|
|
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
752.9 |
2330.3 |
3358.0 |
4210.6 |
4840.3 |
5302.9 |
5637.4 |
5881.8 |
6068.4 |
6223.5 |
6367.5 |
6515.5 |
6677.8 |
6861.1 |
7068.7 |
7301.5 |
7558.5 |
7837.5 |
8135.2 |
8447.9 |
8771.4 |
9101.7 |
9434.9 |
9767.3 |
10095.5 |
10416.7 |
10728.3 |
11028.5 |
11315.7 |
11588.9 |
11847.4 |
12091.0 |
12320.0 |
12534.9 |
12736.3 |
12925.5 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
4635.6 |
4615.9 |
4610.8 |
4616.6 |
4636.2 |
4669.1 |
4714.3 |
4770.2 |
4835.0 |
4907.2 |
4985.0 |
5067.2 |
5152.7 |
5240.7 |
5330.4 |
5421.3 |
5513.1 |
5605.7 |
5698.8 |
5792.4 |
5886.6 |
5981.4 |
6076.9 |
6173.1 |
6270.3 |
6368.3 |
6467.5 |
6567.8 |
6669.3 |
6772.1 |
6876.3 |
6981.9 |
7088.9 |
7197.3 |
7307.2 |
7418.7 |
Investment |
fI |
1781.1 |
3004.9 |
3976.8 |
4847.5 |
5561.5 |
6095.5 |
6457.4 |
6667.9 |
6753.3 |
6741.2 |
6658.1 |
6527.6 |
6369.9 |
6201.1 |
6033.6 |
5876.1 |
5734.6 |
5612.6 |
5511.8 |
5432.1 |
5372.8 |
5332.3 |
5308.7 |
5299.7 |
5303.5 |
5317.9 |
5341.2 |
5371.8 |
5408.4 |
5449.9 |
5495.6 |
5544.7 |
5596.9 |
5652.1 |
5710.1 |
5770.8 |
Export |
fE |
2587.1 |
4355.1 |
6153.6 |
7939.8 |
9673.2 |
11313.4 |
12825.9 |
14184.5 |
15372.0 |
16378.8 |
17202.4 |
17846.3 |
18318.7 |
18631.6 |
18799.5 |
18839.1 |
18767.6 |
18603.1 |
18363.4 |
18065.8 |
17726.9 |
17362.2 |
16986.0 |
16611.3 |
16249.7 |
15911.4 |
15605.0 |
15338.0 |
15116.4 |
14944.8 |
14826.7 |
14764.4 |
14759.1 |
14811.0 |
14919.5 |
15083.0 |
Import |
fM |
1500.3 |
2950.3 |
4111.9 |
5219.5 |
6208.3 |
7073.6 |
7819.4 |
8454.9 |
8991.8 |
9442.3 |
9818.3 |
10130.7 |
10389.4 |
10602.8 |
10778.2 |
10921.6 |
11038.3 |
11132.7 |
11208.6 |
11269.2 |
11317.6 |
11356.3 |
11388.0 |
11414.8 |
11439.1 |
11462.8 |
11488.2 |
11516.9 |
11550.8 |
11591.6 |
11640.9 |
11699.9 |
11769.9 |
11852.1 |
11947.3 |
12056.2 |
GDP |
fY |
8112.5 |
11040.5 |
13480.6 |
15743.3 |
17728.1 |
19424.0 |
20838.3 |
21991.2 |
22909.4 |
23622.4 |
24159.8 |
24550.7 |
24821.8 |
24997.5 |
25099.5 |
25146.2 |
25154.0 |
25136.5 |
25105.2 |
25069.9 |
25038.5 |
25017.7 |
25013.1 |
25029.1 |
25069.5 |
25137.1 |
25234.2 |
25362.6 |
25523.8 |
25718.3 |
25946.7 |
26209.0 |
26505.2 |
26834.7 |
27196.6 |
27589.9 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
-9.352 |
-7.267 |
-5.110 |
-2.881 |
-0.753 |
1.153 |
2.776 |
4.092 |
5.104 |
5.829 |
6.294 |
6.532 |
6.575 |
6.457 |
6.210 |
5.861 |
5.437 |
4.957 |
4.443 |
3.909 |
3.370 |
2.835 |
2.315 |
1.816 |
1.345 |
0.906 |
0.502 |
0.135 |
-0.192 |
-0.480 |
-0.727 |
-0.935 |
-1.105 |
-1.238 |
-1.336 |
