|
|
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
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|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
554.6 |
1915.5 |
2982.8 |
3949.0 |
4754.6 |
5439.6 |
6026.1 |
6540.5 |
7004.4 |
7434.7 |
7843.3 |
8237.7 |
8622.1 |
8997.6 |
9362.9 |
9715.4 |
10051.7 |
10368.0 |
10660.4 |
10925.6 |
11160.8 |
11364.1 |
11534.8 |
11673.0 |
11780.0 |
11858.2 |
11911.0 |
11942.6 |
11957.8 |
11962.0 |
11961.0 |
11960.7 |
11967.0 |
11985.4 |
12021.2 |
12079.1 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
2393.1 |
2905.4 |
3527.2 |
4234.7 |
4970.4 |
5684.2 |
6342.3 |
6921.2 |
7405.7 |
7788.3 |
8066.8 |
8244.4 |
8327.6 |
8325.8 |
8250.5 |
8114.3 |
7930.7 |
7713.2 |
7475.2 |
7229.3 |
6987.4 |
6759.9 |
6556.0 |
6383.7 |
6249.0 |
6156.8 |
6110.1 |
6110.6 |
6158.7 |
6253.3 |
6392.2 |
6572.2 |
6789.2 |
7038.4 |
7314.6 |
7611.9 |
Investment |
fI |
1702.8 |
3387.2 |
4851.1 |
6136.5 |
7200.8 |
8027.2 |
8621.2 |
8997.7 |
9179.0 |
9192.2 |
9066.5 |
8830.9 |
8513.3 |
8139.3 |
7731.7 |
7310.0 |
6891.3 |
6489.5 |
6115.6 |
5778.3 |
5483.9 |
5236.9 |
5039.7 |
4893.4 |
4797.8 |
4751.6 |
4752.6 |
4797.9 |
4884.2 |
5007.4 |
5163.3 |
5347.5 |
5555.5 |
5782.5 |
6024.1 |
6275.5 |
Export |
fE |
2694.9 |
4491.4 |
6360.2 |
8237.7 |
10062.3 |
11770.0 |
13305.0 |
14623.0 |
15693.0 |
16497.6 |
17032.1 |
17303.5 |
17328.7 |
17133.0 |
16747.8 |
16209.1 |
15555.3 |
14825.8 |
14059.6 |
13293.6 |
12561.9 |
11894.8 |
11318.3 |
10853.5 |
10516.4 |
10317.9 |
10264.0 |
10355.6 |
10589.5 |
10958.0 |
11450.4 |
12052.6 |
12748.5 |
13519.9 |
14347.8 |
15212.5 |
Import |
fM |
1090.4 |
2621.2 |
4083.1 |
5516.1 |
6848.7 |
8061.7 |
9137.4 |
10065.8 |
10842.3 |
11467.3 |
11945.2 |
12283.8 |
12493.2 |
12585.9 |
12576.1 |
12478.4 |
12308.7 |
12083.1 |
11817.5 |
11527.4 |
11227.6 |
10931.9 |
10653.1 |
10402.2 |
10189.2 |
10022.2 |
9907.7 |
9850.5 |
9853.7 |
9918.7 |
10045.4 |
10232.1 |
10475.8 |
10772.2 |
11116.0 |
11501.0 |
GDP |
fY |
6128.8 |
9768.0 |
13129.1 |
16382.4 |
19355.0 |
21968.3 |
24178.2 |
25965.9 |
27332.5 |
28294.5 |
28880.3 |
29127.2 |
29078.6 |
28782.1 |
28286.6 |
27641.4 |
26894.7 |
26092.3 |
25276.6 |
24485.9 |
23754.2 |
23110.1 |
22577.4 |
22174.5 |
21914.8 |
21806.6 |
21853.7 |
22055.5 |
22407.7 |
22901.9 |
23527.3 |
24270.3 |
25115.5 |
26045.8 |
27043.3 |
28089.4 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
-13.188 |
-9.973 |
-6.480 |
-2.780 |
0.814 |
4.058 |
6.814 |
9.001 |
10.590 |
11.588 |
12.028 |
11.964 |
11.463 |
10.599 |
9.447 |
8.083 |
6.581 |
5.007 |
3.423 |
1.882 |
0.430 |
-0.897 |
-2.071 |
-3.069 |
-3.880 |
-4.497 |
-4.921 |
-5.158 |
-5.218 |
-5.116 |
-4.870 |
