|
|
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
-6047.4 |
-1335.8 |
-1915.0 |
-4603.6 |
-7604.8 |
-10568.4 |
-13283.2 |
-15686.9 |
-17762.5 |
-19526.3 |
-21007.9 |
-22242.7 |
-23266.3 |
-24112.2 |
-24810.3 |
-25390.0 |
-25872.0 |
-26274.1 |
-26610.3 |
-26891.6 |
-27126.6 |
-27321.9 |
-27482.8 |
-27613.5 |
-27717.7 |
-27798.5 |
-27859.2 |
-27902.8 |
-27932.5 |
-27951.4 |
-27962.9 |
-27970.3 |
-27977.1 |
-27986.3 |
-28001.3 |
-28024.6 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
-139.5 |
1895.9 |
3585.2 |
4697.8 |
5346.1 |
5616.4 |
5604.7 |
5399.3 |
5078.0 |
4704.6 |
4328.5 |
3985.9 |
3701.0 |
3488.3 |
3353.9 |
3297.7 |
3314.9 |
3397.4 |
3535.2 |
3716.8 |
3930.6 |
4165.0 |
4409.0 |
4652.8 |
4887.4 |
5105.4 |
5300.9 |
5469.4 |
5607.9 |
5714.7 |
5789.6 |
5833.4 |
5848.1 |
5836.4 |
5802.0 |
5748.7 |
Investment |
fI |
8821.0 |
19941.3 |
23485.0 |
23856.9 |
22828.2 |
20992.5 |
18749.4 |
16417.9 |
14220.3 |
12299.1 |
10728.7 |
9534.2 |
8705.9 |
8212.8 |
8011.7 |
8052.5 |
8285.8 |
8665.5 |
9150.0 |
9703.3 |
10294.9 |
10900.5 |
11500.4 |
12079.9 |
12628.4 |
13138.9 |
13607.6 |
14032.8 |
14415.4 |
14757.2 |
15061.8 |
15333.5 |
15577.3 |
15798.4 |
16002.4 |
16194.5 |
Export |
fE |
3231.6 |
6009.2 |
9125.2 |
12103.8 |
14778.0 |
17032.8 |
18837.9 |
20220.2 |
21239.7 |
21971.6 |
22493.8 |
22878.9 |
23189.6 |
23476.0 |
23775.0 |
24110.9 |
24496.6 |
24935.0 |
25421.3 |
25944.9 |
26490.8 |
27041.9 |
27580.1 |
28087.8 |
28549.0 |
28949.9 |
29279.5 |
29530.3 |
29698.1 |
29781.8 |
29784.1 |
29710.5 |
29568.8 |
29369.3 |
29124.1 |
28846.1 |
Import |
fM |
2384.4 |
9862.5 |
11325.5 |
11029.5 |
10404.3 |
9545.0 |
8561.1 |
7546.2 |
6578.4 |
5713.2 |
4985.8 |
4414.7 |
4005.5 |
3754.8 |
3652.7 |
3682.5 |
3827.9 |
4070.9 |
4393.2 |
4776.8 |
5204.7 |
5661.1 |
6131.1 |
6601.7 |
7061.4 |
7500.5 |
7911.0 |
8286.6 |
8623.0 |
8917.2 |
9168.3 |
9376.4 |
9543.3 |
9671.9 |
9766.2 |
9830.8 |
GDP |
fY |
3259.6 |
16518.1 |
22634.7 |
24475.6 |
24179.2 |
22576.1 |
20234.0 |
17553.6 |
14831.3 |
12273.8 |
10015.2 |
8132.8 |
6660.4 |
5599.3 |
4927.9 |
4605.4 |
4585.1 |
4815.3 |
5242.6 |
5815.1 |
6484.0 |
7204.9 |
7938.2 |
8650.5 |
9313.8 |
9906.4 |
10412.2 |
10820.7 |
11126.7 |
11329.1 |
11431.6 |
11441.0 |
11366.9 |
11221.5 |
11018.7 |
10773.2 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
-2.262 |
9.580 |
17.720 |
21.571 |
22.547 |
21.500 |
19.148 |
16.063 |
12.695 |
9.378 |
6.343 |
3.736 |
1.629 |
0.047 |
-1.029 |
-1.644 |
-1.858 |
-1.741 |
-1.365 |
-0.800 |
-0.114 |
0.636 |
1.396 |
2.123 |
2.784 |
3.351 |
3.807 |
4.140 |
4.346 |
4.428 |
4.390 |
