|
|
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
-6055.2 |
13798.2 |
22790.2 |
26616.1 |
28459.9 |
29115.7 |
29176.3 |
29011.0 |
28861.1 |
28863.3 |
29084.3 |
29543.5 |
30230.3 |
31116.9 |
32166.3 |
33334.3 |
34584.2 |
35881.1 |
37195.4 |
38502.7 |
39784.0 |
41025.7 |
42218.6 |
43357.7 |
44441.2 |
45470.3 |
46448.4 |
47380.2 |
48271.9 |
49130.4 |
49962.7 |
50776.5 |
51579.6 |
52379.3 |
53182.8 |
53996.9 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
247.4 |
-491.7 |
-1086.1 |
-1418.6 |
-1579.2 |
-1621.9 |
-1588.2 |
-1508.8 |
-1406.7 |
-1298.3 |
-1194.2 |
-1101.3 |
-1022.9 |
-960.3 |
-913.4 |
-880.7 |
-860.5 |
-851.1 |
-850.4 |
-856.7 |
-868.4 |
-884.1 |
-902.8 |
-923.5 |
-945.5 |
-968.6 |
-992.3 |
-1016.5 |
-1041.2 |
-1066.3 |
-1092.0 |
-1118.3 |
-1145.4 |
-1173.4 |
-1202.4 |
-1232.7 |
Investment |
fI |
7490.1 |
21428.5 |
29936.5 |
34540.1 |
36894.5 |
37516.7 |
36853.3 |
35347.3 |
33370.2 |
31216.2 |
29098.7 |
27160.0 |
25482.5 |
24102.6 |
23023.9 |
22225.1 |
21673.6 |
21331.6 |
21159.2 |
21119.2 |
21178.3 |
21309.0 |
21487.6 |
21697.0 |
21924.3 |
22160.9 |
22401.4 |
22643.0 |
22885.6 |
23128.8 |
23374.8 |
23625.7 |
23884.2 |
24152.9 |
24435.0 |
24731.1 |
Export |
fE |
3234.1 |
5667.3 |
7554.7 |
8804.3 |
9500.9 |
9609.9 |
9134.5 |
8119.5 |
6639.2 |
4782.3 |
2641.5 |
306.3 |
-2142.1 |
-4632.2 |
-7103.7 |
-9507.3 |
-11804.0 |
-13964.8 |
-15968.1 |
-17800.2 |
-19453.2 |
-20923.9 |
-22213.8 |
-23326.9 |
-24270.6 |
-25053.7 |
-25687.0 |
-26182.2 |
-26552.0 |
-26809.7 |
-26969.0 |
-27043.6 |
-27047.1 |
-26993.4 |
-26895.6 |
-26766.7 |
Import |
fM |
1854.8 |
16188.3 |
22011.7 |
24257.8 |
25314.5 |
25459.3 |
24970.4 |
24093.5 |
23023.3 |
21902.5 |
20827.9 |
19859.5 |
19028.1 |
18343.9 |
17803.6 |
17391.8 |
17093.0 |
16889.5 |
16764.1 |
16701.5 |
16688.8 |
16716.2 |
16775.8 |
16862.4 |
16972.9 |
17105.4 |
17259.8 |
17435.9 |
17635.0 |
17857.6 |
18104.7 |
18377.5 |
18676.5 |
19002.5 |
19355.6 |
19735.3 |
GDP |
fY |
2819.1 |
24495.9 |
37544.2 |
44604.5 |
48227.2 |
49381.8 |
48800.1 |
47066.2 |
44648.5 |
41905.8 |
39100.1 |
36412.1 |
33957.2 |
31800.4 |
29969.2 |
28461.3 |
27261.5 |
26344.4 |
25679.6 |
25235.8 |
24982.4 |
24892.5 |
24941.0 |
25107.4 |
25374.7 |
25728.6 |
26157.9 |
26653.1 |
27207.4 |
27813.9 |
28467.7 |
29164.2 |
29899.8 |
30670.7 |
31473.9 |
32305.1 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
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|
|
|
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|
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|
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|
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|
|
Employment |
Q |
-2.215 |
12.366 |
25.357 |
