|
|
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
-6055.2 |
13810.6 |
22907.8 |
27042.5 |
29365.3 |
30600.5 |
31277.5 |
31716.7 |
32126.6 |
32626.3 |
33277.1 |
34100.7 |
35093.9 |
36238.1 |
37505.6 |
38859.9 |
40270.3 |
41705.9 |
43138.4 |
44543.6 |
45901.4 |
47196.1 |
48416.7 |
49556.0 |
50611.1 |
51582.3 |
52473.3 |
53289.7 |
54039.9 |
54733.5 |
55381.3 |
55994.9 |
56586.9 |
57169.6 |
57755.2 |
58355.7 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
247.4 |
-493.8 |
-1101.5 |
-1461.2 |
-1659.5 |
-1745.5 |
-1755.4 |
-1715.9 |
-1647.0 |
-1563.4 |
-1475.1 |
-1389.2 |
-1310.0 |
-1240.1 |
-1180.6 |
-1131.7 |
-1093.0 |
-1063.7 |
-1042.9 |
-1029.5 |
-1022.5 |
-1020.8 |
-1023.6 |
-1030.1 |
-1039.7 |
-1051.9 |
-1066.3 |
-1082.7 |
-1101.0 |
-1121.2 |
-1143.1 |
-1166.8 |
-1192.5 |
-1220.2 |
-1250.0 |
-1282.0 |
Investment |
fI |
7490.1 |
21493.2 |
30383.0 |
35615.1 |
38645.2 |
39898.8 |
39779.1 |
38699.6 |
37012.4 |
35004.5 |
32893.3 |
30834.8 |
28932.5 |
27247.6 |
25809.5 |
24621.3 |
23672.5 |
22942.9 |
22406.5 |
22035.5 |
21802.4 |
21682.4 |
21652.0 |
21692.4 |
21788.1 |
21926.6 |
22099.1 |
22298.8 |
22522.1 |
22765.6 |
23028.8 |
23311.6 |
23614.9 |
23939.9 |
24288.4 |
24660.4 |
Export |
fE |
3234.1 |
5857.5 |
8818.0 |
11649.6 |
14085.3 |
15862.3 |
16827.6 |
16925.1 |
16172.4 |
14638.2 |
12423.4 |
9647.4 |
6436.6 |
2916.4 |
-793.8 |
-4584.9 |
-8359.9 |
-12035.4 |
-15541.5 |
-18821.5 |
-21831.1 |
-24537.7 |
-26919.5 |
-28963.6 |
-30665.6 |
-32028.3 |
-33060.8 |
-33777.2 |
-34196.1 |
-34339.8 |
-34233.4 |
-33904.1 |
-33381.0 |
-32694.1 |
-31873.7 |
-30950.7 |
Import |
fM |
1854.8 |
16307.8 |
22843.7 |
26247.3 |
28630.2 |
30098.0 |
30820.2 |
30970.4 |
30700.7 |
30136.4 |
29377.4 |
28501.2 |
27566.1 |
26615.1 |
25679.0 |
24775.6 |
23920.4 |
23122.8 |
22388.6 |
21721.6 |
21124.0 |
20598.1 |
20144.9 |
19765.9 |
19462.6 |
19236.3 |
19088.5 |
19020.1 |
19032.4 |
19125.4 |
19298.8 |
19551.9 |
19883.4 |
20291.2 |
20772.5 |
21323.3 |
GDP |
fY |
2819.1 |
24638.1 |
38504.1 |
46879.3 |
52013.5 |
54665.9 |
55421.1 |
54761.5 |
53093.7 |
50750.9 |
47999.2 |
45047.4 |
42054.7 |
39139.1 |
36385.1 |
33845.9 |
31558.7 |
29543.6 |
27809.0 |
26354.5 |
25174.2 |
24258.0 |
23592.6 |
23164.0 |
22957.5 |
22957.9 |
23150.5 |
23520.6 |
24054.1 |
24736.4 |
25553.6 |
26492.4 |
27539.3 |
28681.1 |
29905.3 |
31197.9 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
-2.215 |
12.473 |
26.104 |
36.188 |
43.077 |
47.037 |
48.487 |
47.886 |
45.698 |
42.351 |
38.222 |
33.626 |
28.818 |
23.997 |
19.315 |
14.876 |
10.755 |
7.000 |
3.636 |
0.672 |
-1.893 |
-4.070 |
-5.877 |
-7.334 |
-8.464 |
-9.293 |
-9.846 |
-10.149 |
-10.228 |
-10.107 |
-9.811 |
-9.364 |