-4.499 |
-4.026 |
-3.472 |
-2.861 |
-2.215 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
7.192 |
4.991 |
3.187 |
1.293 |
-0.540 |
-2.186 |
-3.577 |
-4.675 |
-5.467 |
-5.956 |
-6.161 |
-6.111 |
-5.840 |
-5.386 |
-4.787 |
-4.083 |
-3.311 |
-2.504 |
-1.694 |
-0.908 |
-0.169 |
0.505 |
1.099 |
1.603 |
2.011 |
2.319 |
2.530 |
2.644 |
2.669 |
2.611 |
2.480 |
2.286 |
2.041 |
1.755 |
1.441 |
1.109 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.123 |
-0.132 |
-0.064 |
0.001 |
0.054 |
0.099 |
0.133 |
0.156 |
0.170 |
0.174 |
0.171 |
0.162 |
0.148 |
0.132 |
0.113 |
0.093 |
0.073 |
0.053 |
0.035 |
0.018 |
0.003 |
-0.010 |
-0.021 |
-0.030 |
-0.036 |
-0.041 |
-0.043 |
-0.044 |
-0.043 |
-0.040 |
-0.037 |
-0.033 |
-0.028 |
-0.022 |
-0.016 |
-0.010 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.075 |
0.043 |
-0.042 |
-0.118 |
-0.173 |
-0.211 |
-0.233 |
-0.239 |
-0.234 |
-0.219 |
-0.197 |
-0.172 |
-0.145 |
-0.117 |
-0.091 |
-0.068 |
-0.047 |
-0.029 |
-0.015 |
-0.004 |
0.004 |
0.009 |
0.011 |
0.011 |
0.010 |
0.008 |
0.005 |
0.001 |
-0.003 |
-0.007 |
-0.010 |
-0.013 |
-0.016 |
-0.018 |
-0.019 |
-0.020 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.049 |
-0.089 |
-0.106 |
-0.117 |
-0.119 |
-0.112 |
-0.100 |
-0.083 |
-0.064 |
-0.045 |
-0.026 |
-0.010 |
0.004 |
0.014 |
0.021 |
0.025 |
0.026 |
0.024 |
0.020 |
0.014 |
0.006 |
-0.002 |
-0.010 |
-0.018 |
-0.026 |
-0.033 |
-0.038 |
-0.043 |
-0.046 |
-0.047 |
-0.047 |
-0.046 |
-0.044 |
-0.040 |
-0.036 |
-0.030 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
0.242 |
0.166 |
0.013 |
-0.188 |
-0.410 |
-0.636 |
-0.850 |
-1.043 |
-1.208 |
-1.342 |
-1.442 |
-1.510 |
-1.549 |
-1.560 |
-1.549 |
-1.520 |
-1.476 |
-1.422 |
-1.362 |
-1.299 |
-1.237 |
-1.176 |
-1.120 |
-1.070 |
-1.026 |
-0.989 |
-0.958 |
-0.934 |
-0.915 |
-0.901 |
-0.892 |
-0.884 |
-0.879 |
-0.874 |
-0.869 |
-0.863 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.199 |
0.300 |
0.335 |
0.310 |
0.239 |
0.130 |
-0.004 |
-0.152 |
-0.306 |
-0.456 |
-0.597 |
-0.723 |
-0.831 |
-0.919 |
-0.986 |
-1.032 |
-1.059 |
-1.068 |
-1.060 |
-1.037 |
-1.003 |
-0.958 |
-0.906 |
-0.849 |
-0.789 |
-0.727 |
-0.666 |
-0.606 |
-0.550 |
-0.497 |
-0.450 |
-0.408 |
-0.371 |
-0.341 |
-0.317 |
-0.299 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.295 |
-0.441 |
-0.550 |
-0.634 |
-0.692 |
-0.723 |
-0.730 |
-0.715 |
-0.681 |
-0.633 |
-0.574 |
-0.506 |
-0.434 |
-0.360 |
-0.285 |
-0.213 |
-0.145 |
-0.082 |
-0.025 |
0.025 |
0.067 |
0.101 |
0.127 |
0.146 |
0.157 |
0.161 |
0.160 |
0.153 |
0.141 |
0.125 |
0.106 |
0.085 |
0.062 |
0.039 |
0.016 |
-0.007 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.783 |
-0.854 |