-1.400 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
5.100 |
3.646 |
2.535 |
1.395 |
0.311 |
-0.655 |
-1.474 |
-2.137 |
-2.643 |
-3.004 |
-3.232 |
-3.346 |
-3.361 |
-3.296 |
-3.165 |
-2.983 |
-2.763 |
-2.517 |
-2.253 |
-1.979 |
-1.703 |
-1.430 |
-1.165 |
-0.911 |
-0.671 |
-0.448 |
-0.242 |
-0.056 |
0.109 |
0.255 |
0.380 |
0.485 |
0.571 |
0.637 |
0.686 |
0.718 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.173 |
-0.143 |
-0.057 |
0.018 |
0.081 |
0.134 |
0.175 |
0.205 |
0.224 |
0.235 |
0.239 |
0.238 |
0.232 |
0.224 |
0.214 |
0.202 |
0.190 |
0.178 |
0.166 |
0.154 |
0.144 |
0.134 |
0.124 |
0.116 |
0.109 |
0.102 |
0.097 |
0.092 |
0.088 |
0.084 |
0.081 |
0.079 |
0.078 |
0.077 |
0.077 |
0.077 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.097 |
0.035 |
-0.051 |
-0.121 |
-0.172 |
-0.206 |
-0.224 |
-0.228 |
-0.220 |
-0.205 |
-0.184 |
-0.161 |
-0.136 |
-0.112 |
-0.089 |
-0.068 |
-0.050 |
-0.034 |
-0.022 |
-0.012 |
-0.004 |
0.001 |
0.004 |
0.006 |
0.007 |
0.006 |
0.005 |
0.003 |
0.001 |
-0.001 |
-0.003 |
-0.006 |
-0.008 |
-0.010 |
-0.011 |
-0.013 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.076 |
-0.108 |
-0.108 |
-0.103 |
-0.091 |
-0.072 |
-0.049 |
-0.023 |
0.004 |
0.030 |
0.055 |
0.077 |
0.096 |
0.112 |
0.125 |
0.134 |
0.140 |
0.143 |
0.144 |
0.142 |
0.139 |
0.135 |
0.129 |
0.122 |
0.116 |
0.109 |
0.102 |
0.095 |
0.089 |
0.083 |
0.078 |
0.074 |
0.070 |
0.067 |
0.065 |
0.064 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
0.120 |
0.018 |
-0.112 |
-0.254 |
-0.391 |
-0.511 |
-0.606 |
-0.673 |
-0.710 |
-0.717 |
-0.697 |
-0.653 |
-0.588 |
-0.505 |
-0.410 |
-0.304 |
-0.193 |
-0.078 |
0.038 |
0.152 |
0.263 |
0.369 |
0.469 |
0.563 |
0.650 |
0.730 |
0.803 |
0.868 |
0.928 |
0.981 |
1.029 |
1.072 |
1.111 |
1.147 |
1.179 |
1.210 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.214 |
0.330 |
0.366 |
0.334 |
0.246 |
0.114 |
-0.051 |
-0.237 |
-0.434 |
-0.634 |
-0.830 |
-1.017 |
-1.193 |
-1.354 |
-1.500 |
-1.631 |
-1.745 |
-1.844 |
-1.929 |
-2.001 |
-2.061 |
-2.109 |
-2.148 |
-2.179 |
-2.202 |
-2.218 |
-2.229 |
-2.235 |
-2.237 |
-2.237 |
-2.234 |
-2.230 |
-2.224 |
-2.218 |
-2.212 |
-2.206 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.376 |
-0.494 |
-0.573 |
-0.631 |
-0.668 |
-0.684 |
-0.685 |
-0.672 |
-0.649 |
-0.620 |
-0.585 |
-0.548 |
-0.510 |
-0.471 |
-0.433 |
-0.397 |
-0.362 |
-0.329 |
-0.298 |
-0.269 |
-0.242 |
-0.218 |
-0.196 |
-0.175 |
-0.157 |
-0.140 |
-0.126 |
-0.113 |
-0.102 |
-0.093 |
-0.085 |
-0.079 |
-0.075 |
-0.072 |
-0.070 |
-0.069 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.732 |
