|
|
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
2053 |
2054 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
1130.9 |
1867.8 |
2435.6 |
2924.5 |
3339.5 |
3710.1 |
4040.3 |
4333.2 |
4590.7 |
4814.9 |
5007.5 |
5170.3 |
5305.1 |
5414.2 |
5499.4 |
5563.2 |
5607.8 |
5635.6 |
5648.8 |
5650.0 |
5641.5 |
5625.7 |
5604.9 |
5581.4 |
5557.4 |
5534.9 |
5516.1 |
5502.6 |
5496.2 |
5498.2 |
5510.0 |
5532.6 |
5566.9 |
5613.4 |
5672.7 |
5744.8 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
-45.4 |
-87.6 |
-122.5 |
-151.8 |
-175.7 |
-195.2 |
-210.9 |
-223.1 |
-232.1 |
-238.4 |
-242.3 |
-244.0 |
-244.1 |
-242.6 |
-240.1 |
-236.7 |
-232.8 |
-228.4 |
-224.0 |
-219.7 |
-215.5 |
-211.8 |
-208.5 |
-205.8 |
-203.8 |
-202.6 |
-202.1 |
-202.4 |
-203.5 |
-205.4 |
-208.2 |
-211.7 |
-216.0 |
-220.9 |
-226.5 |
-232.7 |
Investment |
fI |
340.9 |
819.4 |
1197.1 |
1501.0 |
1731.5 |
1890.8 |
1987.4 |
2029.6 |
2026.5 |
1986.2 |
1916.6 |
1824.7 |
1716.7 |
1598.1 |
1473.6 |
1347.3 |
1222.7 |
1102.5 |
989.2 |
884.3 |
789.4 |
705.5 |
633.1 |
572.6 |
524.2 |
487.8 |
463.1 |
449.5 |
446.7 |
453.8 |
470.2 |
494.9 |
527.0 |
565.8 |
610.1 |
659.0 |
Export |
fE |
-19.3 |
-75.8 |
-173.0 |
-305.2 |
-471.0 |
-671.2 |
-904.9 |
-1168.0 |
-1455.2 |
-1760.0 |
-2075.5 |
-2394.5 |
-2710.2 |
-3016.1 |
-3306.3 |
-3575.6 |
-3819.6 |
-4035.0 |
-4219.1 |
-4370.5 |
-4488.2 |
-4572.6 |
-4624.4 |
-4645.2 |
-4637.3 |
-4603.4 |
-4546.6 |
-4470.4 |
-4378.6 |
-4274.8 |
-4163.0 |
-4047.0 |
-3930.5 |
-3816.9 |
-3709.5 |
-3611.4 |
Import |
fM |
619.5 |
1054.4 |
1342.6 |
1545.9 |
1689.4 |
1788.8 |
1846.6 |
1867.2 |
1855.4 |
1816.0 |
1753.8 |
1673.3 |
1578.8 |
1474.5 |
1364.2 |
1251.3 |
1138.9 |
1029.9 |
926.6 |
831.0 |
744.9 |
669.5 |
605.9 |
554.7 |
516.3 |
491.0 |
478.5 |
478.5 |
490.6 |
513.9 |
547.6 |
590.7 |
642.2 |
700.9 |
765.6 |
835.1 |
GDP |
fY |
831.0 |
1545.8 |
2097.3 |
2545.2 |
2873.6 |
3098.3 |
3229.7 |
3278.8 |
3257.2 |
3176.6 |
3048.6 |
2884.3 |
2694.1 |
2487.6 |
2273.6 |
2059.8 |
1852.8 |
1658.3 |
1481.0 |
1324.3 |
1191.2 |
1083.2 |
1001.7 |
946.9 |
918.5 |
915.8 |
937.4 |
981.7 |
1046.8 |
1130.5 |
1230.3 |
1343.8 |
1468.5 |
1601.7 |
1741.0 |
1884.0 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
0.589 |
1.227 |
1.757 |
2.176 |
2.463 |
2.616 |
2.648 |
2.574 |
2.412 |
2.180 |
1.896 |
1.575 |
1.234 |
0.886 |
0.542 |
0.213 |
-0.094 |
-0.372 |
-0.616 |
-0.825 |
-0.995 |
-1.127 |
-1.221 |
-1.279 |
-1.303 |
-1.295 |
-1.260 |
-1.200 |
-1.119 |
-1.022 |
-0.910 |
-0.790 |
