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|
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
2053 |
2054 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
1915.4 |
3046.7 |
3832.3 |
4223.8 |
4515.7 |
4778.1 |
5038.7 |
5320.6 |
5636.4 |
5991.8 |
6387.1 |
6818.4 |
7277.2 |
7754.4 |
8238.8 |
8718.0 |
9179.3 |
9610.1 |
9998.5 |
10334.3 |
10608.7 |
10815.1 |
10949.5 |
11010.2 |
10998.1 |
10917.0 |
10772.9 |
10574.3 |
10331.4 |
10056.5 |
9763.1 |
9465.3 |
9178.1 |
8916.1 |
8693.7 |
8524.1 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
397.3 |
1059.3 |
1809.1 |
2587.4 |
3360.9 |
4102.1 |
4794.4 |
5426.8 |
5991.5 |
6483.6 |
6900.1 |
7239.9 |
7503.7 |
7693.5 |
7813.0 |
7867.1 |
7861.9 |
7804.7 |
7703.3 |
7566.5 |
7403.4 |
7223.5 |
7036.3 |
6851.0 |
6676.7 |
6521.9 |
6394.2 |
6300.3 |
6246.0 |
6235.7 |
6272.6 |
6358.7 |
6494.1 |
6678.1 |
6908.3 |
7180.9 |
Investment |
fI |
923.8 |
2380.1 |
3687.2 |
4778.3 |
5656.9 |
6355.8 |
6892.5 |
7295.6 |
7587.5 |
7788.1 |
7912.5 |
7972.3 |
7975.8 |
7929.1 |
7837.3 |
7704.6 |
7534.7 |
7331.2 |
7098.0 |
6839.6 |
6560.9 |
6267.9 |
5966.8 |
5664.8 |
5369.3 |
5088.1 |
4829.1 |
4600.0 |
4408.2 |
4260.5 |
4162.7 |
4119.8 |
4135.4 |
4211.7 |
4349.4 |
4547.6 |
Export |
fE |
574.0 |
1662.4 |
2993.7 |
4494.2 |
6119.8 |
7772.3 |
9381.2 |
10885.1 |
12239.8 |
13411.9 |
14379.8 |
15131.7 |
15665.2 |
15985.9 |
16106.5 |
16045.3 |
15825.8 |
15474.9 |
15022.4 |
14499.5 |
13937.8 |
13368.6 |
12821.9 |
12325.6 |
11904.5 |
11580.4 |
11370.9 |
11289.4 |
11345.0 |
11541.8 |
11879.7 |
12353.8 |
12955.3 |
13671.2 |
14485.2 |
15378.1 |
Import |
fM |
1251.9 |
2398.0 |
3443.4 |
4311.1 |
5175.6 |
6033.7 |
6867.6 |
7668.3 |
8426.4 |
9132.2 |
9776.5 |
10350.9 |
10847.3 |
11260.2 |
11585.8 |
11822.0 |
11969.3 |
12030.0 |
12008.6 |
11911.9 |
11748.4 |
11528.6 |
11264.3 |
10968.4 |
10654.9 |
10338.0 |
10032.1 |
9751.2 |
9508.6 |
9316.6 |
9186.1 |
9126.1 |
9143.7 |
9243.9 |
9429.3 |
9699.9 |
GDP |
fY |
2609.8 |
5777.2 |
8870.4 |
11774.9 |
14486.7 |
16980.0 |
19237.0 |
21248.3 |
23008.6 |
24515.9 |
25771.2 |
26779.0 |
27545.4 |
28080.8 |
28399.0 |
28516.6 |
28453.0 |
28230.2 |
27872.3 |
27405.7 |
26857.9 |
26257.6 |
25633.9 |
25015.5 |
24430.7 |
23906.3 |
23467.1 |
23135.5 |
22930.8 |
22869.0 |
22962.1 |
23218.0 |
23640.1 |
24227.6 |
24975.2 |
25873.2 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
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|
|
|
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|
|
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|
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|
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|
|
Employment |
Q |
2.831 |
6.998 |
11.357 |
15.556 |
19.483 |
23.030 |
26.146 |
28.807 |
31.008 |
32.753 |
34.058 |
34.944 |