4.244 |
4.002 |
3.680 |
3.295 |
2.863 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
1.234 |
-5.302 |
-9.340 |
-11.156 |
-11.555 |
-10.950 |
-9.703 |
-8.101 |
-6.370 |
-4.677 |
-3.136 |
-1.819 |
-0.760 |
0.031 |
0.563 |
0.861 |
0.957 |
0.886 |
0.684 |
0.389 |
0.034 |
-0.351 |
-0.740 |
-1.110 |
-1.446 |
-1.732 |
-1.961 |
-2.127 |
-2.228 |
-2.265 |
-2.242 |
-2.163 |
-2.037 |
-1.869 |
-1.670 |
-1.448 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.749 |
0.318 |
0.625 |
0.730 |
0.745 |
0.697 |
0.614 |
0.514 |
0.412 |
0.318 |
0.236 |
0.170 |
0.119 |
0.082 |
0.059 |
0.047 |
0.045 |
0.049 |
0.059 |
0.073 |
0.089 |
0.106 |
0.124 |
0.142 |
0.159 |
0.175 |
0.190 |
0.204 |
0.216 |
0.228 |
0.238 |
0.248 |
0.256 |
0.265 |
0.273 |
0.281 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.204 |
-1.605 |
-1.945 |
-1.994 |
-1.919 |
-1.763 |
-1.569 |
-1.367 |
-1.177 |
-1.009 |
-0.869 |
-0.759 |
-0.676 |
-0.618 |
-0.580 |
-0.559 |
-0.550 |
-0.551 |
-0.557 |
-0.567 |
-0.579 |
-0.592 |
-0.604 |
-0.614 |
-0.624 |
-0.631 |
-0.637 |
-0.641 |
-0.644 |
-0.645 |
-0.646 |
-0.646 |
-0.645 |
-0.644 |
-0.644 |
-0.643 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.545 |
-1.287 |
-1.320 |
-1.264 |
-1.174 |
-1.066 |
-0.956 |
-0.853 |
-0.764 |
-0.691 |
-0.633 |
-0.589 |
-0.557 |
-0.535 |
-0.521 |
-0.512 |
-0.506 |
-0.502 |
-0.498 |
-0.495 |
-0.491 |
-0.486 |
-0.480 |
-0.473 |
-0.465 |
-0.456 |
-0.447 |
-0.437 |
-0.427 |
-0.417 |
-0.408 |
-0.398 |
-0.389 |
-0.380 |
-0.371 |
-0.362 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
-1.495 |
-2.959 |
-3.957 |
-4.755 |
-5.445 |
-6.027 |
-6.504 |
-6.887 |
-7.191 |
-7.433 |
-7.631 |
-7.801 |
-7.955 |
-8.102 |
-8.249 |
-8.401 |
-8.558 |
-8.722 |
-8.891 |
-9.063 |
-9.236 |
-9.407 |
-9.574 |
-9.733 |
-9.884 |
-10.024 |
-10.152 |
-10.267 |
-10.368 |
-10.455 |
-10.527 |
-10.586 |
-10.631 |
-10.663 |
-10.683 |
-10.690 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
3.380 |
2.641 |
1.761 |
0.887 |
0.073 |
-0.641 |
-1.234 |
-1.703 |
-2.054 |
-2.301 |
-2.461 |
-2.553 |
-2.592 |
-2.596 |
-2.577 |
-2.548 |
-2.515 |
-2.487 |
-2.468 |
-2.460 |
-2.467 |
-2.488 |
-2.524 |
-2.573 |
-2.636 |
-2.711 |
-2.796 |
-2.891 |
-2.993 |
-3.102 |
-3.217 |
-3.337 |
-3.462 |
-3.590 |
-3.722 |
-3.857 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.153 |
-0.486 |
-0.531 |
-0.390 |
-0.169 |
0.077 |
0.319 |
0.536 |
0.719 |
0.863 |
0.968 |
1.038 |
1.076 |
1.089 |
1.082 |
1.060 |
1.028 |
0.990 |
0.949 |
0.909 |
0.871 |
0.837 |
0.809 |
0.787 |
0.771 |
0.761 |
0.758 |
0.760 |
0.768 |
0.780 |
0.796 |
0.816 |
0.838 |
0.861 |