34.303 |
39.756 |
42.187 |
42.189 |
40.361 |
37.264 |
33.381 |
29.107 |
24.743 |
20.504 |
16.535 |
12.923 |
9.708 |
6.901 |
4.491 |
2.453 |
0.754 |
-0.640 |
-1.764 |
-2.653 |
-3.337 |
-3.845 |
-4.200 |
-4.424 |
-4.535 |
-4.549 |
-4.479 |
-4.340 |
-4.140 |
-3.890 |
-3.599 |
-3.274 |
-2.924 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
1.208 |
-6.819 |
-13.411 |
-17.839 |
-20.504 |
-21.642 |
-21.559 |
-20.561 |
-18.934 |
-16.923 |
-14.726 |
-12.492 |
-10.331 |
-8.312 |
-6.479 |
-4.850 |
-3.429 |
-2.211 |
-1.183 |
-0.327 |
0.375 |
0.940 |
1.386 |
1.729 |
1.982 |
2.159 |
2.268 |
2.321 |
2.325 |
2.287 |
2.213 |
2.109 |
1.979 |
1.829 |
1.662 |
1.482 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.719 |
-1.009 |
-0.358 |
0.002 |
0.198 |
0.261 |
0.223 |
0.114 |
-0.041 |
-0.219 |
-0.404 |
-0.584 |
-0.751 |
-0.902 |
-1.035 |
-1.150 |
-1.249 |
-1.332 |
-1.403 |
-1.462 |
-1.512 |
-1.555 |
-1.592 |
-1.624 |
-1.652 |
-1.677 |
-1.699 |
-1.720 |
-1.738 |
-1.755 |
-1.771 |
-1.785 |
-1.799 |
-1.811 |
-1.822 |
-1.832 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.201 |
-0.599 |
-1.562 |
-2.068 |
-2.337 |
-2.417 |
-2.366 |
-2.230 |
-2.048 |
-1.850 |
-1.657 |
-1.482 |
-1.331 |
-1.207 |
-1.111 |
-1.038 |
-0.987 |
-0.953 |
-0.932 |
-0.922 |
-0.918 |
-0.919 |
-0.923 |
-0.928 |
-0.932 |
-0.936 |
-0.939 |
-0.940 |
-0.939 |
-0.937 |
-0.933 |
-0.928 |
-0.923 |
-0.916 |
-0.909 |
-0.901 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.518 |
-1.608 |
-1.920 |
-2.067 |
-2.139 |
-2.156 |
-2.143 |
-2.116 |
-2.089 |
-2.069 |
-2.061 |
-2.065 |
-2.082 |
-2.109 |
-2.146 |
-2.189 |
-2.236 |
-2.285 |
-2.335 |
-2.384 |
-2.430 |
-2.474 |
-2.515 |
-2.551 |
-2.584 |
-2.613 |
-2.638 |
-2.659 |
-2.677 |
-2.692 |
-2.704 |
-2.714 |
-2.721 |
-2.727 |
-2.731 |
-2.733 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
-1.451 |
-3.625 |
-5.617 |
-7.566 |
-9.524 |
-11.438 |
-13.276 |
-15.023 |
-16.679 |
-18.252 |
-19.755 |
-21.202 |
-22.607 |
-23.984 |
-25.342 |
-26.689 |
-28.029 |
-29.367 |
-30.703 |
-32.037 |
-33.367 |
-34.693 |
-36.012 |
-37.320 |
-38.614 |
-39.893 |
-41.154 |
-42.393 |
-43.608 |
-44.798 |
-45.961 |
-47.096 |
-48.200 |
-49.274 |
-50.316 |
-51.327 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
3.359 |
3.709 |
3.601 |
3.269 |
2.831 |
2.391 |
2.030 |
1.801 |
1.734 |
1.841 |
2.119 |
2.553 |
3.126 |
3.818 |
4.607 |
5.472 |
6.398 |
7.366 |
8.365 |
9.383 |
10.412 |
11.444 |
12.474 |
13.498 |
14.512 |
15.515 |
16.504 |
17.477 |
18.434 |
19.374 |
20.296 |
21.200 |
22.084 |
22.948 |
23.792 |
24.616 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.149 |
-0.744 |
-0.985 |
-0.912 |
-0.655 |
-0.291 |
0.127 |
0.562 |
0.985 |
1.380 |
1.736 |
2.049 |
2.318 |
