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|
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
2053 |
2054 |
|
|
Million 2010-kr. |
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|
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|
|
|
|
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|
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|
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|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
323.2 |
677.1 |
1005.7 |
1332.7 |
1647.4 |
1965.1 |
2283.7 |
2596.8 |
2898.5 |
3184.2 |
3449.7 |
3692.1 |
3908.8 |
4098.7 |
4260.7 |
4395.0 |
4502.0 |
4582.7 |
4638.4 |
4671.1 |
4682.9 |
4676.2 |
4653.6 |
4617.9 |
4572.0 |
4518.8 |
4461.0 |
4401.6 |
4343.1 |
4288.0 |
4238.7 |
4197.2 |
4165.3 |
4144.7 |
4136.5 |
4141.8 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
3158.4 |
3209.1 |
3261.3 |
3314.0 |
3367.8 |
3422.3 |
3477.6 |
3533.8 |
3591.2 |
3649.9 |
3710.0 |
3771.8 |
3835.1 |
3900.1 |
3966.8 |
4035.0 |
4104.7 |
4175.8 |
4248.2 |
4321.8 |
4396.5 |
4472.1 |
4548.7 |
4625.9 |
4703.8 |
4782.3 |
4861.3 |
4940.6 |
5020.4 |
5100.5 |
5180.9 |
5261.7 |
5342.8 |
5424.2 |
5506.1 |
5588.4 |
Investment |
fI |
478.4 |
750.2 |
719.7 |
730.0 |
770.1 |
809.3 |
841.6 |
863.4 |
874.0 |
872.1 |
857.3 |
829.5 |
789.2 |
737.1 |
674.5 |
602.9 |
524.0 |
439.7 |
351.9 |
262.4 |
173.1 |
85.8 |
2.0 |
-76.6 |
-148.9 |
-213.8 |
-270.4 |
-318.0 |
-356.2 |
-384.8 |
-403.7 |
-413.1 |
-413.2 |
-404.7 |
-388.1 |
-364.1 |
Export |
fE |
-161.6 |
-433.1 |
-778.2 |
-1186.7 |
-1655.0 |
-2171.7 |
-2728.6 |
-3314.9 |
-3921.2 |
-4537.7 |
-5155.4 |
-5766.0 |
-6361.5 |
-6935.1 |
-7480.6 |
-7992.6 |
-8467.0 |
-8900.2 |
-9289.8 |
-9634.2 |
-9932.6 |
-10185.2 |
-10393.0 |
-10557.6 |
-10681.5 |
-10767.6 |
-10819.4 |
-10840.7 |
-10835.7 |
-10809.0 |
-10765.1 |
-10708.7 |
-10644.4 |
-10576.8 |
-10510.2 |
-10448.8 |
Import |
fM |
701.7 |
958.9 |
1016.5 |
1060.5 |
1095.7 |
1117.6 |
1122.0 |
1107.2 |
1073.4 |
1021.2 |
952.0 |
867.3 |
768.9 |
659.1 |
540.2 |
414.8 |
285.2 |
154.0 |
23.6 |
-103.8 |
-226.1 |
-341.4 |
-448.1 |
-544.6 |
-629.9 |
-703.0 |
-763.3 |
-810.5 |
-844.4 |
-865.3 |
-873.4 |
-869.5 |
-854.2 |
-828.5 |
-793.4 |
-750.3 |
GDP |
fY |
3049.8 |
3235.3 |
3206.6 |
3153.6 |
3068.4 |
2953.5 |
2811.3 |
2644.2 |
2454.9 |
2246.4 |
2021.8 |
1784.9 |
1539.2 |
1288.9 |
1038.0 |
790.3 |
549.9 |
320.3 |
104.8 |
-93.6 |
-272.4 |
-429.4 |
-563.1 |
-672.3 |
-756.3 |
-814.9 |
-848.3 |
-857.3 |
-842.8 |
-806.3 |
-749.5 |
-674.5 |
-583.3 |
-478.4 |
-362.2 |
-237.3 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
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|
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|
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|
|
Employment |
