|
|
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
2053 |
2054 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
1042.6 |
1470.1 |
1562.7 |
1218.0 |
736.6 |
170.8 |
-443.8 |
-1072.9 |
-1689.8 |
-2273.2 |
-2805.4 |
-3272.3 |
-3663.4 |
-3971.5 |
-4191.7 |
-4322.5 |
-4364.7 |
-4321.3 |
-4197.4 |
-3999.7 |
-3736.3 |
-3416.5 |
-3050.4 |
-2648.6 |
-2222.0 |
-1781.5 |
-1337.7 |
-900.9 |
-480.8 |
-86.0 |
275.5 |
597.0 |
872.8 |
1098.6 |
1271.1 |
1388.3 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
-57.8 |
-111.9 |
-156.1 |
-182.8 |
-200.1 |
-211.6 |
-219.2 |
-224.8 |
-229.8 |
-235.2 |
-241.9 |
-250.6 |
-261.7 |
-275.5 |
-292.1 |
-311.4 |
-333.3 |
-357.6 |
-383.7 |
-411.3 |
-440.0 |
-469.2 |
-498.5 |
-527.3 |
-555.1 |
-581.6 |
-606.4 |
-629.2 |
-649.6 |
-667.6 |
-682.9 |
-695.5 |
-705.5 |
-712.8 |
-717.7 |
-720.2 |
Investment |
fI |
433.2 |
1099.1 |
1676.8 |
2127.0 |
2427.3 |
2623.4 |
2732.5 |
2785.9 |
2807.9 |
2821.2 |
2842.2 |
2883.5 |
2953.2 |
3055.6 |
3192.3 |
3361.8 |
3561.0 |
3785.0 |
4027.8 |
4282.8 |
4543.2 |
4802.1 |
5053.0 |
5289.8 |
5507.1 |
5700.4 |
5866.0 |
6001.1 |
6104.1 |
6174.1 |
6211.3 |
6216.6 |
6191.7 |
6139.3 |
6062.3 |
5964.4 |
Export |
fE |
616.8 |
1777.2 |
3229.6 |
4928.5 |
6859.2 |
8949.4 |
11150.4 |
13412.5 |
15697.7 |
17969.4 |
20197.6 |
22354.7 |
24417.5 |
26365.8 |
28182.7 |
29854.2 |
31369.5 |
32720.6 |
33902.6 |
34913.0 |
35752.6 |
36424.4 |
36934.1 |
37289.9 |
37502.0 |
37582.7 |
37545.9 |
37407.2 |
37183.2 |
36891.4 |
36549.9 |
36177.0 |
35791.0 |
35409.6 |
35050.1 |
34728.6 |
Import |
fM |
638.4 |
1112.7 |
1512.3 |
1780.3 |
2072.4 |
2390.3 |
2734.3 |
3110.7 |
3523.4 |
3973.4 |
4460.6 |
4982.9 |
5536.3 |
6115.5 |
6714.6 |
7326.3 |
7942.7 |
8556.0 |
9157.9 |
9740.6 |
10296.6 |
10819.0 |
11301.6 |
11739.1 |
12127.4 |
12463.3 |
12744.8 |
12971.0 |
13142.2 |
13259.8 |
13326.3 |
13345.1 |
13320.5 |
13257.6 |
13162.1 |
13040.2 |
GDP |
fY |
1418.7 |
3083.8 |
4694.9 |
6193.4 |
7620.6 |
8986.8 |
10300.7 |
11572.2 |
12810.4 |
14021.6 |
15210.4 |
16378.5 |
17525.6 |
18649.0 |
19744.5 |
20806.4 |
21827.8 |
22801.3 |
23719.3 |
24574.5 |
25360.0 |
26070.0 |
26699.7 |
27245.7 |
27706.3 |
28081.1 |
28371.6 |
28580.8 |
28713.5 |
28775.7 |
28774.9 |
28719.6 |
28619.5 |
28484.9 |
28326.7 |
28155.9 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
1.411 |
3.572 |
5.905 |
8.222 |
10.492 |
12.681 |
14.776 |
16.772 |
18.666 |
20.459 |
22.150 |
23.736 |
25.215 |
26.583 |
27.836 |
28.968 |
29.974 |
30.850 |
31.594 |
32.202 |
32.675 |
33.013 |
33.219 |
33.299 |
33.257 |
33.103 |
32.846 |
32.496 |
32.067 |
31.570 |
31.019 |
30.428 |
29.810 |
29.179 |
