0.717 |
-0.711 |
-0.703 |
-0.693 |
-0.680 |
-0.666 |
-0.651 |
-0.635 |
-0.618 |
-0.602 |
-0.585 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.018 |
-0.032 |
-0.049 |
-0.056 |
-0.056 |
-0.053 |
-0.048 |
-0.042 |
-0.036 |
-0.030 |
-0.025 |
-0.019 |
-0.014 |
-0.009 |
-0.005 |
-0.001 |
0.003 |
0.006 |
0.009 |
0.012 |
0.015 |
0.018 |
0.020 |
0.022 |
0.024 |
0.026 |
0.027 |
0.028 |
0.029 |
0.030 |
0.031 |
0.031 |
0.031 |
0.031 |
0.031 |
0.031 |
User cost |
uim |
-0.096 |
-0.234 |
-0.360 |
-0.468 |
-0.567 |
-0.657 |
-0.738 |
-0.811 |
-0.875 |
-0.932 |
-0.981 |
-1.023 |
-1.059 |
-1.088 |
-1.112 |
-1.131 |
-1.145 |
-1.154 |
-1.158 |
-1.159 |
-1.157 |
-1.151 |
-1.142 |
-1.131 |
-1.118 |
-1.103 |
-1.086 |
-1.069 |
-1.052 |
-1.034 |
-1.016 |
-0.999 |
-0.982 |
-0.966 |
-0.952 |
-0.938 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.246 |
-0.691 |
-1.068 |
-1.369 |
-1.632 |
-1.861 |
-2.056 |
-2.222 |
-2.362 |
-2.479 |
-2.574 |
-2.651 |
-2.711 |
-2.755 |
-2.785 |
-2.802 |
-2.808 |
-2.803 |
-2.789 |
-2.767 |
-2.737 |
-2.701 |
-2.659 |
-2.613 |
-2.565 |
-2.514 |
-2.461 |
-2.409 |
-2.357 |
-2.307 |
-2.258 |
-2.213 |
-2.171 |
-2.132 |
-2.098 |
-2.068 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.083 |
-0.215 |
-0.340 |
-0.450 |
-0.553 |
-0.649 |
-0.737 |
-0.818 |
-0.892 |
-0.959 |
-1.020 |
-1.074 |
-1.122 |
-1.164 |
-1.200 |
-1.230 |
-1.255 |
-1.275 |
-1.289 |
-1.299 |
-1.305 |
-1.306 |
-1.303 |
-1.297 |
-1.288 |
-1.276 |
-1.263 |
-1.247 |
-1.230 |
-1.212 |
-1.194 |
-1.175 |
-1.157 |
-1.139 |
-1.122 |
-1.106 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.065 |
-0.164 |
-0.257 |
-0.339 |
-0.414 |
-0.483 |
-0.546 |
-0.602 |
-0.652 |
-0.696 |
-0.734 |
-0.767 |
-0.795 |
-0.817 |
-0.836 |
-0.850 |
-0.860 |
-0.866 |
-0.869 |
-0.868 |
-0.865 |
-0.859 |
-0.852 |
-0.842 |
-0.830 |
-0.818 |
-0.804 |
-0.790 |
-0.775 |
-0.760 |
-0.746 |
-0.732 |
-0.718 |
-0.705 |
-0.694 |
-0.683 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
-0.055 |
-0.013 |
-0.046 |
0.027 |
0.069 |
0.089 |
0.094 |
0.088 |
0.073 |
0.052 |
0.028 |
0.001 |
-0.027 |
-0.054 |
-0.081 |
-0.106 |
-0.128 |
-0.149 |
-0.166 |
-0.182 |
-0.194 |
-0.204 |
-0.212 |
-0.217 |
-0.221 |
-0.222 |
-0.222 |
-0.221 |
-0.218 |
-0.215 |
-0.211 |
-0.206 |
-0.201 |
-0.196 |
-0.191 |
-0.186 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.080 |
-0.201 |
-0.300 |
-0.362 |
-0.407 |
-0.438 |
-0.461 |
-0.475 |
-0.484 |
-0.487 |
-0.487 |
-0.483 |
-0.476 |
-0.466 |
-0.455 |
-0.441 |
-0.426 |
-0.410 |
-0.394 |
-0.376 |
-0.358 |
-0.341 |
-0.323 |
-0.306 |
-0.289 |
-0.273 |
-0.258 |
-0.245 |
-0.232 |
-0.221 |
-0.211 |
-0.203 |
-0.196 |
-0.190 |
-0.186 |
-0.184 |
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