-0.663 |
-0.533 |
-0.403 |
-0.276 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
-0.311 |
-0.623 |
-0.877 |
-1.076 |
-1.210 |
-1.279 |
-1.289 |
-1.249 |
-1.166 |
-1.051 |
-0.910 |
-0.753 |
-0.586 |
-0.416 |
-0.249 |
-0.090 |
0.059 |
0.192 |
0.310 |
0.410 |
0.491 |
0.554 |
0.598 |
0.624 |
0.635 |
0.630 |
0.611 |
0.581 |
0.541 |
0.493 |
0.438 |
0.379 |
0.317 |
0.254 |
0.191 |
0.129 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.117 |
-0.096 |
-0.076 |
-0.062 |
-0.052 |
-0.046 |
-0.044 |
-0.046 |
-0.050 |
-0.057 |
-0.066 |
-0.076 |
-0.087 |
-0.098 |
-0.109 |
-0.121 |
-0.131 |
-0.142 |
-0.152 |
-0.161 |
-0.169 |
-0.177 |
-0.184 |
-0.190 |
-0.195 |
-0.199 |
-0.203 |
-0.207 |
-0.209 |
-0.212 |
-0.214 |
-0.215 |
-0.217 |
-0.218 |
-0.219 |
-0.220 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.085 |
0.041 |
0.004 |
-0.021 |
-0.041 |
-0.056 |
-0.065 |
-0.070 |
-0.073 |
-0.072 |
-0.070 |
-0.067 |
-0.063 |
-0.058 |
-0.053 |
-0.047 |
-0.042 |
-0.037 |
-0.033 |
-0.029 |
-0.025 |
-0.021 |
-0.018 |
-0.016 |
-0.013 |
-0.011 |
-0.010 |
-0.009 |
-0.008 |
-0.007 |
-0.007 |
-0.006 |
-0.006 |
-0.006 |
-0.007 |
-0.007 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.033 |
-0.055 |
-0.071 |
-0.083 |
-0.093 |
-0.102 |
-0.109 |
-0.116 |
-0.123 |
-0.130 |
-0.136 |
-0.143 |
-0.149 |
-0.156 |
-0.162 |
-0.168 |
-0.174 |
-0.179 |
-0.185 |
-0.189 |
-0.194 |
-0.198 |
-0.202 |
-0.205 |
-0.208 |
-0.211 |
-0.213 |
-0.215 |
-0.217 |
-0.219 |
-0.220 |
-0.222 |
-0.223 |
-0.224 |
-0.226 |
-0.227 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
-0.013 |
-0.102 |
-0.201 |
-0.304 |
-0.412 |
-0.521 |
-0.632 |
-0.743 |
-0.854 |
-0.964 |
-1.075 |
-1.185 |
-1.295 |
-1.405 |
-1.515 |
-1.625 |
-1.735 |
-1.845 |
-1.955 |
-2.065 |
-2.174 |
-2.283 |
-2.391 |
-2.498 |
-2.604 |
-2.710 |
-2.813 |
-2.916 |
-3.017 |
-3.116 |
-3.214 |
-3.310 |
-3.405 |
-3.498 |
-3.590 |
-3.681 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.058 |
0.130 |
0.182 |
0.219 |
0.246 |
0.267 |
0.286 |
0.307 |
0.332 |
0.363 |
0.403 |
0.451 |
0.509 |
0.576 |
0.652 |
0.737 |
0.829 |
0.929 |
1.035 |
1.147 |
1.262 |
1.381 |
1.502 |
1.624 |
1.747 |
1.870 |
1.992 |
2.113 |
2.232 |
2.348 |
2.462 |
2.573 |
2.681 |
2.787 |
2.889 |
2.988 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.026 |
-0.045 |
-0.051 |
-0.048 |
-0.037 |
-0.020 |
0.001 |
0.026 |
0.051 |
0.078 |
0.104 |
0.129 |
0.152 |
0.174 |
0.192 |
0.209 |
0.223 |
0.234 |
0.242 |
0.248 |
0.252 |
0.254 |
0.253 |
0.251 |
0.248 |
0.243 |