28.547 |
27.926 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
14.332 |
12.085 |
10.910 |
9.796 |
8.694 |
7.632 |
6.618 |
5.651 |
4.734 |
3.867 |
3.049 |
2.282 |
1.567 |
0.906 |
0.302 |
-0.243 |
-0.727 |
-1.148 |
-1.504 |
-1.795 |
-2.019 |
-2.177 |
-2.272 |
-2.305 |
-2.280 |
-2.200 |
-2.071 |
-1.897 |
-1.685 |
-1.440 |
-1.170 |
-0.881 |
-0.579 |
-0.272 |
0.036 |
0.337 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.125 |
-0.101 |
-0.049 |
0.024 |
0.084 |
0.135 |
0.180 |
0.220 |
0.256 |
0.289 |
0.321 |
0.351 |
0.380 |
0.409 |
0.436 |
0.463 |
0.490 |
0.515 |
0.539 |
0.562 |
0.584 |
0.604 |
0.622 |
0.639 |
0.654 |
0.666 |
0.678 |
0.687 |
0.695 |
0.701 |
0.706 |
0.709 |
0.712 |
0.714 |
0.715 |
0.717 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.079 |
0.016 |
-0.050 |
-0.113 |
-0.147 |
-0.163 |
-0.166 |
-0.159 |
-0.145 |
-0.126 |
-0.106 |
-0.085 |
-0.065 |
-0.047 |
-0.030 |
-0.016 |
-0.004 |
0.006 |
0.012 |
0.017 |
0.020 |
0.021 |
0.021 |
0.020 |
0.017 |
0.015 |
0.012 |
0.009 |
0.006 |
0.003 |
0.000 |
-0.002 |
-0.003 |
-0.004 |
-0.005 |
-0.005 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.046 |
-0.085 |
-0.100 |
-0.089 |
-0.063 |
-0.028 |
0.014 |
0.061 |
0.111 |
0.163 |
0.215 |
0.266 |
0.315 |
0.362 |
0.406 |
0.448 |
0.486 |
0.521 |
0.552 |
0.580 |
0.604 |
0.625 |
0.643 |
0.658 |
0.671 |
0.681 |
0.689 |
0.695 |
0.700 |
0.703 |
0.706 |
0.708 |
0.709 |
0.710 |
0.711 |
0.712 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
-0.006 |
0.005 |
-0.002 |
0.000 |
0.023 |
0.074 |
0.158 |
0.279 |
0.436 |
0.631 |
0.860 |
1.124 |
1.418 |
1.740 |
2.086 |
2.454 |
2.840 |
3.241 |
3.654 |
4.075 |
4.502 |
4.933 |
5.365 |
5.796 |
6.224 |
6.648 |
7.066 |
7.478 |
7.883 |
8.279 |
8.668 |
9.048 |
9.420 |
9.783 |
10.139 |
10.487 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.116 |
0.266 |
0.361 |
0.382 |
0.344 |
0.257 |
0.128 |
-0.039 |
-0.237 |
-0.465 |
-0.719 |
-0.996 |
-1.295 |
-1.614 |
-1.952 |
-2.305 |
-2.674 |
-3.056 |
-3.448 |
-3.850 |
-4.259 |
-4.673 |
-5.090 |
-5.508 |
-5.924 |
-6.337 |
-6.745 |
-7.147 |
-7.540 |
-7.924 |
-8.298 |
-8.661 |
-9.013 |
-9.353 |
-9.681 |
-9.997 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.063 |
-0.141 |
-0.211 |
-0.272 |
-0.327 |
-0.377 |
-0.424 |
-0.468 |
-0.511 |
-0.553 |
-0.593 |
-0.632 |
-0.668 |
-0.702 |
-0.732 |
-0.759 |
-0.781 |
-0.799 |
-0.811 |
-0.819 |
-0.821 |
-0.817 |
-0.809 |
-0.796 |
-0.779 |
-0.758 |
-0.734 |
-0.707 |
-0.678 |
-0.647 |
-0.616 |
-0.585 |
-0.555 |
-0.525 |
-0.497 |
-0.472 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.018 |
-0.032 |
-0.040 |
-0.044 |
-0.045 |
-0.044 |
-0.043 |
