|
|
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
2053 |
2054 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
1042.6 |
1464.1 |
1535.9 |
1148.4 |
599.6 |
-58.8 |
-790.2 |
-1559.4 |
-2338.3 |
-3104.4 |
-3838.7 |
-4525.3 |
-5151.5 |
-5708.2 |
-6188.2 |
-6587.6 |
-6904.4 |
-7139.2 |
-7293.9 |
-7372.4 |
-7379.9 |
-7322.8 |
-7208.2 |
-7044.1 |
-6838.9 |
-6601.1 |
-6339.3 |
-6062.1 |
-5777.8 |
-5494.0 |
-5218.1 |
-4956.8 |
-4715.8 |
-4500.4 |
-4314.9 |
-4162.7 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
-57.8 |
-111.1 |
-153.1 |
-176.0 |
-187.9 |
-192.3 |
-191.6 |
-187.7 |
-182.2 |
-176.5 |
-171.6 |
-168.5 |
-167.8 |
-169.8 |
-174.9 |
-183.2 |
-194.6 |
-209.0 |
-226.1 |
-245.7 |
-267.3 |
-290.4 |
-314.8 |
-339.9 |
-365.3 |
-390.6 |
-415.5 |
-439.5 |
-462.3 |
-483.8 |
-503.6 |
-521.7 |
-538.0 |
-552.3 |
-564.7 |
-575.2 |
Investment |
fI |
433.2 |
1077.2 |
1597.8 |
1962.8 |
2158.1 |
2234.3 |
2212.5 |
2127.8 |
2007.7 |
1878.0 |
1757.6 |
1661.7 |
1600.4 |
1580.2 |
1603.8 |
1671.5 |
1781.2 |
1928.8 |
2109.4 |
2316.9 |
2544.8 |
2786.6 |
3035.7 |
3286.0 |
3531.8 |
3768.0 |
3990.0 |
4194.4 |
4378.0 |
4538.8 |
4675.5 |
4787.2 |
4873.9 |
4936.3 |
4975.4 |
4992.8 |
Export |
fE |
616.8 |
1704.0 |
2999.3 |
4474.4 |
6132.0 |
7915.7 |
9792.0 |
11724.3 |
13686.2 |
15651.1 |
17597.3 |
19504.2 |
21354.0 |
23130.6 |
24820.0 |
26410.2 |
27891.3 |
29255.2 |
30496.1 |
31610.2 |
32595.5 |
33452.5 |
34183.2 |
34791.7 |
35283.7 |
35666.8 |
35949.6 |
36142.2 |
36255.5 |
36301.5 |
36292.4 |
36240.9 |
36159.8 |
36061.7 |
35959.0 |
35863.4 |
Import |
fM |
638.4 |
1065.1 |
1353.4 |
1459.9 |
1550.6 |
1635.3 |
1722.1 |
1823.7 |
1949.8 |
2106.6 |
2298.5 |
2527.2 |
2792.8 |
3093.2 |
3425.3 |
3784.3 |
4165.0 |
4561.4 |
4967.2 |
5376.0 |
5781.5 |
6178.0 |
6559.7 |
6921.9 |
7260.1 |
7571.0 |
7851.6 |
8099.9 |
8314.8 |
8495.8 |
8643.2 |
8757.9 |
8841.4 |
8895.9 |
8924.0 |
8928.6 |
GDP |
fY |
1418.7 |
3031.2 |
4520.2 |
5831.3 |
7018.6 |
8104.6 |
9109.7 |
10054.9 |
10959.4 |
11838.5 |
12704.2 |
13565.0 |
14426.6 |
15290.5 |
16156.6 |
17022.0 |
17882.0 |
18730.7 |
19561.7 |
20367.7 |
21142.0 |
21877.8 |
22569.2 |
23211.3 |
23800.0 |
24332.6 |
24807.4 |
25224.1 |
25583.8 |
25888.4 |
26141.1 |
26346.2 |
26508.5 |
26633.8 |
26728.2 |
26798.4 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
1.411 |
3.524 |
5.737 |
7.866 |
9.891 |
11.795 |
13.577 |
15.249 |
16.822 |
18.308 |
19.716 |
21.052 |
22.321 |
23.522 |
24.654 |
25.714 |
26.696 |
27.596 |
28.409 |
29.130 |
29.756 |
30.285 |
30.713 |
31.043 |
31.276 |
31.415 |
31.465 |
31.431 |
31.321 |