0.886 |
0.911 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.353 |
-0.520 |
-0.566 |
-0.563 |
-0.548 |
-0.533 |
-0.523 |
-0.520 |
-0.523 |
-0.531 |
-0.541 |
-0.553 |
-0.565 |
-0.577 |
-0.587 |
-0.595 |
-0.601 |
-0.604 |
-0.606 |
-0.606 |
-0.604 |
-0.600 |
-0.596 |
-0.590 |
-0.584 |
-0.578 |
-0.571 |
-0.565 |
-0.559 |
-0.554 |
-0.549 |
-0.544 |
-0.541 |
-0.538 |
-0.536 |
-0.534 |
User cost |
uim |
-5.894 |
-6.053 |
-6.114 |
-6.130 |
-6.120 |
-6.096 |
-6.065 |
-6.035 |
-6.008 |
-5.988 |
-5.976 |
-5.970 |
-5.971 |
-5.978 |
-5.988 |
-6.000 |
-6.014 |
-6.026 |
-6.038 |
-6.046 |
-6.052 |
-6.053 |
-6.051 |
-6.045 |
-6.036 |
-6.022 |
-6.006 |
-5.988 |
-5.968 |
-5.946 |
-5.924 |
-5.901 |
-5.879 |
-5.858 |
-5.839 |
-5.821 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.092 |
-0.165 |
-0.051 |
0.169 |
0.436 |
0.711 |
0.968 |
1.192 |
1.373 |
1.508 |
1.599 |
1.651 |
1.671 |
1.665 |
1.641 |
1.607 |
1.569 |
1.533 |
1.501 |
1.479 |
1.467 |
1.468 |
1.481 |
1.507 |
1.545 |
1.593 |
1.649 |
1.712 |
1.780 |
1.850 |
1.921 |
1.991 |
2.058 |
2.121 |
2.178 |
2.229 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.134 |
-0.641 |
-1.045 |
-1.346 |
-1.569 |
-1.737 |
-1.867 |
-1.973 |
-2.064 |
-2.147 |
-2.224 |
-2.299 |
-2.372 |
-2.442 |
-2.509 |
-2.572 |
-2.630 |
-2.682 |
-2.728 |
-2.767 |
-2.799 |
-2.823 |
-2.840 |
-2.850 |
-2.852 |
-2.849 |
-2.840 |
-2.826 |
-2.808 |
-2.787 |
-2.764 |
-2.739 |
-2.713 |
-2.687 |
-2.661 |
-2.637 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.126 |
-0.274 |
-0.363 |
-0.409 |
-0.426 |
-0.425 |
-0.414 |
-0.400 |
-0.386 |
-0.375 |
-0.368 |
-0.367 |
-0.369 |
-0.376 |
-0.385 |
-0.397 |
-0.409 |
-0.420 |
-0.431 |
-0.439 |
-0.445 |
-0.447 |
-0.447 |
-0.443 |
-0.436 |
-0.427 |
-0.414 |
-0.400 |
-0.383 |
-0.366 |
-0.347 |
-0.328 |
-0.310 |
-0.292 |
-0.275 |
-0.259 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
-0.763 |
0.630 |
0.727 |
0.653 |
0.518 |
0.347 |
0.171 |
0.002 |
-0.149 |
-0.280 |
-0.389 |
-0.477 |
-0.547 |
-0.600 |
-0.640 |
-0.669 |
-0.691 |
-0.706 |
-0.716 |
-0.723 |
-0.728 |
-0.732 |
-0.734 |
-0.736 |
-0.737 |
-0.738 |
-0.739 |
-0.739 |
-0.738 |
-0.737 |
-0.735 |
-0.733 |
-0.730 |
-0.726 |
-0.721 |
-0.716 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.104 |
0.032 |
0.289 |
0.569 |
0.824 |
1.038 |
1.211 |
1.344 |
1.445 |
1.517 |
1.567 |
1.601 |
1.621 |
1.634 |
1.641 |
1.645 |
1.649 |
1.653 |
1.659 |
1.668 |
1.680 |
1.694 |
1.710 |
1.729 |
1.750 |
1.771 |
1.793 |
1.816 |
1.837 |
1.858 |
1.877 |
1.894 |
1.908 |
1.921 |
1.931 |
1.939 |
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