0.237 |
0.231 |
0.224 |
0.216 |
0.209 |
0.201 |
0.194 |
0.187 |
0.180 |
0.174 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.010 |
-0.017 |
-0.020 |
-0.021 |
-0.021 |
-0.020 |
-0.019 |
-0.018 |
-0.017 |
-0.016 |
-0.016 |
-0.016 |
-0.016 |
-0.016 |
-0.017 |
-0.017 |
-0.018 |
-0.018 |
-0.019 |
-0.020 |
-0.021 |
-0.022 |
-0.022 |
-0.023 |
-0.023 |
-0.024 |
-0.024 |
-0.024 |
-0.025 |
-0.025 |
-0.025 |
-0.025 |
-0.025 |
-0.025 |
-0.024 |
-0.024 |
User cost |
uim |
0.001 |
0.003 |
0.009 |
0.018 |
0.029 |
0.041 |
0.055 |
0.070 |
0.084 |
0.098 |
0.111 |
0.123 |
0.134 |
0.143 |
0.150 |
0.155 |
0.159 |
0.161 |
0.161 |
0.159 |
0.157 |
0.153 |
0.148 |
0.143 |
0.136 |
0.130 |
0.123 |
0.116 |
0.110 |
0.103 |
0.097 |
0.091 |
0.086 |
0.081 |
0.077 |
0.074 |
Wage |
lna |
0.006 |
0.021 |
0.045 |
0.076 |
0.113 |
0.153 |
0.194 |
0.235 |
0.274 |
0.310 |
0.343 |
0.370 |
0.393 |
0.410 |
0.422 |
0.429 |
0.431 |
0.428 |
0.421 |
0.411 |
0.397 |
0.381 |
0.364 |
0.345 |
0.325 |
0.305 |
0.285 |
0.266 |
0.248 |
0.231 |
0.216 |
0.203 |
0.191 |
0.182 |
0.174 |
0.169 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
0.004 |
0.008 |
0.015 |
0.026 |
0.039 |
0.054 |
0.070 |
0.088 |
0.105 |
0.122 |
0.138 |
0.154 |
0.167 |
0.179 |
0.189 |
0.196 |
0.202 |
0.206 |
0.208 |
0.208 |
0.206 |
0.203 |
0.199 |
0.194 |
0.188 |
0.181 |
0.174 |
0.166 |
0.159 |
0.151 |
0.144 |
0.137 |
0.131 |
0.125 |
0.120 |
0.115 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
0.001 |
0.005 |
0.011 |
0.018 |
0.028 |
0.038 |
0.049 |
0.061 |
0.072 |
0.083 |
0.093 |
0.103 |
0.111 |
0.117 |
0.123 |
0.127 |
0.129 |
0.130 |
0.130 |
0.129 |
0.126 |
0.123 |
0.119 |
0.115 |
0.110 |
0.104 |
0.099 |
0.094 |
0.088 |
0.083 |
0.078 |
0.074 |
0.070 |
0.066 |
0.063 |
0.061 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
-0.077 |
-0.043 |
-0.012 |
0.008 |
0.025 |
0.039 |
0.050 |
0.059 |
0.066 |
0.072 |
0.076 |
0.080 |
0.083 |
0.085 |
0.086 |
0.087 |
0.088 |
0.088 |
0.088 |
0.087 |
0.087 |
0.086 |
0.085 |
0.084 |
0.083 |
0.081 |
0.080 |
0.078 |
0.077 |
0.075 |
0.073 |
0.072 |
0.070 |
0.069 |
0.068 |
0.067 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.006 |
-0.007 |
-0.002 |
0.006 |
0.015 |
0.024 |
0.033 |
0.041 |
0.048 |
0.053 |
0.057 |
0.059 |
0.059 |
0.059 |
0.057 |
0.054 |
0.049 |
0.045 |
0.039 |
0.034 |
0.028 |
0.022 |
0.016 |
0.010 |
0.005 |
0.000 |
-0.005 |
-0.008 |
-0.012 |
-0.014 |
-0.017 |
-0.018 |
-0.019 |
-0.019 |
-0.019 |
-0.019 |
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