-8.788 |
-8.107 |
-7.339 |
-6.507 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
1.208 |
-6.878 |
-13.814 |
-18.842 |
-22.251 |
-24.173 |
-24.827 |
-24.449 |
-23.276 |
-21.526 |
-19.389 |
-17.024 |
-14.560 |
-12.096 |
-9.708 |
-7.448 |
-5.353 |
-3.447 |
-1.741 |
-0.241 |
1.056 |
2.155 |
3.066 |
3.798 |
4.364 |
4.777 |
5.051 |
5.197 |
5.229 |
5.160 |
5.003 |
4.769 |
4.471 |
4.119 |
3.724 |
3.296 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.719 |
-1.007 |
-0.339 |
0.051 |
0.286 |
0.390 |
0.391 |
0.315 |
0.186 |
0.023 |
-0.157 |
-0.341 |
-0.523 |
-0.695 |
-0.855 |
-1.001 |
-1.131 |
-1.247 |
-1.348 |
-1.437 |
-1.513 |
-1.579 |
-1.635 |
-1.683 |
-1.723 |
-1.757 |
-1.786 |
-1.810 |
-1.829 |
-1.844 |
-1.857 |
-1.866 |
-1.873 |
-1.878 |
-1.881 |
-1.882 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.201 |
-0.598 |
-1.562 |
-2.078 |
-2.363 |
-2.460 |
-2.426 |
-2.305 |
-2.133 |
-1.939 |
-1.745 |
-1.562 |
-1.399 |
-1.261 |
-1.148 |
-1.060 |
-0.993 |
-0.946 |
-0.915 |
-0.897 |
-0.889 |
-0.888 |
-0.892 |
-0.900 |
-0.908 |
-0.917 |
-0.925 |
-0.931 |
-0.936 |
-0.939 |
-0.940 |
-0.939 |
-0.937 |
-0.932 |
-0.927 |
-0.920 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.518 |
-1.605 |
-1.901 |
-2.027 |
-2.077 |
-2.070 |
-2.035 |
-1.990 |
-1.947 |
-1.916 |
-1.901 |
-1.903 |
-1.922 |
-1.956 |
-2.003 |
-2.060 |
-2.124 |
-2.193 |
-2.263 |
-2.334 |
-2.402 |
-2.467 |
-2.527 |
-2.582 |
-2.631 |
-2.674 |
-2.711 |
-2.741 |
-2.765 |
-2.784 |
-2.797 |
-2.806 |
-2.810 |
-2.810 |
-2.807 |
-2.802 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
-1.451 |
-3.628 |
-5.644 |
-7.629 |
-9.619 |
-11.553 |
-13.393 |
-15.120 |
-16.735 |
-18.246 |
-19.671 |
-21.028 |
-22.336 |
-23.612 |
-24.872 |
-26.126 |
-27.385 |
-28.655 |
-29.939 |
-31.238 |
-32.553 |
-33.881 |
-35.219 |
-36.564 |
-37.910 |
-39.252 |
-40.587 |
-41.908 |
-43.210 |
-44.491 |
-45.744 |
-46.967 |
-48.156 |
-49.308 |
-50.421 |
-51.494 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
3.359 |
3.705 |
3.571 |
3.180 |
2.649 |
2.084 |
1.568 |
1.162 |
0.905 |
0.817 |
0.904 |
1.160 |
1.576 |
2.135 |
2.820 |
3.613 |
4.498 |
5.455 |
6.472 |
7.533 |
8.627 |
9.743 |
10.871 |
12.005 |
13.137 |
14.262 |
15.375 |
16.472 |
17.549 |
18.605 |
19.635 |
20.639 |
21.614 |
22.560 |
23.475 |
24.359 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.149 |
-0.751 |
-1.032 |
-1.015 |
-0.817 |
-0.501 |
-0.116 |
0.303 |
0.730 |
1.146 |
1.539 |
1.902 |
2.230 |
2.523 |
2.781 |
3.005 |
3.198 |
3.363 |
3.502 |
3.617 |
3.712 |
3.789 |
3.849 |
3.895 |
3.928 |
3.950 |
3.961 |
3.963 |
3.958 |
3.945 |
3.927 |
3.904 |
3.877 |
3.846 |
3.813 |
3.779 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.330 |