31.142 |
30.903 |
30.613 |
30.282 |
29.918 |
29.532 |
29.132 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
14.332 |
12.111 |
10.997 |
9.977 |
8.996 |
8.076 |
7.214 |
6.406 |
5.645 |
4.926 |
4.244 |
3.597 |
2.983 |
2.402 |
1.854 |
1.342 |
0.868 |
0.433 |
0.042 |
-0.305 |
-0.606 |
-0.858 |
-1.063 |
-1.219 |
-1.328 |
-1.392 |
-1.412 |
-1.392 |
-1.335 |
-1.245 |
-1.127 |
-0.984 |
-0.821 |
-0.643 |
-0.454 |
-0.259 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.125 |
-0.102 |
-0.053 |
0.017 |
0.071 |
0.115 |
0.153 |
0.185 |
0.214 |
0.239 |
0.263 |
0.287 |
0.310 |
0.333 |
0.356 |
0.379 |
0.403 |
0.426 |
0.450 |
0.472 |
0.495 |
0.516 |
0.537 |
0.556 |
0.575 |
0.591 |
0.607 |
0.621 |
0.634 |
0.645 |
0.655 |
0.665 |
0.672 |
0.680 |
0.686 |
0.691 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.079 |
0.016 |
-0.050 |
-0.112 |
-0.144 |
-0.158 |
-0.159 |
-0.149 |
-0.132 |
-0.112 |
-0.089 |
-0.066 |
-0.044 |
-0.024 |
-0.005 |
0.010 |
0.023 |
0.033 |
0.041 |
0.046 |
0.049 |
0.050 |
0.049 |
0.048 |
0.045 |
0.041 |
0.037 |
0.033 |
0.029 |
0.025 |
0.021 |
0.017 |
0.014 |
0.012 |
0.009 |
0.008 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.046 |
-0.086 |
-0.103 |
-0.095 |
-0.073 |
-0.043 |
-0.006 |
0.036 |
0.081 |
0.127 |
0.174 |
0.221 |
0.266 |
0.309 |
0.351 |
0.389 |
0.426 |
0.459 |
0.490 |
0.518 |
0.543 |
0.566 |
0.586 |
0.604 |
0.619 |
0.633 |
0.644 |
0.654 |
0.663 |
0.670 |
0.676 |
0.682 |
0.687 |
0.691 |
0.695 |
0.699 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
-0.006 |
0.005 |
-0.001 |
0.001 |
0.022 |
0.067 |
0.143 |
0.251 |
0.392 |
0.565 |
0.771 |
1.006 |
1.269 |
1.556 |
1.866 |
2.196 |
2.542 |
2.901 |
3.272 |
3.652 |
4.038 |
4.428 |
4.820 |
5.213 |
5.605 |
5.995 |
6.381 |
6.763 |
7.139 |
7.510 |
7.876 |
8.234 |
8.587 |
8.933 |
9.273 |
9.607 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.116 |
0.268 |
0.369 |
0.400 |
0.380 |
0.317 |
0.219 |
0.091 |
-0.061 |
-0.237 |
-0.432 |
-0.646 |
-0.877 |
-1.125 |
-1.390 |
-1.671 |
-1.966 |
-2.275 |
-2.598 |
-2.933 |
-3.278 |
-3.633 |
-3.996 |
-4.365 |
-4.738 |
-5.114 |
-5.492 |
-5.869 |
-6.245 |
-6.617 |
-6.986 |
-7.349 |
-7.706 |
-8.057 |
-8.400 |
-8.736 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.063 |
-0.138 |
-0.203 |
-0.256 |
-0.302 |
-0.343 |
-0.381 |
-0.418 |
-0.455 |
-0.493 |
-0.531 |
-0.570 |
-0.608 |
-0.647 |
-0.684 |
-0.719 |
-0.751 |
-0.781 |
-0.806 |
-0.828 |
-0.845 |
-0.858 |
-0.866 |
-0.869 |
-0.869 |
-0.864 |
-0.855 |
-0.843 |
-0.829 |
-0.812 |
-0.793 |
-0.772 |
-0.751 |
-0.729 |
-0.707 |
-0.686 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.018 |