35.438 |
35.573 |
35.386 |
34.917 |
34.209 |
33.305 |
32.250 |
31.088 |
29.863 |
28.617 |
27.388 |
26.214 |
25.126 |
24.152 |
23.316 |
22.635 |
22.123 |
21.788 |
21.631 |
21.650 |
21.837 |
22.181 |
22.664 |
23.267 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
13.582 |
10.335 |
8.174 |
6.151 |
4.252 |
2.543 |
1.045 |
-0.230 |
-1.281 |
-2.110 |
-2.726 |
-3.140 |
-3.364 |
-3.414 |
-3.310 |
-3.070 |
-2.716 |
-2.268 |
-1.748 |
-1.178 |
-0.580 |
0.027 |
0.624 |
1.193 |
1.718 |
2.187 |
2.588 |
2.913 |
3.155 |
3.310 |
3.379 |
3.363 |
3.265 |
3.091 |
2.850 |
2.552 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.225 |
-0.206 |
-0.158 |
-0.091 |
-0.040 |
0.000 |
0.030 |
0.053 |
0.069 |
0.079 |
0.085 |
0.088 |
0.088 |
0.085 |
0.080 |
0.074 |
0.066 |
0.057 |
0.048 |
0.038 |
0.028 |
0.018 |
0.008 |
-0.002 |
-0.011 |
-0.019 |
-0.027 |
-0.033 |
-0.039 |
-0.042 |
-0.045 |
-0.046 |
-0.046 |
-0.045 |
-0.042 |
-0.038 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.145 |
0.055 |
-0.035 |
-0.116 |
-0.164 |
-0.192 |
-0.203 |
-0.203 |
-0.195 |
-0.182 |
-0.165 |
-0.148 |
-0.130 |
-0.113 |
-0.097 |
-0.083 |
-0.071 |
-0.061 |
-0.052 |
-0.044 |
-0.038 |
-0.032 |
-0.027 |
-0.023 |
-0.019 |
-0.015 |
-0.011 |
-0.008 |
-0.004 |
0.000 |
0.003 |
0.006 |
0.009 |
0.012 |
0.015 |
0.016 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.080 |
-0.151 |
-0.193 |
-0.206 |
-0.204 |
-0.192 |
-0.173 |
-0.151 |
-0.126 |
-0.102 |
-0.080 |
-0.060 |
-0.042 |
-0.028 |
-0.017 |
-0.010 |
-0.005 |
-0.003 |
-0.004 |
-0.006 |
-0.010 |
-0.014 |
-0.019 |
-0.025 |
-0.030 |
-0.034 |
-0.038 |
-0.041 |
-0.043 |
-0.043 |
-0.042 |
-0.040 |
-0.037 |
-0.033 |
-0.028 |
-0.022 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
-0.043 |
-0.166 |
-0.340 |
-0.521 |
-0.704 |
-0.875 |
-1.027 |
-1.156 |
-1.261 |
-1.342 |
-1.399 |
-1.434 |
-1.450 |
-1.448 |
-1.433 |
-1.406 |
-1.371 |
-1.328 |
-1.282 |
-1.232 |
-1.182 |
-1.131 |
-1.081 |
-1.033 |
-0.986 |
-0.941 |
-0.897 |
-0.855 |
-0.814 |
-0.774 |
-0.734 |
-0.693 |
-0.653 |
-0.611 |
-0.568 |
-0.524 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.155 |
0.365 |
0.515 |
0.588 |
0.605 |
0.578 |
0.516 |
0.431 |
0.328 |
0.216 |
0.099 |
-0.018 |
-0.131 |
-0.237 |
-0.333 |
-0.419 |
-0.491 |
-0.549 |
-0.594 |
-0.624 |
-0.639 |
-0.641 |
-0.630 |
-0.607 |
-0.573 |
-0.530 |
-0.479 |
-0.422 |
-0.361 |
-0.297 |
-0.234 |
-0.171 |
-0.112 |
-0.057 |
-0.008 |
0.033 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
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|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.103 |
-0.226 |
-0.329 |
-0.408 |
-0.466 |
-0.506 |
-0.530 |
-0.539 |
-0.536 |
-0.522 |
-0.499 |
-0.469 |
-0.431 |
-0.388 |
-0.341 |
-0.291 |
-0.240 |
-0.188 |
-0.136 |
-0.087 |
-0.040 |
0.002 |
0.040 |
