|
|
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
361.3 |
1944.0 |
3233.4 |
4981.0 |
6635.9 |
8158.6 |
9528.1 |
10766.8 |
11900.4 |
12951.6 |
13937.6 |
14870.6 |
15757.6 |
16601.8 |
17402.9 |
18158.1 |
18863.6 |
19514.8 |
20106.7 |
20635.0 |
21096.2 |
21487.8 |
21809.2 |
22061.5 |
22247.5 |
22371.9 |
22441.6 |
22464.5 |
22450.5 |
22410.1 |
22355.0 |
22297.1 |
22248.3 |
22220.2 |
22223.7 |
22268.6 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
2525.2 |
2546.8 |
3199.0 |
4132.0 |
5179.7 |
6246.7 |
7264.8 |
8181.6 |
8960.2 |
9576.9 |
10019.4 |
10285.8 |
10382.0 |
10320.7 |
10119.4 |
9799.2 |
9383.6 |
8897.1 |
8364.4 |
7809.5 |
7255.2 |
6721.9 |
6228.0 |
5789.0 |
5417.6 |
5123.6 |
4913.8 |
4792.2 |
4760.2 |
4816.6 |
4957.9 |
5178.7 |
5471.7 |
5828.4 |
6238.8 |
6692.4 |
Investment |
fI |
-3256.7 |
-4431.9 |
-823.6 |
2426.6 |
4893.4 |
6808.0 |
8290.4 |
9374.2 |
10084.8 |
10455.0 |
10525.5 |
10342.1 |
9952.6 |
9403.8 |
8740.6 |
8003.5 |
7229.3 |
6449.9 |
5692.0 |
4977.4 |
4323.3 |
3742.4 |
3243.1 |
2830.7 |
2507.3 |
2272.6 |
2124.2 |
2058.0 |
2068.8 |
2150.1 |
2294.8 |
2495.5 |
2744.1 |
3032.5 |
3352.2 |
3694.6 |
Export |
fE |
3184.9 |
5376.9 |
7640.0 |
10015.7 |
12406.8 |
14696.5 |
16778.7 |
18564.2 |
19984.7 |
20994.2 |
21570.0 |
21710.7 |
21434.9 |
20777.9 |
19788.4 |
18525.2 |
17054.2 |
15444.2 |
13765.0 |
12084.0 |
10464.1 |
8962.2 |
7627.5 |
6500.7 |
5613.2 |
4987.1 |
4635.0 |
4560.6 |
4759.1 |
5217.7 |
5917.3 |
6832.4 |
7932.9 |
9185.1 |
10552.7 |
11998.0 |
Import |
fM |
-809.4 |
-429.4 |
2002.8 |
4628.2 |
6949.0 |
9045.9 |
10932.6 |
12588.5 |
13992.7 |
15133.0 |
16006.4 |
16618.8 |
16982.9 |
17117.4 |
17045.8 |
16794.6 |
16393.1 |
15871.9 |
15261.6 |
14592.8 |
13894.5 |
13194.0 |
12516.5 |
11884.3 |
11317.1 |
10831.5 |
10440.8 |
10155.3 |
9982.1 |
9925.1 |
9985.1 |
10160.4 |
10446.3 |
10835.7 |
11319.4 |
11886.0 |
GDP |
fY |
3426.5 |
5424.1 |
10591.6 |
16114.6 |
21217.0 |
25795.5 |
29763.4 |
33055.5 |
35636.6 |
37503.6 |
38680.6 |
39214.6 |
39170.0 |
38623.8 |
37661.5 |
36372.0 |
34846.1 |
33171.8 |
31432.6 |
29705.3 |
28058.0 |
26550.0 |
25230.4 |
24138.3 |
23302.9 |
22743.7 |
22471.0 |
22486.9 |
22785.7 |
23354.7 |
24175.7 |
25225.0 |
26475.1 |
27895.2 |
29452.0 |
31110.8 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
-17.797 |
-16.693 |
-11.756 |
-5.767 |
0.283 |
5.943 |
10.927 |
15.042 |
18.178 |
20.299 |
21.426 |
21.624 |
20.990 |
19.643 |
17.714 |
15.339 |
12.651 |
9.781 |
6.846 |
3.953 |
1.193 |
-1.358 |
-3.639 |
-5.607 |
-7.230 |
-8.493 |
-9.392 |
-9.934 |
-10.136 |
-10.022 |