2.546 |
2.737 |
2.895 |
3.026 |
3.133 |
3.220 |
3.292 |
3.351 |
3.399 |
3.438 |
3.470 |
3.496 |
3.516 |
3.532 |
3.543 |
3.551 |
3.555 |
3.557 |
3.555 |
3.552 |
3.546 |
3.539 |
3.530 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.330 |
-0.673 |
-0.826 |
-0.854 |
-0.826 |
-0.777 |
-0.723 |
-0.673 |
-0.634 |
-0.606 |
-0.589 |
-0.582 |
-0.583 |
-0.590 |
-0.602 |
-0.616 |
-0.632 |
-0.649 |
-0.666 |
-0.682 |
-0.698 |
-0.712 |
-0.726 |
-0.738 |
-0.749 |
-0.759 |
-0.768 |
-0.776 |
-0.784 |
-0.790 |
-0.796 |
-0.801 |
-0.805 |
-0.808 |
-0.811 |
-0.813 |
User cost |
uim |
-5.923 |
-6.136 |
-6.235 |
-6.252 |
-6.208 |
-6.121 |
-6.006 |
-5.873 |
-5.734 |
-5.595 |
-5.461 |
-5.337 |
-5.225 |
-5.127 |
-5.041 |
-4.969 |
-4.910 |
-4.862 |
-4.825 |
-4.799 |
-4.781 |
-4.770 |
-4.766 |
-4.768 |
-4.775 |
-4.785 |
-4.799 |
-4.815 |
-4.833 |
-4.852 |
-4.872 |
-4.893 |
-4.913 |
-4.933 |
-4.952 |
-4.971 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.092 |
-0.138 |
0.068 |
0.461 |
0.976 |
1.566 |
2.187 |
2.805 |
3.395 |
3.939 |
4.426 |
4.850 |
5.209 |
5.507 |
5.745 |
5.931 |
6.068 |
6.164 |
6.224 |
6.254 |
6.258 |
6.241 |
6.207 |
6.160 |
6.102 |
6.037 |
5.966 |
5.892 |
5.817 |
5.741 |
5.667 |
5.595 |
5.527 |
5.463 |
5.404 |
5.350 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.133 |
-0.624 |
-0.991 |
-1.226 |
-1.351 |
-1.389 |
-1.364 |
-1.295 |
-1.201 |
-1.094 |
-0.985 |
-0.879 |
-0.780 |
-0.692 |
-0.616 |
-0.551 |
-0.497 |
-0.455 |
-0.423 |
-0.400 |
-0.386 |
-0.380 |
-0.380 |
-0.387 |
-0.398 |
-0.415 |
-0.435 |
-0.458 |
-0.484 |
-0.511 |
-0.540 |
-0.570 |
-0.601 |
-0.631 |
-0.660 |
-0.689 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.126 |
-0.268 |
-0.335 |
-0.340 |
-0.298 |
-0.221 |
-0.121 |
-0.007 |
0.114 |
0.234 |
0.349 |
0.456 |
0.553 |
0.638 |
0.712 |
0.775 |
0.826 |
0.867 |
0.899 |
0.922 |
0.937 |
0.945 |
0.948 |
0.946 |
0.939 |
0.929 |
0.916 |
0.901 |
0.885 |
0.867 |
0.849 |
0.830 |
0.812 |
0.794 |
0.777 |
0.761 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
-0.748 |
-0.255 |
0.413 |
0.720 |
0.871 |
0.905 |
0.865 |
0.780 |
0.676 |
0.568 |
0.469 |
0.385 |
0.318 |
0.269 |
0.237 |
0.219 |
0.213 |
0.217 |
0.228 |
0.243 |
0.261 |
0.281 |
0.300 |
0.318 |
0.334 |
0.349 |
0.360 |
0.370 |
0.376 |
0.381 |
0.383 |
0.383 |
0.381 |
0.378 |
0.374 |
0.368 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.091 |
-0.071 |
0.145 |
0.472 |
0.822 |
1.152 |
1.443 |
1.688 |
1.886 |
2.039 |
2.154 |
2.236 |
2.290 |
2.321 |
2.335 |
2.335 |
2.325 |
2.307 |
2.283 |
2.256 |
2.226 |
2.195 |
2.164 |
2.133 |
2.103 |
2.075 |
2.048 |
2.023 |
2.000 |
1.979 |
1.960 |
1.943 |
1.929 |
1.917 |
1.908 |
1.900 |
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