0.072 |
0.098 |
0.118 |
0.131 |
0.137 |
0.136 |
0.129 |
0.116 |
0.098 |
0.075 |
0.049 |
0.020 |
-0.012 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.016 |
-0.023 |
-0.018 |
-0.008 |
0.006 |
0.021 |
0.035 |
0.049 |
0.061 |
0.072 |
0.081 |
0.088 |
0.094 |
0.098 |
0.100 |
0.101 |
0.101 |
0.100 |
0.097 |
0.094 |
0.090 |
0.086 |
0.082 |
0.077 |
0.073 |
0.069 |
0.065 |
0.061 |
0.058 |
0.056 |
0.054 |
0.053 |
0.053 |
0.053 |
0.054 |
0.056 |
User cost |
uim |
-0.083 |
-0.190 |
-0.273 |
-0.338 |
-0.388 |
-0.421 |
-0.439 |
-0.442 |
-0.432 |
-0.412 |
-0.382 |
-0.345 |
-0.303 |
-0.257 |
-0.210 |
-0.164 |
-0.119 |
-0.077 |
-0.040 |
-0.007 |
0.019 |
0.038 |
0.051 |
0.057 |
0.057 |
0.050 |
0.038 |
0.020 |
-0.002 |
-0.027 |
-0.054 |
-0.083 |
-0.113 |
-0.141 |
-0.168 |
-0.193 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.218 |
-0.569 |
-0.828 |
-1.020 |
-1.155 |
-1.236 |
-1.269 |
-1.259 |
-1.215 |
-1.141 |
-1.045 |
-0.933 |
-0.809 |
-0.681 |
-0.553 |
-0.429 |
-0.314 |
-0.210 |
-0.121 |
-0.048 |
0.006 |
0.043 |
0.060 |
0.059 |
0.041 |
0.007 |
-0.041 |
-0.100 |
-0.169 |
-0.244 |
-0.323 |
-0.404 |
-0.483 |
-0.558 |
-0.627 |
-0.688 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.070 |
-0.173 |
-0.260 |
-0.332 |
-0.390 |
-0.432 |
-0.460 |
-0.474 |
-0.476 |
-0.466 |
-0.447 |
-0.420 |
-0.386 |
-0.348 |
-0.306 |
-0.264 |
-0.221 |
-0.180 |
-0.141 |
-0.107 |
-0.077 |
-0.053 |
-0.035 |
-0.023 |
-0.017 |
-0.018 |
-0.025 |
-0.038 |
-0.055 |
-0.076 |
-0.101 |
-0.128 |
-0.157 |
-0.186 |
-0.215 |
-0.242 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.056 |
-0.134 |
-0.198 |
-0.251 |
-0.293 |
-0.323 |
-0.342 |
-0.350 |
-0.348 |
-0.338 |
-0.320 |
-0.297 |
-0.269 |
-0.238 |
-0.205 |
-0.172 |
-0.140 |
-0.109 |
-0.082 |
-0.057 |
-0.037 |
-0.022 |
-0.011 |
-0.005 |
-0.004 |
-0.008 |
-0.016 |
-0.028 |
-0.043 |
-0.060 |
-0.080 |
-0.101 |
-0.122 |
-0.144 |
-0.164 |
-0.183 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
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|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
-0.137 |
-0.080 |
-0.021 |
0.027 |
0.049 |
0.057 |
0.055 |
0.047 |
0.035 |
0.022 |
0.008 |
-0.005 |
-0.016 |
-0.024 |
-0.031 |
-0.034 |
-0.035 |
-0.033 |
-0.030 |
-0.025 |
-0.018 |
-0.012 |
-0.005 |
0.002 |
0.008 |
0.014 |
0.018 |
0.020 |
0.022 |
0.021 |
0.020 |
0.016 |
0.012 |
0.006 |
0.000 |
-0.007 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.073 |
-0.169 |
-0.226 |
-0.255 |
-0.265 |
-0.261 |
-0.246 |
-0.223 |
-0.193 |
-0.160 |
-0.124 |
-0.088 |
-0.052 |
-0.019 |
0.012 |
0.038 |
0.060 |
0.078 |
0.090 |
0.097 |
0.098 |
0.095 |
0.088 |
0.076 |
0.061 |
0.044 |
0.024 |
0.004 |
-0.018 |
-0.039 |
-0.059 |
-0.078 |
-0.095 |
-0.110 |
-0.122 |
-0.130 |
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