-0.041 |
-0.038 |
-0.036 |
-0.033 |
-0.030 |
-0.027 |
-0.024 |
-0.021 |
-0.018 |
-0.015 |
-0.012 |
-0.009 |
-0.006 |
-0.004 |
-0.001 |
0.001 |
0.004 |
0.006 |
0.008 |
0.009 |
0.011 |
0.012 |
0.013 |
0.014 |
0.014 |
0.015 |
0.015 |
0.015 |
0.014 |
User cost |
uim |
-0.088 |
-0.210 |
-0.319 |
-0.421 |
-0.518 |
-0.607 |
-0.688 |
-0.761 |
-0.826 |
-0.883 |
-0.931 |
-0.971 |
-1.002 |
-1.026 |
-1.042 |
-1.051 |
-1.053 |
-1.049 |
-1.039 |
-1.024 |
-1.004 |
-0.981 |
-0.955 |
-0.926 |
-0.895 |
-0.864 |
-0.832 |
-0.800 |
-0.770 |
-0.740 |
-0.713 |
-0.688 |
-0.665 |
-0.646 |
-0.629 |
-0.616 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.231 |
-0.623 |
-0.953 |
-1.246 |
-1.508 |
-1.738 |
-1.937 |
-2.107 |
-2.248 |
-2.363 |
-2.453 |
-2.518 |
-2.561 |
-2.582 |
-2.584 |
-2.568 |
-2.535 |
-2.489 |
-2.429 |
-2.359 |
-2.281 |
-2.196 |
-2.106 |
-2.013 |
-1.920 |
-1.828 |
-1.738 |
-1.652 |
-1.572 |
-1.498 |
-1.432 |
-1.374 |
-1.325 |
-1.286 |
-1.256 |
-1.235 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.076 |
-0.192 |
-0.301 |
-0.405 |
-0.505 |
-0.599 |
-0.687 |
-0.768 |
-0.842 |
-0.909 |
-0.968 |
-1.018 |
-1.061 |
-1.096 |
-1.122 |
-1.141 |
-1.152 |
-1.156 |
-1.153 |
-1.144 |
-1.129 |
-1.109 |
-1.085 |
-1.058 |
-1.027 |
-0.995 |
-0.961 |
-0.927 |
-0.893 |
-0.860 |
-0.828 |
-0.798 |
-0.771 |
-0.746 |
-0.724 |
-0.706 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.059 |
-0.147 |
-0.228 |
-0.306 |
-0.379 |
-0.448 |
-0.510 |
-0.566 |
-0.616 |
-0.659 |
-0.696 |
-0.726 |
-0.749 |
-0.766 |
-0.777 |
-0.782 |
-0.782 |
-0.777 |
-0.767 |
-0.754 |
-0.736 |
-0.716 |
-0.694 |
-0.670 |
-0.644 |
-0.618 |
-0.592 |
-0.567 |
-0.542 |
-0.518 |
-0.496 |
-0.476 |
-0.458 |
-0.442 |
-0.430 |
-0.419 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
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|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
-0.072 |
-0.027 |
0.019 |
0.058 |
0.073 |
0.074 |
0.064 |
0.046 |
0.023 |
-0.004 |
-0.033 |
-0.062 |
-0.091 |
-0.119 |
-0.144 |
-0.168 |
-0.188 |
-0.206 |
-0.220 |
-0.232 |
-0.240 |
-0.246 |
-0.249 |
-0.250 |
-0.248 |
-0.245 |
-0.240 |
-0.234 |
-0.227 |
-0.219 |
-0.211 |
-0.202 |
-0.193 |
-0.185 |
-0.177 |
-0.170 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.074 |
-0.183 |
-0.262 |
-0.322 |
-0.369 |
-0.406 |
-0.433 |
-0.452 |
-0.464 |
-0.469 |
-0.468 |
-0.462 |
-0.451 |
-0.436 |
-0.417 |
-0.396 |
-0.373 |
-0.347 |
-0.321 |
-0.294 |
-0.267 |
-0.240 |
-0.214 |
-0.189 |
-0.166 |
-0.145 |
-0.126 |
-0.109 |
-0.095 |
-0.083 |
-0.074 |
-0.068 |
-0.064 |
-0.063 |
-0.065 |
-0.068 |
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