-0.031 |
-0.037 |
-0.038 |
-0.036 |
-0.032 |
-0.028 |
-0.023 |
-0.018 |
-0.013 |
-0.009 |
-0.004 |
0.000 |
0.004 |
0.008 |
0.012 |
0.016 |
0.019 |
0.023 |
0.026 |
0.029 |
0.032 |
0.035 |
0.038 |
0.040 |
0.042 |
0.044 |
0.046 |
0.047 |
0.048 |
0.049 |
0.050 |
0.050 |
0.050 |
0.050 |
0.050 |
User cost |
uim |
-0.088 |
-0.210 |
-0.319 |
-0.422 |
-0.520 |
-0.612 |
-0.697 |
-0.776 |
-0.848 |
-0.913 |
-0.972 |
-1.023 |
-1.069 |
-1.107 |
-1.139 |
-1.165 |
-1.184 |
-1.198 |
-1.206 |
-1.209 |
-1.207 |
-1.201 |
-1.191 |
-1.178 |
-1.162 |
-1.144 |
-1.124 |
-1.103 |
-1.081 |
-1.059 |
-1.036 |
-1.015 |
-0.994 |
-0.975 |
-0.957 |
-0.941 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.231 |
-0.623 |
-0.956 |
-1.253 |
-1.522 |
-1.764 |
-1.979 |
-2.170 |
-2.337 |
-2.482 |
-2.607 |
-2.711 |
-2.796 |
-2.862 |
-2.911 |
-2.944 |
-2.961 |
-2.964 |
-2.954 |
-2.933 |
-2.901 |
-2.859 |
-2.811 |
-2.756 |
-2.696 |
-2.633 |
-2.569 |
-2.503 |
-2.439 |
-2.376 |
-2.316 |
-2.260 |
-2.208 |
-2.161 |
-2.119 |
-2.083 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.076 |
-0.192 |
-0.302 |
-0.407 |
-0.509 |
-0.607 |
-0.700 |
-0.789 |
-0.871 |
-0.949 |
-1.020 |
-1.085 |
-1.144 |
-1.196 |
-1.242 |
-1.281 |
-1.313 |
-1.338 |
-1.357 |
-1.370 |
-1.378 |
-1.380 |
-1.376 |
-1.369 |
-1.357 |
-1.342 |
-1.325 |
-1.305 |
-1.283 |
-1.261 |
-1.238 |
-1.214 |
-1.191 |
-1.169 |
-1.148 |
-1.129 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.059 |
-0.147 |
-0.229 |
-0.307 |
-0.383 |
-0.454 |
-0.520 |
-0.582 |
-0.638 |
-0.689 |
-0.735 |
-0.775 |
-0.810 |
-0.840 |
-0.864 |
-0.883 |
-0.897 |
-0.907 |
-0.912 |
-0.914 |
-0.911 |
-0.905 |
-0.896 |
-0.885 |
-0.871 |
-0.855 |
-0.839 |
-0.821 |
-0.803 |
-0.785 |
-0.767 |
-0.749 |
-0.733 |
-0.717 |
-0.703 |
-0.690 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
-0.072 |
-0.026 |
0.022 |
0.063 |
0.080 |
0.083 |
0.075 |
0.058 |
0.036 |
0.009 |
-0.019 |
-0.049 |
-0.078 |
-0.107 |
-0.134 |
-0.159 |
-0.181 |
-0.201 |
-0.219 |
-0.233 |
-0.245 |
-0.254 |
-0.261 |
-0.266 |
-0.268 |
-0.269 |
-0.268 |
-0.265 |
-0.262 |
-0.257 |
-0.252 |
-0.247 |
-0.241 |
-0.235 |
-0.229 |
-0.223 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.074 |
-0.182 |
-0.261 |
-0.320 |
-0.368 |
-0.406 |
-0.436 |
-0.459 |
-0.475 |
-0.486 |
-0.492 |
-0.494 |
-0.492 |
-0.485 |
-0.476 |
-0.463 |
-0.449 |
-0.432 |
-0.413 |
-0.393 |
-0.372 |
-0.351 |
-0.329 |
-0.308 |
-0.288 |
-0.268 |
-0.249 |
-0.232 |
-0.217 |
-0.203 |
-0.191 |
-0.180 |
-0.172 |
-0.166 |
-0.161 |
-0.158 |
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