-0.808 |
-0.857 |
-0.891 |
-0.913 |
-0.926 |
-0.931 |
-0.932 |
-0.930 |
-0.925 |
-0.920 |
-0.914 |
-0.908 |
-0.902 |
-0.897 |
-0.892 |
-0.888 |
-0.885 |
-0.882 |
-0.880 |
-0.878 |
-0.877 |
-0.877 |
-0.877 |
-0.877 |
-0.878 |
-0.879 |
-0.880 |
-0.881 |
-0.883 |
-0.885 |
-0.887 |
-0.889 |
-0.891 |
-0.892 |
-0.894 |
User cost |
uim |
-0.376 |
-0.439 |
-0.487 |
-0.525 |
-0.552 |
-0.568 |
-0.574 |
-0.572 |
-0.562 |
-0.546 |
-0.525 |
-0.500 |
-0.473 |
-0.444 |
-0.414 |
-0.384 |
-0.355 |
-0.326 |
-0.299 |
-0.274 |
-0.251 |
-0.230 |
-0.211 |
-0.195 |
-0.181 |
-0.169 |
-0.160 |
-0.152 |
-0.147 |
-0.144 |
-0.143 |
-0.143 |
-0.144 |
-0.147 |
-0.151 |
-0.156 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.247 |
-0.390 |
-0.489 |
-0.556 |
-0.588 |
-0.589 |
-0.562 |
-0.512 |
-0.444 |
-0.362 |
-0.270 |
-0.172 |
-0.071 |
0.030 |
0.128 |
0.223 |
0.312 |
0.394 |
0.469 |
0.536 |
0.594 |
0.645 |
0.687 |
0.722 |
0.748 |
0.768 |
0.781 |
0.788 |
0.789 |
0.785 |
0.777 |
0.765 |
0.750 |
0.732 |
0.713 |
0.691 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.365 |
-0.454 |
-0.517 |
-0.568 |
-0.605 |
-0.630 |
-0.644 |
-0.646 |
-0.639 |
-0.625 |
-0.605 |
-0.580 |
-0.551 |
-0.520 |
-0.488 |
-0.454 |
-0.421 |
-0.389 |
-0.358 |
-0.328 |
-0.300 |
-0.274 |
-0.251 |
-0.230 |
-0.212 |
-0.196 |
-0.183 |
-0.172 |
-0.164 |
-0.158 |
-0.155 |
-0.153 |
-0.153 |
-0.155 |
-0.158 |
-0.163 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.284 |
-0.337 |
-0.377 |
-0.408 |
-0.430 |
-0.444 |
-0.449 |
-0.447 |
-0.439 |
-0.426 |
-0.408 |
-0.388 |
-0.366 |
-0.342 |
-0.317 |
-0.293 |
-0.268 |
-0.245 |
-0.223 |
-0.203 |
-0.184 |
-0.167 |
-0.152 |
-0.139 |
-0.128 |
-0.119 |
-0.112 |
-0.107 |
-0.103 |
-0.101 |
-0.101 |
-0.101 |
-0.103 |
-0.106 |
-0.110 |
-0.115 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
-0.152 |
-0.109 |
-0.048 |
-0.004 |
0.024 |
0.041 |
0.048 |
0.047 |
0.039 |
0.028 |
0.014 |
-0.001 |
-0.016 |
-0.029 |
-0.041 |
-0.051 |
-0.058 |
-0.063 |
-0.066 |
-0.067 |
-0.066 |
-0.064 |
-0.060 |
-0.055 |
-0.050 |
-0.044 |
-0.038 |
-0.031 |
-0.025 |
-0.019 |
-0.013 |
-0.008 |
-0.003 |
0.001 |
0.004 |
0.007 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.184 |
-0.248 |
-0.281 |
-0.294 |
-0.291 |
-0.277 |
-0.254 |
-0.227 |
-0.196 |
-0.164 |
-0.132 |
-0.102 |
-0.073 |
-0.046 |
-0.022 |
-0.001 |
0.017 |
0.032 |
0.044 |
0.054 |
0.061 |
0.065 |
0.068 |
0.068 |
0.067 |
0.064 |
0.059 |
0.054 |
0.048 |
0.041 |
0.033 |
0.025 |
0.017 |
0.009 |
0.001 |
-0.006 |
|
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