Q |
5.751 |
5.902 |
5.791 |
5.581 |
5.291 |
4.936 |
4.532 |
4.093 |
3.630 |
3.152 |
2.668 |
2.186 |
1.712 |
1.253 |
0.816 |
0.406 |
0.026 |
-0.320 |
-0.627 |
-0.896 |
-1.124 |
-1.310 |
-1.456 |
-1.562 |
-1.630 |
-1.661 |
-1.659 |
-1.627 |
-1.567 |
-1.483 |
-1.379 |
-1.259 |
-1.126 |
-0.983 |
-0.835 |
-0.685 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
-3.035 |
-2.881 |
-2.810 |
-2.705 |
-2.561 |
-2.386 |
-2.187 |
-1.972 |
-1.746 |
-1.513 |
-1.277 |
-1.043 |
-0.813 |
-0.590 |
-0.379 |
-0.180 |
0.003 |
0.170 |
0.318 |
0.447 |
0.556 |
0.645 |
0.714 |
0.764 |
0.796 |
0.809 |
0.807 |
0.790 |
0.760 |
0.718 |
0.666 |
0.607 |
0.542 |
0.472 |
0.400 |
0.327 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
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|
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|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.071 |
-0.062 |
-0.064 |
-0.072 |
-0.080 |
-0.089 |
-0.099 |
-0.110 |
-0.120 |
-0.132 |
-0.144 |
-0.156 |
-0.168 |
-0.180 |
-0.192 |
-0.205 |
-0.217 |
-0.228 |
-0.239 |
-0.250 |
-0.261 |
-0.270 |
-0.279 |
-0.288 |
-0.296 |
-0.303 |
-0.310 |
-0.316 |
-0.321 |
-0.326 |
-0.331 |
-0.335 |
-0.338 |
-0.342 |
-0.345 |
-0.348 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.028 |
0.013 |
0.011 |
0.012 |
0.011 |
0.009 |
0.006 |
0.003 |
-0.001 |
-0.004 |
-0.007 |
-0.010 |
-0.013 |
-0.015 |
-0.017 |
-0.018 |
-0.018 |
-0.018 |
-0.018 |
-0.018 |
-0.017 |
-0.016 |
-0.015 |
-0.013 |
-0.012 |
-0.010 |
-0.009 |
-0.007 |
-0.006 |
-0.005 |
-0.004 |
-0.003 |
-0.002 |
-0.002 |
-0.002 |
-0.001 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.043 |
-0.049 |
-0.053 |
-0.060 |
-0.070 |
-0.081 |
-0.093 |
-0.107 |
-0.121 |
-0.136 |
-0.151 |
-0.166 |
-0.181 |
-0.195 |
-0.209 |
-0.222 |
-0.235 |
-0.247 |
-0.258 |
-0.268 |
-0.278 |
-0.286 |
-0.294 |
-0.301 |
-0.308 |
-0.313 |
-0.319 |
-0.323 |
-0.327 |
-0.331 |
-0.334 |
-0.338 |
-0.341 |
-0.343 |
-0.346 |
-0.349 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
-0.131 |
-0.223 |
-0.306 |
-0.386 |
-0.474 |
-0.567 |
-0.667 |
-0.774 |
-0.888 |
-1.009 |
-1.138 |
-1.273 |
-1.414 |
-1.562 |
-1.714 |
-1.872 |
-2.033 |
-2.198 |
-2.366 |
-2.536 |
-2.707 |
-2.880 |
-3.053 |
-3.226 |
-3.399 |
-3.570 |
-3.741 |
-3.910 |
-4.077 |
-4.242 |
-4.404 |
-4.565 |
-4.724 |
-4.880 |
-5.034 |
-5.185 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
-0.021 |
0.011 |
0.047 |
0.090 |
0.140 |
0.198 |
0.263 |
0.336 |
0.418 |
0.509 |
0.609 |
0.718 |
0.836 |
0.962 |
1.096 |
1.239 |
1.388 |
1.544 |
1.705 |
1.872 |
2.044 |
2.218 |
2.396 |
2.576 |
2.756 |
2.938 |
3.119 |
3.299 |
3.478 |
3.655 |
3.829 |
4.001 |
4.170 |
4.335 |
4.498 |
4.656 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