-0.897 |
-0.923 |
-0.935 |
-0.937 |
-0.933 |
-0.925 |
-0.915 |
-0.904 |
-0.894 |
-0.885 |
-0.877 |
-0.871 |
-0.867 |
-0.866 |
-0.866 |
-0.867 |
-0.870 |
-0.875 |
-0.880 |
-0.886 |
-0.893 |
-0.900 |
-0.907 |
-0.914 |
-0.920 |
-0.926 |
-0.931 |
-0.935 |
-0.939 |
-0.942 |
-0.944 |
-0.945 |
-0.945 |
-0.945 |
User cost |
uim |
-0.399 |
-0.479 |
-0.535 |
-0.570 |
-0.587 |
-0.585 |
-0.567 |
-0.535 |
-0.493 |
-0.441 |
-0.385 |
-0.325 |
-0.265 |
-0.206 |
-0.151 |
-0.100 |
-0.056 |
-0.019 |
0.011 |
0.033 |
0.047 |
0.054 |
0.053 |
0.047 |
0.035 |
0.018 |
-0.003 |
-0.026 |
-0.051 |
-0.077 |
-0.103 |
-0.128 |
-0.152 |
-0.174 |
-0.193 |
-0.209 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.283 |
-0.479 |
-0.607 |
-0.680 |
-0.696 |
-0.660 |
-0.577 |
-0.456 |
-0.305 |
-0.134 |
0.049 |
0.236 |
0.418 |
0.592 |
0.749 |
0.888 |
1.005 |
1.098 |
1.166 |
1.210 |
1.230 |
1.228 |
1.207 |
1.168 |
1.115 |
1.050 |
0.976 |
0.897 |
0.816 |
0.735 |
0.656 |
0.582 |
0.514 |
0.454 |
0.403 |
0.362 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.378 |
-0.483 |
-0.555 |
-0.610 |
-0.646 |
-0.662 |
-0.659 |
-0.640 |
-0.607 |
-0.562 |
-0.509 |
-0.451 |
-0.389 |
-0.326 |
-0.265 |
-0.207 |
-0.155 |
-0.108 |
-0.068 |
-0.036 |
-0.012 |
0.004 |
0.012 |
0.013 |
0.008 |
-0.004 |
-0.021 |
-0.041 |
-0.065 |
-0.092 |
-0.119 |
-0.147 |
-0.174 |
-0.201 |
-0.225 |
-0.247 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.294 |
-0.358 |
-0.405 |
-0.439 |
-0.459 |
-0.464 |
-0.457 |
-0.439 |
-0.411 |
-0.377 |
-0.336 |
-0.293 |
-0.248 |
-0.203 |
-0.160 |
-0.120 |
-0.085 |
-0.054 |
-0.029 |
-0.010 |
0.003 |
0.010 |
0.012 |
0.009 |
0.001 |
-0.011 |
-0.026 |
-0.043 |
-0.062 |
-0.082 |
-0.102 |
-0.122 |
-0.141 |
-0.159 |
-0.175 |
-0.189 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
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|
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|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
-0.119 |
-0.111 |
-0.061 |
-0.020 |
0.006 |
0.022 |
0.029 |
0.028 |
0.021 |
0.012 |
0.000 |
-0.011 |
-0.022 |
-0.031 |
-0.038 |
-0.042 |
-0.044 |
-0.043 |
-0.039 |
-0.034 |
-0.028 |
-0.020 |
-0.012 |
-0.003 |
0.005 |
0.013 |
0.019 |
0.025 |
0.029 |
0.032 |
0.034 |
0.034 |
0.033 |
0.031 |
0.028 |
0.024 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.213 |
-0.290 |
-0.329 |
-0.340 |
-0.330 |
-0.301 |
-0.260 |
-0.211 |
-0.158 |
-0.103 |
-0.049 |
0.001 |
0.045 |
0.083 |
0.114 |
0.137 |
0.152 |
0.160 |
0.160 |
0.155 |
0.143 |
0.127 |
0.107 |
0.084 |
0.059 |
0.033 |
0.008 |
-0.017 |
-0.041 |
-0.063 |
-0.082 |
-0.098 |
-0.112 |
-0.122 |
-0.129 |
-0.132 |
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