|
|
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
-1.6 |
-379.4 |
-453.2 |
-203.7 |
57.9 |
287.2 |
468.9 |
605.7 |
705.4 |
776.6 |
827.9 |
866.6 |
898.8 |
929.2 |
961.3 |
997.6 |
1039.5 |
1087.6 |
1142.0 |
1202.4 |
1268.0 |
1337.9 |
1411.1 |
1486.5 |
1563.0 |
1639.9 |
1716.0 |
1790.7 |
1863.3 |
1933.3 |
2000.1 |
2063.6 |
2123.4 |
2179.4 |
2231.6 |
2280.1 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
86.2 |
79.3 |
60.6 |
28.6 |
-6.2 |
-39.7 |
-70.1 |
-96.6 |
-119.2 |
-138.2 |
-154.1 |
-167.5 |
-178.7 |
-188.2 |
-196.5 |
-203.9 |
-210.7 |
-217.0 |
-223.1 |
-228.9 |
-234.7 |
-240.4 |
-246.2 |
-251.9 |
-257.5 |
-263.2 |
-268.8 |
-274.4 |
-279.9 |
-285.4 |
-290.8 |
-296.2 |
-301.5 |
-306.7 |
-311.8 |
-317.0 |
Investment |
fI |
-2124.6 |
-3215.4 |
-2267.7 |
-1626.5 |
-1283.9 |
-1049.8 |
-865.1 |
-724.0 |
-626.0 |
-568.6 |
-547.0 |
-554.6 |
-584.7 |
-630.6 |
-686.6 |
-747.9 |
-810.6 |
-872.1 |
-930.5 |
-984.8 |
-1034.4 |
-1079.4 |
-1120.0 |
-1156.8 |
-1190.5 |
-1221.7 |
-1251.0 |
-1279.0 |
-1306.4 |
-1333.5 |
-1360.8 |
-1388.5 |
-1416.8 |
-1445.9 |
-1475.7 |
-1506.4 |
Export |
fE |
408.9 |
743.7 |
1111.2 |
1489.6 |
1864.7 |
2228.7 |
2573.5 |
2892.1 |
3178.7 |
3429.5 |
3642.3 |
3816.7 |
3953.3 |
4054.1 |
4121.7 |
4159.1 |
4170.0 |
4157.8 |
4126.2 |
4078.7 |
4018.7 |
3949.5 |
3874.0 |
3794.9 |
3714.8 |
3635.7 |
3559.6 |
3488.3 |
3423.2 |
3365.4 |
3316.0 |
3275.7 |
3245.2 |
3224.7 |
3214.7 |
3215.1 |
Import |
fM |
-1532.3 |
-2241.2 |
-1732.0 |
-1266.4 |
-978.4 |
-764.1 |
-589.5 |
-449.2 |
-340.6 |
-260.5 |
-204.9 |
-169.6 |
-150.6 |
-144.0 |
-146.8 |
-156.3 |
-170.5 |
-188.1 |
-207.9 |
-229.3 |
-251.7 |
-275.0 |
-299.0 |
-323.8 |
-349.2 |
-375.2 |
-401.9 |
-429.2 |
-457.1 |
-485.3 |
-513.9 |
-542.6 |
-571.4 |
-599.9 |
-628.2 |
-656.0 |
GDP |
fY |
-174.8 |
-685.5 |
-7.8 |
736.4 |
1364.1 |
1916.0 |
2397.2 |
2804.4 |
3137.1 |
3399.5 |
3598.0 |
3741.0 |
3837.6 |
3896.7 |
3926.4 |
3933.8 |
3925.4 |
3906.1 |
3880.2 |
3850.9 |
3820.6 |
3791.3 |
3764.2 |
3740.5 |
3720.7 |
3705.4 |
3694.7 |
3689.0 |
3688.3 |
3692.7 |
3702.1 |
3716.7 |
3736.4 |
3761.1 |
3790.9 |
3825.6 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
-2.319 |
-2.961 |
-2.723 |
-2.206 |
-1.617 |
-1.014 |
-0.439 |
0.079 |
0.521 |
0.880 |
1.156 |
1.353 |
1.481 |
1.549 |
1.567 |
1.545 |
1.492 |
1.415 |
1.322 |
1.217 |
1.106 |
0.992 |
0.877 |
0.765 |
0.656 |
0.551 |
0.453 |
0.360 |
0.274 |
0.194 |
0.122 |
0.057 |
-0.002 |
-0.053 |
-0.098 |
-0.137 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