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|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.120 |
-0.112 |
-0.094 |
-0.075 |
-0.054 |
-0.032 |
-0.009 |
0.015 |
0.039 |
0.062 |
0.086 |
0.108 |
0.130 |
0.150 |
0.168 |
0.185 |
0.200 |
0.212 |
0.223 |
0.231 |
0.237 |
0.241 |
0.244 |
0.244 |
0.242 |
0.239 |
0.235 |
0.230 |
0.223 |
0.216 |
0.209 |
0.200 |
0.192 |
0.184 |
0.176 |
0.168 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
0.073 |
0.075 |
0.080 |
0.083 |
0.085 |
0.086 |
0.087 |
0.087 |
0.087 |
0.086 |
0.085 |
0.084 |
0.083 |
0.082 |
0.081 |
0.079 |
0.078 |
0.077 |
0.075 |
0.074 |
0.073 |
0.072 |
0.071 |
0.070 |
0.069 |
0.068 |
0.068 |
0.067 |
0.067 |
0.066 |
0.066 |
0.066 |
0.066 |
0.066 |
0.066 |
0.066 |
User cost |
uim |
0.028 |
0.059 |
0.091 |
0.123 |
0.155 |
0.186 |
0.217 |
0.246 |
0.273 |
0.298 |
0.320 |
0.340 |
0.358 |
0.373 |
0.386 |
0.396 |
0.404 |
0.409 |
0.412 |
0.413 |
0.412 |
0.409 |
0.405 |
0.400 |
0.394 |
0.387 |
0.379 |
0.371 |
0.363 |
0.355 |
0.347 |
0.339 |
0.332 |
0.325 |
0.319 |
0.313 |
Wage |
lna |
0.053 |
0.148 |
0.238 |
0.325 |
0.409 |
0.489 |
0.563 |
0.632 |
0.693 |
0.748 |
0.795 |
0.835 |
0.868 |
0.894 |
0.913 |
0.925 |
0.930 |
0.930 |
0.925 |
0.916 |
0.902 |
0.885 |
0.865 |
0.843 |
0.819 |
0.795 |
0.770 |
0.745 |
0.721 |
0.698 |
0.676 |
0.656 |
0.638 |
0.622 |
0.608 |
0.596 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
0.018 |
0.046 |
0.075 |
0.105 |
0.136 |
0.167 |
0.198 |
0.229 |
0.258 |
0.285 |
0.311 |
0.335 |
0.356 |
0.375 |
0.391 |
0.404 |
0.415 |
0.424 |
0.430 |
0.433 |
0.435 |
0.434 |
0.432 |
0.428 |
0.422 |
0.416 |
0.408 |
0.400 |
0.392 |
0.383 |
0.374 |
0.365 |
0.357 |
0.349 |
0.341 |
0.334 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
0.014 |
0.035 |
0.056 |
0.079 |
0.102 |
0.124 |
0.146 |
0.167 |
0.186 |
0.204 |
0.221 |
0.235 |
0.248 |
0.259 |
0.268 |
0.274 |
0.279 |
0.282 |
0.284 |
0.284 |
0.282 |
0.280 |
0.276 |
0.271 |
0.266 |
0.259 |
0.253 |
0.246 |
0.239 |
0.233 |
0.226 |
0.220 |
0.214 |
0.209 |
0.204 |
0.199 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
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Consumption ratio |
bcp |
-0.046 |
-0.035 |
-0.026 |
-0.022 |
-0.018 |
-0.013 |
-0.006 |
0.001 |
0.009 |
0.017 |
0.026 |
0.034 |
0.042 |
0.050 |
0.057 |
0.063 |
0.069 |
0.074 |
0.079 |
0.082 |
0.085 |
0.087 |
0.089 |
0.090 |
0.090 |
0.090 |
0.089 |
0.088 |
0.087 |
0.086 |
0.084 |
0.082 |
0.080 |
0.079 |
0.077 |
0.075 |
Wage share |
byw |
0.046 |
0.071 |
0.095 |
0.116 |
0.134 |
0.149 |
0.162 |
0.171 |
0.179 |
0.184 |
0.188 |
0.189 |
0.189 |
0.187 |
0.183 |
0.179 |
0.173 |
0.167 |
0.160 |
0.152 |
0.144 |
0.136 |
0.129 |
0.121 |
0.113 |
0.106 |
0.100 |
0.094 |
0.089 |
0.084 |
0.080 |
0.077 |
0.074 |
0.073 |
0.072 |
0.071 |
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