-9.624 |
-8.978 |
-8.123 |
-7.100 |
-5.952 |
-4.722 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
9.706 |
8.500 |
5.834 |
2.739 |
-0.354 |
-3.233 |
-5.756 |
-7.829 |
-9.398 |
-10.446 |
-10.988 |
-11.057 |
-10.704 |
-9.991 |
-8.985 |
-7.756 |
-6.372 |
-4.899 |
-3.397 |
-1.920 |
-0.514 |
0.782 |
1.939 |
2.933 |
3.751 |
4.384 |
4.831 |
5.095 |
5.187 |
5.118 |
4.904 |
4.565 |
4.121 |
3.593 |
3.002 |
2.371 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.115 |
-0.228 |
-0.157 |
-0.066 |
0.017 |
0.091 |
0.152 |
0.198 |
0.229 |
0.244 |
0.245 |
0.234 |
0.215 |
0.187 |
0.155 |
0.119 |
0.081 |
0.044 |
0.007 |
-0.028 |
-0.059 |
-0.088 |
-0.112 |
-0.133 |
-0.149 |
-0.162 |
-0.170 |
-0.176 |
-0.178 |
-0.178 |
-0.175 |
-0.170 |
-0.164 |
-0.157 |
-0.149 |
-0.140 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.176 |
0.321 |
0.187 |
0.032 |
-0.087 |
-0.180 |
-0.246 |
-0.288 |
-0.307 |
-0.308 |
-0.294 |
-0.269 |
-0.238 |
-0.202 |
-0.166 |
-0.131 |
-0.098 |
-0.070 |
-0.046 |
-0.027 |
-0.012 |
-0.003 |
0.003 |
0.005 |
0.005 |
0.002 |
-0.003 |
-0.008 |
-0.014 |
-0.020 |
-0.025 |
-0.030 |
-0.034 |
-0.037 |
-0.039 |
-0.039 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
0.062 |
0.093 |
0.030 |
-0.034 |
-0.071 |
-0.089 |
-0.094 |
-0.089 |
-0.079 |
-0.064 |
-0.049 |
-0.035 |
-0.023 |
-0.015 |
-0.011 |
-0.012 |
-0.017 |
-0.026 |
-0.039 |
-0.054 |
-0.072 |
-0.090 |
-0.109 |
-0.127 |
-0.144 |
-0.160 |
-0.173 |
-0.184 |
-0.192 |
-0.197 |
-0.200 |
-0.200 |
-0.198 |
-0.193 |
-0.187 |
-0.180 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
0.522 |
0.793 |
0.760 |
0.568 |
0.298 |
-0.018 |
-0.351 |
-0.679 |
-0.987 |
-1.262 |
-1.497 |
-1.689 |
-1.838 |
-1.947 |
-2.020 |
-2.063 |
-2.082 |
-2.083 |
-2.073 |
-2.057 |
-2.040 |
-2.026 |
-2.019 |
-2.021 |
-2.034 |
-2.058 |
-2.094 |
-2.140 |
-2.196 |
-2.260 |
-2.331 |
-2.405 |
-2.483 |
-2.560 |
-2.637 |
-2.710 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.245 |
0.461 |
0.569 |
0.586 |
0.529 |
0.409 |
0.240 |
0.038 |
-0.180 |
-0.401 |
-0.611 |
-0.802 |
-0.966 |
-1.097 |
-1.193 |
-1.252 |
-1.276 |
-1.265 |
-1.222 |
-1.151 |
-1.055 |
-0.938 |
-0.805 |
-0.659 |
-0.504 |
-0.344 |
-0.183 |
-0.023 |
0.134 |
0.284 |
0.427 |
0.561 |
0.685 |
0.798 |
0.900 |
0.992 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.243 |
-0.423 |
-0.694 |
-0.921 |
-1.090 |
-1.204 |
-1.268 |
-1.287 |
-1.267 |
-1.214 |
-1.133 |
-1.031 |
-0.915 |
-0.789 |
-0.659 |
-0.528 |
-0.402 |
-0.283 |
-0.174 |
-0.077 |
0.007 |
0.077 |
0.132 |
0.173 |
0.200 |
0.213 |
0.214 |
0.205 |
0.185 |
0.158 |
0.124 |