1.265 |
1.536 |
1.383 |
1.109 |
0.806 |
0.497 |
0.204 |
-0.058 |
-0.282 |
-0.462 |
-0.600 |
-0.698 |
-0.761 |
-0.794 |
-0.801 |
-0.789 |
-0.760 |
-0.720 |
-0.672 |
-0.618 |
-0.561 |
-0.503 |
-0.444 |
-0.387 |
-0.331 |
-0.278 |
-0.228 |
-0.181 |
-0.137 |
-0.097 |
-0.060 |
-0.027 |
0.003 |
0.029 |
0.052 |
0.071 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
0.030 |
0.006 |
0.021 |
0.044 |
0.064 |
0.085 |
0.104 |
0.121 |
0.136 |
0.147 |
0.156 |
0.163 |
0.167 |
0.170 |
0.172 |
0.173 |
0.174 |
0.174 |
0.174 |
0.175 |
0.175 |
0.175 |
0.176 |
0.177 |
0.178 |
0.179 |
0.180 |
0.182 |
0.184 |
0.185 |
0.187 |
0.189 |
0.192 |
0.194 |
0.196 |
0.199 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.056 |
0.127 |
0.096 |
0.059 |
0.035 |
0.014 |
-0.002 |
-0.015 |
-0.024 |
-0.029 |
-0.031 |
-0.031 |
-0.029 |
-0.025 |
-0.021 |
-0.016 |
-0.012 |
-0.008 |
-0.005 |
-0.002 |
0.001 |
0.003 |
0.004 |
0.005 |
0.005 |
0.005 |
0.005 |
0.005 |
0.004 |
0.004 |
0.003 |
0.003 |
0.002 |
0.002 |
0.001 |
0.001 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
0.087 |
0.133 |
0.117 |
0.103 |
0.099 |
0.099 |
0.102 |
0.106 |
0.111 |
0.118 |
0.125 |
0.132 |
0.139 |
0.145 |
0.151 |
0.157 |
0.162 |
0.166 |
0.170 |
0.173 |
0.176 |
0.178 |
0.180 |
0.181 |
0.183 |
0.184 |
0.185 |
0.187 |
0.188 |
0.189 |
0.191 |
0.192 |
0.194 |
0.196 |
0.197 |
0.199 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
0.203 |
0.414 |
0.539 |
0.635 |
0.721 |
0.802 |
0.878 |
0.953 |
1.028 |
1.106 |
1.186 |
1.270 |
1.358 |
1.449 |
1.542 |
1.638 |
1.736 |
1.836 |
1.935 |
2.035 |
2.135 |
2.234 |
2.332 |
2.429 |
2.525 |
2.619 |
2.712 |
2.804 |
2.894 |
2.983 |
3.071 |
3.157 |
3.243 |
3.328 |
3.412 |
3.496 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.011 |
0.018 |
-0.003 |
-0.044 |
-0.103 |
-0.178 |
-0.269 |
-0.372 |
-0.484 |
-0.603 |
-0.725 |
-0.849 |
-0.973 |
-1.095 |
-1.214 |
-1.330 |
-1.442 |
-1.550 |
-1.655 |
-1.756 |
-1.854 |
-1.949 |
-2.041 |
-2.130 |
-2.218 |
-2.303 |
-2.387 |
-2.469 |
-2.550 |
-2.630 |
-2.708 |
-2.786 |
-2.864 |
-2.940 |
-3.016 |
-3.092 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
0.040 |
0.013 |
-0.046 |
-0.094 |
-0.131 |
-0.158 |
-0.178 |
-0.192 |
-0.200 |
-0.203 |
-0.203 |
-0.200 |
-0.195 |
-0.189 |
-0.182 |
-0.175 |
-0.167 |
-0.160 |
-0.153 |
-0.146 |
-0.140 |
-0.134 |
-0.129 |
-0.124 |
-0.119 |
-0.115 |
-0.111 |
-0.107 |
-0.103 |
-0.100 |
-0.097 |
-0.095 |
-0.093 |
-0.091 |
-0.089 |
-0.087 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.014 |
-0.020 |
-0.046 |