-0.677 |
-0.851 |
-0.906 |
-0.902 |
-0.871 |
-0.827 |
-0.780 |
-0.737 |
-0.700 |
-0.670 |
-0.648 |
-0.633 |
-0.625 |
-0.622 |
-0.624 |
-0.630 |
-0.639 |
-0.651 |
-0.664 |
-0.679 |
-0.695 |
-0.711 |
-0.727 |
-0.743 |
-0.758 |
-0.773 |
-0.787 |
-0.800 |
-0.813 |
-0.824 |
-0.834 |
-0.843 |
-0.851 |
-0.858 |
-0.863 |
User cost |
uim |
-5.923 |
-6.136 |
-6.234 |
-6.247 |
-6.195 |
-6.094 |
-5.957 |
-5.797 |
-5.624 |
-5.446 |
-5.271 |
-5.103 |
-4.947 |
-4.804 |
-4.678 |
-4.569 |
-4.478 |
-4.404 |
-4.347 |
-4.306 |
-4.280 |
-4.267 |
-4.267 |
-4.277 |
-4.297 |
-4.325 |
-4.359 |
-4.398 |
-4.441 |
-4.487 |
-4.535 |
-4.582 |
-4.630 |
-4.676 |
-4.720 |
-4.761 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.092 |
-0.137 |
0.076 |
0.492 |
1.051 |
1.709 |
2.423 |
3.157 |
3.881 |
4.573 |
5.213 |
5.792 |
6.300 |
6.735 |
7.095 |
7.383 |
7.602 |
7.756 |
7.851 |
7.893 |
7.888 |
7.843 |
7.764 |
7.657 |
7.527 |
7.379 |
7.219 |
7.052 |
6.880 |
6.708 |
6.539 |
6.376 |
6.220 |
6.075 |
5.942 |
5.822 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.133 |
-0.624 |
-0.988 |
-1.216 |
-1.327 |
-1.344 |
-1.288 |
-1.181 |
-1.040 |
-0.881 |
-0.713 |
-0.547 |
-0.387 |
-0.240 |
-0.106 |
0.010 |
0.109 |
0.190 |
0.253 |
0.299 |
0.328 |
0.341 |
0.340 |
0.326 |
0.301 |
0.265 |
0.221 |
0.169 |
0.112 |
0.050 |
-0.014 |
-0.080 |
-0.147 |
-0.213 |
-0.277 |
-0.339 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.126 |
-0.268 |
-0.333 |
-0.333 |
-0.281 |
-0.189 |
-0.067 |
0.075 |
0.227 |
0.383 |
0.537 |
0.684 |
0.821 |
0.945 |
1.054 |
1.149 |
1.227 |
1.290 |
1.338 |
1.372 |
1.393 |
1.402 |
1.400 |
1.388 |
1.369 |
1.342 |
1.310 |
1.274 |
1.234 |
1.192 |
1.149 |
1.106 |
1.064 |
1.023 |
0.984 |
0.947 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
|
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|
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|
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|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
-0.748 |
-0.259 |
0.393 |
0.687 |
0.832 |
0.867 |
0.831 |
0.754 |
0.657 |
0.557 |
0.463 |
0.383 |
0.319 |
0.272 |
0.243 |
0.228 |
0.227 |
0.236 |
0.254 |
0.277 |
0.304 |
0.332 |
0.361 |
0.389 |
0.414 |
0.437 |
0.456 |
0.471 |
0.482 |
0.489 |
0.492 |
0.492 |
0.489 |
0.483 |
0.475 |
0.464 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.091 |
-0.073 |
0.134 |
0.451 |
0.798 |
1.136 |
1.446 |
1.717 |
1.949 |
2.140 |
2.294 |
2.413 |
2.501 |
2.560 |
2.596 |
2.611 |
2.608 |
2.591 |
2.562 |
2.524 |
2.478 |
2.428 |
2.374 |
2.319 |
2.263 |
2.208 |
2.155 |
2.104 |
2.057 |
2.013 |
1.974 |
1.939 |
1.909 |
1.883 |
1.863 |
1.847 |
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