0.085 |
0.042 |
-0.002 |
-0.047 |
-0.091 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.829 |
-0.901 |
-0.982 |
-1.032 |
-1.055 |
-1.061 |
-1.055 |
-1.041 |
-1.023 |
-1.003 |
-0.983 |
-0.966 |
-0.950 |
-0.939 |
-0.930 |
-0.926 |
-0.925 |
-0.927 |
-0.933 |
-0.940 |
-0.950 |
-0.962 |
-0.975 |
-0.988 |
-1.002 |
-1.015 |
-1.028 |
-1.039 |
-1.050 |
-1.059 |
-1.067 |
-1.073 |
-1.077 |
-1.080 |
-1.081 |
-1.081 |
User cost |
uim |
-0.439 |
-0.564 |
-0.668 |
-0.736 |
-0.770 |
-0.772 |
-0.746 |
-0.695 |
-0.623 |
-0.535 |
-0.435 |
-0.329 |
-0.220 |
-0.112 |
-0.009 |
0.085 |
0.168 |
0.240 |
0.297 |
0.340 |
0.368 |
0.382 |
0.382 |
0.370 |
0.348 |
0.316 |
0.276 |
0.231 |
0.182 |
0.131 |
0.080 |
0.029 |
-0.019 |
-0.063 |
-0.102 |
-0.137 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.340 |
-0.639 |
-0.865 |
-1.003 |
-1.047 |
-1.000 |
-0.872 |
-0.672 |
-0.416 |
-0.118 |
0.206 |
0.543 |
0.878 |
1.199 |
1.495 |
1.759 |
1.985 |
2.167 |
2.303 |
2.393 |
2.438 |
2.440 |
2.404 |
2.333 |
2.233 |
2.110 |
1.969 |
1.816 |
1.657 |
1.497 |
1.340 |
1.192 |
1.055 |
0.933 |
0.828 |
0.741 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.420 |
-0.574 |
-0.692 |
-0.782 |
-0.841 |
-0.869 |
-0.865 |
-0.832 |
-0.774 |
-0.694 |
-0.598 |
-0.490 |
-0.374 |
-0.257 |
-0.140 |
-0.030 |
0.073 |
0.164 |
0.243 |
0.307 |
0.356 |
0.390 |
0.409 |
0.413 |
0.405 |
0.384 |
0.353 |
0.313 |
0.267 |
0.216 |
0.162 |
0.107 |
0.052 |
-0.001 |
-0.050 |
-0.096 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.331 |
-0.433 |
-0.514 |
-0.574 |
-0.610 |
-0.623 |
-0.615 |
-0.586 |
-0.540 |
-0.480 |
-0.409 |
-0.331 |
-0.249 |
-0.167 |
-0.088 |
-0.013 |
0.054 |
0.112 |
0.160 |
0.198 |
0.224 |
0.239 |
0.244 |
0.239 |
0.224 |
0.203 |
0.174 |
0.141 |
0.104 |
0.065 |
0.025 |
-0.015 |
-0.053 |
-0.089 |
-0.122 |
-0.150 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
-0.043 |
-0.109 |
-0.087 |
-0.025 |
0.028 |
0.072 |
0.102 |
0.121 |
0.129 |
0.129 |
0.125 |
0.118 |
0.110 |
0.104 |
0.100 |
0.099 |
0.102 |
0.108 |
0.117 |
0.128 |
0.142 |
0.157 |
0.173 |
0.190 |
0.205 |
0.219 |
0.232 |
0.242 |
0.250 |
0.255 |
0.258 |
0.258 |
0.256 |
0.251 |
0.245 |
0.237 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.217 |
-0.305 |
-0.379 |
-0.410 |
-0.401 |
-0.360 |
-0.295 |
-0.212 |
-0.119 |
-0.022 |
0.074 |
0.166 |
0.248 |
0.320 |
0.379 |
0.424 |
0.454 |
0.470 |
0.473 |
0.463 |
0.443 |
0.413 |
0.375 |
0.331 |
0.284 |
0.234 |
0.184 |
0.135 |
0.088 |
0.045 |
0.006 |
-0.027 |
-0.055 |
-0.076 |
-0.091 |
-0.100 |
|
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