-0.064 |
-0.074 |
-0.080 |
-0.083 |
-0.084 |
-0.083 |
-0.082 |
-0.080 |
-0.077 |
-0.075 |
-0.072 |
-0.070 |
-0.068 |
-0.067 |
-0.065 |
-0.064 |
-0.063 |
-0.063 |
-0.062 |
-0.062 |
-0.062 |
-0.062 |
-0.062 |
-0.062 |
-0.062 |
-0.063 |
-0.063 |
-0.063 |
-0.064 |
-0.064 |
-0.064 |
-0.065 |
-0.065 |
User cost |
uim |
-0.047 |
-0.056 |
-0.076 |
-0.094 |
-0.109 |
-0.122 |
-0.132 |
-0.138 |
-0.142 |
-0.143 |
-0.143 |
-0.140 |
-0.136 |
-0.131 |
-0.125 |
-0.118 |
-0.112 |
-0.105 |
-0.098 |
-0.091 |
-0.085 |
-0.079 |
-0.073 |
-0.068 |
-0.063 |
-0.058 |
-0.055 |
-0.051 |
-0.048 |
-0.046 |
-0.044 |
-0.042 |
-0.041 |
-0.040 |
-0.039 |
-0.039 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.040 |
-0.090 |
-0.139 |
-0.180 |
-0.213 |
-0.236 |
-0.249 |
-0.254 |
-0.251 |
-0.242 |
-0.227 |
-0.209 |
-0.188 |
-0.165 |
-0.142 |
-0.118 |
-0.095 |
-0.073 |
-0.051 |
-0.031 |
-0.013 |
0.003 |
0.018 |
0.031 |
0.043 |
0.053 |
0.061 |
0.068 |
0.073 |
0.077 |
0.080 |
0.082 |
0.083 |
0.083 |
0.082 |
0.080 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.049 |
-0.077 |
-0.103 |
-0.127 |
-0.147 |
-0.164 |
-0.178 |
-0.188 |
-0.195 |
-0.199 |
-0.199 |
-0.198 |
-0.195 |
-0.190 |
-0.185 |
-0.178 |
-0.171 |
-0.164 |
-0.156 |
-0.149 |
-0.142 |
-0.135 |
-0.128 |
-0.121 |
-0.116 |
-0.110 |
-0.105 |
-0.101 |
-0.097 |
-0.093 |
-0.090 |
-0.088 |
-0.086 |
-0.084 |
-0.083 |
-0.082 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.035 |
-0.057 |
-0.077 |
-0.095 |
-0.110 |
-0.122 |
-0.131 |
-0.138 |
-0.142 |
-0.144 |
-0.144 |
-0.142 |
-0.139 |
-0.135 |
-0.131 |
-0.126 |
-0.121 |
-0.115 |
-0.110 |
-0.104 |
-0.099 |
-0.094 |
-0.090 |
-0.086 |
-0.082 |
-0.078 |
-0.075 |
-0.073 |
-0.070 |
-0.068 |
-0.067 |
-0.066 |
-0.065 |
-0.064 |
-0.064 |
-0.064 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
0.049 |
0.025 |
0.006 |
0.016 |
0.028 |
0.041 |
0.051 |
0.058 |
0.063 |
0.066 |
0.066 |
0.066 |
0.064 |
0.062 |
0.059 |
0.057 |
0.055 |
0.053 |
0.052 |
0.051 |
0.050 |
0.050 |
0.051 |
0.052 |
0.053 |
0.054 |
0.055 |
0.057 |
0.058 |
0.060 |
0.061 |
0.063 |
0.064 |
0.066 |
0.067 |
0.068 |
Wage share |
byw |
0.010 |
0.005 |
-0.014 |
-0.027 |
-0.033 |
-0.034 |
-0.031 |
-0.025 |
-0.017 |
-0.008 |
0.002 |
0.012 |
0.021 |
0.030 |
0.038 |
0.046 |
0.052 |
0.058 |
0.063 |
0.067 |
0.071 |
0.073 |
0.075 |
0.077 |
0.078 |
0.078 |
0.078 |
0.078 |
0.078 |
0.077 |
0.076 |
0.075 |
0.074 |
0.072 |
0.071 |
0.069 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
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|